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Market score +85. Market value $2.93tn, +6.0% in 30 days. 24h volume $72.4bn, −59.1% in 30 days. Dominance BTC 58.2%, ETH 11.2%. Stablecoins $311.9bn, +1.4% in 30 days. Fear and greed 65, greed

MarketRenderUpdated 4 Oct 2026, 00:08 UTC00:08 UTC
Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only

Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.

A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.

deBridge's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin6 Nov 2025 to now
98flips
2 days 8 hourstypical run
11 days 16 hourslongest run
BullishBearish

What happened after deBridge's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin

After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up.

90 days after a bullish flip−2.5%Median of 38 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−0.4%Median of 38 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after any daytoo little history242 days since 6 Nov 2025
What happened after deBridge's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
Which flipsDays laterFlips countedMedian changeRange of the medianOrdinary daysAgainst ordinary days
After bullish flips749 of 49+0.4%−3.6% to +1.9% (91%)−2.3% to +2.6%within the range of ordinary days
3046 of 49−4.9%−14.6% to +3.6% (95%)−10.9% to +4.2%within the range of ordinary days
9038 of 49−2.5%−7.8% to +2.8% (93%)too little history–
After bearish flips748 of 49+3.2%−1.1% to +4.5% (94%)−2.7% to +2.5%outside the range of ordinary days
3046 of 49−4.8%−11.5% to +6.6% (95%)−10.9% to +4.2%within the range of ordinary days
9038 of 49−0.4%−5.1% to +5.6% (93%)too little history–
Any day since 6 Nov 2025, for comparison7325 days+0.5%–––
30302 days−3.5%–––
90242 daystoo little history–––

Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.

Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.

Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.

The latest 22 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.

Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Coinbase. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.

How soon flips were reversed

How soon flips were reversed
Which flipsFlipsReversed within 3 candles (12 hours)
After bullish flips496 of 49
After bearish flips492 of 49

A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.

There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.

On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.

deBridge, 4-hour flips: 98 flips

Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.

deBridge, 4-hour flips: 98 flips
Candle closedFlipped toPrice at the flip7 days later30 days later90 days laterUntil the next flip
28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours so farBear0.0000002521 BTCnot yetnot yetnot yet−11.9% so far
23 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBull0.0000002162 BTC+20.3%not yetnot yet+16.6%
21 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear0.0000001909 BTC+40.5%not yetnot yet+13.3%
20 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull0.0000001980 BTC+40.4%not yetnot yet−3.6%
18 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear0.0000001952 BTC+54.0%not yetnot yet+1.5%
8 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hoursBull0.0000001926 BTC+3.5%not yetnot yet+1.3%
3 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear0.0000001846 BTC+3.6%+20.5%not yet+4.3%
29 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hoursBull0.0000001883 BTC−0.8%+42.5%not yet−1.9%
19 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBear0.0000002302 BTC−20.4%−11.5%not yet−18.2%
19 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull0.0000002386 BTC−23.2%−14.6%not yet−3.5%
17 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear0.0000002340 BTC−16.8%−12.1%not yet+2.0%
10 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBull0.0000002255 BTC+5.2%−14.8%not yet+3.8%
8 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBear0.0000002173 BTC+9.6%−14.4%not yet+3.8%
7 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull0.0000002206 BTC+8.7%−15.5%not yet−1.5%
3 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear0.0000002177 BTC+0.6%−14.0%not yet+1.4%
29 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBull0.0000002250 BTC−4.4%−19.7%not yet−3.3%
26 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear0.0000002216 BTC+0.7%−15.3%not yet+1.5%
26 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 hoursBull0.0000002421 BTC−7.8%−22.5%not yet−8.5%
21 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBear0.0000002623 BTC−15.4%−13.6%not yet−7.7%
16 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hoursBull0.0000002594 BTC−10.0%−8.2%not yet+1.1%
14 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear0.0000002536 BTC+6.5%−7.7%not yet+2.3%
14 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBull0.0000002640 BTC+2.4%−11.3%not yet−3.9%
5 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hoursBear0.0000002425 BTC+6.2%−9.7%−8.3%+8.9%
5 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBull0.0000002530 BTC+1.8%−13.5%−12.1%−4.2%
29 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hoursBear0.0000002543 BTC−4.8%−16.2%+9.4%−0.5%
22 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hoursBull0.0000002304 BTC+14.2%+3.6%−14.4%+10.4%
15 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hoursBear0.0000002395 BTC−3.8%+5.4%−18.4%−3.8%
9 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hoursBull0.0000002417 BTC−9.9%+5.5%−23.1%−0.9%
8 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear0.0000002270 BTC+7.1%+10.0%−17.8%+6.5%
1 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hoursBull0.0000001992 BTC+13.8%+30.3%−6.7%+14.0%
27 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBear0.0000001941 BTC+8.5%+30.3%−3.3%+2.6%
26 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull0.0000001837 BTC+7.7%+37.8%+5.9%+5.6%
24 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear0.0000001778 BTC+10.7%+32.6%+10.8%+3.3%
22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull0.0000001825 BTC+13.9%+22.7%+24.2%−2.6%
20 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear0.0000001799 BTC+13.0%+21.8%+26.9%+1.5%
16 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBull0.0000001804 BTC+1.3%+34.8%+33.0%−0.3%
15 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear0.0000001728 BTC+3.3%+41.6%+35.5%+4.4%
7 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hoursBull0.0000001746 BTC+1.9%+34.2%+23.2%−1.0%
6 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear0.0000001679 BTC+6.3%+30.7%+30.3%+3.9%
5 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull0.0000001755 BTC−2.9%+23.4%+24.5%−4.3%
2 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear0.0000001709 BTC+0.5%+13.2%+31.4%+2.7%
23 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hoursBull0.0000001829 BTC−3.1%0.0%+30.6%−6.5%
17 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hoursBear0.0000001691 BTC+4.0%+6.4%+53.5%+8.2%
17 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 hoursBull0.0000001854 BTC−5.1%−3.0%+39.9%−8.8%
13 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear0.0000002014 BTC−15.5%−11.4%+27.8%−8.0%
12 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull0.0000002084 BTC−16.4%−18.3%+24.7%−3.4%
8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear0.0000002037 BTC−8.2%−14.8%+21.5%+2.3%
7 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull0.0000002110 BTC−8.6%−20.2%+14.7%−3.5%
29 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hoursBear0.0000002431 BTC−13.1%−28.2%+2.8%−13.2%
27 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull0.0000002478 BTC−12.9%−30.4%+2.2%−1.9%
23 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBear0.0000002459 BTC−5.9%−31.8%−8.9%+0.8%
17 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBull0.0000002335 BTC+1.4%−23.6%+4.1%+5.3%
16 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear0.0000002209 BTC+18.6%−15.3%+10.8%+5.7%
15 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull0.0000002324 BTC+8.4%−17.0%+3.7%−4.9%
9 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear0.0000002269 BTC−1.1%−10.2%+4.1%+2.4%
6 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBull0.0000002222 BTC+1.9%−4.9%−2.5%+2.1%
1 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBear0.0000002324 BTC+2.3%−4.8%−14.8%−4.4%
27 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull0.0000002436 BTC−11.9%+1.0%−17.3%−4.6%
25 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear0.0000002301 BTC−6.1%+6.6%−21.2%+5.9%
18 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 daysBull0.0000002357 BTC+0.4%+8.5%−24.8%−2.4%
17 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear0.0000002154 BTC+13.9%+11.0%−16.8%+9.4%
16 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull0.0000002370 BTC−2.4%−1.4%−24.1%−9.1%
12 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear0.0000002303 BTC+3.2%−2.7%−22.5%+2.9%
9 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBull0.0000002403 BTC−3.6%−5.0%−28.7%−4.2%
7 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear0.0000002161 BTC+6.5%+9.4%−19.7%+11.2%
6 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull0.0000002370 BTC+0.2%+0.2%−29.0%−8.8%
5 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear0.0000002197 BTC+10.2%+2.8%−21.0%+7.9%
1 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBull0.0000002158 BTC+6.6%+2.1%−20.0%+1.8%
31 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear0.0000001957 BTC+10.4%+19.7%−9.6%+10.3%
30 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull0.0000001935 BTC+19.0%+20.1%−8.4%+1.1%
29 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear0.0000001782 BTC+27.5%+34.4%−0.4%+8.6%
27 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull0.0000001814 BTC+17.2%+26.5%−4.7%−1.8%
21 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hoursBear0.0000001964 BTC−9.4%+22.9%−15.2%−7.6%
17 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBull0.0000001979 BTC−10.0%+17.0%−8.0%−0.7%
12 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBear0.0000002027 BTC−4.0%+18.4%+1.7%−2.4%
10 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull0.0000002036 BTC−4.8%+7.5%+0.6%−0.5%
8 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear0.0000001973 BTC−6.3%+9.5%+3.2%+3.2%
7 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull0.0000002013 BTC+0.5%+14.3%+2.8%−2.0%
5 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear0.0000001969 BTC+4.3%+12.4%+7.3%+2.2%
3 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBull0.0000001992 BTC+2.2%+8.6%+8.4%−1.2%
30 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear0.0000001891 BTC+4.3%−2.8%+22.4%+5.4%
28 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull0.0000001961 BTC+1.2%−10.8%+26.4%−3.6%
17 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hoursBear0.0000002336 BTC−12.1%−19.6%−5.0%−16.1%
16 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull0.0000002434 BTC−13.6%−24.0%−7.8%−4.0%
15 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBear0.0000002365 BTC−9.5%−14.5%−5.1%+2.9%
11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBull0.0000002490 BTC−6.1%−18.2%−8.3%−5.0%
10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBear0.0000002208 BTC+5.8%−10.9%+5.6%+12.8%
7 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull0.0000002386 BTC+2.2%−17.4%−5.4%−7.5%
3 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear0.0000002229 BTC−0.9%−12.2%−1.1%+7.0%
1 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull0.0000002483 BTC−5.8%−22.3%−6.4%−10.2%
1 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear0.0000002239 BTC+4.5%−13.8%+3.8%+10.9%
28 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull0.0000002280 BTC−4.4%−17.7%+0.7%−1.8%
27 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear0.0000002181 BTC+4.0%−14.0%+8.6%+4.5%
25 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull0.0000002322 BTC+3.6%−22.8%−0.3%−6.1%
19 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear0.0000002439 BTC−7.0%−3.3%−5.1%−4.8%
13 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hoursBull0.0000002402 BTC−3.6%+3.8%−0.1%+1.5%
7 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hoursBear0.0000002651 BTC−6.6%−16.9%−14.3%−9.4%
6 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull0.0000002846 BTC−22.0%−24.3%−22.2%−6.8%

How to read this

Closed candles only

Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.

Compare with any day

The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 6 Nov 2025, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.

A small sample

Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.

98 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.