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MarketRenderUpdated 4 Oct 2026, 00:08 UTC00:08 UTC
Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only

Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.

A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.

Aptos's 4-hour trend5 Nov 2022 to now
341flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
24 dayslongest run
BullishBearish

What happened after Aptos's 4-hour flips

After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.

90 days after a bullish flip−22.4%Median of 160 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−23.4%Median of 159 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after any day−20.9%1,339 days since 5 Nov 2022
What happened after Aptos's 4-hour flips
Which flipsDays laterFlips countedMedian changeRange of the medianOrdinary daysAgainst ordinary days
After bullish flips7170 of 171−1.8%−3.2% to +0.2% (92%)−3.4% to +0.8%within the range of ordinary days
30168 of 171−7.4%−9.4% to −5.1% (92%)−8.3% to −3.1%within the range of ordinary days
90160 of 171−22.4%−27.7% to −13.8% (90%)−27.2% to −12.5%within the range of ordinary days
After bearish flips7169 of 170−1.3%−4.0% to −0.3% (91%)−3.3% to +1.0%within the range of ordinary days
30167 of 170−4.9%−7.5% to −2.2% (91%)−8.2% to −3.0%within the range of ordinary days
90159 of 170−23.4%−28.0% to −15.4% (92%)−27.1% to −12.4%within the range of ordinary days
Any day since 5 Nov 2022, for comparison71,422 days−1.3%–––
301,399 days−5.7%–––
901,339 days−20.9%–––

Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.

Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.

Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.

The latest 22 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.

Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.

How soon flips were reversed

How soon flips were reversed
Which flipsFlipsReversed within 3 candles (12 hours)
After bullish flips1715 of 171
After bearish flips17010 of 170

A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.

Aptos's 4-hour line has flipped 87.2 times a year since 5 Nov 2022, 08:00 UTC.

On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.

Aptos, 4-hour flips: 170 bearish flips of 341

Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.

Aptos, 4-hour flips: 170 bearish flips of 341
Candle closedFlipped toPrice at the flip7 days later30 days later90 days laterUntil the next flip
29 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$0.7927not yetnot yetnot yet+4.6%
23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.7594+4.1%not yetnot yet+10.8%
11 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hoursBear$0.6010−0.5%not yetnot yet−5.5%
23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBear$0.6060−10.4%+31.2%not yet−9.1%
10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hoursBear$0.5900−12.0%+9.8%not yet−8.1%
8 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.5790−6.2%+7.8%not yet+4.3%
27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBear$0.6070−7.2%−7.4%not yet−5.1%
25 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$0.6010−7.5%+6.2%not yet+4.3%
17 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$0.5980+3.3%−10.0%not yet+1.5%
13 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$0.6110−2.5%−5.2%not yet+2.1%
8 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.6010+3.3%−1.5%not yet+7.5%
23 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hoursBear$0.6360−8.8%−2.0%+16.4%−6.0%
16 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBear$0.6670−0.9%−6.6%−11.8%+0.9%
28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 days 4 hoursBear$0.9170−11.3%−34.7%−38.7%−27.0%
22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear$0.9460−0.5%−31.7%−40.6%+1.9%
12 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hoursBear$1.10−14.1%−43.8%−46.6%−11.4%
4 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$0.9730+18.5%−15.2%−43.3%+4.5%
27 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.9530+3.5%+2.0%−35.8%+4.1%
18 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear$0.9370+5.3%−0.7%−34.8%+5.1%
12 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$0.8310+12.6%+35.9%−24.3%+3.1%
9 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.8330+7.4%+35.7%−24.6%+4.8%
7 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear$0.8390+4.1%+21.9%−24.6%+3.9%
27 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 daysBear$0.9890−13.0%−2.2%−36.2%−11.5%
22 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$0.9350−0.4%+0.1%−32.1%+7.6%
18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.9520+17.1%+5.0%−28.7%+4.5%
12 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$0.9290+6.6%−6.6%−28.4%+3.7%
7 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$0.9410−0.6%−9.7%−19.8%+3.9%
26 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$0.9560+5.5%+2.1%+1.7%+0.6%
22 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.8590+12.0%+24.4%+9.4%+1.4%
15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hoursBear$0.9280−4.5%+9.8%+6.5%−2.6%
10 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$1.02−9.0%−7.5%+12.9%−4.4%
29 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 daysBear$1.49−18.1%−37.1%−35.1%−25.5%
19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hoursBear$1.72−13.7%−46.8%−45.7%−9.3%
15 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear$1.86−16.2%−49.4%−53.8%+2.0%
7 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$1.88+5.0%−45.1%−55.3%+1.7%
29 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$1.68+15.3%−5.5%−44.7%+5.6%
11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hoursBear$1.70−11.4%+7.7%−43.8%−7.4%
5 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$1.91−9.5%−0.3%−47.1%−3.9%
20 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hoursBear$2.78−18.3%−41.1%−67.0%−27.9%
19 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear$2.74−16.1%−47.0%−66.1%+8.4%
12 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$3.08−5.3%−43.9%−66.1%−4.4%
3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBear$3.15+2.8%−37.4%−59.5%−4.1%
28 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$3.43−18.9%−33.7%−56.6%−1.1%
8 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hoursBear$5.19−29.0%−47.2%−62.1%−35.4%
4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBear$5.16−29.0%−34.6%−63.9%+8.3%
19 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 daysBear$4.55−13.6%−29.6%−67.0%−8.0%
14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$4.54+1.7%−13.5%−64.1%+0.7%
9 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$4.37+0.2%+18.3%−60.9%+4.0%
4 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$4.23+6.1%+27.1%−53.4%+2.7%
25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBear$4.43−4.0%−3.1%−47.5%−1.5%
18 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$4.63−0.1%−4.0%−36.8%−1.7%
14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBear$4.77−5.8%−3.1%−35.2%+3.4%
10 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$4.61+2.9%−4.4%−31.3%+5.0%
23 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 8 hoursBear$5.11−10.3%−13.6%−36.2%−14.6%
15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBear$4.84+11.6%+4.3%−19.0%+5.2%
12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$4.72+12.6%−0.6%+5.9%+8.9%
4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$4.53+7.7%−9.0%+7.6%+0.2%
28 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$4.74−7.1%+3.4%−17.0%+1.4%
21 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$4.28+13.2%+24.2%+9.6%+0.9%
17 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$4.56−5.4%+14.0%−0.8%−0.6%
12 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$4.86−8.2%+0.5%−9.7%−4.1%
5 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$4.78+5.0%−7.9%−9.3%−0.3%
30 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear$5.16−13.1%−6.0%−15.4%−3.2%
23 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$5.54−6.8%−24.8%−18.8%−1.8%
15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hoursBear$5.49−3.9%−18.0%−12.1%−3.9%
13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$5.53−5.6%−9.1%−15.0%+11.9%
30 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hoursBear$5.27−9.7%−2.2%−11.8%−5.6%
22 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$4.92+12.3%+7.2%+7.9%+4.0%
15 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$4.74+3.8%+21.1%+4.3%+1.6%
3 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$5.10−7.2%+6.8%−11.9%−12.0%
28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$5.58−9.4%+0.7%−12.4%−2.9%
10 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 daysBear$5.61−8.4%−22.4%−15.4%−3.3%
3 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$5.79−3.0%−6.7%−18.3%+2.1%
20 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$6.17−4.2%−8.9%−16.5%−6.3%
11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hoursBear$5.82+1.9%−10.5%+1.2%+6.2%
1 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$7.62−24.9%−11.4%−27.7%−16.9%
18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hoursBear$9.18−10.6%−36.7%−50.0%−17.0%
13 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$8.55−0.6%−31.2%−41.9%+3.0%
7 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBear$9.69−12.5%−38.4%−55.1%−4.9%
18 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 15 days 4 hoursBear$12.94−24.1%−28.6%−58.7%−29.2%
14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$13.30−18.3%−33.6%−61.3%+6.5%
9 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$13.83−1.3%−30.2%−57.0%−8.8%
2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$12.49+16.1%−30.3%−49.6%+9.9%
24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear$11.67+14.7%−16.9%−48.7%+8.4%
13 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hoursBear$11.53+2.4%+18.6%−46.2%+10.2%
31 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$9.42+1.6%+41.0%−23.4%−9.6%
23 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBear$9.91+1.3%+21.8%−13.7%−1.3%
10 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$8.57+17.0%+13.4%+12.7%+0.7%
1 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$7.59+14.4%+29.1%+17.0%+10.3%
29 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$7.85+9.7%+17.3%+11.2%+5.2%
14 Sep 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$6.03+21.2%+69.0%+126.7%−0.5%
12 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$6.07+2.5%+40.4%+91.6%+4.6%
28 Aug 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hoursBear$6.83−10.2%+18.2%+73.1%−12.0%
25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear$6.85−5.3%+16.1%+82.2%+6.7%
15 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$6.37−0.3%−1.1%+94.0%−3.9%
11 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$5.87−0.7%+7.3%+65.6%+13.6%
29 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hoursBear$6.84−21.9%−0.1%+36.1%−24.3%
23 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$7.07−4.5%−10.2%+41.4%−1.6%
8 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$5.58+18.8%−8.1%+54.3%+6.6%
2 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$6.90−15.5%−7.0%+17.0%−12.9%
14 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hoursBear$7.48−7.6%−15.1%−18.6%−7.1%
7 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hoursBear$8.47−6.8%−29.4%−27.7%+0.1%
30 May 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBear$8.93+4.3%−23.3%−23.5%+2.5%
23 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$8.75+3.9%−20.7%−30.9%+5.8%
19 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear$8.26+10.0%−9.8%−28.3%+2.3%
7 May 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hoursBear$8.93−8.4%+4.3%−40.2%−7.1%
24 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hoursBear$9.32−6.7%−4.2%−22.5%−4.1%
9 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBear$13.25−31.1%−35.2%−57.9%−26.5%
2 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hoursBear$15.75−9.5%−43.2%−55.1%−10.0%
28 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$17.02−16.9%−48.0%−59.2%+3.5%
16 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$13.24+22.7%−27.6%−40.4%+14.4%
15 Mar 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$12.63+19.0%−30.5%−34.7%+19.8%
20 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$9.46+7.2%+64.8%−14.2%+2.2%
16 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$9.75−5.4%+36.5%−13.0%+2.5%
12 Feb 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$8.82+9.9%+51.6%−4.9%+6.1%
4 Feb 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBear$9.04+0.4%+33.7%+0.3%−1.7%
31 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$8.91−3.5%+31.5%+2.2%+4.8%
16 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBear$9.38−14.2%+0.6%+2.1%−10.5%
13 Jan 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$8.79−2.4%+2.9%+34.8%+17.0%
5 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear$9.56−1.2%−4.2%+48.0%−7.0%
3 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear$9.71−14.7%−4.9%+71.8%+5.2%
30 Dec 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$9.54+1.1%−7.1%+82.2%+4.7%
17 Dec 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBear$8.07+15.4%+17.9%+87.5%+2.7%
11 Dec 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear$7.89+2.0%+5.0%+66.7%+6.1%
4 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear$7.25+16.4%+41.5%+67.5%+7.2%
27 Nov 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBear$7.13+2.5%+50.8%+32.9%+0.6%
16 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hoursBear$7.37−0.7%+11.6%+24.9%+2.3%
14 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$7.33−1.7%+17.1%+23.4%+5.8%
9 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear$6.96+10.5%+22.1%+23.6%+7.7%
1 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$6.71+8.2%+3.9%+37.2%+5.9%
18 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$4.91+28.2%+48.2%+93.6%+3.1%
3 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hoursBear$5.44−8.8%+30.7%+72.5%−8.4%
27 Sep 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$5.31+0.7%+22.9%+95.9%+4.1%
20 Sep 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear$5.13+3.6%−4.3%+53.7%+2.3%
10 Sep 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear$5.39−1.4%−8.0%+57.4%−2.7%
31 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hoursBear$5.68−2.5%−4.9%+23.9%−0.7%
25 Aug 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$5.70−3.2%−9.6%+28.4%+2.6%
15 Aug 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hoursBear$6.96−14.6%−25.5%+12.3%−12.5%
20 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 19 days 16 hoursBear$7.41−5.3%−21.3%−32.5%−9.1%
14 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$7.14+4.1%+0.9%−32.2%+9.5%
4 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hoursBear$7.69−7.8%−10.8%−26.2%−6.0%
28 Jun 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear$7.01+9.5%+0.9%−20.6%+5.9%
24 Jun 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$7.25−0.1%+4.5%−29.7%+8.1%
5 Jun 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hoursBear$8.85−29.4%−13.2%−37.0%−26.1%
24 May 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear$8.04+5.5%−8.5%−26.1%+2.3%
21 May 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear$8.30−0.8%−16.4%−29.7%+1.2%
17 May 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear$8.37+1.6%−25.6%−15.5%+5.3%
6 May 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hoursBear$9.39−11.7%−2.3%−27.9%−8.6%
1 May 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$10.06−8.6%−15.6%−29.1%−0.4%
26 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$9.86+0.7%−19.2%−28.5%+7.2%
14 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hoursBear$12.19−9.5%−32.0%−42.7%−13.1%
12 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$11.20+13.5%−28.1%−36.7%+10.8%
3 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hoursBear$11.48−3.5%−13.5%−35.6%−0.2%
25 Mar 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$11.99−5.0%−14.8%−38.6%−2.5%
20 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBear$12.52−5.3%+1.6%−44.1%+4.8%
15 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$12.16+0.8%+1.7%−48.6%+14.3%
10 Mar 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBear$10.20+21.1%+8.1%−24.5%+16.5%
3 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hoursBear$11.60−4.1%−2.9%−28.0%−2.8%
24 Feb 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$12.83+0.1%−9.7%−37.0%−0.3%
17 Feb 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$14.69−8.5%−12.9%−40.7%−5.4%
9 Feb 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$14.23+12.0%−24.2%−41.3%−0.2%
5 Feb 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBear$16.39−15.3%−31.1%−40.0%−1.0%
30 Jan 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$16.69−7.6%−28.8%−35.7%+9.5%
5 Jan 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear$3.76+40.9%+352.7%+205.1%+3.3%
16 Dec 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 14 days 8 hoursBear$4.37−15.1%+76.4%+180.2%−21.7%
6 Dec 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 daysBear$4.95−8.6%−23.0%+125.3%−6.5%
28 Nov 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear$4.47+15.9%−19.6%+173.8%+10.0%
21 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear$4.10+16.9%−5.0%+251.8%+7.1%
14 Nov 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBear$3.87+6.1%+19.6%+259.2%+21.3%
7 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear$7.31−42.3%−30.9%+125.5%−28.3%

How to read this

Closed candles only

Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.

Compare with any day

The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 5 Nov 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.

A small sample

Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.

341 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.