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MarketRenderUpdated 3 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC23:10 UTC
Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only

Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.

A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.

Aptos's 4-hour trend5 Nov 2022 to now
341flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
24 dayslongest run
BullishBearish

What happened after Aptos's 4-hour flips

After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.

90 days after a bullish flip−22.4%Median of 160 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−23.4%Median of 159 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after any day−20.9%1,338 days since 5 Nov 2022
What happened after Aptos's 4-hour flips
Which flipsDays laterFlips countedMedian changeRange of the medianOrdinary daysAgainst ordinary days
After bullish flips7170 of 171−1.8%−3.2% to +0.2% (92%)−3.4% to +0.8%within the range of ordinary days
30168 of 171−7.4%−9.4% to −5.1% (92%)−8.4% to −3.2%within the range of ordinary days
90160 of 171−22.4%−27.7% to −13.8% (90%)−27.2% to −12.6%within the range of ordinary days
After bearish flips7169 of 170−1.3%−4.0% to −0.3% (91%)−3.2% to +1.0%within the range of ordinary days
30167 of 170−4.9%−7.5% to −2.2% (91%)−8.2% to −3.0%within the range of ordinary days
90159 of 170−23.4%−28.0% to −15.4% (92%)−27.1% to −12.4%within the range of ordinary days
Any day since 5 Nov 2022, for comparison71,421 days−1.3%–––
301,398 days−5.7%–––
901,338 days−20.9%–––

Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.

Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.

Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.

The latest 22 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.

Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.

How soon flips were reversed

How soon flips were reversed
Which flipsFlipsReversed within 3 candles (12 hours)
After bullish flips1715 of 171
After bearish flips17010 of 170

A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.

Aptos's 4-hour line has flipped 87.2 times a year since 5 Nov 2022, 08:00 UTC.

On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.

Aptos, 4-hour flips: 341 flips

Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.

Aptos, 4-hour flips: 341 flips
Candle closedFlipped toPrice at the flip7 days later30 days later90 days laterUntil the next flip
2 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours so farBull$0.8294not yetnot yetnot yet−3.2% so far
29 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$0.7927not yetnot yetnot yet+4.6%
25 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBull$0.8415−7.8%not yetnot yet−5.8%
23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.7594+4.1%not yetnot yet+10.8%
17 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hoursBull$0.5680+32.8%not yetnot yet+33.7%
11 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hoursBear$0.6010−0.5%not yetnot yet−5.5%
1 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 daysBull$0.5510+16.3%+39.9%not yet+9.1%
23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBear$0.6060−10.4%+31.2%not yet−9.1%
19 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBull$0.5420+3.7%+10.3%not yet+11.8%
10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hoursBear$0.5900−12.0%+9.8%not yet−8.1%
8 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull$0.6040−10.1%+3.3%not yet−2.3%
8 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.5790−6.2%+7.8%not yet+4.3%
3 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBull$0.5760+2.4%−5.0%not yet+0.5%
27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBear$0.6070−7.2%−7.4%not yet−5.1%
26 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$0.6270−12.0%−3.0%not yet−3.2%
25 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$0.6010−7.5%+6.2%not yet+4.3%
21 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBull$0.6070−2.5%−7.4%not yet−1.0%
17 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$0.5980+3.3%−10.0%not yet+1.5%
14 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBull$0.6240−3.0%−10.3%not yet−4.2%
13 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$0.6110−2.5%−5.2%not yet+2.1%
11 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$0.6460−3.7%−8.7%not yet−5.4%
8 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.6010+3.3%−1.5%not yet+7.5%
1 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 daysBull$0.5980+5.0%−4.8%+38.8%+0.5%
23 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hoursBear$0.6360−8.8%−2.0%+16.4%−6.0%
22 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.6730−14.7%−9.4%+7.7%−5.5%
16 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBear$0.6670−0.9%−6.6%−11.8%+0.9%
13 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBull$0.6690−5.1%−8.7%−4.2%−0.3%
28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 days 4 hoursBear$0.9170−11.3%−34.7%−38.7%−27.0%
23 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBull$0.9640−2.7%−32.8%−40.2%−4.9%
22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear$0.9460−0.5%−31.7%−40.6%+1.9%
21 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.9780−2.8%−35.1%−46.0%−3.3%
12 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hoursBear$1.10−14.1%−43.8%−46.6%−11.4%
6 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBull$1.02+6.4%−25.8%−43.5%+8.6%
4 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$0.9730+18.5%−15.2%−43.3%+4.5%
29 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hoursBull$0.99200.0%−5.1%−40.3%−1.9%
27 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.9530+3.5%+2.0%−35.8%+4.1%
22 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hoursBull$0.9850−1.9%−1.1%−38.6%−3.2%
18 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear$0.9370+5.3%−0.7%−34.8%+5.1%
13 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBull$0.8570+6.2%+26.3%−27.2%+9.3%
12 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$0.8310+12.6%+35.9%−24.3%+3.1%
10 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull$0.8730+14.5%+26.5%−29.3%−4.8%
9 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.8330+7.4%+35.7%−24.6%+4.8%
8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.8720−1.5%+17.8%−27.6%−4.5%
7 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear$0.8390+4.1%+21.9%−24.6%+3.9%
6 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull$0.8750−7.2%+13.4%−28.2%−4.1%
27 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 daysBear$0.9890−13.0%−2.2%−36.2%−11.5%
23 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBull$1.01−8.3%−6.6%−35.8%−1.7%
22 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$0.9350−0.4%+0.1%−32.1%+7.6%
20 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBull$0.9950+3.9%−5.9%−32.5%−6.0%
18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.9520+17.1%+5.0%−28.7%+4.5%
13 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBull$0.9630−1.5%−10.4%−35.5%−1.1%
12 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$0.9290+6.6%−6.6%−28.4%+3.7%
10 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull$0.9780+4.2%−14.8%−31.3%−5.0%
7 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$0.9410−0.6%−9.7%−19.8%+3.9%
1 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hoursBull$0.9620−2.4%−7.4%−2.5%−2.2%
26 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$0.9560+5.5%+2.1%+1.7%+0.6%
25 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.8710+16.3%+18.7%+11.1%+9.8%
22 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.8590+12.0%+24.4%+9.4%+1.4%
21 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$0.9040+3.5%+2.8%+7.7%−5.0%
15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hoursBear$0.9280−4.5%+9.8%+6.5%−2.6%
14 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.9760−9.5%−4.2%+7.8%−4.9%
10 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$1.02−9.0%−7.5%+12.9%−4.4%
6 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBull$1.11−16.7%−15.3%−7.8%−7.9%
29 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 daysBear$1.49−18.1%−37.1%−35.1%−25.5%
26 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBull$1.56−20.9%−47.3%−38.1%−4.7%
19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hoursBear$1.72−13.7%−46.8%−45.7%−9.3%
17 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull$1.90−18.1%−50.8%−47.3%−9.2%
15 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear$1.86−16.2%−49.4%−53.8%+2.0%
13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBull$1.91−15.5%−51.6%−57.5%−2.6%
7 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$1.88+5.0%−45.1%−55.3%+1.7%
1 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBull$1.78+6.1%−18.3%−49.7%+5.7%
29 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$1.68+15.3%−5.5%−44.7%+5.6%
19 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hoursBull$1.57+1.5%+18.9%−36.9%+7.3%
11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hoursBear$1.70−11.4%+7.7%−43.8%−7.4%
9 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull$1.83−14.0%+3.0%−49.3%−7.4%
5 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$1.91−9.5%−0.3%−47.1%−3.9%
2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBull$2.00−10.6%−17.2%−53.7%−4.9%
20 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hoursBear$2.78−18.3%−41.1%−67.0%−27.9%
20 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$2.97−23.4%−44.8%−69.1%−6.2%
19 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear$2.74−16.1%−47.0%−66.1%+8.4%
18 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$2.94−20.3%−48.9%−68.2%−6.9%
12 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$3.08−5.3%−43.9%−66.1%−4.4%
7 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hoursBull$3.02−1.4%−41.8%−59.6%+1.8%
3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBear$3.15+2.8%−37.4%−59.5%−4.1%
2 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$3.39−9.1%−44.9%−57.2%−7.1%
28 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$3.43−18.9%−33.7%−56.6%−1.1%
21 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hoursBull$3.35+3.2%−13.9%−48.6%+2.2%
8 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hoursBear$5.19−29.0%−47.2%−62.1%−35.4%
5 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBull$5.59−34.8%−50.3%−65.9%−7.1%
4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBear$5.16−29.0%−34.6%−63.9%+8.3%
27 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hoursBull$4.19+28.3%−14.3%−62.0%+23.1%
19 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 daysBear$4.55−13.6%−29.6%−67.0%−8.0%
18 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull$4.57−7.4%−30.2%−65.2%−0.4%
14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$4.54+1.7%−13.5%−64.1%+0.7%
11 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBull$4.54+0.7%−19.4%−58.5%−0.1%
9 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$4.37+0.2%+18.3%−60.9%+4.0%
8 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull$4.34+4.2%+22.5%−59.5%+0.7%
4 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$4.23+6.1%+27.1%−53.4%+2.7%
3 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$4.37+0.5%+19.7%−57.2%−3.3%
25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBear$4.43−4.0%−3.1%−47.5%−1.5%
22 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBull$4.55−1.7%+1.5%−36.5%−2.5%
18 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$4.63−0.1%−4.0%−36.8%−1.7%
17 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull$4.93−3.5%−11.2%−40.7%−6.1%
14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBear$4.77−5.8%−3.1%−35.2%+3.4%
12 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull$4.84−5.6%−7.4%−33.1%−1.5%
10 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$4.61+2.9%−4.4%−31.3%+5.0%
5 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hoursBull$4.37+3.6%+0.1%−22.7%+5.6%
23 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 8 hoursBear$5.11−10.3%−13.6%−36.2%−14.6%
16 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hoursBull$5.10+7.4%−7.3%−22.9%+0.3%
15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBear$4.84+11.6%+4.3%−19.0%+5.2%
14 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$5.15+3.2%−6.3%−29.2%−5.9%
12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$4.72+12.6%−0.6%+5.9%+8.9%
9 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBull$4.54+12.3%−2.7%+16.4%+4.1%
4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$4.53+7.7%−9.0%+7.6%+0.2%
2 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull$4.81−6.9%−10.1%−10.9%−5.8%
28 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$4.74−7.1%+3.4%−17.0%+1.4%
24 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBull$4.32+13.4%+11.5%+6.9%+9.9%
21 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$4.28+13.2%+24.2%+9.6%+0.9%
21 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull$4.54+6.7%+17.0%+3.3%−5.7%
17 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$4.56−5.4%+14.0%−0.8%−0.6%
16 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$4.66−15.7%+9.3%+0.1%−2.1%
12 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$4.86−8.2%+0.5%−9.7%−4.1%
9 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBull$4.77−4.8%−6.1%−11.8%+2.0%
5 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$4.78+5.0%−7.9%−9.3%−0.3%
3 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull$5.00−0.8%−5.1%−14.8%−4.3%
30 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear$5.16−13.1%−6.0%−15.4%−3.2%
26 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBull$5.44−11.5%−8.8%−12.5%−5.1%
23 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$5.54−6.8%−24.8%−18.8%−1.8%
22 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull$5.27+2.3%−19.0%−18.5%+5.0%
15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hoursBear$5.49−3.9%−18.0%−12.1%−3.9%
13 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull$6.18−15.6%−18.8%−24.0%−11.3%
13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$5.53−5.6%−9.1%−15.0%+11.9%
8 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBull$4.98+15.3%−7.3%−13.8%+11.0%
30 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hoursBear$5.27−9.7%−2.2%−11.8%−5.6%
22 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 daysBull$5.12+8.1%+3.1%+3.8%+3.1%
22 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$4.92+12.3%+7.2%+7.9%+4.0%
19 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$4.82+15.1%+7.7%+9.9%+2.2%
15 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$4.74+3.8%+21.1%+4.3%+1.6%
8 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBull$4.49+7.3%+6.9%−0.4%+5.6%
3 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$5.10−7.2%+6.8%−11.9%−12.0%
1 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull$5.42−18.7%−1.5%−8.7%−6.0%
28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$5.58−9.4%+0.7%−12.4%−2.9%
19 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBull$5.43+9.0%−15.5%−13.7%+2.9%
10 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 daysBear$5.61−8.4%−22.4%−15.4%−3.3%
5 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBull$5.91−10.2%−14.4%−17.3%−5.0%
3 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$5.79−3.0%−6.7%−18.3%+2.1%
26 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBull$5.78−5.7%+3.2%−8.4%+0.2%
20 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$6.17−4.2%−8.9%−16.5%−6.3%
19 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull$6.18−8.7%−8.9%−15.6%−0.2%
11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hoursBear$5.82+1.9%−10.5%+1.2%+6.2%
3 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 daysBull$6.33−6.6%−13.9%−18.1%−8.1%
1 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$7.62−24.9%−11.4%−27.7%−16.9%
28 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBull$7.62−14.7%−22.4%−29.5%0.0%
18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hoursBear$9.18−10.6%−36.7%−50.0%−17.0%
14 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBull$8.81−3.0%−30.2%−45.2%+4.2%
13 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$8.55−0.6%−31.2%−41.9%+3.0%
10 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull$9.22+0.2%−36.7%−48.7%−7.3%
7 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBear$9.69−12.5%−38.4%−55.1%−4.9%
2 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBull$9.16−1.5%−14.8%−41.0%+5.8%
18 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 15 days 4 hoursBear$12.94−24.1%−28.6%−58.7%−29.2%
17 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$14.17−31.5%−33.2%−63.7%−8.7%
14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$13.30−18.3%−33.6%−61.3%+6.5%
11 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBull$12.61+2.6%−31.4%−58.8%+5.5%
9 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$13.83−1.3%−30.2%−57.0%−8.8%
3 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hoursBull$13.73−13.0%−34.3%−50.8%+0.7%
2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$12.49+16.1%−30.3%−49.6%+9.9%
28 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBull$12.65+11.8%−31.0%−55.4%−1.3%
24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear$11.67+14.7%−16.9%−48.7%+8.4%
20 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBull$12.71−5.6%−10.5%−53.3%−8.2%
13 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hoursBear$11.53+2.4%+18.6%−46.2%+10.2%
5 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hoursBull$8.52+61.0%+66.0%−27.7%+35.3%
31 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$9.42+1.6%+41.0%−23.4%−9.6%
29 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull$9.78−17.6%+29.3%−19.9%−3.7%
23 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBear$9.91+1.3%+21.8%−13.7%−1.3%
12 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 11 daysBull$8.63+16.1%+26.3%+0.2%+14.8%
10 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$8.57+17.0%+13.4%+12.7%+0.7%
3 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hoursBull$8.37+2.4%+6.8%+4.1%+2.4%
1 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$7.59+14.4%+29.1%+17.0%+10.3%
1 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBull$8.26+5.1%+18.6%+7.5%−8.1%
29 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$7.85+9.7%+17.3%+11.2%+5.2%
17 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hoursBull$6.00+32.5%+67.2%+127.5%+30.8%
14 Sep 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$6.03+21.2%+69.0%+126.7%−0.5%
14 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$6.35+15.1%+60.5%+115.3%−5.0%
12 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$6.07+2.5%+40.4%+91.6%+4.6%
8 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBull$6.01+0.8%+44.4%+144.1%+1.0%
28 Aug 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hoursBear$6.83−10.2%+18.2%+73.1%−12.0%
25 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull$7.31−11.2%+8.8%+70.7%−6.6%
25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear$6.85−5.3%+16.1%+82.2%+6.7%
20 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBull$6.12+14.7%+1.6%+92.6%+11.9%
15 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$6.37−0.3%−1.1%+94.0%−3.9%
12 Aug 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBull$6.67−13.2%−5.8%+56.5%−4.5%
11 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$5.87−0.7%+7.3%+65.6%+13.6%
6 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBull$5.18+24.3%+18.1%+58.1%+13.3%
29 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hoursBear$6.84−21.9%−0.1%+36.1%−24.3%
26 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBull$6.96−7.9%+2.7%+42.7%−1.7%
23 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$7.07−4.5%−10.2%+41.4%−1.6%
8 Jul 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 14 days 20 hoursBull$5.95+11.4%−13.8%+44.7%+18.8%
8 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$5.58+18.8%−8.1%+54.3%+6.6%
6 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$6.01+1.5%−11.1%+42.4%−7.2%
2 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$6.90−15.5%−7.0%+17.0%−12.9%

Showing the newest 200 of 341 flips.

How to read this

Closed candles only

Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.

Compare with any day

The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 5 Nov 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.

A small sample

Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.

341 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.