Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Algorand's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 51 of 51 | −1.8% | −4.0% to +0.6% (91%) | −4.4% to +0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 50 of 51 | −8.1% | −10.5% to −2.2% (94%) | −11.1% to −0.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 47 of 51 | −10.7% | −23.8% to −0.4% (92%) | −23.4% to −2.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 50 of 50 | 0.0% | −2.2% to +1.5% (94%) | −4.6% to +0.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 49 of 50 | −5.4% | −11.3% to −2.2% (91%) | −10.7% to 0.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 47 of 50 | −14.0% | −22.9% to −4.2% (92%) | −23.4% to −2.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 5 Jan 2021, for comparison | 7 | 2,087 days | −1.7% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,064 days | −5.2% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,004 days | −15.9% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest seven flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are daily closes of the native ALGO/BTC market on Coinbase. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 51 | 3 of 51 |
| After bearish flips | 50 | 4 of 50 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Algorand's daily line has flipped 17.6 times a year since 5 Jan 2021.
Algorand, daily flips: 101 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026Lasted 14 days so far | Bull | 0.000001290 BTC | +8.5% | not yet | not yet | +20.9% so far |
| 16 Sep 2026Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000001140 BTC | +8.8% | not yet | not yet | +13.2% |
| 2 Sep 2026Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.000001210 BTC | +5.8% | +25.6% | not yet | −5.8% |
| 9 Aug 2026Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.000001260 BTC | 0.0% | +4.0% | not yet | −4.0% |
| 2 Aug 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000001360 BTC | −7.4% | −16.2% | not yet | −7.4% |
| 27 Jul 2026Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000001260 BTC | +12.7% | −11.9% | not yet | +7.9% |
| 24 Jul 2026Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000001330 BTC | −5.3% | −9.0% | not yet | −5.3% |
| 21 Jun 2026Lasted 33 days | Bear | 0.000001410 BTC | +4.3% | −9.9% | −8.5% | −5.7% |
| 18 Jun 2026Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000001540 BTC | −7.8% | −16.9% | −26.0% | −8.4% |
| 4 Jun 2026Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.000001570 BTC | −10.8% | −7.6% | −22.9% | −1.9% |
| 28 May 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000001560 BTC | +0.6% | −7.1% | −28.8% | +0.6% |
| 14 May 2026Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.000001470 BTC | +0.7% | −3.4% | −15.0% | +6.1% |
| 25 Apr 2026Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.000001490 BTC | −4.0% | −2.0% | −10.7% | −1.3% |
| 7 Apr 2026Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.000001630 BTC | −11.0% | −1.2% | −14.7% | −8.6% |
| 31 Mar 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000001380 BTC | +18.1% | +5.1% | +3.6% | +18.1% |
| 26 Mar 2026Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000001220 BTC | +31.1% | +22.1% | +20.5% | +13.1% |
| 13 Mar 2026Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.000001330 BTC | −3.8% | +8.3% | +5.3% | −8.3% |
| 22 Feb 2026Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.000001280 BTC | +2.3% | −3.1% | +14.8% | +3.9% |
| 28 Jan 2026Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.000001410 BTC | +1.4% | −6.4% | +4.3% | −9.2% |
| 14 Jan 2026Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.000001410 BTC | −5.7% | −2.8% | +2.8% | 0.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.000001350 BTC | +10.4% | −2.2% | +11.1% | +4.4% |
| 30 Dec 2025Lasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000001290 BTC | +17.8% | +6.2% | −3.9% | +4.7% |
| 26 Dec 2025Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000001360 BTC | +4.4% | −1.5% | −10.3% | −5.1% |
| 21 Nov 2025Lasted 35 days | Bear | 0.000001590 BTC | −0.6% | −20.8% | −16.4% | −14.5% |
| 7 Nov 2025Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.000001780 BTC | −5.1% | −17.4% | −21.3% | −10.7% |
| 3 Nov 2025Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000001510 BTC | +15.9% | +2.0% | −13.9% | +17.9% |
| 13 Oct 2025Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.000001850 BTC | −9.7% | −8.1% | −21.6% | −18.4% |
| 1 Sep 2025Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.000002090 BTC | 0.0% | −10.0% | −26.8% | −11.5% |
| 24 Aug 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000002380 BTC | −10.9% | −20.6% | −32.8% | −12.2% |
| 23 Jul 2025Lasted 32 days | Bear | 0.000002240 BTC | −3.1% | +2.7% | −25.4% | +6.3% |
| 23 Jun 2025Lasted 30 days | Bull | 0.000001700 BTC | +1.8% | +31.8% | +17.1% | +31.8% |
| 17 May 2025Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.000002070 BTC | −1.4% | −20.3% | +3.9% | −17.9% |
| 9 May 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000002260 BTC | −4.9% | −20.4% | −0.4% | −8.4% |
| 2 May 2025Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000002220 BTC | +1.8% | −16.7% | −5.4% | +1.8% |
| 24 Apr 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000002400 BTC | −5.4% | −15.0% | −6.7% | −7.5% |
| 8 Mar 2025Lasted 47 days | Bear | 0.000002610 BTC | −9.2% | −19.5% | −31.0% | −8.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000002930 BTC | −10.9% | −25.9% | −36.9% | −10.9% |
| 19 Jan 2025Lasted 41 days | Bear | 0.000003910 BTC | −4.9% | −31.2% | −41.7% | −25.1% |
| 15 Jan 2025Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000004420 BTC | −11.8% | −31.2% | −51.6% | −11.5% |
| 9 Dec 2024Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.000004270 BTC | −8.9% | −11.2% | −41.5% | +3.5% |
| 15 Nov 2024Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.000002040 BTC | +28.9% | +102.0% | +49.0% | +109.3% |
| 13 Nov 2024Lasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000001610 BTC | +39.1% | +166.5% | +85.7% | +26.7% |
| 8 Nov 2024Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000001710 BTC | +19.3% | +186.0% | +60.8% | −5.8% |
| 1 Oct 2024Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.000002050 BTC | −4.9% | −20.5% | +72.2% | −16.6% |
| 25 Sep 2024Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.000002180 BTC | −8.3% | −21.6% | +84.4% | −6.0% |
| 17 Sep 2024Lasted 8 days | Bear | 0.000002060 BTC | +4.4% | −13.6% | +88.8% | +5.8% |
| 7 Sep 2024Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000002230 BTC | −1.8% | −9.9% | +124.2% | −7.6% |
| 31 Aug 2024Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000002090 BTC | +6.7% | +1.4% | +114.4% | +6.7% |
| 20 Aug 2024Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.000002160 BTC | −0.5% | −3.7% | +10.6% | −3.2% |
| 22 Jul 2024Lasted 29 days | Bear | 0.000002250 BTC | −7.6% | −2.2% | −16.0% | −4.0% |
| 26 Jun 2024Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.000002310 BTC | +2.6% | −9.5% | −6.9% | −2.6% |
| 12 May 2024Lasted 45 days | Bear | 0.000002880 BTC | −8.0% | −18.1% | −30.9% | −19.8% |
| 24 Apr 2024Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.000003300 BTC | −5.8% | −16.7% | −33.9% | −12.7% |
| 1 Apr 2024Lasted 23 days | Bear | 0.000003600 BTC | −4.7% | −13.6% | −36.4% | −8.3% |
| 2 Mar 2024Lasted 30 days | Bull | 0.000004000 BTC | −1.8% | −10.0% | −30.3% | −10.0% |
| 28 Feb 2024Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000003380 BTC | +15.7% | +13.9% | −15.7% | +18.3% |
| 19 Feb 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000003930 BTC | −1.3% | −5.9% | −32.6% | −14.0% |
| 4 Jan 2024Lasted 46 days | Bear | 0.000004690 BTC | −7.0% | −17.7% | −24.7% | −16.2% |
| 30 Oct 2023Lasted 66 days | Bull | 0.000003260 BTC | +13.2% | +8.6% | +19.9% | +43.9% |
| 9 Oct 2023Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.000003500 BTC | −4.9% | +2.0% | +15.7% | −6.9% |
| 20 Sep 2023Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.000003700 BTC | −1.9% | −16.8% | +23.0% | −5.4% |
| 15 Aug 2023Lasted 36 days | Bear | 0.000003720 BTC | +0.3% | −5.6% | −1.3% | −0.5% |
| 17 Jul 2023Lasted 29 days | Bull | 0.000003990 BTC | −5.8% | −10.5% | −12.8% | −6.8% |
| 19 Apr 2023Lasted 89 days | Bear | 0.000006910 BTC | −7.8% | −11.3% | −44.6% | −42.3% |
| 16 Apr 2023Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000007750 BTC | −12.0% | −19.0% | −51.7% | −10.8% |
| 11 Apr 2023Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000007270 BTC | +0.7% | −17.2% | −50.2% | +6.6% |
| 29 Mar 2023Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.000008270 BTC | −4.2% | −24.4% | −49.8% | −12.1% |
| 13 Feb 2023Lasted 44 days | Bear | 0.00001119 BTC | +2.9% | −24.8% | −45.9% | −26.1% |
| 3 Feb 2023Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00001156 BTC | +0.7% | −13.0% | −46.9% | −3.2% |
| 17 Jan 2023Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.00001084 BTC | −3.2% | +1.2% | −30.8% | +6.6% |
| 3 Jan 2023Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00001104 BTC | +5.5% | −1.3% | −30.1% | −1.8% |
| 9 Nov 2022Lasted 55 days | Bear | 0.00001666 BTC | −0.7% | −20.9% | −27.7% | −33.7% |
| 30 Oct 2022Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00001743 BTC | +10.4% | −15.8% | −35.9% | −4.4% |
| 4 Oct 2022Lasted 26 days | Bear | 0.00001758 BTC | −5.2% | +4.3% | −38.2% | −0.9% |
| 19 Sep 2022Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.00001624 BTC | +18.0% | −1.0% | −30.7% | +8.3% |
| 12 Sep 2022Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00001443 BTC | +12.5% | +13.4% | −9.8% | +12.5% |
| 2 Sep 2022Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00001513 BTC | +0.4% | +22.6% | −6.1% | −4.6% |
| 20 Aug 2022Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.00001420 BTC | +1.5% | +14.4% | +25.8% | +6.5% |
| 5 Aug 2022Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.00001538 BTC | −2.5% | +1.6% | +19.2% | −7.7% |
| 25 Jul 2022Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.00001465 BTC | +0.4% | −3.3% | +10.1% | +5.0% |
| 17 Jul 2022Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00001618 BTC | −6.9% | −8.7% | +3.3% | −9.5% |
| 8 Jul 2022Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.00001455 BTC | +8.0% | +5.6% | +20.3% | +11.2% |
| 14 Jun 2022Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.00001394 BTC | +13.0% | +14.8% | +3.5% | +4.4% |
| 11 May 2022Lasted 34 days | Bear | 0.00001554 BTC | −3.0% | −18.5% | −4.2% | −10.3% |
| 3 May 2022Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00001779 BTC | +6.0% | −27.4% | −17.3% | −12.6% |
| 5 Apr 2022Lasted 28 days | Bear | 0.00001836 BTC | −1.4% | −5.4% | −14.0% | −3.1% |
| 21 Mar 2022Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.00002020 BTC | −4.8% | −11.3% | −24.2% | −9.1% |
| 10 Jan 2022Lasted 70 days | Bear | 0.00003256 BTC | −2.2% | −28.3% | −45.3% | −38.0% |
| 24 Dec 2021Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.00003098 BTC | +15.9% | −11.9% | −34.6% | +5.1% |
| 13 Dec 2021Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.00002829 BTC | −2.3% | +20.7% | −36.4% | +9.5% |
| 1 Dec 2021Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.00003431 BTC | −1.8% | +4.6% | −43.9% | −17.5% |
| 16 Nov 2021Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.00002868 BTC | +11.4% | +1.6% | −26.2% | +19.6% |
| 25 Oct 2021Lasted 22 days | Bull | 0.00003248 BTC | −7.2% | −6.1% | −16.0% | −11.7% |
| 28 Sep 2021Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.00003814 BTC | −0.6% | −20.2% | −14.0% | −14.8% |
| 15 Aug 2021Lasted 44 days | Bull | 0.00002121 BTC | +10.7% | +104.0% | +52.0% | +79.8% |
| 23 May 2021Lasted 84 days | Bear | 0.00002362 BTC | +0.7% | −3.3% | −0.2% | −10.2% |
| 6 May 2021Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.00002739 BTC | −0.7% | +0.1% | −23.8% | −13.8% |
| 24 Apr 2021Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.00002177 BTC | +11.0% | +16.1% | +10.3% | +25.8% |
| 29 Mar 2021Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.00002433 BTC | −2.4% | −3.4% | −0.9% | −10.5% |
| 20 Feb 2021Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.00002338 BTC | +2.0% | −12.7% | +11.9% | +4.1% |
| 5 Jan 2021Lasted 46 days | Bull | 0.00001411 BTC | −16.9% | +35.5% | +68.3% | +65.7% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 5 Jan 2021, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
101 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.