Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Celestia's 4-hour trend9 Nov 2023 to now
268flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
15 days 12 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Celestia's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−30.5%Median of 125 flips; 9 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−30.6%Median of 125 flips; 9 are too recent
90 days after any day−30.5%970 days since 9 Nov 2023
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 133 of 134 | −0.6% | −2.3% to +1.3% (92%) | −5.3% to +0.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 131 of 134 | −9.6% | −13.8% to −4.9% (92%) | −13.5% to −4.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 125 of 134 | −30.5% | −36.3% to −22.6% (93%) | −37.4% to −21.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 133 of 134 | −2.1% | −4.5% to +0.5% (92%) | −5.3% to +0.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 131 of 134 | −10.7% | −12.8% to −3.4% (92%) | −13.5% to −4.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 125 of 134 | −30.6% | −38.8% to −21.4% (93%) | −37.4% to −21.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 9 Nov 2023, for comparison | 7 | 1,053 days | −2.5% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,030 days | −8.8% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 970 days | −30.5% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 18 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 134 | 7 of 134 |
| After bearish flips | 134 | 1 of 134 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Celestia's 4-hour line has flipped 92.4 times a year since 9 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Celestia, 4-hour flips: 134 bearish flips of 268
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.4610 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +1.7% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.4651 | −5.2% | not yet | not yet | +9.7% |
| 8 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4092 | −12.9% | not yet | not yet | −15.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3754 | −9.0% | +11.6% | not yet | −9.1% |
| 18 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.2948 | +26.2% | +15.9% | not yet | +5.8% |
| 6 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.3269 | −7.0% | +7.1% | not yet | −4.9% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.3364 | −2.1% | +4.2% | not yet | −1.6% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3899 | −7.3% | −19.5% | not yet | −10.1% |
| 6 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.3791 | +5.1% | −11.1% | not yet | +6.8% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.3657 | +4.8% | −12.0% | +39.5% | +8.6% |
| 23 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.3749 | +4.1% | −3.4% | +11.7% | +3.8% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3705 | +0.9% | +2.2% | −12.1% | +7.0% |
| 28 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 14 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4374 | −15.8% | −12.8% | −19.8% | −25.5% |
| 23 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.4161 | −1.2% | −12.5% | −17.3% | +6.8% |
| 14 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.4532 | −9.5% | −28.6% | −30.8% | −10.1% |
| 29 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3523 | +2.4% | +17.3% | −7.5% | +4.5% |
| 19 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3923 | −10.8% | +1.7% | −3.5% | −5.9% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.2963 | +32.4% | +52.5% | +34.7% | +6.6% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.2931 | +13.0% | +52.4% | +28.9% | +5.7% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.2845 | +11.0% | +36.4% | +39.9% | +8.6% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.2871 | +4.0% | +22.0% | +24.0% | +2.2% |
| 26 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3175 | −6.4% | +13.2% | +18.6% | −4.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.3604 | −7.8% | +14.1% | +2.6% | −9.6% |
| 7 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.3253 | +7.1% | −11.6% | +3.8% | +1.9% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3381 | +0.4% | −11.1% | +38.5% | −3.4% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.3248 | +0.6% | +1.1% | +28.1% | −4.6% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3364 | −1.0% | +14.2% | +24.9% | −0.7% |
| 11 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.3046 | +11.9% | +12.3% | +48.3% | +7.0% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4346 | −15.7% | −26.4% | −16.2% | −21.4% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.5307 | −19.3% | −35.8% | −26.1% | −15.3% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.5665 | −16.6% | −40.6% | −45.9% | +4.9% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.5571 | +6.1% | −38.4% | −44.6% | +6.1% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.4554 | +26.0% | −0.3% | −35.4% | +7.0% |
| 22 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.4456 | +5.6% | +3.7% | −28.0% | +3.1% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.5770 | −16.5% | −4.1% | −43.2% | −15.7% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.5730 | +2.8% | −7.4% | −40.7% | +3.7% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.5730 | −2.8% | −19.9% | −43.0% | +12.4% |
| 28 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.6160 | +1.0% | −21.3% | −42.9% | +7.6% |
| 12 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 15 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.9480 | −16.6% | −37.9% | −65.2% | −30.2% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.8890 | +14.8% | −30.0% | −58.1% | −3.4% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.03 | −21.4% | −38.5% | −58.4% | −6.1% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.00 | +0.6% | −28.4% | −50.4% | +1.9% |
| 16 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $1.04 | −7.4% | −18.0% | −41.6% | +4.0% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $1.45 | −18.6% | −43.6% | −60.5% | −24.0% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.73 | −20.9% | −41.7% | −72.1% | −17.2% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.79 | −3.5% | −33.8% | −67.9% | 0.0% |
| 10 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.74 | −2.1% | −17.4% | −65.8% | +6.7% |
| 4 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $1.56 | +13.0% | −3.4% | −60.1% | +4.0% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $1.62 | −4.2% | −13.2% | −61.0% | +1.2% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.72 | −7.4% | −15.0% | −64.0% | +1.4% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.74 | +3.2% | −2.0% | −50.5% | +1.1% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.81 | −4.5% | +2.3% | −47.4% | +3.2% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $1.75 | +4.6% | +3.3% | −40.5% | +6.2% |
| 6 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $1.59 | +17.9% | −2.1% | −49.1% | +8.9% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.93 | −14.9% | −12.8% | −46.3% | −11.0% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $2.03 | −8.3% | −18.0% | −49.7% | −1.7% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.82 | +8.0% | +0.9% | −20.9% | +9.0% |
| 8 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $1.56 | +19.4% | +6.4% | −5.3% | +6.2% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.52 | +21.5% | +5.3% | −4.1% | +6.7% |
| 30 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.41 | +14.8% | +32.3% | 0.0% | +3.5% |
| 26 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.54 | +2.3% | +26.6% | −4.8% | −0.3% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $2.07 | −18.6% | −6.6% | −12.7% | −28.2% |
| 30 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | $2.50 | −21.4% | −41.0% | −32.8% | −15.0% |
| 23 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $2.71 | −7.7% | −46.0% | −36.4% | −2.1% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $2.97 | −11.3% | −29.2% | −38.3% | −7.1% |
| 30 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $2.74 | −13.8% | −8.5% | −30.6% | −8.7% |
| 13 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $2.46 | +0.9% | +28.9% | −21.4% | +0.9% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hours | Bear | $3.39 | −16.2% | −13.0% | −53.4% | −25.6% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $3.41 | −0.7% | −27.2% | −47.0% | +0.4% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $3.83 | −20.8% | −17.8% | −42.5% | −16.8% |
| 28 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $3.44 | −7.7% | −6.4% | −23.9% | +18.6% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $3.43 | +21.1% | +7.5% | −26.0% | −0.8% |
| 16 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $3.02 | +24.6% | +12.4% | −11.2% | +6.0% |
| 11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $3.21 | −2.5% | +14.5% | 0.0% | +1.9% |
| 8 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $2.81 | +13.1% | +7.8% | −2.5% | +10.9% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $4.02 | −29.8% | +3.4% | −34.4% | −12.9% |
| 20 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bear | $4.47 | −2.8% | −32.9% | −44.5% | −4.6% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $4.97 | −8.7% | −39.1% | −52.7% | +3.5% |
| 13 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $4.38 | +6.2% | −26.4% | −39.5% | +17.1% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $5.14 | −10.3% | −41.2% | −54.3% | −4.2% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $4.91 | −0.9% | −7.5% | −24.9% | +0.6% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $6.78 | −22.7% | −27.2% | −46.4% | −18.0% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $7.97 | −13.6% | −38.8% | −58.7% | −5.3% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $7.72 | +8.6% | −40.1% | −46.0% | +4.9% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $4.90 | +67.7% | +4.2% | −36.1% | +10.6% |
| 12 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $5.19 | +7.0% | +38.9% | −40.0% | +0.7% |
| 30 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $4.62 | −8.5% | +78.2% | −12.3% | +0.8% |
| 25 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $5.66 | −14.0% | +25.9% | −17.3% | −6.8% |
| 22 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $5.63 | −9.5% | −12.2% | −17.3% | +7.7% |
| 16 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $5.78 | +0.2% | −18.0% | −20.1% | +8.2% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $5.17 | +21.6% | −1.0% | +7.5% | +2.3% |
| 29 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $5.83 | −11.8% | −12.8% | −18.6% | −9.9% |
| 22 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $5.58 | +7.4% | +0.9% | −6.1% | +10.3% |
| 16 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $4.64 | +15.5% | +30.8% | +47.8% | +6.4% |
| 11 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $4.00 | +30.6% | +25.4% | +66.5% | +5.6% |
| 25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 14 days 20 hours | Bear | $5.69 | −21.1% | +16.9% | +0.4% | −27.2% |
| 15 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $5.60 | −8.0% | −19.6% | −2.3% | −6.6% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $5.43 | −5.6% | −21.6% | −0.4% | +5.2% |
| 3 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $4.96 | +13.0% | −14.6% | −1.9% | +2.9% |
| 23 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $6.83 | −18.5% | −24.6% | −10.7% | −18.3% |
| 18 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $6.02 | −0.6% | −14.4% | +0.7% | +11.3% |
| 12 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $6.44 | −3.8% | −8.8% | −25.2% | +6.3% |
| 26 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | $6.49 | −10.2% | −12.0% | +2.4% | −18.6% |
| 17 Jun 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $7.41 | −17.8% | −10.7% | −37.2% | −14.0% |
| 7 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $9.67 | −18.7% | −42.1% | −57.0% | −15.1% |
| 4 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $10.76 | −16.5% | −50.7% | −60.7% | +1.7% |
| 31 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $10.45 | −0.2% | −42.2% | −54.3% | +8.6% |
| 23 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $9.00 | +19.6% | −28.8% | −44.5% | +12.9% |
| 19 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $8.82 | +3.2% | −17.7% | −41.6% | +5.2% |
| 7 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $9.79 | −8.7% | +7.0% | −51.8% | −11.2% |
| 25 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $10.78 | −9.9% | −17.6% | −40.6% | −4.5% |
| 18 Apr 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $9.46 | +16.9% | +0.1% | −30.1% | +18.3% |
| 9 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $11.63 | −16.0% | −19.3% | −56.3% | −13.7% |
| 1 Apr 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $13.70 | −10.8% | −30.9% | −55.9% | −7.0% |
| 27 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $13.56 | −11.1% | −21.2% | −50.4% | +12.9% |
| 24 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $13.35 | +8.2% | −14.3% | −52.0% | +7.3% |
| 14 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $15.99 | −7.3% | −44.8% | −47.3% | −9.4% |
| 11 Mar 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $15.88 | −10.6% | −27.2% | −42.9% | +13.0% |
| 5 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $15.15 | +9.0% | −21.1% | −22.3% | +13.8% |
| 4 Mar 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $15.97 | +0.5% | −24.5% | −28.9% | +5.5% |
| 28 Feb 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $16.59 | −6.1% | −14.6% | −38.8% | +6.4% |
| 20 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $17.74 | −2.2% | −16.4% | −50.3% | −1.5% |
| 12 Feb 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $19.12 | −2.4% | −6.2% | −52.6% | +0.3% |
| 4 Feb 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $17.08 | +16.3% | −8.4% | −40.7% | +6.2% |
| 31 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $16.99 | +2.7% | −2.8% | −42.6% | +2.2% |
| 18 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $17.47 | −6.3% | +6.1% | −35.1% | −5.8% |
| 8 Jan 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $12.99 | +39.0% | +34.3% | −7.3% | +21.5% |
| 3 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $12.79 | +16.8% | +32.3% | +2.9% | +0.8% |
| 26 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $12.49 | +12.1% | +31.0% | +9.3% | +7.6% |
| 18 Dec 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $11.48 | +23.1% | +63.8% | +19.7% | +15.2% |
| 4 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $8.22 | +19.6% | +55.6% | +103.7% | +23.4% |
| 21 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $5.97 | −1.5% | +117.8% | +212.8% | −1.5% |
| 14 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $4.37 | +36.6% | +177.7% | +343.5% | +41.2% |
| 9 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $2.34 | +150.0% | +296.4% | +645.2% | +20.8% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 9 Nov 2023, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
268 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.