Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Artificial Superintelligence Alliance's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 49 of 49 | −4.3% | −7.5% to +2.9% (91%) | −5.4% to +2.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 48 of 49 | −5.6% | −11.5% to +4.8% (94%) | −15.8% to +2.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 47 of 49 | −3.4% | −26.9% to +7.0% (92%) | −28.2% to +8.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 48 of 48 | −5.0% | −6.9% to +1.3% (94%) | −5.8% to +2.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 47 of 48 | −9.6% | −15.7% to −3.7% (92%) | −15.3% to +3.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 47 of 48 | −20.1% | −37.2% to +2.0% (92%) | −28.2% to +8.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 20 Apr 2019, for comparison | 7 | 2,717 days | −1.9% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,694 days | −6.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,634 days | −11.6% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest three flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are daily closes of the native FET/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 49 | 3 of 49 |
| After bearish flips | 48 | 2 of 48 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance's daily line has flipped 13.0 times a year since 20 Apr 2019.
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, daily flips: 97 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026Lasted 16 days so far | Bull | 0.000002280 BTC | +18.9% | not yet | not yet | +17.5% so far |
| 15 Sep 2026Lasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000002000 BTC | +21.5% | not yet | not yet | +14.0% |
| 21 Aug 2026Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.000002180 BTC | −11.5% | −0.5% | not yet | −8.3% |
| 10 Jun 2026Lasted 72 days | Bear | 0.000002980 BTC | +4.4% | −15.1% | −23.2% | −26.8% |
| 23 May 2026Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.000002710 BTC | +39.1% | +4.8% | −19.6% | +10.0% |
| 14 May 2026Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.000002640 BTC | −5.7% | +22.3% | −20.1% | +2.7% |
| 6 May 2026Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000002770 BTC | −2.5% | +17.0% | −17.0% | −4.7% |
| 15 Apr 2026Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.000003050 BTC | −13.1% | −15.7% | −18.0% | −9.2% |
| 12 Mar 2026Lasted 34 days | Bull | 0.000002520 BTC | +20.6% | +32.5% | +18.3% | +21.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.000002290 BTC | −7.0% | +48.5% | +64.6% | +10.0% |
| 14 Feb 2026Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.000002590 BTC | −6.2% | +23.2% | −0.8% | −11.6% |
| 18 Jan 2026Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.000002690 BTC | −6.3% | −5.9% | +5.9% | −3.7% |
| 2 Jan 2026Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.000002560 BTC | +22.7% | −8.2% | +33.2% | +5.1% |
| 1 Dec 2025Lasted 32 days | Bear | 0.000002670 BTC | −0.7% | −15.0% | −14.2% | −4.1% |
| 7 Nov 2025Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.000003530 BTC | −18.7% | −25.8% | −33.4% | −24.4% |
| 15 Sep 2025Lasted 53 days | Bear | 0.000005540 BTC | −4.2% | −52.5% | −52.2% | −36.3% |
| 12 Sep 2025Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000005870 BTC | −5.1% | −43.8% | −55.5% | −5.6% |
| 24 Jul 2025Lasted 50 days | Bear | 0.000006110 BTC | −5.4% | −2.5% | −64.0% | −3.9% |
| 20 Jul 2025Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000006840 BTC | −7.5% | −14.3% | −64.5% | −10.7% |
| 6 Jun 2025Lasted 44 days | Bear | 0.000006900 BTC | −7.5% | −9.6% | −22.3% | −0.9% |
| 27 May 2025Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000008170 BTC | −4.7% | −24.1% | −30.8% | −15.5% |
| 19 May 2025Lasted 8 days | Bear | 0.000007000 BTC | +13.4% | −8.3% | −14.6% | +16.7% |
| 9 May 2025Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000008020 BTC | −7.9% | −12.3% | −26.9% | −12.7% |
| 4 May 2025Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000006970 BTC | +16.9% | +11.8% | −21.7% | +15.1% |
| 12 Apr 2025Lasted 22 days | Bull | 0.000005690 BTC | +14.9% | +42.2% | +7.0% | +22.5% |
| 13 Jan 2025Lasted 89 days | Bear | 0.00001316 BTC | −11.9% | −36.1% | −55.0% | −56.8% |
| 5 Jan 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00001636 BTC | −15.9% | −50.7% | −68.3% | −19.6% |
| 10 Dec 2024Lasted 26 days | Bear | 0.00001741 BTC | −12.8% | −19.4% | −66.2% | −6.0% |
| 24 Nov 2024Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.00001565 BTC | +21.0% | −9.7% | −47.9% | +11.2% |
| 12 Nov 2024Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.00001568 BTC | −10.7% | +14.0% | −49.7% | −0.2% |
| 9 Nov 2024Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00001913 BTC | −23.7% | −8.3% | −60.5% | −18.0% |
| 3 Oct 2024Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.00002257 BTC | −3.1% | −24.0% | −38.2% | −15.2% |
| 22 Aug 2024Lasted 42 days | Bull | 0.00001682 BTC | +12.6% | +53.0% | −22.1% | +34.2% |
| 1 Jul 2024Lasted 52 days | Bear | 0.00002060 BTC | −0.7% | −13.3% | +19.9% | −18.3% |
| 19 Jun 2024Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.00002318 BTC | +25.8% | −4.7% | −3.4% | −11.1% |
| 14 May 2024Lasted 36 days | Bear | 0.00003253 BTC | +10.8% | −26.9% | −55.3% | −28.7% |
| 20 Apr 2024Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.00003836 BTC | −10.1% | −11.5% | −42.4% | −15.2% |
| 11 Apr 2024Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.00003641 BTC | −11.4% | −1.0% | −43.3% | +5.4% |
| 17 Feb 2024Lasted 54 days | Bull | 0.00001525 BTC | +37.1% | +141.3% | +129.6% | +138.8% |
| 6 Jan 2024Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.00001475 BTC | +9.0% | −16.3% | +160.9% | +3.4% |
| 12 Dec 2023Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.00001454 BTC | +15.2% | +7.7% | +157.8% | +1.4% |
| 5 Dec 2023Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00001209 BTC | +20.3% | +36.0% | +108.9% | +20.3% |
| 22 Oct 2023Lasted 44 days | Bull | 0.000007750 BTC | +36.8% | +66.3% | +89.5% | +56.0% |
| 12 Sep 2023Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.000008710 BTC | −1.4% | −13.1% | +36.9% | −11.0% |
| 18 Aug 2023Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.000007650 BTC | +8.9% | +11.5% | +56.7% | +13.9% |
| 15 Aug 2023Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000006960 BTC | +8.2% | +24.3% | +47.4% | +9.9% |
| 13 Aug 2023Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000007470 BTC | +4.6% | +16.6% | +53.7% | −6.8% |
| 1 Aug 2023Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.000007090 BTC | −5.2% | +25.0% | +46.7% | +5.4% |
| 15 Jul 2023Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.000007970 BTC | −7.5% | −6.1% | −2.5% | −11.0% |
| 7 Jun 2023Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.000008680 BTC | −17.4% | −15.2% | +11.6% | −8.2% |
| 30 May 2023Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.000009990 BTC | −9.7% | −28.3% | −20.6% | −13.1% |
| 21 Apr 2023Lasted 39 days | Bear | 0.00001225 BTC | −7.2% | −25.9% | −39.0% | −18.4% |
| 14 Apr 2023Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.00001329 BTC | −7.8% | −32.6% | −44.2% | −7.8% |
| 19 Feb 2023Lasted 54 days | Bear | 0.00001708 BTC | +7.8% | −17.4% | −44.1% | −22.2% |
| 23 Nov 2022Lasted 88 days | Bull | 0.000003850 BTC | −4.2% | +39.7% | +361.6% | +343.6% |
| 26 Oct 2022Lasted 28 days | Bear | 0.000003930 BTC | +1.3% | −4.1% | +199.0% | −2.0% |
| 17 Oct 2022Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000004470 BTC | −7.2% | −18.6% | +143.8% | −12.1% |
| 12 Sep 2022Lasted 35 days | Bear | 0.000004080 BTC | +3.4% | +2.0% | +49.5% | +9.6% |
| 31 Jul 2022Lasted 43 days | Bull | 0.000004100 BTC | +9.8% | −1.2% | −1.5% | −0.5% |
| 10 Apr 2022Lasted 112 days | Bear | 0.000008900 BTC | −6.9% | −28.2% | −57.4% | −53.9% |
| 1 Mar 2022Lasted 40 days | Bull | 0.000008240 BTC | +0.4% | +21.7% | −35.7% | +8.0% |
| 8 Jan 2022Lasted 52 days | Bear | 0.00001136 BTC | +1.5% | −21.8% | −16.3% | −27.5% |
| 21 Dec 2021Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.00001152 BTC | −5.2% | −1.6% | −28.0% | −1.4% |
| 5 Dec 2021Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.00001224 BTC | −10.3% | −3.7% | −28.9% | −5.9% |
| 5 Nov 2021Lasted 30 days | Bull | 0.00001433 BTC | −4.3% | −14.6% | −41.2% | −14.6% |
| 19 Sep 2021Lasted 47 days | Bear | 0.00001621 BTC | +16.0% | −31.3% | −37.2% | −11.6% |
| 20 Jul 2021Lasted 61 days | Bull | 0.000008740 BTC | +2.9% | +33.2% | +34.3% | +85.5% |
| 13 Jul 2021Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000007290 BTC | +19.9% | +57.5% | +77.6% | +19.9% |
| 1 Jul 2021Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.000007460 BTC | +9.2% | +30.8% | +125.3% | −2.3% |
| 11 Jun 2021Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.000007280 BTC | +2.7% | +15.9% | +166.1% | +2.5% |
| 3 Jun 2021Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00001038 BTC | −24.8% | −25.5% | +40.5% | −29.9% |
| 21 May 2021Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.000007790 BTC | +13.0% | −5.6% | +49.4% | +33.2% |
| 27 Apr 2021Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.00001132 BTC | −9.3% | −32.0% | −25.0% | −31.2% |
| 3 Apr 2021Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.00001110 BTC | −1.2% | −0.2% | −33.0% | +2.0% |
| 15 Jan 2021Lasted 78 days | Bull | 0.000002410 BTC | +12.4% | +111.2% | +327.4% | +360.6% |
| 17 Dec 2020Lasted 29 days | Bear | 0.000002500 BTC | −13.6% | −6.0% | +347.2% | −3.6% |
| 23 Nov 2020Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.000003440 BTC | −25.0% | −36.9% | +50.0% | −27.3% |
| 20 Aug 2020Lasted 95 days | Bear | 0.000009980 BTC | −7.9% | −38.6% | −73.8% | −65.5% |
| 25 May 2020Lasted 87 days | Bull | 0.000002550 BTC | −8.6% | +21.6% | +291.8% | +291.4% |
| 4 May 2020Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.000002130 BTC | −7.0% | +20.2% | +202.8% | +19.7% |
| 25 Apr 2020Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000002700 BTC | −16.3% | −5.6% | +91.9% | −21.1% |
| 20 Feb 2020Lasted 65 days | Bear | 0.000004270 BTC | −12.6% | −48.7% | −51.8% | −36.8% |
| 6 Feb 2020Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.000004810 BTC | +10.8% | −17.5% | −58.0% | −11.2% |
| 10 Dec 2019Lasted 58 days | Bear | 0.000006840 BTC | +11.5% | −30.0% | −47.2% | −29.7% |
| 25 Nov 2019Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.000006500 BTC | +33.4% | −2.5% | −32.9% | +5.2% |
| 20 Nov 2019Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000004980 BTC | +49.6% | +50.2% | −5.4% | +30.5% |
| 14 Nov 2019Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.000005070 BTC | +1.6% | +28.2% | +1.4% | −1.8% |
| 25 Oct 2019Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.000004420 BTC | −5.0% | +21.7% | +2.0% | +14.7% |
| 8 Oct 2019Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.000005230 BTC | +2.5% | −13.6% | −3.1% | −15.5% |
| 24 Sep 2019Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.000004400 BTC | −5.9% | +11.4% | +52.3% | +18.9% |
| 15 Sep 2019Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000005800 BTC | −8.8% | −7.6% | +12.1% | −24.1% |
| 17 Jun 2019Lasted 90 days | Bear | 0.00002117 BTC | −27.7% | −52.3% | −72.6% | −72.6% |
| 10 Jun 2019Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.00003052 BTC | −30.6% | −66.0% | −83.1% | −30.6% |
| 22 May 2019Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.00002211 BTC | −8.2% | −19.9% | −71.6% | +38.0% |
| 17 May 2019Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00002328 BTC | −14.6% | −4.0% | −70.1% | −5.0% |
| 24 Apr 2019Lasted 23 days | Bear | 0.00003468 BTC | −27.1% | −42.7% | −74.0% | −32.9% |
| 20 Apr 2019Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00004324 BTC | −34.1% | −20.8% | −77.4% | −19.8% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 20 Apr 2019, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
97 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.