Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Optimism's 4-hour trend20 Jun 2022 to now
363flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
16 days 8 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Optimism's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−18.4%Median of 170 flips; 12 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−17.9%Median of 169 flips; 12 are too recent
90 days after any day−14.9%1,476 days since 20 Jun 2022
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 181 of 182 | −0.8% | −3.4% to +1.0% (93%) | −3.5% to +1.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 178 of 182 | −4.7% | −10.0% to −2.1% (92%) | −10.3% to −1.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 170 of 182 | −18.4% | −25.0% to −10.2% (92%) | −23.7% to −6.7% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 180 of 181 | −0.9% | −3.0% to +1.0% (91%) | −3.5% to +1.0% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 177 of 181 | −7.1% | −9.5% to −3.1% (90%) | −10.2% to −1.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 169 of 181 | −17.9% | −24.3% to −9.9% (91%) | −23.5% to −6.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 20 Jun 2022, for comparison | 7 | 1,559 days | −1.3% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,536 days | −5.0% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,476 days | −14.9% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 24 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 182 | 4 of 181 |
| After bearish flips | 181 | 6 of 181 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Optimism's 4-hour line has flipped 84.6 times a year since 20 Jun 2022, 12:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Optimism, 4-hour flips: 363 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours so far | Bull | $0.1362 | not yet | not yet | not yet | −1.2% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.1349 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +1.0% |
| 25 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.1386 | −7.6% | not yet | not yet | −2.7% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1229 | +4.9% | not yet | not yet | +12.8% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.1013 | +21.4% | not yet | not yet | +21.3% |
| 15 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.09730 | +31.0% | not yet | not yet | +4.1% |
| 14 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.1035 | +20.9% | not yet | not yet | −6.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1030 | −9.0% | not yet | not yet | +0.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.09360 | +17.9% | +38.5% | not yet | +10.0% |
| 25 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1023 | −8.5% | +20.2% | not yet | −8.5% |
| 19 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.08490 | +19.6% | +19.0% | not yet | +20.5% |
| 11 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.08850 | −4.7% | +12.4% | not yet | −4.1% |
| 9 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.08970 | −5.2% | +23.1% | not yet | −1.3% |
| 8 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.08610 | +0.3% | +28.0% | not yet | +4.2% |
| 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | $0.08660 | +1.7% | +9.9% | not yet | −0.6% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.09110 | −4.9% | +11.4% | not yet | −4.9% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $0.09520 | −9.0% | +6.6% | not yet | −4.3% |
| 23 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.09400 | −5.0% | +14.0% | not yet | +1.3% |
| 21 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.09690 | −10.0% | −7.1% | not yet | −3.0% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.09870 | −6.2% | −13.9% | not yet | −1.8% |
| 15 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.1029 | −4.6% | −13.8% | not yet | −4.1% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1015 | −6.0% | −9.9% | not yet | +1.4% |
| 9 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.1034 | −1.2% | −16.7% | not yet | −1.8% |
| 7 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.1047 | −5.9% | −16.0% | not yet | −1.2% |
| 3 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.1011 | +1.0% | −17.8% | +28.2% | +3.6% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.09860 | +8.8% | −9.4% | +51.5% | +2.5% |
| 25 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.1045 | −9.5% | −11.4% | +29.5% | −5.6% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1040 | +0.5% | −7.7% | −9.9% | +0.5% |
| 12 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.09990 | +9.4% | +2.0% | −0.4% | +4.1% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1153 | −21.1% | −7.1% | −17.4% | −13.4% |
| 3 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $0.1289 | −25.0% | −23.4% | −27.4% | −10.6% |
| 3 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.1152 | −16.1% | −14.3% | −18.8% | +11.9% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.1248 | −21.9% | −22.7% | −28.9% | −7.7% |
| 28 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1237 | −0.7% | −14.6% | −17.9% | +0.9% |
| 23 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.1297 | −8.6% | −23.1% | −24.4% | −4.6% |
| 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.1287 | −7.8% | −19.4% | −30.1% | +0.8% |
| 21 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.1314 | −5.9% | −20.9% | −37.5% | −2.1% |
| 12 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.1551 | −16.5% | −41.3% | −43.2% | −15.3% |
| 5 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.1299 | +20.9% | −5.5% | −33.3% | +19.4% |
| 4 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.1214 | +34.5% | −4.8% | −31.5% | +7.0% |
| 2 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.1259 | +36.5% | −5.8% | −30.1% | −3.6% |
| 25 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.1240 | −2.5% | +1.3% | −25.3% | +1.5% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.1252 | −3.8% | +4.2% | −22.6% | −1.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.1264 | −0.9% | +1.5% | −21.9% | −0.9% |
| 13 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | $0.1121 | +7.4% | +35.7% | −9.1% | +12.8% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.1093 | +15.2% | +43.6% | −5.3% | +2.6% |
| 11 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | $0.1162 | +15.7% | +40.5% | −12.1% | −5.9% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1135 | +5.6% | +51.4% | −10.0% | +2.4% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $0.1187 | −6.2% | +24.7% | −9.6% | −4.4% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.1092 | +6.5% | +30.4% | −0.6% | +8.7% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.1116 | −4.2% | +15.1% | −3.6% | −2.2% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.1068 | +7.7% | +13.2% | −9.6% | +4.5% |
| 30 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.1086 | +1.6% | +11.5% | −7.2% | −1.7% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1267 | −10.3% | +4.5% | −14.3% | −14.3% |
| 9 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.1205 | +6.6% | −1.5% | −22.2% | +5.1% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1198 | +0.1% | −7.7% | +2.5% | +0.6% |
| 1 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.1227 | −5.1% | −13.7% | −3.3% | −2.4% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.1123 | +7.3% | −9.2% | +5.6% | +9.3% |
| 25 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.1287 | −1.7% | −15.5% | +0.8% | −12.7% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1894 | −32.1% | −27.4% | −27.8% | −32.0% |
| 13 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.1898 | −26.4% | −34.8% | −23.0% | −0.2% |
| 11 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1772 | +5.5% | −32.3% | −11.4% | +7.1% |
| 7 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.1974 | −4.1% | −41.5% | −25.0% | −10.2% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2878 | −23.9% | −58.4% | −57.9% | −31.4% |
| 28 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $0.3019 | −29.4% | −60.5% | −59.4% | −4.7% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.3236 | −11.4% | −42.2% | −61.1% | −6.7% |
| 17 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.3537 | −13.9% | −46.5% | −62.6% | −8.5% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.3393 | −9.0% | −44.2% | −67.2% | +4.2% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.3442 | −7.1% | −48.3% | −68.9% | −1.4% |
| 7 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.3154 | +16.3% | −42.3% | −65.2% | +9.1% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | $0.2818 | +12.5% | −6.7% | −60.7% | +11.9% |
| 30 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2692 | +22.4% | +12.0% | −62.1% | +4.7% |
| 27 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.2724 | +12.4% | +5.2% | −60.1% | −1.2% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2620 | +3.7% | +17.4% | −56.7% | +4.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.2822 | −10.7% | +22.9% | −55.2% | −7.2% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3059 | −10.6% | +3.0% | −61.2% | −7.7% |
| 8 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.3214 | −6.4% | +3.1% | −63.8% | −4.8% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2988 | +5.2% | +3.9% | −57.0% | +7.6% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.3196 | −0.4% | −16.2% | −62.0% | −6.5% |
| 30 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.3211 | −2.1% | −16.2% | −62.7% | −0.5% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.3293 | −0.6% | −18.6% | −64.2% | −2.5% |
| 12 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 15 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4064 | −6.3% | −22.7% | −53.5% | −19.0% |
| 7 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.3759 | +3.9% | −16.3% | −41.7% | +8.1% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.3876 | +10.6% | −18.3% | −39.5% | −3.0% |
| 2 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $0.4264 | −0.8% | −32.6% | −38.4% | −9.1% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4518 | −21.9% | −28.0% | −36.6% | −5.6% |
| 24 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.4446 | −10.0% | −31.9% | −30.5% | +1.6% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4323 | +0.7% | −16.5% | −26.1% | +2.8% |
| 20 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.4491 | +3.5% | −15.2% | −22.8% | −3.7% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.7094 | −29.2% | −47.4% | −55.0% | −36.7% |
| 6 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.7591 | −35.8% | −54.5% | −59.1% | −6.5% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.7164 | −30.5% | −41.3% | −58.6% | +6.0% |
| 29 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.6826 | +5.3% | −36.2% | −59.2% | +5.0% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.8026 | −20.1% | −46.7% | −65.9% | −15.0% |
| 17 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.7787 | −12.4% | −45.1% | −62.4% | +3.1% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.7757 | +4.3% | −35.3% | −60.3% | +0.4% |
| 6 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.7197 | +11.3% | −0.2% | −55.7% | +7.8% |
| 4 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.6885 | +12.3% | +8.1% | −54.0% | +4.5% |
| 3 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.7105 | +7.5% | +5.6% | −59.6% | −3.1% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.7406 | −6.6% | −7.9% | −59.1% | −4.1% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.7508 | −1.7% | +7.7% | −50.0% | −1.4% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.7250 | +7.0% | +7.4% | −46.3% | +3.6% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $0.7800 | +4.0% | −4.7% | −51.4% | −7.1% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.7770 | −6.6% | +3.1% | −47.7% | +0.4% |
| 13 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $0.8140 | −15.6% | −2.9% | −45.4% | −4.5% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.7610 | −2.8% | −1.2% | −44.3% | +7.0% |
| 7 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.6990 | +25.0% | +3.0% | −50.6% | +8.9% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.6650 | +12.6% | +8.1% | −36.8% | +5.1% |
| 4 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.6920 | +14.0% | +2.7% | −39.7% | −3.9% |
| 29 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.7590 | −7.2% | −8.1% | −38.8% | −8.8% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $0.7460 | −12.1% | −5.4% | −40.1% | +1.7% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.7260 | 0.0% | −1.7% | −38.4% | +2.8% |
| 16 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.7060 | +13.5% | +6.7% | −28.9% | +2.8% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.6290 | +19.1% | +25.4% | +12.4% | +12.2% |
| 7 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.5500 | +18.9% | +20.2% | +31.8% | +14.4% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.5480 | +20.1% | +15.3% | +28.6% | +0.4% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.5710 | −3.9% | +16.8% | +18.0% | −4.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.5570 | −2.0% | +26.8% | +22.5% | +2.5% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.5250 | +15.6% | +52.6% | +54.0% | +6.1% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.6760 | −16.6% | −2.5% | +13.0% | −22.3% |
| 7 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.6320 | −6.5% | −14.1% | +9.2% | +7.0% |
| 4 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.6340 | +14.4% | −9.5% | +6.2% | −0.3% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $0.6790 | −3.5% | −16.9% | +1.9% | −6.6% |
| 29 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.7380 | −15.0% | −27.5% | −4.3% | −8.0% |
| 26 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.7790 | −16.7% | −28.8% | +4.1% | −5.3% |
| 24 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.7440 | −16.5% | −34.7% | −4.1% | +4.7% |
| 22 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.7660 | +1.6% | −29.2% | −10.3% | −2.9% |
| 15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.7660 | −3.0% | −22.8% | +2.6% | 0.0% |
| 13 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $0.8870 | −19.6% | −21.8% | −11.0% | −13.6% |
| 13 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.8240 | −13.5% | −15.8% | −4.2% | +7.6% |
| 8 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.6320 | +29.4% | −6.3% | +4.6% | +30.4% |
| 27 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.7840 | −13.5% | −3.1% | −8.2% | −19.4% |
| 23 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.7410 | +2.3% | +9.6% | +8.9% | +5.8% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.7010 | +11.7% | +6.0% | +11.8% | +5.7% |
| 19 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.6730 | +19.9% | +8.5% | +6.8% | +4.2% |
| 14 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.6520 | +9.8% | +38.5% | −0.6% | +3.2% |
| 9 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.6690 | −4.8% | +3.4% | −18.4% | −2.5% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.8490 | −17.6% | −0.8% | −36.4% | −21.2% |
| 24 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $0.8890 | −16.4% | −16.6% | −43.1% | −4.5% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.8650 | +4.6% | −18.7% | −34.8% | +2.8% |
| 17 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.9080 | −5.4% | −29.8% | −33.9% | −4.7% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.8340 | +3.2% | −20.9% | −29.1% | +8.9% |
| 11 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.8770 | +1.1% | −24.4% | −30.4% | −4.9% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.8280 | +0.4% | −28.6% | −24.3% | +5.9% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | $0.9210 | −9.8% | −35.8% | −31.9% | −10.1% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.07 | −20.7% | −29.3% | −39.3% | −13.9% |
| 2 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $1.16 | −19.5% | −36.8% | −46.6% | −7.9% |
| 28 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.06 | −9.7% | −27.5% | −26.3% | +10.0% |
| 25 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.07 | −8.3% | −17.4% | −30.5% | −1.6% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $1.11 | +4.9% | −18.9% | −33.2% | −3.7% |
| 23 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $1.17 | −11.2% | −22.8% | −36.6% | −5.0% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $1.09 | +1.4% | −21.2% | −32.0% | +7.3% |
| 20 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $1.15 | +0.6% | −26.3% | −37.3% | −4.9% |
| 18 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $1.12 | −10.0% | −17.5% | −34.6% | +3.0% |
| 3 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 14 days 16 hours | Bull | $1.16 | −7.3% | −19.1% | −41.8% | −4.1% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $1.38 | −26.0% | −15.1% | −46.9% | −15.5% |
| 31 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $1.50 | −30.6% | −30.3% | −51.3% | −8.0% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.83 | −6.2% | −39.1% | −64.8% | −18.4% |
| 14 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | $1.75 | −2.9% | −36.1% | −61.7% | +4.4% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.98 | −12.6% | −44.9% | −69.6% | −11.3% |
| 2 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | $1.87 | −3.4% | −23.6% | −59.5% | +5.8% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.77 | +18.2% | −22.6% | −56.8% | +5.5% |
| 27 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $1.89 | −0.4% | −13.5% | −53.1% | −6.1% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $1.78 | +2.0% | −3.5% | −49.3% | +5.9% |
| 21 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.98 | −6.2% | −13.8% | −55.5% | −9.9% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $2.42 | −21.8% | −26.2% | −65.3% | −18.0% |
| 12 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $2.47 | −12.6% | −27.4% | −65.5% | −2.1% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $2.45 | +3.8% | −22.7% | −61.8% | +0.9% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | $2.56 | −12.5% | −29.0% | −54.3% | −4.5% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $2.31 | +15.3% | −24.3% | −55.0% | +10.6% |
| 21 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bull | $2.11 | +18.6% | −10.6% | −48.5% | +9.5% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $1.64 | +34.3% | +16.3% | −26.5% | +28.9% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.69 | +30.9% | +50.5% | −33.4% | −2.8% |
| 12 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.63 | +12.5% | +43.3% | −33.8% | +3.6% |
| 5 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bull | $1.42 | +28.2% | +79.3% | −21.3% | +14.7% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $1.65 | −3.1% | +44.2% | −17.0% | −14.0% |
| 29 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.67 | −19.5% | +50.2% | −6.4% | −1.0% |
| 21 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.73 | −7.8% | +1.8% | +5.7% | −3.5% |
| 20 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $1.78 | −12.1% | +2.9% | +10.2% | −2.9% |
| 17 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.68 | +2.4% | −5.8% | +6.3% | +5.9% |
| 11 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | $1.67 | +0.4% | −1.2% | +8.3% | +0.9% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $1.61 | +10.5% | −0.7% | +29.9% | +3.4% |
| 6 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $1.64 | +4.8% | −18.0% | +23.1% | −1.6% |
| 30 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $1.77 | −4.9% | −3.8% | +7.1% | −7.5% |
| 25 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.75 | −5.0% | −2.4% | +10.0% | +1.0% |
| 24 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $1.66 | +5.5% | +3.9% | +6.2% | +5.7% |
| 19 Sep 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | $1.51 | +11.3% | +13.6% | +54.6% | +9.7% |
| 11 Sep 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.54 | −5.8% | +0.8% | +45.2% | −1.9% |
| 7 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.40 | +10.8% | +20.5% | +78.7% | +10.4% |
| 25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days | Bear | $1.53 | −7.4% | +10.8% | +44.3% | −8.8% |
| 18 Aug 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.34 | +19.6% | +8.2% | +18.1% | +14.1% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.37 | −1.8% | +12.0% | +15.5% | −1.8% |
| 6 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.31 | +5.2% | +2.7% | +9.1% | +4.2% |
| 23 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bear | $1.83 | −8.8% | −20.7% | −0.9% | −28.2% |
| 17 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | $1.84 | +1.4% | −32.2% | −3.5% | −1.0% |
| 16 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $1.74 | +7.5% | −23.9% | −1.7% | +5.9% |
| 6 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.48 | +15.8% | −10.0% | +2.8% | +17.9% |
| 2 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.75 | −15.5% | −9.8% | +8.5% | −15.7% |
| 25 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bull | $1.77 | −1.1% | −2.1% | −4.7% | −1.1% |
| 21 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $1.83 | −1.9% | +5.0% | −17.6% | −3.4% |
Showing the newest 200 of 363 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 20 Jun 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
363 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.