Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Beam's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 36 of 37 | −0.4% | −3.2% to +1.4% (93%) | −3.4% to +2.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 32 of 37 | −4.9% | −9.0% to +0.9% (95%) | −9.9% to −0.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 23 of 37 | −16.4% | −20.8% to −11.4% (91%) | too little history | – | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 35 of 36 | +0.8% | −2.4% to +3.3% (91%) | −3.3% to +2.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 32 of 36 | −6.3% | −9.2% to +0.1% (95%) | −9.9% to −0.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 22 of 36 | −17.0% | −22.3% to −6.5% (95%) | too little history | – | |
| Any day since 24 Dec 2025, for comparison | 7 | 277 days | −0.8% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 254 days | −4.7% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 194 days | too little history | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 28 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Coinbase. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 37 | 1 of 37 |
| After bearish flips | 36 | 3 of 36 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Beam, 4-hour flips: 73 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours so far | Bull | 0.00000002489 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +1.4% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000002429 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +2.5% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00000002294 BTC | +6.8% | not yet | not yet | +5.9% |
| 22 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000002200 BTC | +10.7% | not yet | not yet | +4.3% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00000002161 BTC | +5.5% | not yet | not yet | +1.8% |
| 15 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00000002076 BTC | +6.9% | not yet | not yet | +4.1% |
| 11 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00000002101 BTC | +5.9% | not yet | not yet | −1.2% |
| 11 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.00000001931 BTC | +15.2% | not yet | not yet | +8.8% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00000002040 BTC | +0.9% | not yet | not yet | −5.3% |
| 3 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00000001959 BTC | +0.8% | +31.8% | not yet | +4.1% |
| 2 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00000002004 BTC | +1.8% | +20.9% | not yet | −2.3% |
| 28 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000002100 BTC | −6.2% | +21.6% | not yet | −4.5% |
| 27 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00000001978 BTC | +1.4% | +29.4% | not yet | +6.1% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00000001990 BTC | +1.4% | +11.6% | not yet | −0.6% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000002121 BTC | −3.2% | +6.7% | not yet | −6.2% |
| 17 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00000002056 BTC | −4.3% | +0.1% | not yet | +3.1% |
| 14 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000002182 BTC | −9.8% | −3.7% | not yet | −5.7% |
| 11 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00000002107 BTC | −3.0% | −6.3% | not yet | +3.6% |
| 9 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000002198 BTC | −2.9% | −11.3% | not yet | −4.2% |
| 26 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bear | 0.00000002443 BTC | −5.4% | −24.1% | not yet | −10.0% |
| 24 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00000002423 BTC | −7.7% | −17.9% | not yet | +0.8% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00000002495 BTC | −9.4% | −14.5% | not yet | −2.9% |
| 15 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00000002599 BTC | −11.1% | −17.8% | not yet | −4.0% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000002443 BTC | −5.8% | −12.7% | not yet | +6.4% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00000002572 BTC | −9.2% | −16.4% | not yet | −5.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00000002394 BTC | +4.2% | −8.2% | not yet | +7.5% |
| 8 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000002463 BTC | −0.4% | −11.6% | not yet | −2.8% |
| 7 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000002346 BTC | +6.3% | −5.6% | not yet | +5.0% |
| 26 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bull | 0.00000002234 BTC | +2.6% | +9.3% | +2.0% | +5.0% |
| 19 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000002261 BTC | −4.4% | +3.3% | −5.7% | −1.2% |
| 15 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00000002293 BTC | −0.4% | +7.0% | −8.4% | −1.4% |
| 10 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00000002272 BTC | +6.8% | +7.2% | −14.1% | +0.9% |
| 6 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00000002392 BTC | −3.5% | +0.7% | −17.7% | −5.0% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00000002374 BTC | −5.1% | −1.2% | −17.0% | +0.8% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000002413 BTC | −3.1% | +0.8% | −16.4% | −1.6% |
| 26 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00000002340 BTC | +4.1% | −8.9% | −15.9% | +3.1% |
| 21 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000002381 BTC | −3.2% | −6.2% | −16.1% | −1.7% |
| 12 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000002492 BTC | −8.5% | −9.6% | −14.8% | −4.5% |
| 6 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000002466 BTC | +0.6% | −5.1% | −8.3% | +1.0% |
| 5 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000002392 BTC | +8.9% | +2.2% | −5.1% | +3.1% |
| 4 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000002499 BTC | +4.7% | −3.8% | −7.5% | −4.3% |
| 4 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.00000002425 BTC | +7.9% | −0.9% | −4.7% | +3.1% |
| 2 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000002500 BTC | +5.4% | −5.6% | −10.6% | −3.0% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000002574 BTC | −5.8% | −8.8% | −5.1% | −2.9% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000002605 BTC | −4.3% | −4.7% | −11.4% | −1.2% |
| 18 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000002617 BTC | −1.3% | −15.6% | −4.7% | −0.5% |
| 15 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00000002603 BTC | +1.7% | −9.0% | −4.2% | +0.6% |
| 14 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.00000002499 BTC | +4.5% | −3.2% | −0.9% | +4.2% |
| 13 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000002609 BTC | −1.2% | −4.9% | −4.8% | −4.2% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000002576 BTC | −0.4% | −3.5% | −6.5% | +1.2% |
| 31 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00000002476 BTC | +4.1% | +0.9% | −12.7% | +4.1% |
| 13 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 18 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000002908 BTC | −2.4% | −13.3% | −22.5% | −14.9% |
| 11 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000003008 BTC | −7.3% | −15.7% | −22.6% | −3.3% |
| 9 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000002815 BTC | −0.2% | −9.2% | −15.2% | +6.9% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000002810 BTC | +3.5% | −5.1% | −13.0% | +0.2% |
| 19 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 15 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00000003431 BTC | −12.9% | −19.8% | −35.1% | −18.1% |
| 16 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00000003599 BTC | −12.3% | −22.5% | −36.5% | −4.7% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.00000003433 BTC | −2.9% | −17.4% | −32.1% | +4.8% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00000003576 BTC | −4.0% | −21.7% | −30.6% | −4.0% |
| 8 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00000003480 BTC | +3.0% | −18.2% | −24.2% | +2.8% |
| 4 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00000003412 BTC | +1.0% | −20.7% | −29.9% | +2.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00000003210 BTC | +8.2% | −11.6% | −22.3% | +6.3% |
| 26 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00000003652 BTC | −10.9% | −15.8% | −29.6% | −12.1% |
| 25 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | 0.00000003236 BTC | +1.5% | −7.5% | −20.2% | +12.9% |
| 22 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00000003341 BTC | +3.7% | +1.3% | −20.8% | −3.1% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00000003218 BTC | +8.7% | +10.3% | −19.1% | +3.8% |
| 17 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000003362 BTC | −4.4% | +7.1% | −18.4% | −4.3% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000003210 BTC | −0.4% | +10.5% | −21.3% | +4.7% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00000003383 BTC | −3.8% | +3.4% | −24.6% | −5.1% |
| 7 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.00000003321 BTC | +2.1% | +1.4% | −22.4% | +1.9% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000003127 BTC | +7.6% | +6.4% | −21.0% | +6.2% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00000003268 BTC | +3.3% | +12.8% | −25.2% | −4.3% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00000003163 BTC | −0.3% | +2.2% | −19.9% | +3.3% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 24 Dec 2025, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
73 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.