Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Arbitrum's 4-hour trend2 Apr 2023 to now
305flips
3 days 8 hourstypical run
18 days 20 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Arbitrum's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−19.6%Median of 145 flips; 7 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−18.7%Median of 145 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after any day−19.8%1,191 days since 2 Apr 2023
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 152 of 152 | −2.3% | −3.6% to +0.8% (91%) | −4.0% to +0.3% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 151 of 152 | −7.1% | −10.8% to −4.3% (93%) | −11.2% to −1.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 145 of 152 | −19.6% | −25.5% to −16.8% (90%) | −27.2% to −14.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 153 of 153 | −1.7% | −3.0% to +1.5% (93%) | −4.0% to +0.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 151 of 153 | −3.3% | −10.5% to +0.1% (93%) | −11.2% to −1.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 145 of 153 | −18.7% | −24.1% to −16.5% (90%) | −27.2% to −14.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 2 Apr 2023, for comparison | 7 | 1,274 days | −1.6% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,251 days | −6.1% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,191 days | −19.8% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 15 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 152 | 3 of 152 |
| After bearish flips | 153 | 2 of 153 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Arbitrum's 4-hour line has flipped 87.0 times a year since 2 Apr 2023, 08:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Arbitrum, 4-hour flips: 305 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days so far | Bear | $0.2160 | −6.1% | not yet | not yet | −6.8% so far |
| 15 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.1492 | +51.3% | not yet | not yet | +44.8% |
| 7 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1677 | −20.7% | not yet | not yet | −11.0% |
| 31 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.09640 | +96.4% | +111.1% | not yet | +74.0% |
| 25 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.09410 | +16.3% | +129.5% | not yet | +2.4% |
| 17 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.07530 | +34.5% | +101.6% | not yet | +25.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.07720 | −2.5% | +81.1% | not yet | −2.5% |
| 10 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.08030 | −8.3% | +105.5% | not yet | −3.9% |
| 6 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.07960 | −6.9% | +65.7% | not yet | +0.9% |
| 2 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $0.08080 | −3.1% | +35.4% | not yet | −1.5% |
| 23 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.08660 | −8.7% | +13.4% | not yet | −6.7% |
| 20 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.09080 | −8.3% | −17.1% | not yet | −4.6% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.09060 | −1.7% | −11.4% | not yet | +0.2% |
| 9 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $0.08070 | +9.7% | −1.9% | not yet | +12.3% |
| 6 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.07780 | +19.8% | +5.3% | not yet | +3.7% |
| 29 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.07720 | +4.3% | +2.3% | +187.7% | +0.8% |
| 16 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.08480 | −1.9% | +4.4% | +56.8% | −9.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $0.08610 | −4.9% | +7.1% | +63.2% | −1.5% |
| 14 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.08230 | +2.8% | +9.8% | +69.5% | +4.6% |
| 11 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.08370 | +2.4% | +11.1% | +97.1% | −1.7% |
| 28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 14 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1036 | −10.2% | −28.2% | −11.1% | −19.2% |
| 26 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.1116 | −8.3% | −31.8% | −9.2% | −7.2% |
| 12 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 13 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1358 | −13.4% | −42.9% | −42.7% | −17.8% |
| 6 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.1250 | +9.0% | −28.6% | −33.8% | +8.6% |
| 29 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1231 | −2.5% | −15.2% | −37.4% | +1.5% |
| 29 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | $0.1305 | −8.0% | −20.0% | −40.9% | −5.7% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1259 | −6.8% | −13.6% | −34.5% | +3.7% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.1317 | −6.0% | −16.9% | −31.6% | −4.4% |
| 20 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1215 | +6.6% | −6.6% | −27.2% | +8.4% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bull | $0.1019 | +8.1% | +24.2% | −21.2% | +19.2% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.09370 | +21.2% | +36.7% | −14.1% | +8.8% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.09420 | +17.8% | +27.4% | −14.8% | −0.5% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.09110 | +15.8% | +35.7% | −16.5% | +3.4% |
| 30 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.09120 | +3.3% | +36.5% | −19.5% | −0.1% |
| 26 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.09410 | +0.3% | +36.8% | −15.9% | −3.1% |
| 24 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.09750 | −6.6% | +31.8% | −16.0% | −3.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1052 | −7.1% | +22.6% | −18.0% | −7.3% |
| 16 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.1060 | −12.7% | +4.0% | −19.6% | −0.8% |
| 14 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1006 | −0.7% | +10.3% | −17.0% | +5.4% |
| 10 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $0.09990 | +10.5% | +5.6% | −16.8% | +0.7% |
| 7 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.09710 | +5.8% | −3.0% | −8.0% | +2.9% |
| 1 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.1023 | −5.4% | −10.9% | +0.9% | −5.1% |
| 27 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.09930 | +3.5% | −9.5% | +8.0% | +3.0% |
| 25 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.1001 | +2.6% | −6.3% | +8.3% | −0.8% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.09570 | +4.2% | +1.9% | +13.7% | +4.6% |
| 21 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $0.1033 | −2.8% | −10.5% | +9.4% | −7.4% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1151 | −14.6% | −4.1% | +8.4% | −10.3% |
| 13 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $0.1133 | −13.5% | −10.8% | +16.5% | +1.6% |
| 9 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1103 | +3.9% | −10.7% | +29.2% | +2.7% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.1194 | −6.4% | −18.9% | +7.3% | −7.6% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 18 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2061 | −18.8% | −45.3% | −37.3% | −42.1% |
| 17 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.2221 | −20.4% | −48.4% | −41.9% | −7.2% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2114 | −12.4% | −45.4% | −47.9% | +5.1% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $0.2142 | −9.7% | −49.4% | −48.2% | −1.3% |
| 7 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.2111 | +4.9% | −49.0% | −55.6% | +1.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | $0.1949 | +9.2% | −20.3% | −52.3% | +8.3% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1910 | +13.2% | −10.1% | −52.9% | +2.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.1900 | −2.9% | +14.0% | −45.8% | +0.5% |
| 14 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2047 | −7.4% | −1.9% | −49.8% | −7.2% |
| 14 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $0.2153 | −11.9% | −6.7% | −52.3% | −4.9% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2041 | −9.5% | +1.7% | −51.7% | +5.5% |
| 9 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.2124 | −7.1% | +0.2% | −55.5% | −3.9% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2089 | +1.7% | +0.1% | −49.8% | +1.7% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.2149 | −1.2% | −13.1% | −53.7% | −2.8% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.2106 | −3.0% | −9.4% | −52.7% | +2.0% |
| 24 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.2190 | −3.8% | −12.7% | −55.1% | −3.8% |
| 11 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2849 | −20.3% | −24.1% | −59.1% | −23.1% |
| 7 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.2790 | −12.3% | −25.7% | −54.0% | +2.1% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2863 | +4.5% | −25.7% | −51.0% | −2.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.3069 | −2.4% | −31.4% | −48.4% | −6.7% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3305 | −21.0% | −33.8% | −49.4% | −7.1% |
| 25 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.3202 | −7.8% | −37.3% | −44.5% | +3.2% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3103 | +1.5% | −30.7% | −37.7% | +3.2% |
| 20 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.3248 | +3.0% | −26.9% | −33.3% | −4.5% |
| 16 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3180 | −5.3% | −25.3% | −30.4% | +2.1% |
| 12 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $0.3360 | −7.9% | −8.7% | −38.2% | −5.4% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.4285 | −16.3% | −37.0% | −49.5% | −21.6% |
| 5 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.4531 | −33.4% | −42.4% | −53.9% | −5.4% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.4336 | −31.7% | −29.1% | −53.6% | +4.5% |
| 1 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.4338 | −2.9% | −33.1% | −56.1% | 0.0% |
| 30 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.4104 | +11.3% | −22.6% | −52.5% | +5.7% |
| 29 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.4302 | +0.4% | −26.8% | −54.2% | −4.6% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.5013 | −18.6% | −38.3% | −63.1% | −14.2% |
| 18 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $0.5204 | −17.5% | −41.6% | −61.5% | −3.7% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.5208 | −5.3% | −31.2% | −60.5% | −0.1% |
| 12 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.5457 | −4.0% | −44.7% | −60.4% | −4.6% |
| 10 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.5082 | −2.6% | −17.8% | −58.2% | +7.4% |
| 8 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.5081 | +1.0% | −17.1% | −59.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.4849 | +5.7% | −7.2% | −56.1% | +4.8% |
| 3 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.5154 | −0.6% | −12.2% | −62.4% | −5.9% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.5483 | −9.5% | −21.2% | −63.5% | −6.0% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.5385 | −2.8% | −8.4% | −57.4% | +1.8% |
| 19 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.4934 | +4.9% | +5.5% | −52.2% | +9.1% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.5250 | +16.8% | −6.2% | −54.7% | −6.0% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.5236 | −1.9% | +4.6% | −47.4% | +0.3% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.4706 | +8.7% | +8.9% | −36.4% | +11.3% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.4465 | +20.1% | +14.8% | −33.2% | +5.4% |
| 7 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $0.4091 | +39.6% | +20.9% | −37.7% | +9.1% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.3801 | +14.7% | +34.2% | −19.1% | +7.6% |
| 4 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.3993 | +16.9% | +25.8% | −23.1% | −4.8% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.4371 | −12.4% | +21.3% | −26.7% | −8.6% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $0.4606 | −16.9% | +15.1% | −30.5% | −5.1% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.4618 | −8.0% | +7.5% | −30.3% | −0.3% |
| 16 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.4366 | +10.4% | +18.3% | −17.9% | +5.8% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.3955 | +22.8% | +44.4% | −15.4% | +10.4% |
| 14 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $0.4269 | +13.2% | +11.9% | −29.3% | −7.4% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.3857 | +17.3% | +21.1% | +8.3% | +10.7% |
| 9 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.3409 | +28.1% | +22.3% | +34.0% | +13.1% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.3288 | +20.5% | +12.2% | +32.4% | +3.7% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $0.3525 | −4.1% | +12.9% | +18.4% | −6.7% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.3330 | −1.3% | +24.7% | +29.2% | +5.9% |
| 29 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.3476 | −5.6% | +24.9% | +22.3% | −4.2% |
| 26 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.3016 | +15.4% | +46.9% | +43.3% | +15.3% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.2877 | +27.6% | +67.5% | +71.4% | +4.8% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3844 | −20.1% | +5.4% | +33.3% | −25.2% |
| 9 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.3535 | −7.3% | −4.3% | +38.1% | +8.7% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.3326 | +19.5% | −2.5% | +51.1% | +6.3% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.3579 | +3.1% | −2.8% | +38.7% | −7.1% |
| 30 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3817 | −15.3% | −18.5% | +32.4% | −6.2% |
| 26 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.4060 | −15.6% | −22.3% | +51.0% | −6.0% |
| 23 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.4064 | −2.5% | −32.3% | +26.4% | −0.1% |
| 18 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.4051 | −3.2% | −21.4% | +18.9% | +0.3% |
| 12 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.4267 | −7.4% | −2.9% | +11.0% | −5.1% |
| 8 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.3259 | +30.9% | +1.7% | +17.7% | +30.9% |
| 3 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3261 | +16.1% | +5.1% | +22.0% | −0.1% |
| 2 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $0.3428 | +5.7% | −0.9% | +21.2% | −4.9% |
| 27 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3350 | −4.6% | +17.1% | +32.3% | +2.3% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.3127 | +7.4% | +31.4% | +54.5% | +7.1% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.2995 | +12.2% | +37.2% | +61.3% | +4.4% |
| 19 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.2942 | +17.7% | +34.3% | +52.9% | +1.8% |
| 14 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2953 | +3.1% | +54.8% | +35.4% | −0.4% |
| 9 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.2949 | −5.2% | +22.9% | +11.5% | +0.1% |
| 26 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bear | $0.3821 | −12.8% | −10.5% | −21.1% | −22.8% |
| 24 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.3810 | −12.9% | −15.4% | −27.8% | +0.3% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3632 | +5.8% | −17.2% | −15.4% | +4.9% |
| 17 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.3657 | +0.8% | −23.5% | −8.9% | −0.7% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.3494 | +4.5% | −15.3% | −0.2% | +4.7% |
| 13 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.3485 | +10.5% | −15.4% | +18.9% | +0.3% |
| 8 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3883 | −7.6% | −31.0% | −16.8% | −10.2% |
| 5 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.4155 | −18.7% | −25.3% | −13.9% | −6.5% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.4294 | −18.6% | −22.4% | −20.9% | −3.2% |
| 1 Mar 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.4237 | −6.8% | −21.6% | −6.4% | +1.3% |
| 28 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.3909 | +3.3% | −15.3% | +4.8% | +8.4% |
| 27 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $0.4356 | −4.7% | −20.1% | −7.7% | −10.3% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.4609 | −7.8% | −20.8% | −10.8% | −5.5% |
| 20 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.4839 | −12.7% | −25.7% | −18.6% | −4.8% |
| 15 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.4768 | −1.8% | −27.0% | −16.5% | +1.5% |
| 13 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.4939 | −4.6% | −27.4% | −7.5% | −3.5% |
| 11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.4597 | +8.1% | −24.2% | −1.8% | +7.4% |
| 9 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.4654 | +2.4% | −31.2% | −18.7% | −1.2% |
| 8 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.4326 | +15.0% | −19.2% | −16.2% | +7.6% |
| 4 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $0.5109 | −7.6% | −18.8% | −39.2% | −15.3% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.6198 | −30.2% | −25.3% | −45.3% | −17.6% |
| 31 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $0.6485 | −31.3% | −35.6% | −49.7% | −4.4% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.7606 | −8.0% | −37.7% | −62.9% | −14.7% |
| 14 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.7241 | −3.6% | −31.8% | −58.5% | +5.0% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.8556 | −17.8% | −45.0% | −68.7% | −15.4% |
| 2 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.7573 | +3.9% | −15.3% | −56.0% | +13.0% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.7605 | −1.9% | −8.0% | −48.3% | −0.4% |
| 21 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.8339 | −8.8% | −16.3% | −54.9% | −8.8% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.9703 | −18.0% | −24.7% | −64.6% | −14.1% |
| 12 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $1.06 | −18.7% | −29.4% | −68.1% | −8.4% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.10 | −8.0% | −25.7% | −64.0% | −4.1% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.03 | −6.5% | −27.3% | −54.9% | +7.6% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.9115 | +27.1% | −20.8% | −54.2% | +12.6% |
| 25 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bull | $0.9097 | +6.5% | −10.0% | −47.6% | +0.2% |
| 24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.7996 | +21.5% | +0.1% | −41.5% | +13.8% |
| 21 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.7863 | +23.1% | +1.2% | −41.4% | +1.7% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.6557 | +32.7% | +18.9% | −24.2% | +19.9% |
| 19 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.7385 | +22.6% | +16.6% | −35.8% | −11.2% |
| 18 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.6741 | +27.9% | +40.7% | −29.3% | +9.6% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $0.6540 | +23.7% | +55.5% | −25.5% | +3.1% |
| 13 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.5988 | +15.5% | +71.6% | −21.1% | +9.2% |
| 6 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bull | $0.5197 | +21.2% | +112.0% | −1.7% | +15.2% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.5346 | +2.6% | +74.0% | +10.8% | −2.8% |
| 29 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.5373 | −11.9% | +80.1% | +25.7% | −0.5% |
| 22 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.5790 | −9.8% | +16.1% | +20.6% | −7.2% |
| 14 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bull | $0.5411 | +13.3% | +16.4% | +37.5% | +7.0% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.5405 | +4.5% | +1.5% | +69.5% | +0.1% |
| 4 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.5658 | −7.1% | −10.8% | +31.9% | −4.5% |
| 30 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.6281 | −10.9% | −12.8% | +23.5% | −9.9% |
| 17 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.5283 | +13.3% | +5.5% | +92.5% | +18.9% |
| 16 Sep 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.5110 | +17.4% | +11.1% | +92.6% | +3.4% |
| 14 Sep 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $0.5371 | +7.5% | −1.4% | +91.3% | −4.9% |
| 11 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.5108 | +2.2% | +2.9% | +87.9% | +5.1% |
| 8 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.5097 | +4.1% | +7.7% | +130.2% | +0.2% |
| 4 Sep 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4943 | +7.9% | +8.0% | +107.7% | +3.1% |
| 3 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $0.5170 | +1.4% | +2.8% | +87.4% | −4.4% |
| 25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.5922 | −13.2% | +1.1% | +36.6% | −12.7% |
| 21 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.5548 | −5.3% | +0.5% | +33.1% | +6.7% |
| 15 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.5364 | +3.1% | +0.1% | +17.4% | +3.4% |
| 8 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | $0.5223 | +7.5% | −7.9% | −6.1% | +2.7% |
| 24 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 14 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.7538 | −10.0% | −25.5% | −22.0% | −30.7% |
| 19 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | $0.7703 | −9.3% | −29.9% | −27.7% | −2.1% |
| 16 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.7350 | +3.4% | −23.6% | −28.0% | +4.8% |
| 9 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.6979 | +10.8% | −30.5% | −19.8% | +5.3% |
| 8 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.6274 | +15.0% | −19.9% | −12.3% | +11.2% |
| 6 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $0.6614 | +5.7% | −14.6% | −19.3% | −5.1% |
| 2 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.7801 | −14.4% | −15.7% | −17.3% | −15.2% |
| 1 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $0.8104 | −19.7% | −16.3% | −20.1% | −3.7% |
Showing the newest 200 of 305 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 2 Apr 2023, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
305 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.