Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Filecoin's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 280 of 281 | −2.1% | −3.1% to −1.1% (92%) | −3.3% to −1.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 275 of 281 | −8.3% | −10.1% to −5.8% (91%) | −10.2% to −6.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 267 of 281 | −21.7% | −24.3% to −18.3% (91%) | −23.3% to −16.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 279 of 280 | −2.0% | −3.0% to −1.4% (91%) | −3.2% to −1.3% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 275 of 280 | −8.4% | −9.5% to −6.2% (91%) | −10.2% to −6.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 267 of 280 | −21.3% | −23.3% to −17.7% (91%) | −23.3% to −16.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 25 Oct 2020, for comparison | 7 | 2,163 days | −2.3% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,140 days | −8.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,080 days | −20.0% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 27 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes of the native FIL/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 281 | 19 of 281 |
| After bearish flips | 280 | 11 of 280 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Filecoin's 4-hour line has flipped 94.4 times a year since 25 Oct 2020, 04:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Filecoin, 4-hour flips: 561 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours so far | Bull | 0.00001265 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −0.6% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001282 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −1.3% |
| 25 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001216 BTC | −1.1% | not yet | not yet | +5.4% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001100 BTC | +15.0% | not yet | not yet | +10.5% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001217 BTC | +3.9% | not yet | not yet | −9.6% |
| 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001185 BTC | +13.3% | not yet | not yet | +2.7% |
| 18 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001118 BTC | +5.0% | not yet | not yet | +6.0% |
| 15 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001193 BTC | −4.7% | not yet | not yet | −6.3% |
| 13 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001069 BTC | +10.9% | not yet | not yet | +11.6% |
| 10 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001025 BTC | +3.0% | not yet | not yet | +4.3% |
| 6 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001022 BTC | +1.5% | not yet | not yet | +0.3% |
| 3 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000009830 BTC | +6.7% | +24.4% | not yet | +4.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000008830 BTC | +19.5% | +41.6% | not yet | +11.3% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001002 BTC | −12.0% | +15.9% | not yet | −11.9% |
| 20 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000009970 BTC | −8.8% | +17.0% | not yet | +0.5% |
| 17 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001060 BTC | −6.0% | +1.6% | not yet | −5.9% |
| 15 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001097 BTC | −5.4% | +13.0% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 12 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001093 BTC | −10.8% | −7.1% | not yet | +0.4% |
| 8 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00001101 BTC | −1.9% | −8.7% | not yet | −0.7% |
| 1 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001114 BTC | −5.4% | −23.6% | not yet | −1.2% |
| 30 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001091 BTC | +2.4% | −19.2% | not yet | +2.1% |
| 26 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001141 BTC | −2.3% | −16.6% | not yet | −4.4% |
| 26 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001145 BTC | −2.6% | −16.9% | not yet | −0.3% |
| 23 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001134 BTC | −6.6% | −8.5% | not yet | +1.0% |
| 21 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00001135 BTC | −3.7% | −14.4% | not yet | −0.1% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001212 BTC | −4.6% | −9.3% | not yet | −6.4% |
| 9 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001243 BTC | −1.8% | −15.2% | not yet | −2.5% |
| 5 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001246 BTC | −2.7% | −8.4% | −1.8% | −0.2% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001234 BTC | +0.4% | −14.2% | +9.2% | +1.0% |
| 23 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001222 BTC | −0.4% | −5.5% | −5.0% | +1.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001243 BTC | +0.6% | −3.2% | −4.0% | −1.7% |
| 16 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001188 BTC | +3.8% | +2.8% | +4.4% | +4.6% |
| 15 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001219 BTC | +1.3% | −0.1% | −14.9% | −2.5% |
| 14 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001189 BTC | +3.2% | +1.2% | −15.0% | +2.5% |
| 13 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00001219 BTC | +2.2% | −1.0% | −16.7% | −2.5% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | 0.00001339 BTC | −10.8% | −3.7% | −25.2% | −9.0% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001356 BTC | −9.9% | −10.1% | −35.7% | −1.3% |
| 28 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001326 BTC | +9.3% | −6.3% | −31.7% | +2.3% |
| 25 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001286 BTC | −1.1% | −2.7% | −23.3% | +3.1% |
| 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00001291 BTC | +0.9% | −5.0% | −24.7% | −0.4% |
| 19 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001252 BTC | +1.5% | −0.6% | −15.3% | +3.1% |
| 10 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001453 BTC | −14.4% | −15.8% | −27.5% | −13.8% |
| 6 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001201 BTC | +13.0% | +13.2% | −5.0% | +21.0% |
| 4 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001166 BTC | +20.2% | +10.8% | −4.4% | +3.0% |
| 4 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001209 BTC | +16.0% | +6.9% | −7.8% | −3.6% |
| 29 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001197 BTC | +0.3% | +8.8% | −8.7% | +1.0% |
| 28 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00001207 BTC | −3.1% | +14.6% | −6.0% | −0.8% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001200 BTC | −1.7% | +11.0% | −4.6% | +0.6% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001218 BTC | −1.2% | +5.1% | −5.2% | −1.5% |
| 17 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001281 BTC | −7.2% | −2.9% | −4.7% | −4.9% |
| 15 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001226 BTC | −1.0% | +6.1% | −1.9% | +4.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001238 BTC | −1.1% | +29.6% | −1.6% | −1.0% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001285 BTC | −5.7% | −6.5% | −1.6% | −3.7% |
| 5 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001226 BTC | +0.7% | −4.6% | +5.2% | +4.8% |
| 3 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001253 BTC | +0.6% | −5.4% | −2.2% | −2.2% |
| 1 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001214 BTC | +4.9% | −0.9% | +0.2% | +3.2% |
| 30 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001269 BTC | −3.5% | −5.1% | −4.5% | −4.3% |
| 26 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001260 BTC | −2.6% | −3.6% | −0.7% | +0.7% |
| 23 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00001302 BTC | −6.8% | −6.8% | −5.8% | −3.2% |
| 22 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001271 BTC | −5.6% | −4.5% | −2.0% | +2.4% |
| 21 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001378 BTC | −8.3% | −11.0% | −8.1% | −7.8% |
| 19 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001265 BTC | +2.8% | +0.9% | −2.7% | +8.9% |
| 16 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001292 BTC | −3.6% | −7.6% | −5.8% | −2.1% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 18 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001498 BTC | −6.0% | −15.6% | −11.1% | −13.8% |
| 25 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001411 BTC | +3.8% | −10.7% | −9.9% | +6.2% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001394 BTC | +7.5% | −6.2% | −8.6% | +1.2% |
| 20 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001406 BTC | +8.3% | −9.6% | −11.0% | −0.9% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00001402 BTC | +1.7% | −5.6% | −9.0% | +0.3% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001342 BTC | +3.9% | −8.7% | +1.1% | +4.5% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001403 BTC | −1.7% | +0.9% | −2.4% | −4.3% |
| 1 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001356 BTC | +3.8% | +5.5% | −13.3% | +3.5% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001582 BTC | −4.9% | −11.9% | −24.5% | −14.3% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00001678 BTC | −10.7% | −21.8% | −27.8% | −5.7% |
| 12 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001603 BTC | −3.5% | −18.3% | −23.0% | +4.7% |
| 5 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001758 BTC | −8.8% | −19.8% | −29.2% | −8.8% |
| 2 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001589 BTC | +3.5% | −16.0% | −22.8% | +10.6% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001711 BTC | −2.9% | −18.6% | −29.0% | −7.1% |
| 31 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001462 BTC | +16.2% | −3.7% | −16.4% | +17.0% |
| 28 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001499 BTC | +10.0% | −4.1% | −15.7% | −2.5% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001457 BTC | +2.1% | +1.0% | −10.2% | +2.9% |
| 23 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00001509 BTC | +0.3% | −0.3% | −17.4% | −3.4% |
| 21 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001444 BTC | +3.8% | +3.7% | −11.6% | +4.5% |
| 19 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001504 BTC | −7.4% | +8.1% | −13.8% | −4.0% |
| 17 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00001419 BTC | +5.6% | +10.9% | −6.8% | +6.0% |
| 17 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001508 BTC | −0.7% | +4.3% | −12.3% | −5.9% |
| 10 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001614 BTC | −9.0% | +1.9% | −15.2% | −6.6% |
| 10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001667 BTC | −11.9% | −1.3% | −17.9% | −3.2% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001828 BTC | −6.6% | −23.1% | −24.8% | −8.8% |
| 26 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001914 BTC | −12.3% | −27.3% | −28.2% | −4.5% |
| 19 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002042 BTC | −6.3% | −32.0% | −30.5% | −6.3% |
| 17 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002337 BTC | −20.7% | −37.1% | −37.7% | −12.6% |
| 9 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002516 BTC | −15.5% | −34.0% | −45.0% | −7.1% |
| 6 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001755 BTC | +23.1% | −5.2% | −19.7% | +43.4% |
| 2 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001474 BTC | +96.3% | +16.3% | −5.5% | +19.1% |
| 1 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001424 BTC | +130.4% | +21.8% | −1.1% | +3.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001356 BTC | −0.7% | +31.2% | +4.9% | +5.0% |
| 29 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001435 BTC | −6.1% | +23.8% | +0.1% | −5.5% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001411 BTC | −4.2% | +31.3% | +2.2% | +1.7% |
| 26 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001439 BTC | +5.2% | +29.1% | +1.7% | −1.9% |
| 25 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001389 BTC | −0.4% | +33.5% | +5.9% | +3.6% |
| 20 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00001425 BTC | +1.3% | +50.0% | +14.1% | −2.5% |
| 11 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001490 BTC | −7.7% | +78.1% | +10.4% | −4.4% |
| 10 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001930 BTC | −28.5% | +49.9% | −13.9% | −22.8% |
| 9 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001850 BTC | −21.7% | +77.4% | −8.2% | +4.3% |
| 8 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001920 BTC | −22.9% | −2.3% | −13.0% | −3.6% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001900 BTC | −21.6% | −20.7% | −11.8% | +1.1% |
| 1 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001960 BTC | −4.1% | −31.1% | −22.8% | −3.1% |
| 28 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001950 BTC | −3.1% | −26.3% | −27.9% | +0.5% |
| 26 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002000 BTC | −1.5% | −30.1% | −27.5% | −2.5% |
| 17 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002130 BTC | −6.1% | −35.2% | −31.3% | −6.1% |
| 16 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002220 BTC | −9.9% | −34.8% | −32.8% | −4.1% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002200 BTC | −4.1% | −31.8% | −32.3% | +0.9% |
| 6 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002120 BTC | +4.2% | −11.3% | −20.9% | +3.8% |
| 2 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00002090 BTC | +4.3% | −7.2% | −17.0% | +1.4% |
| 26 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002070 BTC | +1.0% | −5.8% | −10.4% | +1.0% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002060 BTC | +1.9% | −2.9% | −7.5% | +0.5% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002180 BTC | −3.2% | −8.3% | −10.5% | −5.5% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002120 BTC | −0.5% | −5.7% | −8.0% | +2.8% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002210 BTC | −4.5% | −4.5% | −7.0% | −4.1% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002120 BTC | +0.5% | +3.3% | +0.3% | +4.2% |
| 16 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002150 BTC | +2.3% | +0.9% | −3.5% | −1.4% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002120 BTC | +0.5% | +4.2% | +1.9% | +1.4% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00002200 BTC | −3.6% | −0.5% | +20.6% | −3.6% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002180 BTC | −1.4% | 0.0% | +50.5% | +0.9% |
| 7 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002100 BTC | +5.2% | +1.0% | −35.9% | +3.8% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002050 BTC | +1.5% | +1.5% | −26.5% | +2.4% |
| 4 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002090 BTC | +5.3% | −2.4% | −27.6% | −1.9% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002260 BTC | −9.3% | −8.0% | −38.1% | −7.5% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002310 BTC | −11.3% | −10.0% | −39.5% | −2.2% |
| 22 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002370 BTC | −7.2% | −10.1% | −40.5% | −2.5% |
| 20 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002430 BTC | −7.4% | −12.8% | −43.4% | −2.5% |
| 19 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00002290 BTC | −1.7% | −4.8% | −39.7% | +6.1% |
| 16 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002250 BTC | +8.4% | −5.8% | −33.3% | +1.8% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002110 BTC | +10.0% | +4.3% | −10.4% | +6.6% |
| 8 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002130 BTC | +0.9% | −3.3% | −11.7% | −0.9% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002130 BTC | +4.7% | −5.2% | −8.9% | 0.0% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002200 BTC | −3.6% | −5.9% | −12.3% | −3.2% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002110 BTC | −0.5% | 0.0% | −6.6% | +4.3% |
| 28 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002080 BTC | +0.5% | +11.1% | −6.7% | +1.4% |
| 25 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00002100 BTC | −1.0% | +3.8% | −4.8% | −1.0% |
| 24 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002140 BTC | +0.5% | +3.7% | −2.8% | −1.9% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00002310 BTC | −7.4% | −3.5% | −6.1% | −7.4% |
| 16 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002360 BTC | −13.1% | −4.7% | −4.2% | −2.1% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00002420 BTC | −5.8% | −9.9% | −9.1% | −2.5% |
| 10 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00002460 BTC | −6.1% | −11.0% | −12.6% | −1.6% |
| 9 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002320 BTC | −1.3% | −8.6% | −9.1% | +6.0% |
| 7 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002390 BTC | −2.9% | −12.6% | −14.6% | −2.9% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002450 BTC | +1.2% | −14.7% | −16.7% | −2.4% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00002490 BTC | −5.2% | −12.4% | −15.7% | −1.6% |
| 30 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002530 BTC | −7.5% | −16.2% | −18.2% | −1.6% |
| 29 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00002700 BTC | −9.3% | −23.3% | −23.0% | −6.3% |
| 28 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002580 BTC | −3.1% | −20.5% | −23.3% | +4.7% |
| 27 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002630 BTC | −5.3% | −20.2% | −19.0% | −1.9% |
| 24 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002650 BTC | −9.1% | −22.6% | −20.0% | −0.8% |
| 22 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002760 BTC | −4.0% | −21.0% | −24.3% | −4.0% |
| 18 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002670 BTC | −1.9% | −13.5% | −21.3% | +3.4% |
| 18 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002810 BTC | −6.8% | −17.8% | −25.3% | −5.0% |
| 14 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002970 BTC | −9.8% | −20.2% | −30.0% | −5.4% |
| 14 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003110 BTC | −13.8% | −23.8% | −33.1% | −4.5% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00002910 BTC | −6.9% | −14.8% | −24.4% | +6.9% |
| 8 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00002720 BTC | +8.1% | −15.1% | −25.0% | +7.0% |
| 27 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | 0.00002940 BTC | −6.1% | −13.3% | −23.5% | −7.5% |
| 24 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002970 BTC | −1.0% | −10.8% | −17.8% | −1.0% |
| 21 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00003050 BTC | −5.2% | −12.1% | −22.3% | −2.6% |
| 18 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002890 BTC | +5.2% | −6.6% | −22.8% | +5.5% |
| 4 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bear | 0.00003350 BTC | −11.9% | −17.6% | −34.9% | −13.7% |
| 4 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003430 BTC | −14.0% | −19.5% | −36.4% | −2.3% |
| 1 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00003350 BTC | −10.7% | −12.2% | −34.0% | +2.4% |
| 1 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00003450 BTC | −13.3% | −14.8% | −35.9% | −2.9% |
| 27 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00003480 BTC | −6.0% | −13.2% | −37.9% | −0.9% |
| 22 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003590 BTC | −6.7% | −13.4% | −37.6% | −3.1% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00003490 BTC | −0.6% | −11.2% | −34.7% | +2.9% |
| 20 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003610 BTC | −3.6% | −19.4% | −36.6% | −3.3% |
| 18 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00003470 BTC | +2.9% | −18.2% | −34.0% | +4.0% |
| 17 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003550 BTC | −0.8% | −18.6% | −35.2% | −2.3% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00003400 BTC | +5.0% | −12.1% | −31.8% | +4.4% |
| 15 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00003470 BTC | −0.3% | −14.1% | −31.7% | −2.0% |
| 9 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.00003490 BTC | +0.3% | −14.3% | −33.8% | −0.6% |
| 7 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003580 BTC | −5.3% | −9.8% | −31.6% | −2.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.00003740 BTC | −4.0% | −10.7% | −29.9% | −4.3% |
| 25 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00003440 BTC | +3.5% | +1.2% | −25.0% | +8.7% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.00003460 BTC | +9.2% | +3.5% | −24.3% | −0.6% |
| 23 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003620 BTC | +4.1% | −1.4% | −26.8% | −4.4% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.00003430 BTC | +12.2% | +4.1% | −21.6% | +5.5% |
| 20 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003550 BTC | +5.4% | −2.5% | −24.5% | −3.4% |
| 18 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00003410 BTC | −3.2% | +4.7% | −19.6% | +4.1% |
| 18 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.00003580 BTC | −7.8% | −0.3% | −23.5% | −4.7% |
| 15 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00003500 BTC | −1.4% | −1.7% | −19.1% | +2.3% |
| 13 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003560 BTC | −3.4% | −3.7% | −13.2% | −1.7% |
| 12 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.00003430 BTC | −1.7% | −1.2% | −11.1% | +3.8% |
| 9 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003470 BTC | +0.9% | −3.2% | −15.3% | −1.2% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004440 BTC | −25.7% | −14.9% | −33.6% | −21.8% |
| 30 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00004570 BTC | −26.7% | −15.5% | −36.5% | −2.8% |
| 17 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00005490 BTC | −11.3% | −36.2% | −48.3% | −16.8% |
| 15 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00005550 BTC | −10.8% | −36.6% | −46.1% | −1.1% |
| 6 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00005900 BTC | −8.6% | −42.0% | −45.3% | −5.9% |
| 1 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00005460 BTC | +1.1% | −15.9% | −38.3% | +8.1% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00005230 BTC | +15.1% | −17.2% | −36.3% | +4.4% |
| 28 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00005430 BTC | +6.3% | −12.9% | −36.1% | −3.7% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00005270 BTC | +2.5% | −9.3% | −32.1% | +3.0% |
Showing the newest 200 of 561 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 25 Oct 2020, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
561 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.