Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Artificial Superintelligence Alliance's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 330 of 331 | −1.8% | −3.0% to +0.3% (91%) | −2.7% to +0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 327 of 331 | −5.8% | −10.4% to −2.7% (90%) | −8.9% to −0.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 321 of 331 | −14.4% | −22.6% to −6.5% (91%) | −19.0% to −3.7% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 329 of 331 | −0.8% | −2.7% to +0.8% (90%) | −2.7% to +0.8% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 326 of 331 | −6.2% | −8.8% to −1.9% (91%) | −9.0% to −0.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 321 of 331 | −16.7% | −23.0% to −7.8% (91%) | −19.0% to −3.7% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 7 Mar 2019, for comparison | 7 | 2,761 days | −1.1% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,738 days | −4.6% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,678 days | −11.4% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 20 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 331 | 5 of 331 |
| After bearish flips | 331 | 9 of 331 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance's 4-hour line has flipped 87.4 times a year since 7 Mar 2019, 16:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, 4-hour flips: 331 bearish flips of 662
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours so far | Bear | $0.2172 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +4.0% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2294 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +3.8% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.1934 | +15.0% | not yet | not yet | +15.8% |
| 20 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.1729 | +40.5% | not yet | not yet | +5.3% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1724 | −12.5% | not yet | not yet | −5.0% |
| 28 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1573 | +0.1% | +54.5% | not yet | −0.3% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.1598 | −6.1% | +9.7% | not yet | +9.9% |
| 5 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 13 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1452 | −7.8% | +8.5% | not yet | −12.9% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1507 | −5.8% | +8.0% | not yet | −3.5% |
| 22 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1541 | −9.7% | −7.1% | not yet | +1.4% |
| 5 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1766 | −10.1% | −17.6% | +24.1% | −9.5% |
| 17 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2016 | −13.6% | −21.6% | −19.1% | −11.8% |
| 2 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2494 | −16.0% | −28.6% | −40.5% | −16.7% |
| 28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.2243 | +13.3% | −20.7% | −27.5% | +8.8% |
| 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.2019 | +13.9% | −6.8% | −35.0% | +4.3% |
| 12 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2286 | −15.3% | −19.6% | −40.9% | −10.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 14 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2253 | −7.5% | −15.2% | −29.9% | −9.1% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2339 | −1.9% | 0.0% | −30.0% | +3.5% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.2267 | +5.1% | −0.3% | −20.8% | +10.3% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.2267 | +6.5% | −12.6% | −24.2% | +6.7% |
| 27 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.2291 | −0.5% | −8.9% | −24.4% | +9.7% |
| 22 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.2093 | +13.1% | +0.9% | −7.9% | +8.4% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.2200 | +10.2% | +9.0% | −3.0% | +6.1% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1459 | +21.5% | +62.0% | +74.2% | +2.0% |
| 2 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1480 | −4.7% | +56.8% | +88.6% | +6.3% |
| 27 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.1606 | −5.0% | +47.4% | +51.3% | −2.4% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.1597 | −1.8% | +42.0% | +23.9% | +4.6% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1710 | −3.7% | +39.1% | +19.0% | −1.7% |
| 11 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.1519 | +12.6% | +16.7% | +54.8% | +6.1% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2195 | −18.8% | −28.8% | −10.6% | −25.6% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2724 | −12.4% | −39.5% | −16.7% | −16.2% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2748 | +5.3% | −38.5% | −9.0% | +11.0% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2095 | +26.7% | +9.0% | +13.0% | −0.1% |
| 26 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.2017 | +5.8% | +14.4% | +28.8% | +6.6% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2356 | −13.5% | +21.3% | −34.5% | −8.5% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2424 | −0.2% | −0.8% | −35.9% | +3.2% |
| 21 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2791 | −5.8% | −24.1% | −41.2% | −5.6% |
| 13 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.3062 | +7.9% | −21.9% | −48.8% | −2.2% |
| 9 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.3116 | −8.2% | −22.9% | −45.7% | +21.7% |
| 2 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2447 | +39.3% | −5.6% | −15.6% | −5.3% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2623 | −20.3% | +1.9% | −16.9% | −4.1% |
| 21 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.2627 | +0.5% | +25.7% | −4.0% | −2.6% |
| 14 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.3204 | −16.0% | −2.6% | −8.8% | −6.4% |
| 6 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.5780 | −34.6% | −63.4% | −58.4% | −28.4% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.5770 | −40.0% | −57.3% | −63.0% | +6.8% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.6450 | −13.2% | −59.6% | −68.4% | −11.9% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.6630 | −3.2% | −44.3% | −64.0% | −1.2% |
| 9 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.6440 | −0.8% | −13.8% | −63.4% | +6.2% |
| 4 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.5940 | +10.6% | +0.7% | −57.0% | +3.5% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.6490 | −5.5% | −9.9% | −57.0% | −4.9% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.6790 | 0.0% | −5.3% | −57.9% | +1.6% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.7060 | −3.1% | −3.4% | −53.3% | +3.7% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.6980 | +0.6% | −7.6% | −51.2% | +4.7% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.7250 | −12.3% | −10.9% | −64.2% | −9.4% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.7880 | −9.9% | −15.9% | −65.8% | −1.3% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.6890 | +22.2% | +9.0% | −45.1% | +8.7% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.7060 | +7.5% | +1.3% | −30.5% | +5.1% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.6920 | +7.8% | −11.0% | −14.2% | −1.6% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.6620 | +1.4% | +3.8% | −12.4% | +6.2% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.6860 | 0.0% | +13.1% | −3.9% | −9.2% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.7550 | −11.0% | −5.2% | −14.6% | −5.4% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.7680 | +1.2% | −12.1% | −19.7% | +0.4% |
| 30 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.8300 | −13.0% | −17.3% | −23.1% | −4.3% |
| 24 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.8460 | −11.8% | −31.0% | −21.6% | +5.3% |
| 19 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.7180 | +18.1% | −8.9% | −1.7% | +8.6% |
| 15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.7700 | +4.5% | −11.9% | −6.0% | +3.5% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.7930 | −7.2% | −2.0% | −9.8% | +12.5% |
| 3 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.6830 | +21.2% | +11.6% | −1.9% | +2.2% |
| 28 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.7130 | −7.7% | +24.8% | +2.5% | +6.9% |
| 15 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.4780 | +26.8% | +73.6% | +53.1% | +3.8% |
| 2 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.4470 | −15.2% | +63.5% | +51.7% | −10.3% |
| 27 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.5430 | −20.6% | +38.3% | +24.9% | −10.9% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.5080 | +8.1% | +9.4% | +32.3% | +6.1% |
| 18 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.4970 | +11.3% | −7.6% | +40.2% | +9.3% |
| 8 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.5830 | −11.3% | −34.0% | +23.8% | −11.7% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.6740 | −21.5% | −30.3% | +12.0% | −3.4% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.7420 | +0.8% | −23.7% | +15.0% | −3.5% |
| 17 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.7540 | +0.5% | −31.7% | −1.1% | +2.3% |
| 8 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.7090 | +14.1% | −25.4% | +10.0% | +11.6% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.9780 | −25.5% | −23.5% | −25.3% | −11.6% |
| 27 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.18 | −30.2% | −43.7% | −33.8% | −8.3% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $1.31 | −6.8% | −40.8% | −62.2% | −2.0% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.49 | −16.6% | −48.9% | −74.2% | −12.5% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.26 | +27.8% | −22.2% | −62.6% | +7.4% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $1.27 | +3.7% | −3.6% | −55.5% | +6.8% |
| 15 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $1.68 | −24.8% | −26.1% | −69.3% | −16.0% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.83 | −1.3% | −23.0% | −67.1% | +1.7% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $1.74 | +18.0% | −27.0% | −63.2% | +11.4% |
| 26 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $1.36 | +43.1% | −0.4% | −44.1% | +11.1% |
| 12 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.45 | −5.9% | +25.7% | −46.9% | −6.8% |
| 1 Nov 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.25 | +12.5% | +52.8% | −20.8% | −1.1% |
| 22 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.39 | −7.6% | −10.8% | −15.2% | −4.3% |
| 17 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.40 | −5.0% | −8.0% | −6.5% | +4.9% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $1.43 | +6.5% | −0.8% | +12.9% | −0.8% |
| 28 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.60 | −8.5% | −20.5% | −21.0% | −4.3% |
| 16 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $1.31 | +22.8% | +11.7% | +31.8% | +3.8% |
| 13 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $1.32 | +12.8% | +12.1% | +38.1% | +7.6% |
| 4 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $1.12 | +19.5% | +22.3% | +73.2% | +2.8% |
| 28 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.27 | −11.9% | +27.9% | +12.3% | −3.1% |
| 15 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.8220 | +16.9% | +67.2% | +67.5% | +11.2% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.8360 | +0.5% | +44.1% | +67.0% | +6.7% |
| 30 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.21 | −34.9% | −1.5% | +5.0% | −22.5% |
| 23 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.37 | −11.5% | −29.9% | +6.9% | −6.4% |
| 12 Jul 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $1.11 | +26.6% | −18.9% | +21.1% | +10.5% |
| 27 Jun 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.60 | −21.7% | −19.8% | +6.6% | −24.5% |
| 23 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $1.44 | −6.3% | −4.7% | +13.5% | +13.6% |
| 14 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.52 | +5.7% | −23.4% | −11.1% | −14.1% |
| 6 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $2.05 | −16.4% | −43.4% | −45.3% | −15.9% |
| 23 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | $2.37 | −7.5% | −33.0% | −63.2% | −8.1% |
| 19 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $2.22 | +3.6% | −40.5% | −62.7% | +7.8% |
| 13 May 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $2.05 | +7.2% | −25.1% | −56.2% | +6.1% |
| 8 May 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $2.25 | −11.0% | −9.1% | −64.9% | +4.7% |
| 25 Apr 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $2.27 | −11.3% | +1.7% | −43.2% | −7.8% |
| 16 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.95 | +26.8% | +15.9% | −36.0% | +15.3% |
| 12 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $2.39 | −14.5% | −8.5% | −50.2% | −8.0% |
| 9 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $2.60 | −21.2% | −17.2% | −57.1% | +2.4% |
| 5 Apr 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $2.52 | +1.0% | −14.4% | −50.4% | +12.5% |
| 30 Mar 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $3.06 | −14.6% | −29.3% | −49.4% | −7.5% |
| 18 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $2.51 | +2.9% | −15.9% | −41.9% | +10.1% |
| 16 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $2.55 | −4.9% | −12.8% | −37.8% | +13.4% |
| 14 Mar 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $2.56 | +7.1% | −16.5% | −40.1% | +11.2% |
| 5 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $1.51 | +78.9% | +70.8% | +38.0% | +32.8% |
| 31 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.5997 | −11.8% | +145.3% | +261.4% | −7.4% |
| 14 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.6610 | −7.4% | +1.0% | +223.8% | −11.5% |
| 6 Jan 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.6348 | +8.0% | −17.4% | +325.1% | +6.1% |
| 3 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.6919 | −6.5% | −21.7% | +316.3% | +1.2% |
| 28 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.6904 | −4.7% | −11.6% | +309.8% | +6.0% |
| 16 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.6392 | +12.7% | +1.9% | +346.1% | +10.8% |
| 10 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.5132 | +26.0% | +32.9% | +434.9% | +4.0% |
| 4 Dec 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.5324 | −0.8% | +37.7% | +238.3% | +1.5% |
| 21 Nov 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.5011 | +2.5% | +46.9% | +64.4% | +9.2% |
| 14 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.3738 | +39.0% | +68.2% | +68.9% | +12.8% |
| 9 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.3634 | +22.7% | +48.0% | +45.5% | +12.3% |
| 7 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.3527 | +6.0% | +43.0% | +48.7% | +10.9% |
| 2 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3424 | +8.4% | +61.9% | +75.1% | +7.1% |
| 31 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.3418 | +14.2% | +52.9% | +76.1% | +12.8% |
| 17 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2070 | +21.5% | +115.4% | +214.7% | +3.1% |
| 9 Oct 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2176 | −2.6% | +67.0% | +198.0% | −3.9% |
| 2 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.2247 | −2.7% | +61.6% | +207.0% | +0.3% |
| 18 Sep 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2256 | −4.5% | −8.7% | +186.7% | −3.4% |
| 7 Sep 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2446 | −8.6% | −8.0% | +117.7% | −3.0% |
| 21 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.1988 | +5.7% | +17.6% | +132.6% | +1.5% |
| 15 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.2112 | −4.6% | +5.9% | +103.4% | −5.2% |
| 8 Aug 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.1936 | +13.6% | +32.6% | +88.7% | +3.2% |
| 3 Aug 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2041 | −2.6% | +12.7% | +78.0% | −2.4% |
| 30 Jul 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2110 | −8.0% | −1.9% | +50.7% | −0.2% |
| 18 Jul 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.2269 | −6.4% | −13.5% | −6.6% | −4.8% |
| 5 Jul 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2286 | −6.5% | −11.8% | −3.0% | −3.5% |
| 27 Jun 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2201 | +11.4% | −3.8% | −2.1% | +6.5% |
| 19 Jun 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1830 | +24.3% | +23.2% | +29.1% | +7.2% |
| 5 Jun 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2625 | −30.3% | −9.1% | −4.2% | −27.0% |
| 31 May 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.2602 | −5.5% | −16.1% | −20.5% | +6.3% |
| 21 May 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.2446 | +4.3% | −22.5% | −18.4% | −2.0% |
| 5 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.3047 | −20.8% | −11.9% | −33.0% | −17.8% |
| 26 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.3253 | −2.0% | −27.1% | −34.7% | −0.1% |
| 19 Apr 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3905 | −11.7% | −36.8% | −39.6% | −11.7% |
| 12 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.3353 | +26.6% | −28.0% | −35.8% | +7.8% |
| 7 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3501 | +3.1% | −17.8% | −35.4% | −0.1% |
| 2 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3519 | −3.6% | −9.5% | −35.4% | +5.5% |
| 20 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.4014 | −7.2% | +5.8% | −50.8% | −10.1% |
| 3 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.4319 | −26.0% | −15.9% | −38.9% | −12.0% |
| 25 Feb 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4106 | +7.2% | −9.3% | −42.3% | +15.8% |
| 22 Feb 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.4202 | +4.7% | −8.0% | −43.0% | +12.8% |
| 17 Feb 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4133 | +5.6% | +0.9% | −37.8% | +8.3% |
| 8 Feb 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.4757 | −4.8% | −32.8% | −45.4% | −8.1% |
| 30 Jan 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.2695 | +66.9% | +63.2% | +26.5% | +4.0% |
| 25 Jan 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2570 | +7.0% | +69.8% | +29.1% | +11.1% |
| 9 Jan 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1400 | +62.6% | +286.0% | +142.2% | +34.7% |
| 29 Dec 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.09500 | +17.8% | +195.5% | +275.1% | −0.3% |
| 17 Dec 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.09080 | −0.6% | +150.8% | +364.2% | −0.2% |
| 10 Dec 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.09510 | −4.5% | +47.2% | +236.2% | +12.0% |
| 25 Nov 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $0.06020 | +3.2% | +55.0% | +627.1% | +9.5% |
| 7 Nov 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 15 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.08690 | −30.8% | −19.6% | +281.7% | −34.5% |
| 2 Nov 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.08160 | −5.5% | −23.9% | +225.9% | +3.6% |
| 19 Oct 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.08300 | −1.7% | −27.3% | +176.5% | −0.6% |
| 9 Oct 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.08110 | +1.2% | +8.4% | +53.0% | +0.6% |
| 2 Oct 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.07980 | +1.6% | +6.6% | +17.4% | +3.4% |
| 19 Sep 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.08090 | −1.0% | +4.6% | +10.8% | +4.0% |
| 13 Sep 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.09080 | −8.9% | −12.3% | +14.5% | +1.1% |
| 6 Sep 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.07690 | +18.6% | +5.7% | −17.7% | +21.1% |
| 31 Aug 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.08010 | −3.9% | +3.5% | −23.6% | +6.0% |
| 26 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.08710 | −6.0% | −5.5% | −26.4% | −3.2% |
| 17 Aug 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1007 | −8.8% | −8.8% | −37.0% | −8.2% |
| 14 Aug 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.09770 | −12.7% | −6.7% | −33.6% | +12.2% |
| 9 Aug 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.09620 | +4.3% | +1.0% | −7.8% | +3.8% |
| 21 Jul 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.08100 | +0.2% | +4.0% | +4.4% | −1.9% |
| 11 Jul 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.07570 | +4.9% | +26.4% | +7.1% | +2.1% |
| 27 Jun 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.08240 | −10.1% | −7.4% | −0.1% | −0.1% |
| 16 Jun 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.08810 | −7.6% | −12.9% | −2.0% | −5.3% |
| 10 Jun 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1457 | −43.2% | −43.9% | −33.3% | −25.9% |
| 1 Jun 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.1558 | −2.1% | −52.1% | −45.9% | −0.3% |
| 18 May 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1726 | −5.2% | −52.0% | −41.9% | −8.5% |
| 5 May 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2691 | −50.6% | −43.0% | −65.6% | −36.2% |
| 26 Apr 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3153 | −16.5% | −49.5% | −73.2% | −9.8% |
| 22 Apr 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3235 | −4.6% | −46.5% | −74.2% | +3.6% |
| 6 Apr 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.4642 | −25.5% | −42.0% | −83.4% | −27.0% |
| 1 Apr 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.4333 | +3.6% | −40.4% | −82.3% | +12.6% |
| 23 Mar 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | $0.3608 | +30.4% | −10.3% | −77.8% | +14.7% |
| 10 Mar 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.3227 | +2.1% | +24.4% | −52.7% | +4.9% |
| 2 Mar 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.3405 | −6.0% | +33.9% | −50.9% | +5.0% |
Showing the newest 200 of 331 bearish flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 7 Mar 2019, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
662 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.