Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after deBridge's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bearish flips the median price in Bitcoin was still higher 90 days later. A bearish flip did not by itself mean the price went down. After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 8 of 8 | −2.3% | −3.2% to +9.1% (93%) | −9.1% to +5.8% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 6 of 8 | −15.4% | −28.7% to +18.2% (97%) | −17.2% to +18.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 5 of 8 | −8.3% | −23.8% to +23.1% (94%) | too little history | – | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 7 of 8 | +8.3% | −14.9% to +29.0% (98%) | −8.2% to +7.7% | outside the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 6 of 8 | −7.1% | −23.3% to +19.2% (97%) | −17.2% to +18.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 4 of 8 | +1.9% | −8.0% to +32.3% (88%) | too little history | – | |
| Any day since 10 Dec 2025, for comparison | 7 | 291 days | +0.5% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 268 days | −1.4% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 208 days | too little history | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest seven flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Coinbase. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 8 | 0 of 8 |
| After bearish flips | 8 | 1 of 8 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.
deBridge, daily flips: 16 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026Lasted 3 days so far | Bear | 0.0000002327 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −4.5% so far |
| 23 Sep 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.0000002389 BTC | −2.6% | not yet | not yet | −2.6% |
| 21 Sep 2026Lasted 2 days | Bear | 0.0000001915 BTC | +29.0% | not yet | not yet | +24.8% |
| 11 Sep 2026Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.0000001982 BTC | −2.3% | not yet | not yet | −3.4% |
| 20 Aug 2026Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.0000002123 BTC | −14.9% | −7.1% | not yet | −6.7% |
| 12 Aug 2026Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.0000002342 BTC | −3.2% | −15.4% | not yet | −9.3% |
| 21 Jul 2026Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.0000002387 BTC | −10.8% | −11.1% | not yet | −1.9% |
| 24 Jun 2026Lasted 27 days | Bull | 0.0000002532 BTC | +2.4% | −7.9% | −23.8% | −5.7% |
| 15 Jun 2026Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.0000002177 BTC | +8.3% | +19.2% | −8.0% | +16.3% |
| 19 May 2026Lasted 27 days | Bull | 0.0000001855 BTC | +9.6% | +18.1% | +23.1% | +17.4% |
| 29 Mar 2026Lasted 51 days | Bear | 0.0000002314 BTC | −11.4% | −23.3% | +12.5% | −19.8% |
| 18 Mar 2026Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.0000002392 BTC | −1.2% | −28.7% | −7.4% | −3.3% |
| 4 Mar 2026Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.0000002068 BTC | +9.0% | +2.9% | +1.9% | +15.7% |
| 30 Jan 2026Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.0000001981 BTC | +9.1% | +18.2% | −10.7% | +4.4% |
| 24 Dec 2025Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.0000001793 BTC | +9.2% | −0.7% | +32.3% | +10.5% |
| 10 Dec 2025Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.0000002490 BTC | −6.1% | −18.2% | −8.3% | −28.0% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 10 Dec 2025, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
16 flips are a small sample. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.