Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after DoubleZero's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 52 of 52 | −2.1% | −6.8% to −0.4% (93%) | −5.9% to +0.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 47 of 52 | −13.2% | −19.0% to −5.3% (92%) | −15.8% to −2.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 36 of 52 | −20.4% | −30.0% to −12.4% (93%) | too little history | – | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 51 of 52 | −3.4% | −5.5% to −1.4% (91%) | −5.8% to +0.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 47 of 52 | −12.7% | −17.5% to −8.6% (92%) | −15.8% to −2.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 35 of 52 | −18.7% | −24.7% to −9.7% (91%) | too little history | – | |
| Any day since 14 Oct 2025, for comparison | 7 | 348 days | −2.9% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 325 days | −9.7% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 265 days | too little history | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 33 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 52 | 3 of 52 |
| After bearish flips | 52 | 4 of 52 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
DoubleZero, 4-hour flips: 104 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours so far | Bear | 0.0000007587 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −29.4% so far |
| 24 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0000006382 BTC | +12.0% | not yet | not yet | +18.9% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000006024 BTC | +29.1% | not yet | not yet | +5.9% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000006252 BTC | +24.4% | not yet | not yet | −3.7% |
| 21 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000006032 BTC | +33.4% | not yet | not yet | +3.7% |
| 19 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000006246 BTC | +12.1% | not yet | not yet | −3.4% |
| 18 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0000006038 BTC | +9.8% | not yet | not yet | +3.4% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000006148 BTC | −0.8% | not yet | not yet | −1.8% |
| 15 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.0000006100 BTC | −1.4% | not yet | not yet | +0.8% |
| 15 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000006226 BTC | −3.4% | not yet | not yet | −2.0% |
| 3 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000006685 BTC | −7.8% | −18.6% | not yet | −6.9% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000007048 BTC | −8.8% | +1.4% | not yet | −5.2% |
| 29 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000007002 BTC | −7.4% | +15.0% | not yet | +0.7% |
| 27 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.0000007423 BTC | −6.8% | −5.7% | not yet | −5.7% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0000007177 BTC | −2.8% | −16.2% | not yet | +3.4% |
| 20 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000007557 BTC | −3.6% | −19.0% | not yet | −5.0% |
| 15 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000007906 BTC | −5.4% | −23.4% | not yet | −4.4% |
| 14 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0000008163 BTC | −9.3% | −25.6% | not yet | −3.1% |
| 13 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000007684 BTC | −3.6% | −21.1% | not yet | +6.2% |
| 12 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000008701 BTC | −16.8% | −30.8% | not yet | −11.7% |
| 10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000008533 BTC | −9.8% | −24.1% | not yet | +2.0% |
| 9 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000008829 BTC | −11.6% | −27.2% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 8 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000008405 BTC | −1.5% | −22.8% | not yet | +5.0% |
| 6 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000008678 BTC | −11.4% | −25.3% | not yet | −3.1% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000009370 BTC | −7.2% | −24.2% | not yet | −7.4% |
| 25 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000009718 BTC | −8.4% | −24.0% | not yet | −3.6% |
| 16 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001071 BTC | −9.6% | −22.7% | not yet | −9.3% |
| 15 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001131 BTC | −13.2% | −31.4% | not yet | −5.3% |
| 10 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000001104 BTC | −5.5% | −22.9% | not yet | +2.4% |
| 8 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001171 BTC | −6.9% | −26.7% | not yet | −5.8% |
| 8 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001099 BTC | −0.8% | −21.9% | not yet | +6.6% |
| 7 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000001144 BTC | −1.3% | −25.8% | not yet | −3.9% |
| 6 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001090 BTC | +3.2% | −21.5% | not yet | +5.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001097 BTC | +0.2% | −21.6% | −26.1% | −0.6% |
| 22 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001112 BTC | −5.8% | −11.7% | −43.8% | −1.4% |
| 21 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001164 BTC | −8.1% | −14.8% | −47.4% | −4.5% |
| 19 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000001140 BTC | −2.4% | −11.3% | −46.5% | +2.1% |
| 16 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001110 BTC | −0.8% | −1.8% | −45.5% | +2.7% |
| 16 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001062 BTC | +3.7% | +2.7% | −43.0% | +4.6% |
| 13 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001117 BTC | −0.4% | +0.8% | −46.1% | −4.9% |
| 9 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001109 BTC | −3.9% | +5.5% | −41.5% | +0.6% |
| 8 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001172 BTC | −7.1% | −6.2% | −43.9% | −5.3% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000001194 BTC | −6.2% | −12.7% | −41.6% | −1.8% |
| 30 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001262 BTC | −8.4% | −17.0% | −41.1% | −5.4% |
| 24 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001367 BTC | −8.6% | −19.4% | −45.3% | −7.6% |
| 20 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001209 BTC | +4.0% | −5.3% | −37.2% | +13.1% |
| 15 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001233 BTC | +18.0% | −10.4% | −37.7% | −1.9% |
| 14 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000001351 BTC | −0.8% | −21.4% | −39.3% | −8.7% |
| 14 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001254 BTC | +6.8% | −15.4% | −34.6% | +7.7% |
| 5 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001084 BTC | +17.7% | +13.8% | −19.8% | +15.7% |
| 5 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001052 BTC | +21.3% | +17.3% | −17.3% | +3.1% |
| 2 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001080 BTC | +13.5% | +17.1% | −20.4% | −2.6% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001119 BTC | −3.8% | +12.4% | −14.1% | −3.5% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001084 BTC | −1.2% | +28.8% | −10.7% | +3.2% |
| 17 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001190 BTC | −9.9% | −0.9% | −8.4% | −8.9% |
| 16 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001105 BTC | −5.0% | +5.0% | −1.3% | +7.7% |
| 14 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001054 BTC | +4.2% | +21.9% | +6.8% | +4.8% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001109 BTC | +5.9% | +15.1% | +0.6% | −4.9% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001189 BTC | −10.8% | −0.4% | −3.8% | −6.7% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000001263 BTC | −15.3% | −7.1% | −12.4% | −5.9% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000001212 BTC | −10.4% | −7.6% | −9.1% | +4.2% |
| 4 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001172 BTC | −5.4% | −8.2% | −7.8% | +3.4% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001124 BTC | +4.6% | −6.7% | −7.4% | +4.3% |
| 30 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001064 BTC | +20.0% | +5.7% | +0.6% | +5.7% |
| 25 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000001059 BTC | +12.2% | +1.2% | +3.9% | +0.4% |
| 24 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001095 BTC | +2.9% | −4.1% | +8.4% | −3.3% |
| 16 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001110 BTC | −4.3% | −4.5% | −0.5% | −1.4% |
| 11 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001123 BTC | +1.0% | −1.1% | +2.6% | −1.2% |
| 10 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001076 BTC | +3.8% | +9.3% | +4.1% | +4.4% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001053 BTC | +8.7% | +12.3% | +17.1% | +2.2% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001115 BTC | +1.4% | −8.6% | +8.7% | −5.5% |
| 24 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001084 BTC | −0.4% | −1.1% | +25.3% | +2.9% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001039 BTC | +11.0% | +5.4% | +35.7% | +4.3% |
| 20 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001091 BTC | +6.4% | −2.0% | +22.7% | −4.8% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001107 BTC | −3.4% | +0.9% | +4.7% | −1.4% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001189 BTC | −6.8% | −4.1% | +9.0% | −6.8% |
| 8 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001334 BTC | −12.4% | −17.3% | −8.1% | −10.9% |
| 1 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000001450 BTC | −3.3% | −25.5% | −27.6% | −8.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001361 BTC | +0.3% | −18.8% | −21.3% | +6.5% |
| 28 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000001439 BTC | −0.1% | −19.3% | −22.0% | −5.4% |
| 25 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001507 BTC | −7.9% | −30.4% | −27.0% | −4.5% |
| 21 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001364 BTC | −2.1% | −23.0% | −19.5% | +10.4% |
| 18 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000001346 BTC | +17.2% | −16.0% | −9.7% | +1.3% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001353 BTC | +2.2% | −13.5% | −21.7% | −0.5% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001283 BTC | +7.8% | −8.8% | −17.4% | +5.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001309 BTC | +0.4% | −12.6% | −17.0% | −2.0% |
| 5 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001369 BTC | −7.0% | +5.0% | −13.6% | −4.4% |
| 19 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001259 BTC | +8.3% | +8.0% | −12.0% | +8.7% |
| 10 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | 0.000001414 BTC | −10.7% | −10.8% | −22.0% | −11.0% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001310 BTC | +11.9% | +5.5% | −15.6% | +8.0% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001326 BTC | +4.3% | −0.9% | −18.7% | −1.2% |
| 25 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001512 BTC | −17.0% | −14.6% | −31.4% | −12.3% |
| 23 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001476 BTC | −15.6% | −15.5% | −24.7% | +2.4% |
| 21 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001802 BTC | −27.1% | −31.3% | −38.5% | −18.1% |
| 16 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000001545 BTC | −1.5% | −17.5% | −24.2% | +16.7% |
| 14 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001657 BTC | −15.8% | −18.3% | −31.0% | −6.8% |
| 12 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001696 BTC | −11.5% | −19.7% | −30.1% | −2.3% |
| 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001594 BTC | +13.8% | −13.2% | −13.2% | +6.4% |
| 27 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000002052 BTC | −23.4% | −30.4% | −23.1% | −22.3% |
| 26 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000002239 BTC | −26.3% | −38.8% | −30.0% | −8.3% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000002216 BTC | −7.7% | −37.0% | −40.7% | +1.0% |
| 21 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002460 BTC | −18.4% | −42.4% | −44.5% | −9.9% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002175 BTC | −2.3% | −23.9% | −39.8% | +13.1% |
| 14 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002541 BTC | −15.3% | −35.3% | −49.9% | −14.4% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 14 Oct 2025, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
104 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.