Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Bitcoin Cash's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 45 of 45 | −3.5% | −5.9% to −0.6% (93%) | −3.5% to +0.9% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 44 of 45 | −5.0% | −7.0% to −3.0% (90%) | −8.8% to −0.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 43 of 45 | −16.0% | −21.1% to −0.9% (93%) | −20.3% to −2.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 44 of 44 | −1.8% | −2.9% to −1.0% (90%) | −3.7% to +0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 44 of 44 | −4.0% | −11.4% to +1.4% (90%) | −8.8% to −0.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 42 of 44 | −20.6% | −23.7% to −6.2% (91%) | −20.9% to −3.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 27 Dec 2019, for comparison | 7 | 2,466 days | −1.5% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,443 days | −4.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,383 days | −13.5% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest four flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are daily closes of the native BCH/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 45 | 2 of 45 |
| After bearish flips | 44 | 0 of 44 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Bitcoin Cash's daily line has flipped 13.2 times a year since 27 Dec 2019.
Bitcoin Cash, daily flips: 89 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026Lasted 15 days so far | Bull | 0.003152 BTC | +29.5% | not yet | not yet | +19.6% so far |
| 28 Aug 2026Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.003191 BTC | −2.4% | +23.4% | not yet | −1.2% |
| 21 Aug 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.003686 BTC | −13.4% | −15.5% | not yet | −13.4% |
| 15 Jul 2026Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.003448 BTC | −3.5% | −5.7% | not yet | +6.9% |
| 30 Jun 2026Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.003412 BTC | +10.8% | −1.8% | +8.9% | +1.1% |
| 1 Apr 2026Lasted 90 days | Bear | 0.006680 BTC | −7.1% | −13.8% | −48.9% | −48.9% |
| 22 Mar 2026Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.006887 BTC | −0.4% | −14.8% | −54.8% | −3.0% |
| 23 Feb 2026Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.007665 BTC | −15.6% | −13.4% | −41.2% | −10.2% |
| 2 Feb 2026Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.006853 BTC | +10.9% | −6.3% | −17.6% | +11.8% |
| 13 Jan 2026Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.006465 BTC | +0.2% | +17.4% | −9.0% | +6.0% |
| 26 Oct 2025Lasted 79 days | Bull | 0.004885 BTC | −0.6% | +23.5% | +36.1% | +32.3% |
| 22 Sep 2025Lasted 34 days | Bear | 0.005035 BTC | −2.5% | −12.7% | +32.4% | −3.0% |
| 20 Jul 2025Lasted 64 days | Bull | 0.004668 BTC | +5.8% | +4.1% | −6.3% | +7.9% |
| 12 Jul 2025Lasted 8 days | Bear | 0.004312 BTC | +1.0% | +13.1% | +5.6% | +8.3% |
| 12 Jun 2025Lasted 30 days | Bull | 0.004011 BTC | +18.4% | +7.5% | +27.0% | +7.5% |
| 20 May 2025Lasted 23 days | Bear | 0.003693 BTC | +3.1% | +28.6% | +32.6% | +8.6% |
| 12 Apr 2025Lasted 38 days | Bull | 0.004042 BTC | −2.5% | −1.2% | +11.9% | −8.6% |
| 21 Mar 2025Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.003840 BTC | −5.1% | +2.8% | +23.6% | +5.3% |
| 28 Feb 2025Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.003744 BTC | +19.6% | −3.0% | +3.6% | +2.6% |
| 10 Dec 2024Lasted 80 days | Bear | 0.005346 BTC | −6.6% | −14.6% | −21.1% | −30.0% |
| 26 Nov 2024Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.005356 BTC | +14.1% | −14.8% | −40.5% | −0.2% |
| 13 Nov 2024Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.004857 BTC | −4.0% | +10.0% | −28.8% | +10.3% |
| 10 Nov 2024Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.005487 BTC | −12.2% | −2.6% | −39.0% | −11.5% |
| 30 Oct 2024Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.005098 BTC | −1.8% | +4.3% | −20.6% | +7.6% |
| 14 Oct 2024Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.005593 BTC | −3.5% | −13.2% | −15.3% | −8.9% |
| 14 Sep 2024Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.005451 BTC | +0.1% | +2.6% | −2.0% | +2.6% |
| 10 Sep 2024Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.005717 BTC | −8.8% | −6.4% | −0.9% | −4.7% |
| 4 Aug 2024Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.005718 BTC | −1.8% | −6.1% | −10.7% | 0.0% |
| 28 Jul 2024Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.006107 BTC | −6.4% | −10.7% | −15.1% | −6.4% |
| 22 Jul 2024Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.005712 BTC | +15.1% | 0.0% | −6.2% | +6.9% |
| 12 Jul 2024Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.006373 BTC | −7.8% | −11.9% | −16.0% | −10.4% |
| 12 Apr 2024Lasted 91 days | Bear | 0.007946 BTC | −6.0% | −11.4% | −23.7% | −19.8% |
| 23 Mar 2024Lasted 20 days | Bull | 0.007120 BTC | +20.3% | +9.8% | −16.1% | +11.6% |
| 5 Mar 2024Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.006286 BTC | −3.2% | +54.5% | +7.5% | +13.3% |
| 2 Mar 2024Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.008082 BTC | −21.7% | +15.1% | −16.6% | −22.2% |
| 17 Feb 2024Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.005173 BTC | +0.3% | +14.6% | +34.5% | +56.2% |
| 11 Feb 2024Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.005747 BTC | −9.7% | +5.9% | +22.8% | −10.0% |
| 7 Feb 2024Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.005427 BTC | −0.1% | +18.1% | +39.2% | +5.9% |
| 12 Jan 2024Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.006060 BTC | −6.2% | −5.2% | +44.7% | −10.4% |
| 2 Jan 2024Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.005720 BTC | −7.2% | −4.0% | +62.6% | +5.9% |
| 27 Dec 2023Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.006080 BTC | −10.2% | −5.0% | +12.6% | −5.9% |
| 8 Oct 2023Lasted 80 days | Bear | 0.008160 BTC | −2.9% | −15.7% | −34.1% | −25.5% |
| 29 Aug 2023Lasted 40 days | Bull | 0.008130 BTC | −8.5% | +8.6% | −26.4% | +0.4% |
| 2 Aug 2023Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.007860 BTC | +2.5% | −1.7% | −10.1% | +3.4% |
| 21 Jun 2023Lasted 42 days | Bull | 0.004530 BTC | +65.1% | +81.7% | +77.5% | +73.5% |
| 10 Jun 2023Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.004000 BTC | +0.7% | +125.7% | +86.3% | +13.3% |
| 9 May 2023Lasted 32 days | Bull | 0.004420 BTC | −2.3% | −4.8% | +84.2% | −9.5% |
| 5 Mar 2023Lasted 65 days | Bear | 0.005530 BTC | −1.1% | −18.3% | −23.3% | −20.1% |
| 20 Feb 2023Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.005840 BTC | −1.7% | −20.9% | −26.5% | −5.3% |
| 16 Jan 2023Lasted 35 days | Bear | 0.005870 BTC | −1.0% | −5.5% | −24.5% | −0.5% |
| 9 Jan 2023Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.006220 BTC | −5.6% | −7.7% | −28.8% | −5.6% |
| 10 Dec 2022Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.006360 BTC | −3.3% | −2.2% | −12.9% | −2.2% |
| 4 Nov 2022Lasted 36 days | Bull | 0.005870 BTC | +2.9% | +10.6% | −0.9% | +8.3% |
| 12 Sep 2022Lasted 53 days | Bear | 0.005750 BTC | −0.2% | +1.6% | +8.0% | +2.1% |
| 23 Aug 2022Lasted 20 days | Bull | 0.006190 BTC | −6.6% | −3.1% | +5.8% | −7.1% |
| 14 Aug 2022Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.005740 BTC | −3.1% | +1.4% | +6.3% | +7.8% |
| 19 Jul 2022Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.005490 BTC | +2.0% | +1.5% | +3.1% | +4.6% |
| 28 Jun 2022Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.005090 BTC | +1.2% | +28.5% | +18.9% | +7.9% |
| 18 Jun 2022Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.006090 BTC | −11.8% | −11.2% | −1.0% | −16.4% |
| 21 Apr 2022Lasted 58 days | Bear | 0.007790 BTC | −1.0% | −16.2% | −32.6% | −21.8% |
| 13 Apr 2022Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.008290 BTC | −3.6% | −16.6% | −39.3% | −6.0% |
| 28 Mar 2022Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.007820 BTC | +3.2% | +0.1% | −31.3% | +6.0% |
| 19 Mar 2022Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.007770 BTC | +4.8% | +7.5% | −23.6% | +0.6% |
| 4 Dec 2021Lasted 105 days | Bear | 0.009630 BTC | −3.4% | −2.9% | −23.1% | −19.3% |
| 9 Nov 2021Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.01073 BTC | −7.2% | −12.0% | −27.0% | −10.3% |
| 13 Sep 2021Lasted 57 days | Bear | 0.01367 BTC | −7.8% | −24.4% | −33.1% | −21.5% |
| 3 Sep 2021Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.01428 BTC | −1.8% | −17.0% | −30.5% | −4.3% |
| 22 Aug 2021Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.01365 BTC | −1.0% | −9.1% | −28.3% | +4.6% |
| 14 Aug 2021Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.01470 BTC | −5.9% | −7.0% | −29.1% | −7.2% |
| 8 Aug 2021Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.01269 BTC | +18.0% | +13.2% | −24.8% | +15.8% |
| 2 Aug 2021Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.01388 BTC | −7.9% | −3.2% | −29.8% | −8.5% |
| 19 May 2021Lasted 75 days | Bear | 0.01895 BTC | +2.7% | −17.0% | −24.6% | −26.8% |
| 5 Apr 2021Lasted 44 days | Bull | 0.01095 BTC | +2.3% | +131.2% | +36.3% | +73.0% |
| 20 Feb 2021Lasted 44 days | Bear | 0.01215 BTC | −13.8% | −22.5% | +51.8% | −9.9% |
| 13 Feb 2021Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.01417 BTC | −14.3% | −33.6% | +83.7% | −14.3% |
| 29 Jan 2021Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.01189 BTC | −1.6% | −14.2% | +38.3% | +19.2% |
| 9 Jan 2021Lasted 20 days | Bull | 0.01436 BTC | −5.2% | −27.3% | −24.4% | −17.2% |
| 27 Nov 2020Lasted 43 days | Bear | 0.01549 BTC | −3.2% | −17.0% | −31.5% | −7.3% |
| 21 Nov 2020Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.01631 BTC | −4.5% | −15.5% | −21.1% | −5.0% |
| 19 Oct 2020Lasted 33 days | Bear | 0.02126 BTC | −6.5% | −34.8% | −37.0% | −23.3% |
| 13 Oct 2020Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.02218 BTC | −8.9% | −28.1% | −39.3% | −4.2% |
| 12 Aug 2020Lasted 62 days | Bear | 0.02462 BTC | +1.2% | −11.9% | −31.7% | −9.9% |
| 25 Jul 2020Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.02590 BTC | +4.5% | −4.5% | −19.3% | −5.0% |
| 17 Jul 2020Lasted 8 days | Bear | 0.02431 BTC | +1.4% | +6.4% | −6.3% | +6.5% |
| 6 Jul 2020Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.02594 BTC | −3.2% | −3.6% | −20.2% | −6.3% |
| 13 Apr 2020Lasted 84 days | Bear | 0.03269 BTC | −1.9% | −21.3% | −21.9% | −20.6% |
| 19 Mar 2020Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.03584 BTC | −5.6% | −6.2% | −29.1% | −8.8% |
| 16 Feb 2020Lasted 32 days | Bear | 0.04156 BTC | −2.8% | −17.5% | −39.3% | −13.8% |
| 27 Dec 2019Lasted 51 days | Bull | 0.02802 BTC | +8.1% | +44.3% | +20.7% | +48.3% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 27 Dec 2019, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
89 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.