Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Celestia's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin9 Nov 2023 to now
299flips
2 days 16 hourstypical run
14 dayslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Celestia's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−34.9%Median of 139 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−34.2%Median of 138 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after any day−35.3%970 days since 9 Nov 2023
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 149 of 150 | −3.1% | −4.2% to 0.0% (93%) | −5.2% to −1.2% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 145 of 150 | −12.8% | −16.8% to −10.1% (90%) | −14.4% to −7.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 139 of 150 | −34.9% | −39.8% to −28.2% (91%) | −39.1% to −28.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 148 of 149 | −2.9% | −4.6% to −0.9% (92%) | −5.3% to −1.3% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 144 of 149 | −13.4% | −16.2% to −9.4% (92%) | −14.4% to −7.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 138 of 149 | −34.2% | −38.8% to −30.9% (93%) | −39.3% to −28.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 9 Nov 2023, for comparison | 7 | 1,053 days | −3.3% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,030 days | −11.0% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 970 days | −35.3% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 22 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 150 | 10 of 150 |
| After bearish flips | 149 | 6 of 149 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Celestia's 4-hour line has flipped 103.1 times a year since 9 Nov 2023, 12:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Celestia, 4-hour flips: 299 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours so far | Bull | 0.000005445 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +2.5% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000005556 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −2.0% |
| 26 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000006063 BTC | −12.7% | not yet | not yet | −8.3% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000005431 BTC | −3.0% | not yet | not yet | +11.6% |
| 22 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000005762 BTC | −6.8% | not yet | not yet | −5.7% |
| 21 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000004999 BTC | +20.8% | not yet | not yet | +15.2% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000004485 BTC | +21.8% | not yet | not yet | +11.5% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000005065 BTC | −15.0% | not yet | not yet | −11.5% |
| 5 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000004578 BTC | 0.0% | not yet | not yet | +10.6% |
| 4 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000004490 BTC | +7.2% | not yet | not yet | +2.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000004325 BTC | +25.0% | +22.3% | not yet | +3.8% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | 0.000004721 BTC | −8.4% | +7.2% | not yet | −8.4% |
| 21 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004853 BTC | −8.3% | +6.9% | not yet | −2.7% |
| 17 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000004732 BTC | +3.5% | −9.0% | not yet | +2.5% |
| 16 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000004925 BTC | −0.7% | −7.4% | not yet | −3.9% |
| 5 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000005168 BTC | −4.5% | −12.7% | not yet | −4.7% |
| 30 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | 0.000005110 BTC | +1.6% | −14.1% | not yet | +1.1% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000005987 BTC | −10.5% | −20.3% | not yet | −14.7% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000006590 BTC | −15.2% | −25.1% | not yet | −9.1% |
| 10 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000006227 BTC | +0.1% | −18.9% | not yet | +5.8% |
| 8 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000006257 BTC | +0.1% | −16.3% | not yet | −0.5% |
| 6 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000006067 BTC | +3.0% | −13.3% | not yet | +3.1% |
| 3 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000006402 BTC | +1.5% | −20.3% | −17.4% | −5.2% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000006178 BTC | −3.2% | −18.6% | −2.2% | +3.6% |
| 26 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000006358 BTC | −6.7% | −17.1% | −14.1% | −2.8% |
| 24 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000005841 BTC | +3.9% | −8.3% | −13.3% | +8.9% |
| 22 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000006129 BTC | +2.8% | −10.1% | −15.4% | −4.7% |
| 20 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000005877 BTC | +8.0% | −5.0% | −21.4% | +4.3% |
| 13 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000005255 BTC | +13.8% | +18.9% | −8.4% | +11.8% |
| 10 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000004977 BTC | +23.9% | +30.6% | +8.6% | +5.6% |
| 9 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000005127 BTC | +8.7% | +25.2% | +7.5% | −2.9% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000005356 BTC | −6.5% | +20.0% | −14.4% | −4.3% |
| 2 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000005609 BTC | −10.1% | +6.1% | −25.5% | −4.5% |
| 28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000005718 BTC | +0.4% | +11.0% | −21.9% | −1.9% |
| 23 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000005846 BTC | −4.3% | −1.7% | −19.3% | −2.2% |
| 23 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000005367 BTC | +4.2% | +7.1% | −12.1% | +8.9% |
| 20 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000005261 BTC | +17.2% | +18.8% | −10.7% | +2.0% |
| 14 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000005636 BTC | −6.2% | −9.6% | −12.5% | −6.7% |
| 7 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000004765 BTC | +19.9% | +3.7% | +10.4% | +18.3% |
| 5 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.000004391 BTC | +25.9% | +30.8% | +18.0% | +8.5% |
| 5 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000004553 BTC | +21.4% | +26.1% | +13.8% | −3.6% |
| 29 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000004570 BTC | −2.4% | +22.8% | +11.8% | −0.4% |
| 28 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004683 BTC | −4.2% | +25.5% | +14.5% | −2.4% |
| 20 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000005008 BTC | −9.5% | +0.2% | +11.5% | −6.5% |
| 14 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | 0.000004245 BTC | +17.7% | +34.6% | +47.2% | +18.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000004129 BTC | +7.2% | +34.9% | +44.5% | +2.8% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000004295 BTC | −3.8% | +12.8% | +39.3% | −3.9% |
| 5 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000004300 BTC | −2.1% | +4.4% | +49.5% | −0.1% |
| 3 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004357 BTC | −2.8% | +4.3% | +36.6% | −1.3% |
| 26 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000004583 BTC | −4.8% | +1.2% | +31.0% | −4.9% |
| 25 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000004708 BTC | −8.0% | −1.5% | +27.7% | −2.7% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000004844 BTC | −2.8% | +12.9% | +15.1% | −2.8% |
| 13 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000004935 BTC | −3.1% | −14.7% | +1.5% | −1.8% |
| 12 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000004703 BTC | +4.2% | −10.0% | +12.1% | +4.9% |
| 12 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000004852 BTC | +1.0% | −12.8% | +8.7% | −3.1% |
| 8 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000004682 BTC | +4.7% | −11.2% | +5.5% | +3.6% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000004871 BTC | −0.4% | −11.7% | +17.9% | −3.9% |
| 4 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000004696 BTC | −0.3% | −9.2% | +19.4% | +3.7% |
| 1 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000004951 BTC | −4.1% | −11.1% | +13.0% | −5.1% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000004968 BTC | −5.9% | −8.9% | +24.1% | −0.4% |
| 25 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000004766 BTC | +1.5% | −3.9% | +28.5% | +4.3% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000004774 BTC | +2.2% | −2.9% | +15.4% | −0.2% |
| 20 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000004942 BTC | +1.3% | −5.8% | +7.0% | −3.4% |
| 18 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000004956 BTC | −5.5% | −3.5% | +4.5% | −0.3% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004698 BTC | +4.5% | +4.5% | +21.9% | +5.5% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000004830 BTC | +0.6% | −1.7% | −1.3% | −2.7% |
| 1 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000004853 BTC | +2.0% | −2.5% | −7.7% | −0.5% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000004964 BTC | +0.9% | −2.2% | −3.8% | −2.2% |
| 28 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000005143 BTC | −5.5% | −2.6% | −11.1% | −3.5% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000005665 BTC | −12.8% | −10.9% | −8.5% | −9.2% |
| 17 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000006093 BTC | −16.9% | −19.0% | −10.2% | −7.0% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000006001 BTC | −12.0% | −18.6% | −31.1% | +1.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000006324 BTC | −15.2% | −27.6% | −34.9% | −5.1% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000006027 BTC | +1.2% | −19.3% | −28.7% | +4.9% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000005537 BTC | +11.6% | −12.8% | −21.7% | +8.9% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000005149 BTC | +20.0% | −6.2% | −15.8% | +7.5% |
| 31 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000005393 BTC | +16.8% | −10.0% | −18.4% | −4.5% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000005213 BTC | +20.3% | −2.4% | −14.9% | +3.5% |
| 25 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000005199 BTC | 0.0% | −2.6% | −9.4% | +0.3% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bear | 0.000006420 BTC | −12.9% | −4.9% | −27.0% | −19.0% |
| 8 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000006547 BTC | −6.3% | −3.8% | −27.5% | −1.9% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000006393 BTC | −0.4% | −8.4% | −26.9% | +2.4% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000007089 BTC | −7.5% | −26.6% | −31.6% | −9.8% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000006636 BTC | −7.1% | −21.8% | −26.5% | +6.8% |
| 29 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000007199 BTC | −10.6% | −25.7% | −30.4% | −7.8% |
| 28 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000006830 BTC | −1.1% | −19.2% | −24.3% | +5.4% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.000007233 BTC | −3.8% | −27.9% | −35.3% | −5.6% |
| 16 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000008857 BTC | −17.3% | −34.2% | −44.8% | −18.3% |
| 14 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000009370 BTC | −11.7% | −31.4% | −51.1% | −5.5% |
| 13 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000009031 BTC | −6.5% | −29.6% | −49.1% | +3.8% |
| 7 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000008421 BTC | +6.3% | −22.7% | −40.5% | +7.2% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000008236 BTC | +18.4% | −17.3% | −42.6% | +2.2% |
| 1 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000008758 BTC | +17.1% | −19.5% | −44.6% | −6.0% |
| 30 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000008814 BTC | −10.4% | −21.9% | −42.3% | −0.6% |
| 29 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000009319 BTC | −17.2% | −23.6% | −46.0% | −5.4% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000008928 BTC | −15.0% | −21.6% | −44.6% | +4.4% |
| 25 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000009380 BTC | −12.5% | −25.1% | −45.6% | −4.8% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000009196 BTC | −2.9% | −10.0% | −41.7% | +2.0% |
| 21 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000009563 BTC | −5.1% | −11.7% | −40.8% | −3.8% |
| 21 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000009255 BTC | −1.9% | −8.8% | −38.8% | +3.3% |
| 19 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000009669 BTC | −4.1% | −11.6% | −38.1% | −4.3% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000009173 BTC | −0.7% | −2.0% | −33.5% | +5.4% |
| 13 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001004 BTC | −6.5% | −7.9% | −39.7% | −8.6% |
| 8 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001181 BTC | −13.0% | −32.6% | −46.9% | −15.1% |
| 5 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001266 BTC | −34.0% | −40.1% | −53.5% | −6.7% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001194 BTC | −31.1% | −26.9% | −53.0% | +6.1% |
| 1 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001239 BTC | −3.6% | −32.0% | −57.9% | −3.7% |
| 29 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001244 BTC | −3.9% | −28.3% | −55.6% | −0.4% |
| 26 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001293 BTC | −3.6% | −28.3% | −60.4% | −3.8% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001504 BTC | −16.6% | −37.5% | −62.8% | −14.0% |
| 17 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001508 BTC | −13.3% | −36.9% | −61.3% | −0.3% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001542 BTC | −3.4% | −33.4% | −58.8% | −2.2% |
| 13 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00001631 BTC | −9.9% | −43.3% | −61.0% | −5.4% |
| 10 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001588 BTC | −8.2% | −25.6% | −58.7% | +2.7% |
| 5 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001452 BTC | +7.5% | −12.8% | −52.1% | +9.3% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | 0.00001527 BTC | −3.4% | −14.4% | −52.0% | −4.9% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001591 BTC | −2.5% | −6.3% | −46.9% | −4.0% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001508 BTC | +4.8% | −3.3% | −40.4% | +5.5% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001577 BTC | +2.5% | −6.8% | −42.8% | −4.4% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001530 BTC | −1.2% | +4.3% | −39.6% | +3.1% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001554 BTC | −3.5% | −0.5% | −37.2% | −1.5% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001495 BTC | +3.9% | +3.0% | −31.4% | +3.9% |
| 8 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00001505 BTC | −1.9% | −3.4% | −47.5% | −0.7% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001421 BTC | +1.6% | +2.8% | −38.6% | +5.9% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001491 BTC | −3.1% | −2.0% | −41.5% | −4.6% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001660 BTC | −13.5% | −9.4% | −44.2% | −10.2% |
| 27 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001685 BTC | −15.8% | −13.1% | −44.8% | −1.5% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001769 BTC | −10.6% | −16.2% | −47.7% | −4.7% |
| 16 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001681 BTC | +9.4% | −12.2% | −38.9% | +5.3% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001551 BTC | +7.2% | −0.9% | −23.8% | +8.4% |
| 10 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001542 BTC | +9.1% | −1.7% | −22.5% | +0.6% |
| 8 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00001438 BTC | +8.0% | +0.3% | −16.9% | +7.2% |
| 7 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001483 BTC | +7.1% | −3.3% | −14.6% | −3.0% |
| 5 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00001399 BTC | +17.5% | +2.7% | −10.9% | +6.0% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001380 BTC | +6.3% | +5.3% | −10.6% | +1.4% |
| 30 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001310 BTC | +13.2% | +20.7% | −1.8% | +5.4% |
| 30 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001416 BTC | +4.7% | +11.7% | −9.2% | −7.5% |
| 26 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001471 BTC | −1.7% | +12.5% | −11.1% | −3.8% |
| 24 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00001508 BTC | −14.0% | +7.7% | −3.4% | −2.4% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | 0.00001938 BTC | −17.1% | −15.2% | −16.4% | −22.2% |
| 10 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001947 BTC | −17.3% | −21.9% | −23.9% | −0.4% |
| 4 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002067 BTC | −3.3% | −27.3% | −31.2% | −5.8% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00002163 BTC | −10.8% | −33.1% | −31.8% | −4.4% |
| 30 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002258 BTC | −14.1% | −39.0% | −33.0% | −4.2% |
| 27 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002426 BTC | −12.4% | −39.4% | −34.9% | −6.9% |
| 23 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002496 BTC | −5.0% | −42.5% | −39.5% | −2.8% |
| 22 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002533 BTC | −4.2% | −39.8% | −42.4% | −1.4% |
| 18 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002475 BTC | −4.9% | −35.0% | −38.8% | +2.3% |
| 18 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002619 BTC | −10.1% | −38.5% | −42.2% | −5.5% |
| 15 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002952 BTC | −18.3% | −42.4% | −47.2% | −11.3% |
| 8 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002730 BTC | +8.1% | −31.5% | −47.5% | +8.1% |
| 28 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002981 BTC | −15.0% | −18.5% | −45.2% | −8.4% |
| 18 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002837 BTC | +7.7% | −11.9% | −40.7% | +5.1% |
| 13 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002980 BTC | −2.2% | +3.4% | −44.8% | −4.8% |
| 7 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00003155 BTC | −8.5% | −22.8% | −56.4% | −5.5% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00004043 BTC | −15.7% | −23.0% | −63.6% | −22.0% |
| 27 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00004339 BTC | −18.6% | −30.2% | −63.4% | −6.8% |
| 26 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00004083 BTC | −9.5% | −25.2% | −63.1% | +6.3% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00004065 BTC | +4.6% | −28.3% | −60.5% | +0.4% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00004142 BTC | −2.6% | −29.2% | −58.9% | −1.9% |
| 11 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003835 BTC | +5.2% | −19.3% | −50.5% | +8.0% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00003588 BTC | +14.3% | −14.8% | −45.7% | +6.9% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003873 BTC | +5.9% | −21.1% | −49.7% | −7.3% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | 0.00003700 BTC | +10.8% | −17.4% | −47.4% | +4.7% |
| 8 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00003787 BTC | +11.0% | −20.9% | −48.8% | −2.3% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004406 BTC | −14.8% | −16.2% | −52.2% | −14.1% |
| 25 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00003901 BTC | +1.6% | +5.7% | −39.8% | +13.0% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00003635 BTC | +21.2% | +16.1% | −35.2% | +7.3% |
| 17 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003326 BTC | +15.9% | +17.4% | −24.8% | +9.3% |
| 15 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00003156 BTC | +18.3% | +29.9% | −15.8% | +5.4% |
| 14 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00003322 BTC | +12.2% | +29.1% | −11.1% | −5.0% |
| 12 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00003274 BTC | −4.1% | +36.7% | −5.8% | +1.5% |
| 9 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00003145 BTC | −0.1% | +13.3% | −5.6% | +4.1% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00003950 BTC | −26.0% | +11.6% | −30.9% | −20.4% |
| 30 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00004041 BTC | −22.5% | +19.8% | −28.1% | −2.3% |
| 27 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00004235 BTC | −20.2% | −3.0% | −26.5% | −4.6% |
| 19 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00004850 BTC | −10.6% | −32.6% | −41.9% | −12.7% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.00004838 BTC | −10.5% | −34.8% | −42.8% | +0.2% |
| 15 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00005182 BTC | −11.2% | −39.2% | −43.4% | −6.6% |
| 13 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00004821 BTC | −4.8% | −30.2% | −35.5% | +7.5% |
| 11 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00005103 BTC | +1.1% | −36.7% | −39.7% | −5.5% |
| 6 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00005463 BTC | −4.5% | −39.2% | −40.9% | −6.6% |
| 2 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00005197 BTC | −8.6% | −18.5% | −28.9% | +5.1% |
| 31 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004955 BTC | +9.0% | −23.7% | −20.5% | +4.9% |
| 29 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00005168 BTC | +9.6% | −23.2% | −21.4% | −4.1% |
| 25 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00005176 BTC | −4.6% | −13.8% | −19.5% | −0.2% |
| 21 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00005372 BTC | −6.3% | −14.5% | −25.9% | −3.7% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00006804 BTC | −21.3% | −23.3% | −34.2% | −21.0% |
| 12 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00007472 BTC | −23.2% | −31.7% | −48.2% | −8.9% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00008041 BTC | −18.0% | −37.4% | −52.5% | −7.1% |
| 6 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00008860 BTC | −18.6% | −36.0% | −57.9% | −9.2% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00007900 BTC | −9.7% | −29.1% | −50.4% | +12.1% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00008168 BTC | −16.2% | −37.0% | −46.1% | −3.3% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00007997 BTC | +3.6% | −38.3% | −39.4% | +2.1% |
| 22 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00005510 BTC | +56.2% | −7.8% | −41.0% | +45.1% |
| 19 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00005595 BTC | +49.1% | +2.5% | −43.7% | −1.5% |
| 17 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00005775 BTC | +26.3% | +7.4% | −43.5% | −3.1% |
| 11 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00006593 BTC | −15.2% | +4.1% | −52.3% | −12.4% |
| 6 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00006701 BTC | −7.1% | +26.9% | −48.5% | −1.6% |
| 25 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00008360 BTC | −17.2% | −12.7% | −46.0% | −19.8% |
Showing the newest 200 of 299 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 9 Nov 2023, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
299 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.