Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
CoW Protocol's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin19 Nov 2024 to now
178flips
3 daystypical run
13 days 20 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after CoW Protocol's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−17.1%Median of 77 flips; 12 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−19.8%Median of 77 flips; 12 are too recent
90 days after any day−16.7%594 days since 19 Nov 2024
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 88 of 89 | −1.7% | −4.5% to +0.9% (93%) | −3.8% to +1.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 84 of 89 | −5.3% | −11.7% to +2.8% (94%) | −11.6% to −0.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 77 of 89 | −17.1% | −26.3% to −12.4% (93%) | −24.9% to −6.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 87 of 89 | −1.9% | −3.6% to +1.2% (91%) | −3.7% to +1.3% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 83 of 89 | −7.4% | −10.3% to +0.3% (92%) | −11.5% to −0.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 77 of 89 | −19.8% | −23.7% to −9.6% (93%) | −24.9% to −6.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 19 Nov 2024, for comparison | 7 | 677 days | −1.4% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 654 days | −6.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 594 days | −16.7% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 24 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 89 | 3 of 89 |
| After bearish flips | 89 | 4 of 89 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
CoW Protocol's 4-hour line has flipped 95.1 times a year since 19 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
CoW Protocol, 4-hour flips: 178 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days so far | Bear | 0.000001930 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −0.8% so far |
| 29 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001926 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +0.2% |
| 28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001839 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +4.7% |
| 25 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001766 BTC | +9.3% | not yet | not yet | +4.1% |
| 21 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000001866 BTC | +1.5% | not yet | not yet | −5.3% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001732 BTC | −3.5% | not yet | not yet | +7.7% |
| 14 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001721 BTC | +13.8% | not yet | not yet | +0.7% |
| 12 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001756 BTC | +2.6% | not yet | not yet | −2.0% |
| 10 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001670 BTC | +3.7% | not yet | not yet | +5.2% |
| 5 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001631 BTC | +3.9% | not yet | not yet | +2.4% |
| 5 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001564 BTC | +8.3% | not yet | not yet | +4.3% |
| 31 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001606 BTC | +3.4% | +20.1% | not yet | −2.6% |
| 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001506 BTC | +10.2% | +28.1% | not yet | +6.6% |
| 29 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000001572 BTC | +0.5% | +20.5% | not yet | −4.2% |
| 16 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002023 BTC | −27.1% | −14.6% | not yet | −22.3% |
| 15 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000001621 BTC | −3.8% | +9.4% | not yet | +24.8% |
| 3 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | 0.000001793 BTC | −9.1% | −11.4% | not yet | −9.6% |
| 31 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001856 BTC | −13.3% | −15.0% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 28 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002019 BTC | −13.0% | −24.3% | not yet | −8.0% |
| 26 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000002093 BTC | −13.9% | −28.2% | not yet | −3.5% |
| 25 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000002041 BTC | −9.7% | −24.2% | not yet | +2.6% |
| 22 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002094 BTC | −5.9% | −25.8% | not yet | −2.6% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000002087 BTC | −1.4% | +7.1% | not yet | +0.4% |
| 11 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | 0.000002225 BTC | −6.0% | −26.7% | not yet | −6.2% |
| 2 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002386 BTC | −8.2% | −22.8% | −19.2% | −6.8% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002492 BTC | −8.6% | −26.6% | −24.0% | −4.3% |
| 29 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002394 BTC | −2.8% | −17.7% | −23.7% | +4.1% |
| 28 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002464 BTC | −3.7% | −17.5% | −26.7% | −2.8% |
| 22 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002494 BTC | −1.7% | −17.0% | −21.6% | −1.2% |
| 21 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002510 BTC | −3.8% | −18.4% | −28.2% | −0.6% |
| 20 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002455 BTC | −1.9% | −16.5% | −28.5% | +2.3% |
| 13 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002290 BTC | +7.2% | −4.4% | −27.7% | +7.2% |
| 11 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000002189 BTC | +13.9% | +0.3% | −22.3% | +4.6% |
| 8 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002239 BTC | +7.2% | −1.2% | −26.4% | −2.2% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002229 BTC | −1.3% | +8.2% | −28.8% | +0.4% |
| 28 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002145 BTC | +9.1% | +12.2% | −29.2% | +3.9% |
| 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000002159 BTC | −2.4% | +13.9% | −26.3% | −0.6% |
| 21 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002180 BTC | −5.2% | +12.6% | −23.4% | −1.0% |
| 15 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000002307 BTC | −4.3% | +0.2% | −30.4% | −5.5% |
| 8 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000002275 BTC | +1.4% | −4.6% | −27.5% | +1.4% |
| 5 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000002300 BTC | +3.7% | +1.7% | −21.9% | −1.1% |
| 3 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002402 BTC | −1.0% | −7.1% | −23.3% | −4.2% |
| 30 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000002407 BTC | −8.6% | −8.7% | −18.2% | −0.2% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002451 BTC | −1.0% | −11.6% | −15.1% | −1.8% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000003032 BTC | −17.7% | −21.4% | −27.6% | −19.2% |
| 11 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000003067 BTC | −17.8% | −24.0% | −28.8% | −1.1% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003010 BTC | +0.6% | −26.9% | −22.7% | +1.9% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000003075 BTC | −1.7% | −29.2% | −22.8% | −2.1% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000002972 BTC | +1.5% | −20.7% | −16.4% | +3.4% |
| 25 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002963 BTC | +2.0% | −20.7% | −17.0% | +0.3% |
| 21 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000003204 BTC | −8.3% | −23.8% | −21.2% | −7.5% |
| 16 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000003340 BTC | −6.1% | −11.4% | −30.8% | −4.1% |
| 13 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003301 BTC | −0.2% | −6.2% | −33.3% | +1.2% |
| 9 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003418 BTC | −5.4% | −11.2% | −36.5% | −3.4% |
| 8 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.000003385 BTC | −4.9% | −9.8% | −35.1% | +1.0% |
| 2 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003280 BTC | −0.7% | −7.9% | −34.5% | +3.2% |
| 27 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003139 BTC | +11.2% | −5.8% | −34.2% | +4.5% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003402 BTC | −2.7% | −13.6% | −38.3% | −7.7% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003199 BTC | +3.5% | −8.1% | −34.4% | +6.4% |
| 21 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000003095 BTC | +4.5% | +1.3% | −28.6% | +3.4% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003046 BTC | +1.2% | +9.2% | −26.3% | +1.6% |
| 3 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002128 BTC | +16.3% | +55.5% | +12.0% | +43.1% |
| 28 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000002235 BTC | −3.6% | +45.0% | +8.7% | −4.8% |
| 26 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002347 BTC | −12.0% | +41.7% | +4.0% | −4.8% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000002524 BTC | −10.4% | +26.4% | −1.1% | −7.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002682 BTC | −11.9% | +13.3% | −6.0% | −5.9% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002598 BTC | −5.6% | +12.6% | +14.0% | +3.2% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002554 BTC | −1.0% | +12.2% | +18.4% | +1.7% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002524 BTC | +8.4% | −11.2% | +20.3% | +1.2% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002521 BTC | +1.4% | −17.2% | +19.9% | +0.1% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002436 BTC | +5.0% | −14.3% | +24.0% | +3.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 13 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002150 BTC | +15.4% | +18.7% | +52.4% | +13.3% |
| 16 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002166 BTC | +7.6% | +26.3% | +49.3% | −0.7% |
| 13 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000002218 BTC | +0.5% | +11.5% | +52.1% | −2.4% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000002161 BTC | −3.6% | +16.3% | +56.7% | +2.7% |
| 8 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002180 BTC | +1.5% | +17.8% | +57.2% | −0.9% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000002040 BTC | +5.8% | +26.5% | +62.3% | +6.9% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000002156 BTC | +1.6% | +13.0% | +46.3% | −5.4% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002066 BTC | +3.6% | +19.2% | +54.9% | +4.4% |
| 24 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001967 BTC | +7.2% | +30.2% | +56.7% | +5.1% |
| 21 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000002047 BTC | +4.4% | +9.3% | +43.6% | −3.9% |
| 14 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000002109 BTC | −0.9% | +6.5% | +35.9% | −2.9% |
| 13 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001998 BTC | +5.0% | +9.2% | +31.5% | +5.6% |
| 5 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001935 BTC | +5.1% | +8.4% | +9.4% | +3.3% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000002057 BTC | −10.7% | −1.3% | +9.9% | −5.9% |
| 26 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000002070 BTC | −2.4% | −2.0% | +13.8% | −0.6% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002075 BTC | −1.1% | +3.9% | +31.8% | −0.2% |
| 11 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002178 BTC | −2.3% | −6.0% | +16.1% | −4.7% |
| 30 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002275 BTC | +5.0% | −10.3% | +8.2% | −4.3% |
| 29 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003038 BTC | −22.8% | −33.1% | −19.5% | −25.1% |
| 29 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002705 BTC | −13.3% | −24.8% | −9.6% | +12.3% |
| 26 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002513 BTC | −8.8% | −18.2% | −1.2% | +7.7% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000002893 BTC | −16.7% | −26.7% | −28.0% | −13.1% |
| 18 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002957 BTC | −15.7% | −28.1% | −26.3% | −2.2% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003039 BTC | −4.2% | −23.5% | −28.2% | −2.7% |
| 8 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003048 BTC | −0.5% | −24.5% | −29.7% | −0.3% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003227 BTC | −3.3% | −21.5% | −40.2% | −5.6% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003396 BTC | −5.6% | −14.3% | −38.2% | −5.0% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000003591 BTC | −8.4% | −14.9% | −41.5% | −5.4% |
| 8 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003192 BTC | +1.9% | −5.3% | −39.5% | +12.5% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003060 BTC | +11.3% | +0.1% | −35.6% | +4.3% |
| 4 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000003121 BTC | +15.4% | −4.1% | −35.3% | −2.0% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003472 BTC | −13.0% | −8.5% | −40.8% | −10.1% |
| 27 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003492 BTC | −14.6% | −11.7% | −41.4% | −0.6% |
| 22 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003722 BTC | −7.9% | −13.8% | −42.4% | −6.2% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003214 BTC | +20.8% | +6.6% | −28.9% | +15.8% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003000 BTC | +25.9% | +20.1% | −24.2% | +7.1% |
| 8 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002816 BTC | +9.1% | +8.2% | −16.7% | +6.5% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002597 BTC | +15.5% | +14.8% | −11.0% | +8.4% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000002633 BTC | +13.2% | +19.8% | +7.6% | −1.4% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002583 BTC | +4.7% | +29.0% | +2.4% | +2.0% |
| 29 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000002629 BTC | +2.2% | +30.4% | −4.5% | −1.8% |
| 25 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000002625 BTC | −4.4% | +26.2% | −2.6% | +0.1% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002701 BTC | +0.9% | +37.7% | +7.8% | −2.8% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003218 BTC | −14.3% | +18.7% | −5.7% | −16.1% |
| 16 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000003332 BTC | −22.6% | +2.8% | −4.2% | −3.4% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003549 BTC | −16.5% | −8.4% | −13.5% | −6.1% |
| 10 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000003590 BTC | −10.3% | −18.0% | −16.1% | −1.1% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003734 BTC | −3.6% | −29.4% | −19.8% | −3.9% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003976 BTC | −9.7% | −33.5% | −21.5% | −6.1% |
| 30 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000003936 BTC | −12.4% | −33.6% | −20.2% | +1.0% |
| 27 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000004012 BTC | −8.2% | −35.1% | −16.6% | −1.9% |
| 24 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003804 BTC | −5.3% | −32.2% | −16.9% | +5.5% |
| 20 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000003882 BTC | −6.4% | −23.7% | −14.8% | −2.0% |
| 19 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003356 BTC | +10.2% | −10.3% | −2.0% | +15.7% |
| 18 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003579 BTC | +8.3% | −10.1% | −9.5% | −6.2% |
| 15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000003633 BTC | +16.1% | −8.8% | −1.4% | −1.5% |
| 8 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002975 BTC | +28.8% | +16.1% | +2.2% | +22.1% |
| 27 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | 0.000003125 BTC | −5.2% | +16.3% | +8.1% | −4.8% |
| 26 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003380 BTC | −8.5% | +9.4% | −1.9% | −7.5% |
| 24 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003186 BTC | −2.7% | +19.4% | +16.7% | +6.1% |
| 23 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000003399 BTC | −7.9% | +19.7% | +14.2% | −6.3% |
| 18 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000003117 BTC | +5.7% | +8.1% | +22.5% | +9.1% |
| 16 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003412 BTC | −4.5% | +5.7% | −10.0% | −8.6% |
| 15 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003099 BTC | +5.0% | +23.7% | −1.0% | +10.1% |
| 10 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000002779 BTC | +20.6% | +28.3% | +7.3% | +11.5% |
| 6 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000002892 BTC | +1.2% | +1.4% | −8.9% | −3.9% |
| 5 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003039 BTC | −8.4% | −2.3% | −8.1% | −4.8% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | 0.000003516 BTC | −15.5% | −6.3% | −26.0% | −13.6% |
| 27 Mar 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000003776 BTC | −19.5% | −15.0% | −27.3% | −6.9% |
| 23 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003574 BTC | −7.0% | −9.0% | −22.5% | +5.6% |
| 19 Mar 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003674 BTC | +1.6% | −12.0% | −12.4% | −2.7% |
| 17 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003384 BTC | +5.6% | −7.4% | −3.3% | +8.6% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003278 BTC | +3.2% | −18.6% | +7.9% | +3.2% |
| 28 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000004104 BTC | −20.3% | −19.0% | −2.5% | −20.1% |
| 25 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000005568 BTC | −39.0% | −35.0% | −33.6% | −26.3% |
| 23 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003750 BTC | +4.3% | −2.8% | +1.4% | +48.5% |
| 20 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003471 BTC | +35.3% | +5.0% | +8.3% | +8.0% |
| 13 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003898 BTC | −13.1% | −10.7% | +6.9% | −10.9% |
| 9 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000004225 BTC | −20.4% | −23.7% | −15.6% | −7.7% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000005415 BTC | −31.0% | −30.0% | −41.0% | −22.0% |
| 31 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000005732 BTC | −32.6% | −31.8% | −45.9% | −5.5% |
| 23 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | 0.000006140 BTC | −15.5% | −39.5% | −46.9% | −6.6% |
| 19 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000007590 BTC | −23.8% | −55.0% | −57.8% | −19.1% |
| 17 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000007335 BTC | −15.3% | −54.1% | −54.3% | +3.5% |
| 14 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000007333 BTC | −10.2% | −46.8% | −52.7% | 0.0% |
| 13 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000007369 BTC | −6.3% | −44.5% | −60.3% | −0.5% |
| 10 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000008191 BTC | −8.1% | −50.9% | −66.1% | −10.0% |
| 6 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000009249 BTC | −17.5% | −54.2% | −67.6% | −11.4% |
| 3 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000009795 BTC | −21.3% | −49.0% | −69.0% | −5.6% |
| 29 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001005 BTC | −2.0% | −44.1% | −65.1% | −2.6% |
| 29 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001131 BTC | −12.9% | −50.3% | −69.0% | −11.1% |
| 27 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001066 BTC | −12.5% | −45.7% | −66.1% | +6.1% |
| 20 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000008821 BTC | +31.6% | −30.3% | −58.7% | +20.8% |
| 17 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000007260 BTC | +16.4% | +9.6% | −53.4% | +21.5% |
| 15 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000007055 BTC | +17.9% | −0.6% | −50.7% | +2.9% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000006119 BTC | +50.8% | +24.7% | −45.3% | +15.3% |
| 11 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000004746 BTC | +54.6% | +62.3% | −32.1% | +28.9% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000004967 BTC | +85.1% | +64.7% | −33.9% | −4.5% |
| 6 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000005093 BTC | +22.6% | +93.4% | −33.8% | −2.5% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000004413 BTC | +8.5% | +120.0% | −23.9% | +15.4% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004570 BTC | −8.1% | +109.4% | −17.1% | −3.4% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000004285 BTC | +19.5% | +122.1% | −8.7% | +6.6% |
| 25 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000004165 BTC | +10.1% | +123.1% | −5.1% | +2.9% |
| 24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003756 BTC | +17.2% | +125.0% | −1.0% | +10.9% |
| 23 Nov 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003835 BTC | +18.9% | +111.6% | −5.4% | −2.1% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003956 BTC | +11.0% | +69.3% | −13.7% | −3.1% |
| 19 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000004410 BTC | −6.5% | +52.9% | −24.5% | −10.3% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 19 Nov 2024, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
178 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.