Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Decentraland's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 47 of 47 | −3.5% | −5.8% to −0.6% (92%) | −4.3% to +0.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 46 of 47 | −9.5% | −12.3% to −5.0% (95%) | −12.5% to −2.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 46 of 47 | −16.0% | −22.8% to −13.2% (95%) | −23.8% to −10.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 47 of 47 | −1.1% | −3.3% to +0.6% (92%) | −4.3% to +0.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 47 of 47 | −6.1% | −10.2% to +0.4% (92%) | −11.7% to −2.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 46 of 47 | −18.8% | −23.9% to −9.6% (95%) | −23.8% to −10.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 7 Sep 2020, for comparison | 7 | 2,211 days | −1.9% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,188 days | −7.5% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,128 days | −16.6% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest two flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 47 | 6 of 47 |
| After bearish flips | 47 | 3 of 47 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Decentraland's daily line has flipped 15.5 times a year since 7 Sep 2020.
Decentraland, daily flips: 94 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026Lasted 20 days so far | Bull | 0.0000009747 BTC | +3.8% | not yet | not yet | +26.5% so far |
| 23 Jul 2026Lasted 52 days | Bear | 0.000001023 BTC | +1.1% | −5.4% | not yet | −4.7% |
| 3 Jul 2026Lasted 20 days | Bull | 0.000001149 BTC | −3.5% | −8.0% | −8.9% | −11.0% |
| 25 Jun 2026Lasted 8 days | Bear | 0.000001070 BTC | −3.0% | −0.9% | −8.7% | +7.3% |
| 20 Jun 2026Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000001210 BTC | −12.2% | −12.5% | −19.5% | −11.5% |
| 5 Jun 2026Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.000001114 BTC | −5.4% | +0.4% | −15.2% | +8.6% |
| 3 Jun 2026Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000001210 BTC | −14.1% | −5.0% | −21.9% | −7.9% |
| 17 May 2026Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.000001122 BTC | −0.3% | −6.1% | −9.6% | +7.8% |
| 8 May 2026Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000001210 BTC | −4.0% | −12.3% | −14.5% | −7.2% |
| 3 May 2026Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000001121 BTC | +7.7% | +4.2% | −5.6% | +7.9% |
| 16 Apr 2026Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.000001263 BTC | −6.8% | −9.1% | −14.8% | −11.2% |
| 12 Apr 2026Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000001211 BTC | 0.0% | +0.3% | −8.7% | +4.2% |
| 1 Apr 2026Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.000001289 BTC | −3.7% | −10.9% | −17.7% | −6.0% |
| 27 Jan 2026Lasted 64 days | Bear | 0.000001581 BTC | −7.1% | −9.1% | −23.9% | −18.5% |
| 17 Jan 2026Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000001730 BTC | +1.3% | −13.7% | −28.4% | −8.6% |
| 12 Jan 2026Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000001474 BTC | +16.6% | −1.1% | −17.8% | +17.3% |
| 3 Jan 2026Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000001501 BTC | +7.6% | −3.5% | −13.9% | −1.8% |
| 21 Nov 2025Lasted 43 days | Bear | 0.000001946 BTC | −5.0% | −26.7% | −26.0% | −22.9% |
| 7 Nov 2025Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.000002295 BTC | −6.2% | −28.3% | −36.8% | −15.2% |
| 10 Oct 2025Lasted 28 days | Bear | 0.000002071 BTC | +3.2% | +7.7% | −26.0% | +10.9% |
| 2 Oct 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000002816 BTC | −6.6% | −24.8% | −50.8% | −26.5% |
| 19 Sep 2025Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.000002806 BTC | −6.5% | −22.7% | −49.0% | +0.3% |
| 9 Aug 2025Lasted 41 days | Bull | 0.000002682 BTC | −5.8% | +8.4% | −14.4% | +4.6% |
| 23 Jul 2025Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.000002647 BTC | −5.5% | −0.7% | −19.0% | +1.3% |
| 9 Jul 2025Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.000002540 BTC | +5.5% | +2.4% | +4.5% | +4.2% |
| 17 May 2025Lasted 53 days | Bear | 0.000003160 BTC | −9.0% | −21.7% | −22.1% | −19.6% |
| 9 May 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000003423 BTC | −5.1% | −22.8% | −26.3% | −7.7% |
| 3 May 2025Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000003131 BTC | +17.1% | −14.3% | −22.7% | +9.3% |
| 10 Apr 2025Lasted 23 days | Bull | 0.000003022 BTC | +4.1% | +21.3% | −16.0% | +3.6% |
| 16 Mar 2025Lasted 25 days | Bear | 0.000003098 BTC | −0.7% | +3.7% | −18.8% | −2.4% |
| 27 Feb 2025Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.000003490 BTC | −10.4% | −15.1% | −18.0% | −11.2% |
| 9 Dec 2024Lasted 80 days | Bear | 0.000006195 BTC | −8.3% | −17.0% | −48.5% | −43.7% |
| 16 Nov 2024Lasted 23 days | Bull | 0.000004809 BTC | +12.3% | +18.1% | −27.7% | +28.8% |
| 13 Nov 2024Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000003711 BTC | +13.1% | +71.2% | −8.6% | +29.6% |
| 10 Nov 2024Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000004347 BTC | +0.3% | +41.2% | −22.8% | −14.6% |
| 25 Oct 2024Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.000004267 BTC | −2.8% | +73.9% | +8.2% | +1.9% |
| 18 Oct 2024Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000004928 BTC | −13.4% | −11.5% | +5.4% | −13.4% |
| 1 Oct 2024Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.000004600 BTC | −0.1% | −10.8% | +12.2% | +7.1% |
| 21 Sep 2024Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000005004 BTC | −0.6% | −6.3% | +3.2% | −8.1% |
| 29 Aug 2024Lasted 23 days | Bear | 0.000004591 BTC | +0.2% | +8.3% | +38.3% | +9.0% |
| 24 Aug 2024Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000004936 BTC | −7.4% | −1.5% | −7.1% | −7.0% |
| 16 Mar 2024Lasted 161 days | Bear | 0.000009554 BTC | +3.6% | −30.1% | −39.1% | −48.3% |
| 29 Feb 2024Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.00001071 BTC | −3.1% | −11.3% | −37.5% | −10.8% |
| 28 Feb 2024Lasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000009143 BTC | +8.7% | +6.8% | −27.3% | +17.2% |
| 19 Feb 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000009960 BTC | −0.9% | −5.3% | −36.3% | −8.2% |
| 30 Jan 2024Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.00001037 BTC | −3.4% | +3.3% | −34.0% | −3.9% |
| 12 Jan 2024Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.00001080 BTC | +4.4% | −9.8% | −19.6% | −4.0% |
| 2 Jan 2024Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.00001177 BTC | −20.0% | −14.1% | −23.4% | −8.3% |
| 9 Dec 2023Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.00001220 BTC | −2.5% | −20.9% | −15.3% | −3.5% |
| 5 Dec 2023Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001066 BTC | +11.9% | +0.9% | −8.7% | +14.4% |
| 25 Nov 2023Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00001230 BTC | −5.6% | +4.6% | −23.0% | −13.3% |
| 21 Nov 2023Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001052 BTC | +11.6% | +13.1% | −5.3% | +16.9% |
| 24 Oct 2023Lasted 28 days | Bull | 0.00001034 BTC | +1.4% | +5.1% | +8.2% | +1.7% |
| 4 Oct 2023Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.00001071 BTC | −3.1% | +7.5% | +9.9% | −3.4% |
| 15 Sep 2023Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.00001113 BTC | −0.6% | −5.6% | +7.3% | −3.8% |
| 3 Aug 2023Lasted 43 days | Bear | 0.00001259 BTC | −1.1% | −10.2% | −14.7% | −11.6% |
| 1 Jul 2023Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.00001370 BTC | −6.7% | −4.6% | −14.3% | −8.1% |
| 6 Jun 2023Lasted 25 days | Bear | 0.00001695 BTC | −22.2% | −26.5% | −33.3% | −19.2% |
| 4 Jun 2023Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00001860 BTC | −29.4% | −30.6% | −39.3% | −8.9% |
| 31 May 2023Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001702 BTC | −6.4% | −25.8% | −33.4% | +9.3% |
| 17 May 2023Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00001856 BTC | −6.9% | −31.4% | −36.3% | −8.3% |
| 20 Apr 2023Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.00002094 BTC | −10.0% | −13.5% | −36.2% | −11.4% |
| 17 Apr 2023Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00002355 BTC | −14.5% | −21.2% | −42.9% | −11.1% |
| 16 Feb 2023Lasted 60 days | Bear | 0.00002888 BTC | +1.4% | −20.0% | −35.7% | −18.4% |
| 7 Jan 2023Lasted 40 days | Bull | 0.00002073 BTC | +36.7% | +50.2% | +5.5% | +39.3% |
| 8 Nov 2022Lasted 60 days | Bear | 0.00003048 BTC | −12.5% | −23.9% | +2.2% | −32.0% |
| 5 Nov 2022Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00003343 BTC | −17.3% | −25.9% | +0.8% | −8.8% |
| 2 Nov 2022Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00003092 BTC | −6.8% | −20.4% | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| 30 Oct 2022Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00003255 BTC | −2.7% | −26.5% | −7.5% | −5.0% |
| 17 Aug 2022Lasted 74 days | Bear | 0.00004156 BTC | −6.3% | −10.0% | −35.8% | −21.7% |
| 4 Aug 2022Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.00004388 BTC | +0.2% | −9.5% | −29.5% | −5.3% |
| 8 Jul 2022Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.00004151 BTC | −2.2% | +10.2% | −16.1% | +5.7% |
| 13 May 2022Lasted 56 days | Bull | 0.00003499 BTC | +4.4% | −15.2% | +25.7% | +18.6% |
| 1 Mar 2022Lasted 73 days | Bear | 0.00006392 BTC | −3.3% | −10.2% | −46.5% | −45.2% |
| 30 Jan 2022Lasted 30 days | Bull | 0.00006610 BTC | +17.8% | −3.3% | −42.4% | −3.3% |
| 19 Jan 2022Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.00006558 BTC | −10.5% | +13.1% | −20.5% | +0.8% |
| 6 Jan 2022Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.00007871 BTC | −13.5% | −7.5% | −31.5% | −16.7% |
| 14 Dec 2021Lasted 23 days | Bear | 0.00006549 BTC | +2.5% | +4.0% | −11.3% | +20.2% |
| 28 Oct 2021Lasted 47 days | Bull | 0.00001526 BTC | +167.3% | +462.0% | +284.7% | +329.1% |
| 7 Sep 2021Lasted 51 days | Bear | 0.00001782 BTC | +0.6% | −19.5% | +319.1% | −14.4% |
| 23 Aug 2021Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.00001869 BTC | +7.8% | −9.9% | +232.9% | −4.6% |
| 20 Jul 2021Lasted 34 days | Bear | 0.00001735 BTC | +2.0% | +1.1% | −30.3% | +7.7% |
| 6 Jul 2021Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00001793 BTC | +10.8% | +0.5% | −13.2% | −3.2% |
| 11 Jun 2021Lasted 25 days | Bear | 0.00001860 BTC | −2.8% | +16.8% | +1.0% | −3.6% |
| 26 May 2021Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.00002564 BTC | −11.0% | −41.7% | −30.3% | −27.5% |
| 19 May 2021Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00002104 BTC | +21.9% | −14.1% | −15.1% | +21.9% |
| 3 Mar 2021Lasted 77 days | Bull | 0.000006921 BTC | +24.4% | +154.0% | +226.6% | +203.9% |
| 20 Feb 2021Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.000005407 BTC | +1.4% | +213.0% | +305.4% | +28.0% |
| 7 Jan 2021Lasted 44 days | Bull | 0.000003275 BTC | −13.8% | +83.1% | +407.4% | +65.1% |
| 14 Nov 2020Lasted 54 days | Bear | 0.000004961 BTC | −5.5% | −9.2% | +28.7% | −34.0% |
| 6 Nov 2020Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000005369 BTC | −5.2% | −13.2% | −13.2% | −7.6% |
| 6 Oct 2020Lasted 31 days | Bear | 0.000006622 BTC | +2.1% | −28.4% | −62.7% | −18.9% |
| 29 Sep 2020Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000008190 BTC | −19.1% | −41.2% | −63.5% | −19.1% |
| 7 Sep 2020Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.000007422 BTC | +4.0% | −10.2% | −37.2% | +10.3% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 7 Sep 2020, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
94 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.