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MarketRenderUpdated 3 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC23:10 UTC
Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only

Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.

A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.

DoubleZero's 4-hour trend21 Oct 2025 to now
90flips
2 days 20 hourstypical run
17 dayslongest run
BullishBearish

What happened after DoubleZero's 4-hour flips

After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up.

90 days after a bullish flip−34.2%Median of 32 flips; 13 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−31.8%Median of 31 flips; 14 are too recent
90 days after any daytoo little history257 days since 21 Oct 2025
What happened after DoubleZero's 4-hour flips
Which flipsDays laterFlips countedMedian changeRange of the medianOrdinary daysAgainst ordinary days
After bullish flips745 of 45−1.2%−6.6% to +2.5% (93%)−7.2% to +1.7%within the range of ordinary days
3041 of 45−7.7%−14.2% to −0.8% (94%)−16.2% to −0.3%within the range of ordinary days
9032 of 45−34.2%−36.2% to −15.4% (95%)too little history–
After bearish flips744 of 45−2.0%−6.5% to +0.5% (90%)−7.6% to +1.3%within the range of ordinary days
3041 of 45−6.9%−16.5% to −2.2% (94%)−16.2% to −0.3%within the range of ordinary days
9031 of 45−31.8%−36.2% to −26.8% (93%)too little history–
Any day since 21 Oct 2025, for comparison7340 days−3.2%–––
30317 days−7.1%–––
90257 daystoo little history–––

Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.

Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.

Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.

The latest 27 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.

Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.

How soon flips were reversed

How soon flips were reversed
Which flipsFlipsReversed within 3 candles (12 hours)
After bullish flips454 of 45
After bearish flips453 of 45

A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.

There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.

On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.

DoubleZero, 4-hour flips: 90 flips

Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.

DoubleZero, 4-hour flips: 90 flips
Candle closedFlipped toPrice at the flip7 days later30 days later90 days laterUntil the next flip
28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours so farBear$0.06364not yetnot yetnot yet−28.5% so far
24 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBull$0.05394+10.8%not yetnot yet+18.0%
23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$0.05099+27.6%not yetnot yet+5.8%
21 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull$0.05096+33.4%not yetnot yet+0.1%
20 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear$0.04904+47.9%not yetnot yet+3.9%
18 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull$0.04738+18.1%not yetnot yet+3.5%
15 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$0.04647+12.1%not yetnot yet+2.0%
14 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.04825+3.0%not yetnot yet−3.7%
28 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 17 daysBear$0.05559−2.6%+30.5%not yet−13.2%
27 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.05932−9.8%−0.8%not yet−6.3%
23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear$0.05521−1.2%−5.6%not yet+7.4%
19 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBull$0.05134+8.6%−7.7%not yet+7.5%
15 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear$0.04985+17.5%−6.7%not yet+3.0%
14 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$0.05468−1.2%−14.1%not yet−8.8%
13 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$0.04878+5.3%−4.0%not yet+12.1%
12 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 hoursBull$0.05518−15.1%−16.5%not yet−11.6%
10 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBear$0.05481−11.7%−7.4%not yet+0.7%
3 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hoursBull$0.05583−0.8%−4.8%not yet−1.8%
3 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear$0.05437+1.9%−2.2%not yet+2.7%
30 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBull$0.05732−4.2%−2.3%not yet−5.1%
27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$0.06025−8.2%−7.4%not yet−4.9%
26 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull$0.06255−11.9%−9.9%not yet−3.7%
16 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 10 daysBear$0.06880−6.9%−24.1%not yet−9.1%
15 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$0.07320−10.7%−32.8%not yet−6.0%
14 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$0.06916−6.4%−29.5%not yet+5.8%
10 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBull$0.07335−9.2%−24.6%not yet−5.7%
8 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear$0.06964+1.8%−20.7%not yet+5.3%
1 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hoursBull$0.06492+7.3%−14.2%+4.3%+7.3%
22 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hoursBear$0.07515−17.0%−13.1%−32.4%−13.6%
21 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull$0.07472−14.0%−13.4%−33.7%+0.6%
20 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$0.06944−5.8%−6.4%−31.8%+7.6%
19 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$0.07644−13.0%−14.2%−39.2%−9.2%
18 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$0.06988−6.8%−7.0%−34.5%+9.4%
15 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBull$0.07332+2.5%−3.3%−36.0%−4.7%
9 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hoursBear$0.06976+1.4%+4.5%−25.3%+5.1%
8 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull$0.07474−4.2%−6.8%−29.8%−6.7%
1 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hoursBear$0.08831−19.7%−30.8%−38.2%−15.4%
30 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull$0.09344−24.4%−33.2%−36.1%−5.5%
23 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hoursBear$0.1057−14.1%−28.9%−48.9%−11.6%
20 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBull$0.09340+2.2%−22.9%−47.5%+13.2%
15 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear$0.09334+21.0%−23.7%−47.7%+0.1%
2 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 13 daysBull$0.08476+16.0%+9.9%−34.3%+10.1%
27 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBear$0.08562−1.2%+11.5%−27.8%−1.0%
25 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$0.08567−4.2%+22.1%−27.8%−0.1%
19 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBear$0.08887−0.8%+1.0%−26.8%−3.6%
12 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBull$0.07883+12.7%+32.3%−9.2%+12.7%
6 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBear$0.08234−6.7%+10.1%−15.5%−4.3%
4 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBull$0.07867+2.8%+7.5%−15.4%+4.7%
2 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$0.07535+11.0%+8.9%−19.0%+4.4%
30 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBull$0.07072+24.6%+21.4%−9.1%+6.5%
26 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBear$0.07371+3.9%+15.6%−7.2%−4.1%
23 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$0.07606−11.5%+11.0%−9.1%−3.1%
16 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBear$0.08136−11.4%−3.4%−12.5%−6.5%
10 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBull$0.07672+9.1%+9.0%−7.6%+6.0%
8 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$0.07240+14.1%+15.8%−2.5%+6.0%
4 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBull$0.07574+1.3%+1.2%+15.4%−4.4%
3 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear$0.07152+5.5%+7.1%+30.3%+5.9%
1 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$0.07726−4.6%−2.6%+17.5%−7.4%
27 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear$0.07474−0.1%−7.0%+24.4%+3.4%
24 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBull$0.06982+6.4%+9.4%+49.8%+7.0%
22 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBear$0.07149+8.1%+8.6%+49.0%−2.3%
20 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBull$0.07353+6.6%+0.2%+41.3%−2.8%
15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$0.07795−6.8%+7.4%+17.7%−5.7%
13 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBull$0.08061−12.7%+2.5%+26.4%−3.3%
29 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 15 days 8 hoursBear$0.1202−14.0%−37.1%−28.6%−32.9%
28 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.1296−16.0%−39.5%−33.0%−7.3%
25 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.1336−18.2%−49.2%−36.2%−3.0%
21 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBull$0.1267−5.9%−44.4%−34.2%+5.5%
19 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$0.1241−2.0%−37.4%−28.4%+2.0%
16 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull$0.1334−6.6%−38.9%−38.3%−7.0%
16 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.1240+0.4%−34.2%−33.7%+7.6%
13 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBull$0.1204+1.1%−36.3%−36.2%+3.0%
6 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBear$0.1237−6.5%−16.5%−28.8%−2.7%
30 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hoursBull$0.1253+2.9%−0.6%−46.3%−1.3%
30 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.1135+13.6%+9.7%−40.7%+10.4%
19 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hoursBull$0.1111+7.1%+16.5%−28.9%+2.2%
11 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hoursBear$0.1259−16.3%−6.9%−39.1%−11.8%
7 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBull$0.1435−14.9%−10.1%−46.3%−12.2%
5 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$0.1252+0.5%+4.4%−40.9%+14.6%
2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBull$0.1161+14.5%+4.4%−37.3%+7.9%
28 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$0.1155+10.5%+2.0%−34.7%+0.5%
25 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$0.1315−17.6%−13.9%−46.6%−12.2%
22 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear$0.1432−18.4%−23.8%−50.9%−8.2%
21 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 hoursBull$0.1518−21.0%−27.9%−51.5%−5.7%
12 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hoursBear$0.1748−20.1%−28.0%−52.5%−13.2%
5 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBull$0.1711+2.2%−25.4%−35.0%+2.2%
27 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBear$0.2367−26.6%−47.3%−40.5%−27.7%
26 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$0.2472−26.6%−51.1%−43.2%−4.2%
22 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$0.2357−2.0%−48.7%−48.3%+4.9%
21 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$0.2479−7.6%−47.7%−48.4%−4.9%

How to read this

Closed candles only

Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.

Compare with any day

The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 21 Oct 2025, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.

A small sample

Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.

90 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.