Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Amp's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 32 of 32 | −4.1% | −6.1% to +0.7% (95%) | −5.6% to −0.9% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 31 of 32 | −8.3% | −16.5% to −2.9% (93%) | −16.5% to −5.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 30 of 32 | −28.5% | −33.4% to −21.0% (90%) | −35.6% to −17.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 32 of 33 | −2.7% | −5.3% to +1.3% (95%) | −5.6% to −0.9% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 32 of 33 | −14.2% | −18.3% to −1.9% (95%) | −16.8% to −6.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 31 of 33 | −29.4% | −41.0% to −17.0% (93%) | −34.5% to −16.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 10 Jan 2022, for comparison | 7 | 1,720 days | −3.1% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,697 days | −11.4% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,637 days | −25.8% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest four flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 32 | 5 of 32 |
| After bearish flips | 33 | 2 of 33 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Amp's daily line has flipped 13.8 times a year since 10 Jan 2022.
Amp, daily flips: 65 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026Lasted 4 days so far | Bear | 0.000000007521 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −1.5% so far |
| 24 Sep 2026Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000000005995 BTC | +23.2% | not yet | not yet | +25.5% |
| 26 Aug 2026Lasted 29 days | Bear | 0.000000005606 BTC | +2.6% | +7.3% | not yet | +6.9% |
| 24 Aug 2026Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000000006304 BTC | −10.4% | −9.0% | not yet | −11.1% |
| 1 Apr 2026Lasted 145 days | Bear | 0.00000001486 BTC | −13.9% | −25.0% | −49.5% | −57.6% |
| 30 Mar 2026Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00000001704 BTC | −21.7% | −31.2% | −54.8% | −12.8% |
| 2 Mar 2026Lasted 28 days | Bear | 0.00000002083 BTC | −1.9% | −28.7% | −52.9% | −18.2% |
| 4 Feb 2026Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.00000002247 BTC | −0.7% | −7.9% | −51.3% | −7.3% |
| 25 Jan 2026Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.00000002212 BTC | −6.7% | +1.5% | −48.6% | +1.6% |
| 31 Dec 2025Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.00000002152 BTC | +20.6% | −2.9% | −28.7% | +2.8% |
| 30 Nov 2025Lasted 31 days | Bear | 0.00000002432 BTC | −4.0% | −21.7% | −10.9% | −11.5% |
| 7 Nov 2025Lasted 23 days | Bull | 0.00000002471 BTC | +3.8% | −5.5% | −12.0% | −1.6% |
| 1 Sep 2025Lasted 67 days | Bear | 0.00000002932 BTC | +2.4% | −8.3% | −17.0% | −15.7% |
| 23 Aug 2025Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00000003302 BTC | −4.7% | −15.1% | −21.0% | −11.2% |
| 23 Jul 2025Lasted 31 days | Bear | 0.00000003313 BTC | −5.6% | −3.6% | −34.0% | −0.3% |
| 17 Jul 2025Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00000003362 BTC | −1.7% | −8.3% | −29.7% | −1.5% |
| 17 May 2025Lasted 61 days | Bear | 0.00000004306 BTC | +0.2% | −17.3% | −28.6% | −21.9% |
| 10 May 2025Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.00000004398 BTC | −2.1% | −16.6% | −28.4% | −2.1% |
| 19 Jan 2025Lasted 111 days | Bear | 0.00000007262 BTC | +9.8% | −23.5% | −42.0% | −39.4% |
| 16 Jan 2025Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00000008159 BTC | −7.1% | −28.4% | −49.0% | −11.0% |
| 16 Dec 2024Lasted 31 days | Bear | 0.00000009166 BTC | −6.6% | −24.5% | −46.8% | −11.0% |
| 27 Nov 2024Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.00000006235 BTC | +71.6% | +33.2% | −12.4% | +47.0% |
| 20 Nov 2024Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00000004703 BTC | +32.6% | +74.3% | +18.2% | +32.6% |
| 16 Nov 2024Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00000005770 BTC | −10.3% | +58.8% | +3.4% | −18.5% |
| 23 Oct 2024Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.00000005790 BTC | −9.6% | −16.5% | +22.4% | −0.3% |
| 20 Oct 2024Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00000005942 BTC | −6.1% | −15.9% | +33.1% | −2.6% |
| 1 Oct 2024Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.00000006384 BTC | −2.7% | −18.3% | +28.9% | −6.9% |
| 22 Sep 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00000006565 BTC | +0.7% | −7.7% | +20.1% | −2.8% |
| 16 Sep 2024Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.00000006249 BTC | +4.7% | −7.5% | +53.5% | +5.1% |
| 16 Aug 2024Lasted 31 days | Bull | 0.00000006533 BTC | −4.1% | −4.0% | −28.5% | −4.3% |
| 5 Jul 2024Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.00000007104 BTC | +3.3% | −15.0% | −13.3% | −8.0% |
| 29 Jun 2024Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00000008151 BTC | −9.0% | −19.5% | −19.1% | −12.8% |
| 14 May 2024Lasted 46 days | Bear | 0.0000001099 BTC | −6.4% | −23.8% | −45.7% | −25.8% |
| 1 May 2024Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.0000001318 BTC | −11.1% | −20.7% | −51.9% | −16.6% |
| 12 Apr 2024Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.0000001099 BTC | +3.7% | +5.5% | −33.0% | +19.9% |
| 11 Mar 2024Lasted 32 days | Bull | 0.00000009294 BTC | +60.8% | +38.0% | −7.4% | +18.3% |
| 26 Feb 2024Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.00000008877 BTC | −16.5% | +67.1% | +13.5% | +4.7% |
| 21 Feb 2024Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00000008139 BTC | −4.4% | +95.8% | +26.4% | +9.1% |
| 9 Feb 2024Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.00000007685 BTC | −6.6% | −1.9% | +53.8% | +5.9% |
| 19 Jan 2024Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.00000008450 BTC | −0.9% | −11.4% | +37.8% | −9.1% |
| 3 Jan 2024Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.00000007877 BTC | −4.8% | +4.1% | +74.3% | +7.3% |
| 5 Nov 2023Lasted 59 days | Bull | 0.00000005015 BTC | +13.3% | +18.9% | +66.2% | +57.1% |
| 26 Aug 2023Lasted 71 days | Bear | 0.00000007407 BTC | −1.6% | −14.2% | −9.9% | −32.3% |
| 25 Jul 2023Lasted 32 days | Bull | 0.00000009039 BTC | −0.8% | −16.5% | −49.4% | −18.1% |
| 23 Jul 2023Lasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00000006961 BTC | +11.8% | +9.8% | −29.2% | +29.9% |
| 14 Jul 2023Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00000007047 BTC | +1.0% | +18.4% | −24.2% | −1.2% |
| 26 Feb 2023Lasted 138 days | Bear | 0.0000002501 BTC | −10.0% | −47.3% | −61.6% | −71.8% |
| 21 Feb 2023Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0000002233 BTC | +1.2% | −36.7% | −52.0% | +12.0% |
| 16 Feb 2023Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.0000001960 BTC | +57.9% | −22.1% | −44.2% | +13.9% |
| 7 Feb 2023Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0000002190 BTC | −4.8% | −1.8% | −49.2% | −10.5% |
| 28 Jan 2023Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.0000002068 BTC | −0.9% | +15.9% | −42.1% | +5.9% |
| 16 Jan 2023Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.0000002497 BTC | −13.1% | −18.8% | −47.4% | −17.2% |
| 13 Jan 2023Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.0000001831 BTC | +18.8% | +16.6% | −31.3% | +36.3% |
| 9 Jan 2023Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0000002014 BTC | +24.0% | +6.6% | −34.8% | −9.1% |
| 19 Dec 2022Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.0000001855 BTC | +1.3% | +18.6% | −20.8% | +8.6% |
| 17 Dec 2022Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.0000002080 BTC | −6.1% | +20.0% | −24.7% | −10.8% |
| 16 Sep 2022Lasted 92 days | Bear | 0.0000002676 BTC | −3.1% | −3.2% | −29.4% | −22.3% |
| 11 Sep 2022Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0000003024 BTC | −14.7% | −18.1% | −33.2% | −11.5% |
| 7 Jul 2022Lasted 66 days | Bear | 0.0000004296 BTC | +1.2% | −15.5% | −40.6% | −29.6% |
| 13 Jun 2022Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.0000004038 BTC | +8.7% | +8.6% | −25.1% | +6.4% |
| 25 Apr 2022Lasted 49 days | Bear | 0.0000005353 BTC | −9.9% | −19.1% | −25.9% | −24.6% |
| 21 Apr 2022Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0000006038 BTC | −13.1% | −25.0% | −33.4% | −11.3% |
| 28 Feb 2022Lasted 52 days | Bear | 0.0000006793 BTC | −3.2% | −13.7% | −41.0% | −11.1% |
| 11 Feb 2022Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.0000007793 BTC | −6.2% | −17.3% | −46.9% | −12.8% |
| 10 Jan 2022Lasted 32 days | Bear | 0.000001004 BTC | −5.3% | −30.0% | −42.1% | −22.4% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 10 Jan 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
65 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.