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Market score +85. Market value $2.90tn, +8.3% in 30 days. 24h volume $167.4bn, +27.4% in 30 days. Dominance BTC 57.9%, ETH 11.3%. Stablecoins $311.5bn, +1.4% in 30 days. Fear and greed 67, greed

MarketRenderUpdated 3 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC23:10 UTC
Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only

Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.

A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.

Canton's 4-hour trend23 Aug 2026 to now
25flips
1 day 16 hourstypical run
3 days 20 hourslongest run
BullishBearishFlip

What happened after Canton's 4-hour flips

After bearish flips the median price was still higher 30 days later. A bearish flip did not by itself mean the price went down.

90 days after a bullish flipnot yetNo flip is 90 days old yet
90 days after a bearish flipnot yetNo flip is 90 days old yet
90 days after any daytoo little historyNo days counted yet
What happened after Canton's 4-hour flips
Which flipsDays laterFlips countedMedian changeRange of the medianOrdinary daysAgainst ordinary days
After bullish flips711 of 12−3.4%−13.0% to +11.3% (93%)−7.3% to +14.7%within the range of ordinary days
303 of 12+3.3%−5.4% to +22.0% (75%)too little history–
900 of 12not yet–too little history–
After bearish flips711 of 13+1.8%−10.1% to +14.9% (93%)−7.3% to +14.7%within the range of ordinary days
304 of 13+0.5%−7.3% to +7.8% (88%)too little history–
900 of 13not yet–too little history–
Any day since 23 Aug 2026, for comparison734 days−1.9%–––
3011 daystoo little history–––
90–too little history–––

Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.

Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.

Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.

The latest 25 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.

Prices are 4-hour closes on Bitstamp. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.

How soon flips were reversed

How soon flips were reversed
Which flipsFlipsReversed within 3 candles (12 hours)
After bullish flips124 of 12
After bearish flips132 of 13

A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.

There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.

On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.

Canton, 4-hour flips: 25 flips

Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.

Canton, 4-hour flips: 25 flips
Candle closedFlipped toPrice at the flip7 days later30 days later90 days laterUntil the next flip
30 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours so farBear$0.1240not yetnot yetnot yet−1.8% so far
29 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.1330not yetnot yetnot yet−6.8%
28 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBear$0.1318not yetnot yetnot yet+0.9%
24 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBull$0.1141+10.1%not yetnot yet+15.5%
22 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear$0.1140+11.3%not yetnot yet+0.1%
20 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBull$0.1075+25.8%not yetnot yet+6.0%
20 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$0.1082+25.0%not yetnot yet−0.6%
17 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBull$0.1004+9.1%not yetnot yet+7.7%
15 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$0.09601+21.0%not yetnot yet+4.6%
14 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull$0.09724+11.3%not yetnot yet−1.3%
13 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.09708+14.9%not yetnot yet+0.2%
12 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBull$0.09871+13.0%not yetnot yet−1.7%
9 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.1062−12.8%not yetnot yet−7.1%
9 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 hoursBull$0.1087−14.8%not yetnot yet−2.3%
7 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.1071−10.1%not yetnot yet+1.5%
5 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull$0.1096−10.3%not yetnot yet−2.3%
4 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear$0.1111−11.4%not yetnot yet−1.3%
4 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull$0.1132−13.0%not yetnot yet−1.9%
1 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$0.1167−9.6%+7.8%not yet−2.9%
1 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$0.1217−13.4%+3.3%not yet−4.1%
31 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 hoursBear$0.1175−5.8%+5.5%not yet+3.5%
29 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull$0.1127−4.4%+22.0%not yet+4.3%
25 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$0.1182+3.0%−7.3%not yet−4.7%
24 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull$0.1204−3.4%−5.4%not yet−1.9%
23 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.1156+1.8%+0.5%not yet+4.2%

How to read this

Closed candles only

Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.

Compare with any day

The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 23 Aug 2026, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.

A small sample

Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.

25 flips are a small sample. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.