Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Bitcoin's 4-hour trend2 Sep 2017 to now
446flips
6 days 4 hourstypical run
39 days 8 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Bitcoin's 4-hour flips
After bearish flips the median price was still higher 90 days later. A bearish flip did not by itself mean the price went down. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip+1.5%Median of 215 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip+1.9%Median of 215 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after any day+3.5%3,228 days since 2 Sep 2017
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 222 of 223 | +0.7% | −0.3% to +1.4% (91%) | −0.6% to +1.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 219 of 223 | 0.0% | −1.2% to +3.0% (92%) | −0.6% to +4.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 215 of 223 | +1.5% | −4.2% to +6.7% (92%) | −2.6% to +9.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 223 of 223 | +0.2% | −0.8% to +1.1% (92%) | −0.5% to +1.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 220 of 223 | +1.5% | −0.4% to +3.1% (91%) | −0.7% to +4.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 215 of 223 | +1.9% | −3.7% to +5.7% (92%) | −2.6% to +9.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 2 Sep 2017, for comparison | 7 | 3,311 days | +0.5% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 3,288 days | +1.7% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 3,228 days | +3.5% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 16 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 223 | 2 of 223 |
| After bearish flips | 223 | 1 of 223 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Bitcoin's 4-hour line has flipped 49.1 times a year since 2 Sep 2017, 16:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Bitcoin, 4-hour flips: 223 bearish flips of 446
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $83,495 | +0.2% | not yet | not yet | +2.4% |
| 15 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $76,512 | +13.2% | not yet | not yet | +5.5% |
| 10 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $78,112 | −2.4% | not yet | not yet | +0.6% |
| 2 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $76,829 | +2.1% | +10.5% | not yet | +5.9% |
| 10 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $64,300 | −2.2% | +22.0% | not yet | −0.2% |
| 24 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | $64,094 | +1.1% | +20.3% | not yet | 0.0% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $62,828 | +3.6% | +0.4% | not yet | +4.4% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $62,618 | +3.4% | +1.6% | not yet | +3.4% |
| 17 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 14 days 8 hours | Bear | $64,302 | −2.4% | −0.7% | +21.6% | −5.0% |
| 27 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 17 days 8 hours | Bear | $75,326 | −11.4% | −20.6% | +4.9% | −14.4% |
| 13 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $78,827 | −2.5% | −19.3% | −18.8% | −1.9% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $76,793 | +2.3% | −1.1% | −16.2% | +2.2% |
| 20 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $73,802 | +6.6% | +4.1% | −12.2% | +5.0% |
| 13 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $70,741 | +4.3% | +13.8% | −9.8% | +3.6% |
| 27 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $66,703 | +0.3% | +16.4% | −8.4% | +3.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $71,468 | −1.3% | +5.2% | −7.2% | −0.8% |
| 7 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $67,843 | +4.6% | +1.8% | −5.8% | +3.8% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $63,826 | +6.7% | +3.4% | +15.3% | +8.3% |
| 18 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $67,370 | −4.9% | +3.8% | +14.3% | +0.1% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $84,934 | −13.9% | −22.4% | −10.1% | −16.2% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $93,673 | −7.5% | −27.9% | −19.2% | −4.7% |
| 7 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $91,350 | +4.4% | −31.1% | −24.6% | +2.3% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $87,568 | +4.5% | +1.9% | −24.2% | +2.7% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $86,912 | +1.8% | +3.0% | −18.4% | +3.7% |
| 14 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $89,023 | −0.7% | +2.6% | −20.3% | +1.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $86,346 | +4.7% | +2.5% | −22.4% | +5.2% |
| 12 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 14 days 8 hours | Bear | $102,174 | −9.0% | −9.5% | −31.4% | −11.4% |
| 29 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 12 hours | Bear | $111,510 | −9.0% | −18.1% | −20.8% | −4.9% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 16 hours | Bear | $121,846 | −5.5% | −14.7% | −24.9% | −8.8% |
| 22 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $114,650 | −2.2% | −5.5% | −22.9% | −2.2% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $112,600 | −3.4% | 0.0% | −24.4% | −1.6% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $118,257 | −3.4% | −1.9% | −12.9% | −1.6% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 23 days 8 hours | Bear | $117,148 | +0.2% | +5.3% | −1.9% | −0.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $105,955 | +2.2% | +11.2% | +5.9% | +2.6% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $104,242 | +1.0% | +13.8% | +10.6% | +1.0% |
| 13 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $105,672 | −1.0% | +11.1% | +7.8% | +2.8% |
| 29 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $105,732 | −1.0% | +1.2% | +5.7% | −0.6% |
| 5 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $94,031 | +10.7% | +12.1% | +19.7% | +3.0% |
| 3 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $82,516 | +0.1% | +17.4% | +28.1% | −0.2% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $85,213 | −2.3% | +11.0% | +26.0% | +0.1% |
| 9 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bear | $83,080 | +1.5% | −4.7% | +25.5% | +2.8% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $85,606 | −5.7% | −0.5% | +22.2% | +7.0% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $95,285 | −11.1% | −12.0% | +15.1% | −8.2% |
| 11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $95,041 | +0.8% | −12.0% | +9.6% | +3.6% |
| 2 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $100,636 | −4.2% | −14.3% | −3.7% | +1.2% |
| 27 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $101,396 | −3.6% | −12.5% | −6.7% | +2.2% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $97,952 | −3.5% | −1.4% | −19.9% | −1.4% |
| 28 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $94,299 | +4.1% | +8.8% | −7.5% | +2.6% |
| 18 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $102,818 | −4.0% | −2.8% | −18.3% | −3.3% |
| 6 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $96,946 | +3.2% | +1.3% | −6.5% | +4.3% |
| 25 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $94,669 | +2.7% | +4.2% | +2.0% | +2.7% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $70,092 | +7.8% | +39.0% | +44.6% | +6.1% |
| 21 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $67,341 | +1.0% | +37.1% | +55.3% | +1.4% |
| 9 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $61,032 | +9.9% | +24.3% | +67.5% | +3.4% |
| 30 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $63,819 | −1.6% | +14.0% | +49.3% | −0.5% |
| 16 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $57,882 | +9.8% | +15.9% | +75.2% | +5.6% |
| 27 Aug 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hours | Bear | $62,417 | −5.3% | +1.2% | +56.8% | −8.5% |
| 15 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $58,060 | +5.3% | +4.2% | +51.5% | +4.4% |
| 30 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $66,785 | −19.1% | −11.6% | +1.9% | −11.0% |
| 25 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $65,376 | −1.1% | −2.0% | +3.1% | +2.5% |
| 3 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $60,988 | −4.8% | +7.2% | +3.8% | −3.3% |
| 14 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 days 4 hours | Bear | $65,520 | −1.0% | −9.6% | −12.5% | −4.2% |
| 7 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $69,255 | −3.6% | −15.9% | −16.3% | +0.7% |
| 23 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $68,076 | −0.6% | −5.8% | −13.3% | +3.4% |
| 9 May 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $61,193 | +8.2% | +13.3% | −8.5% | +3.0% |
| 24 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $63,976 | −5.2% | +6.2% | +5.6% | −3.6% |
| 12 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $66,844 | −5.0% | −9.0% | −13.6% | −0.5% |
| 1 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $68,237 | +1.6% | −11.1% | −10.6% | +1.7% |
| 14 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $69,415 | −2.3% | −3.3% | −3.0% | +0.5% |
| 5 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $61,411 | +17.4% | +7.4% | +10.3% | +12.6% |
| 12 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 13 days 16 hours | Bear | $43,473 | −4.9% | +9.8% | +62.5% | −5.0% |
| 3 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $43,703 | +5.5% | −1.4% | +59.4% | +7.5% |
| 26 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $42,392 | +4.2% | −5.4% | +58.5% | +2.7% |
| 11 Dec 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $42,310 | −2.2% | +9.0% | +61.5% | +2.3% |
| 27 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $36,751 | +8.8% | +15.7% | +40.3% | +3.7% |
| 22 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $35,742 | +5.8% | +22.7% | +44.9% | +5.6% |
| 14 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $35,294 | +6.1% | +21.5% | +36.9% | +6.3% |
| 3 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 16 hours | Bear | $27,345 | +0.9% | +29.5% | +54.6% | +1.8% |
| 22 Sep 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $26,568 | +1.7% | +12.6% | +64.4% | +0.7% |
| 11 Sep 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $25,601 | +3.6% | +7.0% | +70.7% | +0.9% |
| 31 Aug 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $26,163 | −1.5% | +2.8% | +44.6% | +0.4% |
| 15 Aug 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $29,182 | −10.5% | −10.1% | +27.0% | −8.7% |
| 7 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $28,858 | +1.5% | −10.6% | +21.5% | +2.0% |
| 14 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 18 days 4 hours | Bear | $30,115 | −1.0% | −2.3% | −10.8% | −1.4% |
| 7 Jul 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $29,895 | +5.2% | −2.8% | −7.1% | +3.2% |
| 10 Jun 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $25,651 | +2.7% | +17.6% | +2.4% | +0.7% |
| 31 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $27,168 | +0.2% | +12.1% | −3.9% | −0.3% |
| 24 May 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $26,315 | +5.2% | +13.6% | −0.7% | +3.3% |
| 8 May 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 15 days | Bear | $28,200 | −4.5% | −3.4% | +3.1% | −3.0% |
| 26 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $27,884 | +2.8% | −5.1% | +4.6% | +5.3% |
| 19 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $29,260 | −3.3% | −8.3% | +3.0% | −1.1% |
| 17 Apr 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $29,571 | −6.7% | −8.6% | +2.4% | +2.7% |
| 22 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $26,667 | +2.2% | +5.9% | +0.7% | +6.3% |
| 17 Feb 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 24 days | Bear | $23,518 | +1.8% | +14.4% | +16.5% | −6.5% |
| 5 Feb 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $22,892 | −4.5% | −2.1% | +28.9% | −2.0% |
| 30 Jan 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $22,785 | +0.6% | +1.6% | +28.3% | +4.2% |
| 15 Dec 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 19 days 12 hours | Bear | $17,429 | −3.5% | +14.3% | +41.5% | −3.3% |
| 12 Dec 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $16,919 | −1.1% | +3.1% | +20.9% | +3.1% |
| 7 Dec 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $16,763 | +6.0% | +0.4% | +33.7% | +2.9% |
| 28 Nov 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $16,146 | +5.9% | +3.5% | +43.4% | +4.3% |
| 8 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 15 days 4 hours | Bear | $20,591 | −19.3% | −18.2% | +11.4% | −19.4% |
| 20 Oct 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $19,042 | +9.1% | −12.3% | +11.0% | +2.8% |
| 9 Oct 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $19,367 | −1.5% | +6.3% | −12.5% | +2.3% |
| 27 Sep 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $19,078 | +2.9% | +8.9% | −11.8% | +4.7% |
| 13 Sep 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 13 days 12 hours | Bear | $20,830 | −6.2% | −8.0% | −18.0% | −3.5% |
| 17 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 22 days 12 hours | Bear | $23,392 | −8.0% | −15.8% | −29.0% | −14.7% |
| 9 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $23,075 | +4.4% | −16.4% | −9.4% | +4.0% |
| 4 Aug 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $22,451 | +6.7% | −11.1% | −8.8% | +6.0% |
| 26 Jul 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $21,311 | +9.2% | +0.3% | −8.2% | +6.9% |
| 11 Jul 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $20,440 | +1.8% | +13.3% | −5.0% | +1.9% |
| 28 Jun 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $20,255 | −0.1% | +13.3% | −7.1% | −0.1% |
| 7 Jun 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 14 days 4 hours | Bear | $29,564 | −23.9% | −30.4% | −32.3% | −28.6% |
| 1 Jun 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $30,127 | +3.3% | −33.8% | −32.7% | +3.7% |
| 5 May 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 24 days 12 hours | Bear | $36,910 | −21.1% | −19.5% | −37.7% | −17.8% |
| 26 Apr 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $38,564 | −0.1% | −23.4% | −41.4% | +3.4% |
| 22 Apr 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $40,480 | −1.8% | −27.3% | −42.6% | −0.1% |
| 31 Mar 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 18 days | Bear | $45,582 | −5.3% | −15.3% | −55.5% | −10.8% |
| 10 Mar 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $39,076 | +5.2% | +8.1% | −20.3% | +3.7% |
| 4 Mar 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $40,694 | −3.1% | +12.6% | −26.8% | +1.3% |
| 17 Feb 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $41,925 | −11.2% | −0.4% | −27.4% | −8.6% |
| 12 Feb 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $42,104 | −5.1% | −10.3% | −31.1% | +5.1% |
| 19 Jan 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $41,287 | −10.5% | −1.9% | −1.2% | −7.8% |
| 28 Dec 2021, 08:00 UTCLasted 15 days 8 hours | Bear | $49,227 | −5.6% | −25.2% | −4.9% | −11.5% |
| 3 Dec 2021, 20:00 UTCLasted 17 days 16 hours | Bear | $53,839 | −11.7% | −11.4% | −18.5% | −9.2% |
| 12 Nov 2021, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 days 16 hours | Bear | $64,488 | −11.8% | −23.4% | −31.2% | −11.2% |
| 22 Oct 2021, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $62,193 | −2.6% | −4.0% | −33.0% | +0.2% |
| 20 Sep 2021, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | $45,543 | −5.2% | +41.1% | +2.8% | −1.7% |
| 7 Sep 2021, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $46,656 | −3.7% | +18.6% | +5.9% | +1.9% |
| 25 Aug 2021, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $47,674 | −1.2% | −5.9% | +18.0% | +4.0% |
| 18 Aug 2021, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $44,696 | +6.7% | +6.8% | +42.3% | +9.0% |
| 3 Aug 2021, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $38,656 | +19.7% | +26.3% | +58.6% | +5.3% |
| 1 Jul 2021, 20:00 UTCLasted 19 days 16 hours | Bear | $33,091 | +2.3% | +27.5% | +24.0% | −4.7% |
| 26 Jun 2021, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $30,720 | +10.0% | +15.2% | +46.0% | +15.7% |
| 18 Jun 2021, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $36,355 | −4.7% | −13.3% | +32.4% | −3.6% |
| 5 Jun 2021, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $35,869 | +4.1% | −1.6% | +37.3% | +1.4% |
| 29 May 2021, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $34,416 | +7.0% | +0.8% | +36.1% | +14.0% |
| 12 May 2021, 20:00 UTCLasted 13 days 12 hours | Bear | $54,432 | −21.3% | −32.6% | −15.0% | −25.7% |
| 4 May 2021, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $53,799 | +3.7% | −30.2% | −25.9% | +8.7% |
| 16 Apr 2021, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | $60,854 | −15.1% | −23.2% | −46.1% | −13.2% |
| 7 Apr 2021, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $56,320 | +12.9% | +0.1% | −40.2% | +7.4% |
| 15 Mar 2021, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days 16 hours | Bear | $56,151 | +2.1% | +13.2% | −36.7% | −0.2% |
| 22 Feb 2021, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $53,237 | −15.2% | +2.1% | −29.7% | −6.9% |
| 21 Jan 2021, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $32,209 | −5.7% | +73.6% | +75.2% | +4.7% |
| 11 Jan 2021, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $35,438 | +1.1% | +31.0% | +68.7% | +12.5% |
| 9 Dec 2020, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $18,324 | +6.0% | +115.2% | +185.8% | +5.0% |
| 26 Nov 2020, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $17,928 | +7.1% | +37.8% | +172.7% | +3.6% |
| 29 Oct 2020, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $13,052 | +8.4% | +31.3% | +148.8% | +6.8% |
| 2 Oct 2020, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $10,491 | +4.1% | +31.5% | +175.2% | +3.9% |
| 21 Sep 2020, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $10,636 | +1.3% | +12.0% | +124.0% | +0.2% |
| 2 Sep 2020, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | $11,406 | −11.2% | −6.9% | +72.7% | −6.2% |
| 19 Aug 2020, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | $11,727 | −3.5% | −6.7% | +42.5% | +0.1% |
| 11 Aug 2020, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $11,387 | +7.9% | −10.3% | +35.9% | +4.8% |
| 2 Aug 2020, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $11,110 | +5.9% | +4.9% | +22.1% | +6.6% |
| 10 Jul 2020, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | $9,155 | −0.2% | +28.5% | +16.5% | +1.8% |
| 24 Jun 2020, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | $9,331 | −2.1% | +2.9% | +11.6% | −0.3% |
| 11 Jun 2020, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $9,521 | −0.6% | −2.4% | +6.4% | +0.4% |
| 2 Jun 2020, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $9,469 | +3.3% | −2.5% | +23.7% | +4.4% |
| 21 May 2020, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $9,084 | +1.3% | +2.5% | +31.5% | +2.0% |
| 10 May 2020, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $8,623 | +8.8% | +13.4% | +34.5% | +10.3% |
| 20 Apr 2020, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $6,769 | +13.7% | +44.4% | +35.5% | +11.2% |
| 10 Apr 2020, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $6,898 | +3.0% | +38.3% | +36.8% | +1.8% |
| 28 Mar 2020, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $6,117 | +10.1% | +25.8% | +51.2% | +4.5% |
| 8 Mar 2020, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $8,748 | −40.9% | −16.2% | +10.0% | −28.9% |
| 20 Feb 2020, 00:00 UTCLasted 14 days 12 hours | Bear | $9,594 | −8.4% | −35.3% | +1.9% | −5.1% |
| 15 Feb 2020, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $9,983 | −3.1% | −46.3% | −1.9% | +1.8% |
| 11 Feb 2020, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $9,733 | −0.3% | −18.5% | −10.4% | +4.4% |
| 19 Jan 2020, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $8,632 | −3.4% | +12.4% | −18.6% | +0.4% |
| 10 Jan 2020, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $7,818 | +11.5% | +26.6% | −5.8% | +8.2% |
| 31 Dec 2019, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $7,173 | +8.2% | +29.7% | −18.0% | +0.4% |
| 24 Dec 2019, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $7,254 | −0.1% | +19.7% | −19.8% | +3.0% |
| 10 Dec 2019, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $7,234 | −4.7% | +11.4% | +11.0% | +0.6% |
| 2 Dec 2019, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $7,253 | +3.5% | −0.8% | +17.5% | +3.8% |
| 8 Nov 2019, 12:00 UTCLasted 17 days 4 hours | Bear | $9,026 | −4.2% | −17.0% | +6.5% | −19.6% |
| 23 Oct 2019, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $7,954 | +18.3% | −4.1% | +8.6% | +3.9% |
| 16 Oct 2019, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $8,159 | −1.7% | +6.0% | −0.6% | +0.9% |
| 6 Oct 2019, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $7,892 | +5.2% | +19.0% | −6.9% | +4.6% |
| 23 Sep 2019, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $9,806 | −18.0% | −18.2% | −27.3% | −14.4% |
| 9 Sep 2019, 08:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hours | Bear | $10,147 | +1.5% | −19.5% | −26.2% | +1.0% |
| 21 Aug 2019, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bear | $10,139 | +0.5% | +1.0% | −19.3% | +0.2% |
| 13 Aug 2019, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $10,951 | −0.3% | −7.2% | −17.5% | −0.3% |
| 24 Jul 2019, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $9,651 | −0.8% | +4.7% | −15.1% | +4.1% |
| 11 Jul 2019, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $11,702 | −17.4% | +1.5% | −30.2% | −6.9% |
| 27 Jun 2019, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $11,830 | +0.9% | −17.0% | −28.2% | +0.9% |
| 31 May 2019, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 days 16 hours | Bear | $8,270 | −5.8% | +43.9% | +17.6% | −1.6% |
| 17 May 2019, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $7,299 | +7.6% | +20.7% | +37.7% | +11.6% |
| 26 Apr 2019, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $5,220 | +5.2% | +53.7% | +87.0% | +3.6% |
| 11 Apr 2019, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $5,002 | +4.0% | +27.4% | +150.8% | +4.9% |
| 25 Mar 2019, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $3,922 | +4.6% | +40.1% | +173.6% | +2.8% |
| 24 Feb 2019, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $3,779 | +1.1% | +4.2% | +110.8% | +1.5% |
| 20 Jan 2019, 16:00 UTCLasted 19 days | Bear | $3,525 | +1.2% | +10.6% | +49.2% | −0.5% |
| 10 Jan 2019, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $3,777 | −4.9% | −3.1% | +36.4% | −2.2% |
| 25 Dec 2018, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $3,709 | −0.2% | −4.2% | +7.6% | +3.5% |
| 5 Dec 2018, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 days 8 hours | Bear | $3,851 | −12.2% | −2.2% | −3.5% | −11.2% |
| 9 Nov 2018, 12:00 UTCLasted 19 days 8 hours | Bear | $6,429 | −10.5% | −46.9% | −47.0% | −32.6% |
| 27 Oct 2018, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $6,490 | −0.9% | −37.0% | −45.0% | −0.2% |
| 11 Oct 2018, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $6,341 | +6.3% | +1.3% | −37.6% | +8.2% |
| 3 Oct 2018, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $6,462 | +3.0% | −0.8% | −42.7% | +3.6% |
| 25 Sep 2018, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $6,468 | +2.2% | +1.5% | −39.2% | +3.1% |
| 17 Sep 2018, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $6,265 | +7.1% | +7.9% | −48.7% | +4.6% |
| 5 Sep 2018, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $6,992 | −10.0% | −5.7% | −44.4% | −6.4% |
Showing the newest 200 of 223 bearish flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 2 Sep 2017, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
446 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.