Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Onyxcoin's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 33 of 33 | −4.3% | −12.6% to −1.8% (92%) | −6.7% to −0.2% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 32 of 33 | −12.2% | −21.2% to −1.7% (95%) | −17.6% to −3.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 30 of 33 | −26.1% | −32.0% to −13.4% (90%) | −35.0% to −11.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 33 of 33 | −1.9% | −3.4% to −1.4% (92%) | −6.7% to −0.2% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 33 of 33 | −9.8% | −15.7% to −6.1% (92%) | −16.8% to −3.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 31 of 33 | −25.1% | −29.6% to −12.4% (93%) | −34.1% to −10.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 16 Jul 2022, for comparison | 7 | 1,534 days | −3.3% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,511 days | −9.9% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,451 days | −22.6% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest five flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Coinbase. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 33 | 4 of 33 |
| After bearish flips | 33 | 1 of 33 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Onyxcoin's daily line has flipped 15.7 times a year since 16 Jul 2022.
Onyxcoin, daily flips: 66 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026Lasted 29 days so far | Bull | 0.00000005441 BTC | +8.1% | not yet | not yet | +5.5% so far |
| 28 Aug 2026Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00000004353 BTC | +25.0% | +37.1% | not yet | +25.0% |
| 21 Aug 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.00000005043 BTC | −13.7% | +1.2% | not yet | −13.7% |
| 6 Aug 2026Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.00000004730 BTC | −0.7% | +9.9% | not yet | +6.6% |
| 3 Aug 2026Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00000005404 BTC | −12.6% | −22.3% | not yet | −12.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026Lasted 32 days | Bear | 0.00000006311 BTC | −2.2% | −24.0% | −12.4% | −14.4% |
| 27 Jun 2026Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00000006507 BTC | −4.3% | −16.8% | −8.7% | −3.0% |
| 5 Jun 2026Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.00000006161 BTC | −2.2% | +0.6% | −28.6% | +5.6% |
| 2 Jun 2026Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00000006466 BTC | −4.0% | −2.4% | −33.0% | −4.7% |
| 2 May 2026Lasted 31 days | Bear | 0.00000006647 BTC | −1.7% | −6.1% | −26.0% | −2.7% |
| 27 Apr 2026Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00000007911 BTC | −19.3% | −21.2% | −31.3% | −16.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.00000007036 BTC | −4.5% | 0.0% | −9.3% | +12.4% |
| 14 Mar 2026Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.00000007553 BTC | +0.1% | −16.1% | −20.2% | −6.8% |
| 18 Jan 2026Lasted 55 days | Bear | 0.00000008491 BTC | −15.0% | −8.0% | −25.4% | −11.0% |
| 4 Jan 2026Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00000005946 BTC | +75.5% | +23.1% | +17.5% | +42.8% |
| 17 Dec 2025Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.00000005324 BTC | −1.4% | +68.1% | +46.8% | +11.7% |
| 11 Dec 2025Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00000006516 BTC | −24.0% | +35.3% | +10.4% | −18.3% |
| 28 Nov 2025Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.00000006061 BTC | −10.8% | −13.8% | +19.8% | +7.5% |
| 22 Nov 2025Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00000007463 BTC | −16.8% | −29.5% | +1.1% | −18.8% |
| 23 Sep 2025Lasted 60 days | Bear | 0.00000009463 BTC | −2.4% | −15.5% | −44.4% | −21.1% |
| 12 Sep 2025Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.0000001103 BTC | −3.5% | −21.9% | −40.9% | −14.2% |
| 23 Jul 2025Lasted 51 days | Bear | 0.0000001377 BTC | −5.6% | −18.9% | −41.5% | −19.9% |
| 25 Jun 2025Lasted 28 days | Bull | 0.0000001466 BTC | −8.3% | −9.8% | −35.4% | −6.0% |
| 23 May 2025Lasted 33 days | Bear | 0.0000001705 BTC | −6.8% | −25.6% | −36.3% | −14.0% |
| 15 May 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.0000001995 BTC | −10.7% | −37.9% | −43.7% | −14.6% |
| 3 May 2025Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.0000001769 BTC | +0.8% | −18.1% | −29.6% | +12.8% |
| 9 Apr 2025Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.0000001465 BTC | +43.9% | +22.2% | −13.4% | +20.8% |
| 11 Feb 2025Lasted 57 days | Bear | 0.0000002098 BTC | +4.9% | −25.9% | −17.5% | −30.2% |
| 28 Dec 2024Lasted 45 days | Bull | 0.00000002586 BTC | +4.3% | +1,128.8% | +353.2% | +711.2% |
| 9 Dec 2024Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.00000002353 BTC | −1.9% | +20.7% | +548.3% | +9.9% |
| 24 Nov 2024Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.00000001959 BTC | +14.4% | +18.6% | +851.5% | +20.1% |
| 27 Oct 2024Lasted 28 days | Bear | 0.00000001928 BTC | −7.9% | +3.8% | +1,632.7% | +1.6% |
| 21 Oct 2024Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00000002153 BTC | −15.0% | −23.7% | +369.0% | −10.4% |
| 1 Oct 2024Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.00000002073 BTC | −1.4% | −16.2% | +28.1% | +3.9% |
| 21 Sep 2024Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00000002288 BTC | −1.8% | −5.9% | −4.3% | −9.4% |
| 18 Sep 2024Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00000002088 BTC | +8.5% | −9.0% | +8.7% | +9.6% |
| 5 Aug 2024Lasted 44 days | Bull | 0.00000002240 BTC | −8.2% | −0.6% | −20.7% | −6.7% |
| 4 Jul 2024Lasted 32 days | Bear | 0.00000002384 BTC | +0.2% | −15.7% | −14.9% | −6.1% |
| 25 Jun 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00000002767 BTC | −3.9% | −16.5% | −19.6% | −13.8% |
| 17 May 2024Lasted 39 days | Bear | 0.00000003043 BTC | −1.7% | −10.7% | −26.9% | −9.0% |
| 22 Apr 2024Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.00000003380 BTC | +0.6% | −12.2% | −28.8% | −10.0% |
| 4 Apr 2024Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.00000003619 BTC | −2.9% | −7.9% | −25.1% | −6.6% |
| 2 Mar 2024Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.00000004013 BTC | −12.7% | −1.7% | −26.1% | −9.8% |
| 13 Feb 2024Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.00000003177 BTC | +2.3% | +41.1% | +0.5% | +26.3% |
| 10 Feb 2024Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00000003915 BTC | −16.9% | +3.4% | −15.5% | −18.8% |
| 17 Dec 2023Lasted 55 days | Bear | 0.00000004547 BTC | −3.4% | −30.6% | −1.6% | −13.9% |
| 24 Nov 2023Lasted 23 days | Bull | 0.00000002676 BTC | −2.5% | +64.2% | +30.5% | +69.9% |
| 19 Nov 2023Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00000002353 BTC | +8.9% | +84.0% | +38.2% | +13.7% |
| 6 Nov 2023Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.00000002710 BTC | −13.0% | +1.2% | +9.2% | −13.1% |
| 28 Jun 2023Lasted 131 days | Bear | 0.00000003757 BTC | −0.5% | −3.8% | −22.8% | −27.9% |
| 20 Jun 2023Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00000004908 BTC | −19.7% | −23.4% | −40.6% | −23.4% |
| 16 Feb 2023Lasted 124 days | Bear | 0.0000006234 BTC | −26.7% | −71.5% | −88.4% | −92.1% |
| 10 Feb 2023Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.0000005252 BTC | +9.7% | −45.7% | −86.7% | +18.7% |
| 23 Nov 2022Lasted 79 days | Bear | 0.000002548 BTC | −7.0% | −57.7% | −80.8% | −79.4% |
| 13 Nov 2022Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000002949 BTC | +0.9% | −35.7% | −80.8% | −13.6% |
| 8 Nov 2022Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000002310 BTC | +20.4% | −6.2% | −79.2% | +27.7% |
| 31 Oct 2022Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000003256 BTC | −25.0% | −27.3% | −85.0% | −29.0% |
| 23 Oct 2022Lasted 8 days | Bear | 0.000002978 BTC | −19.8% | −13.4% | −82.3% | +9.3% |
| 20 Oct 2022Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000003575 BTC | −27.8% | −18.9% | −85.3% | −16.7% |
| 5 Oct 2022Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.000003460 BTC | +4.6% | −28.5% | −79.1% | +3.3% |
| 21 Sep 2022Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.000003640 BTC | +4.8% | −6.9% | −66.2% | −5.0% |
| 5 Sep 2022Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.000003835 BTC | −13.9% | −9.8% | −41.7% | −5.1% |
| 19 Aug 2022Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.000004194 BTC | +0.5% | −21.7% | −30.8% | −8.5% |
| 7 Aug 2022Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.000003672 BTC | −4.0% | +7.3% | −32.8% | +14.2% |
| 25 Jul 2022Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.000004377 BTC | −9.2% | −9.9% | −32.0% | −16.1% |
| 16 Jul 2022Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.000004435 BTC | −1.9% | −21.1% | −22.9% | −1.3% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 16 Jul 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
66 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.