Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Holo's 4-hour trend2 Mar 2019 to now
624flips
3 days 8 hourstypical run
18 days 16 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Holo's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−13.1%Median of 304 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−14.2%Median of 304 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after any day−12.6%2,683 days since 2 Mar 2019
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 311 of 312 | −1.7% | −2.5% to −1.0% (91%) | −2.2% to +0.3% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 309 of 312 | −3.9% | −7.3% to −1.8% (91%) | −7.3% to −1.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 304 of 312 | −13.1% | −17.3% to −8.3% (90%) | −17.9% to −7.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 310 of 312 | 0.0% | −1.2% to +1.1% (90%) | −2.2% to +0.2% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 309 of 312 | −3.9% | −5.6% to −1.9% (91%) | −7.3% to −1.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 304 of 312 | −14.2% | −17.4% to −8.4% (90%) | −17.9% to −7.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 2 Mar 2019, for comparison | 7 | 2,766 days | −0.9% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,743 days | −4.4% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,683 days | −12.6% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 16 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 312 | 12 of 312 |
| After bearish flips | 312 | 7 of 312 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Holo's 4-hour line has flipped 82.2 times a year since 2 Mar 2019, 08:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Holo, 4-hour flips: 312 bearish flips of 624
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours so far | Bear | $0.0004390 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +3.2% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.0004430 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +5.6% |
| 10 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0003770 | −3.2% | not yet | not yet | −0.3% |
| 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.0003710 | +4.0% | +19.7% | not yet | +1.9% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.0003720 | +3.0% | +7.0% | not yet | +3.8% |
| 15 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.0003260 | +19.0% | +13.8% | not yet | +2.1% |
| 28 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 18 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0003270 | +2.4% | +18.0% | not yet | +4.3% |
| 14 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | $0.0003520 | −2.6% | −8.0% | not yet | −2.3% |
| 5 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0003390 | +4.1% | −1.2% | +31.6% | +8.8% |
| 28 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0003190 | +10.3% | +2.5% | +40.4% | −2.5% |
| 25 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.0002930 | +3.8% | +14.7% | +52.2% | +8.9% |
| 22 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.0003050 | +1.6% | +12.8% | +30.2% | +1.3% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0003130 | −1.3% | +12.1% | +16.3% | +1.0% |
| 2 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0003540 | −11.6% | −14.1% | +4.8% | −9.9% |
| 23 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0003900 | −5.6% | −21.8% | −9.5% | −3.3% |
| 12 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.0004350 | −8.0% | −30.6% | −22.1% | −6.4% |
| 28 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.0004340 | −2.8% | −13.8% | −21.2% | +1.4% |
| 18 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0004180 | +6.7% | −5.5% | −16.0% | +3.8% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.0003880 | +9.3% | +17.5% | −13.1% | +4.6% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.0003940 | +1.5% | +8.4% | −26.1% | +2.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.0004370 | −6.9% | −3.7% | −30.7% | −5.9% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.0004070 | −2.9% | −3.4% | −8.4% | +0.7% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.0003830 | +1.8% | +13.8% | +8.4% | +0.3% |
| 11 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0003710 | +9.4% | +10.0% | +22.9% | +3.0% |
| 5 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.0003980 | −7.3% | −0.8% | +7.8% | −0.3% |
| 26 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.0004660 | −12.2% | −21.7% | −4.9% | −6.0% |
| 25 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.0004650 | −9.0% | −22.8% | −4.1% | +8.8% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.0005180 | −6.4% | −26.6% | −23.0% | −5.6% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.0005400 | −1.1% | −25.6% | −23.9% | +0.4% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.0004790 | +14.6% | −0.6% | −15.0% | +1.9% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.0004680 | +1.1% | +2.4% | −4.5% | +4.7% |
| 18 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.0004460 | +8.7% | +18.4% | +1.1% | +9.2% |
| 15 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.0004800 | −0.6% | +12.9% | −14.0% | +2.3% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0005060 | −7.5% | +5.5% | −20.4% | 0.0% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.0005080 | +2.6% | +2.4% | −22.2% | +5.9% |
| 21 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0005440 | +3.7% | −9.2% | −29.2% | −2.0% |
| 9 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | $0.0006210 | −4.2% | −16.4% | −35.3% | −5.0% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.0005850 | +12.3% | −10.3% | −27.7% | +3.4% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.0006610 | −13.0% | −14.2% | −30.9% | −2.6% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.0006470 | −2.0% | −13.1% | −25.3% | +5.9% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.0006280 | +5.1% | −5.3% | −15.0% | +11.8% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.0008760 | −29.1% | −27.5% | −42.5% | −18.4% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | $0.0009550 | −13.9% | −29.2% | −51.0% | −8.2% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0009800 | −3.2% | −24.8% | −48.2% | −0.7% |
| 9 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.0009540 | −1.2% | −6.9% | −47.3% | +4.8% |
| 1 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.0009220 | +1.7% | −7.8% | −41.8% | +2.7% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.0009410 | −3.1% | −9.4% | −39.7% | +3.7% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.0009590 | −2.5% | −9.6% | −42.0% | +2.6% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.0009360 | +5.1% | +1.4% | −38.4% | +10.3% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.0009990 | +1.7% | −5.6% | −41.9% | +0.2% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.0009480 | +5.7% | +5.5% | −34.7% | +3.5% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.001001 | 0.0% | −3.9% | −34.6% | +3.4% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.0009270 | +6.3% | +1.9% | −31.5% | +6.6% |
| 1 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.0009610 | +4.2% | −0.8% | −32.7% | +1.9% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001127 | −9.1% | −14.9% | −39.6% | −5.2% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.0009490 | +25.7% | +12.3% | −26.8% | +7.6% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.0009410 | +11.5% | +9.6% | −7.7% | +7.0% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0008260 | +14.8% | +9.2% | +8.5% | +2.3% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.0008270 | +0.5% | +22.7% | +4.8% | +1.8% |
| 26 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.0008060 | +7.3% | +32.5% | +7.6% | +7.4% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0008810 | −4.2% | +19.0% | +10.4% | −8.9% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.0009890 | −13.5% | −2.9% | −2.7% | −6.7% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.0009450 | +4.7% | −13.2% | −1.2% | +7.6% |
| 23 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001170 | −7.3% | −32.1% | −14.4% | −10.3% |
| 19 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001101 | +2.3% | −22.9% | −9.2% | +8.2% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001228 | −7.2% | −19.5% | −16.0% | −2.9% |
| 27 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001048 | −7.1% | +6.4% | +1.9% | −7.3% |
| 24 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.001025 | +2.7% | +9.9% | +15.6% | +4.9% |
| 13 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.0009400 | +2.0% | +38.9% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 6 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.0008820 | +11.3% | +8.8% | −7.0% | +3.2% |
| 26 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001163 | −11.9% | −7.6% | −27.4% | −15.5% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001100 | +5.3% | −12.8% | −22.3% | +4.7% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001098 | +1.1% | −14.8% | −17.3% | +5.3% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001287 | −15.7% | −20.4% | −23.3% | −11.3% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.001514 | −7.6% | −26.7% | −22.7% | −2.4% |
| 16 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001640 | −2.7% | −29.6% | −29.8% | −1.3% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001976 | −22.0% | −24.7% | −45.7% | −11.9% |
| 25 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002185 | −6.8% | −28.1% | −50.8% | −5.6% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.002492 | −12.3% | −35.1% | −63.3% | −3.7% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002444 | −14.1% | −34.4% | −64.2% | −12.7% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002323 | +11.6% | −19.0% | −56.0% | +7.5% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002342 | +2.3% | −6.7% | −48.6% | +6.7% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.003051 | −18.6% | −29.7% | −64.4% | −12.9% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.003436 | −7.7% | −32.3% | −64.1% | −4.4% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.003081 | +23.4% | −24.7% | −54.9% | +12.7% |
| 13 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001960 | +6.2% | +69.2% | −16.7% | +8.4% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001602 | +7.5% | +87.1% | +17.5% | −4.1% |
| 22 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001754 | −7.5% | +13.7% | +28.8% | −3.7% |
| 17 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001575 | +4.5% | +30.5% | +40.1% | +6.0% |
| 13 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.001532 | +5.4% | +49.2% | +43.0% | +4.9% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.001544 | +7.8% | +11.5% | +67.9% | +1.7% |
| 29 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001829 | −15.1% | −11.3% | +29.6% | −10.3% |
| 11 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001594 | +0.4% | −4.2% | +90.2% | +0.3% |
| 26 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001895 | −19.4% | −0.9% | +25.5% | −19.4% |
| 15 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001338 | +17.3% | +22.9% | +56.7% | +6.1% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.001359 | +0.7% | +16.9% | +30.6% | +3.9% |
| 3 Aug 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001463 | −2.1% | +4.4% | +9.8% | −10.5% |
| 30 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001645 | −24.2% | +3.7% | −1.1% | −3.0% |
| 23 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001770 | −5.3% | −11.4% | +10.3% | −3.0% |
| 18 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001835 | −9.5% | −26.0% | −11.6% | +2.7% |
| 12 Jul 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.001585 | +12.2% | −10.0% | −5.4% | +6.2% |
| 3 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001760 | −8.6% | −9.4% | −0.7% | −15.6% |
| 27 Jun 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001774 | −4.1% | −3.8% | +5.9% | +3.8% |
| 24 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.001766 | +4.2% | −3.2% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 13 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002073 | −13.0% | −18.8% | −17.6% | −7.7% |
| 7 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002411 | −13.1% | −33.6% | −35.4% | −6.6% |
| 31 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.002391 | +12.4% | −26.0% | −28.6% | +5.1% |
| 23 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002347 | +6.7% | −22.0% | −38.3% | +6.1% |
| 19 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.002196 | +9.7% | −12.6% | −38.2% | +6.5% |
| 10 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.002258 | −1.6% | +0.4% | −42.4% | −0.3% |
| 7 May 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002397 | −8.8% | +15.6% | −44.0% | +0.1% |
| 29 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002448 | +1.1% | +2.7% | −29.2% | −3.9% |
| 25 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.002560 | −10.3% | −6.5% | −33.2% | +1.4% |
| 9 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.003112 | −29.3% | −26.0% | −51.9% | −22.1% |
| 26 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.003393 | −4.3% | −23.2% | −48.0% | −8.1% |
| 14 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.004059 | −15.8% | −37.6% | −48.0% | −15.8% |
| 5 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.003263 | +24.8% | −11.0% | −23.4% | +27.7% |
| 20 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002282 | +10.9% | +49.8% | −5.3% | +5.0% |
| 17 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.002094 | +11.8% | +72.0% | +6.2% | +5.6% |
| 12 Feb 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.001917 | +17.0% | +118.0% | +16.3% | +4.4% |
| 31 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001889 | −3.0% | +46.8% | +28.2% | −1.0% |
| 22 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001847 | +2.3% | +27.3% | +39.2% | +3.1% |
| 13 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002017 | −7.8% | −3.9% | +48.2% | −4.5% |
| 3 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.002308 | −13.5% | −17.1% | +40.7% | −12.1% |
| 31 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.002440 | −16.4% | −20.0% | +40.1% | +7.0% |
| 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002093 | +7.5% | −7.1% | +99.0% | +3.2% |
| 13 Dec 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.002041 | +2.3% | +7.1% | +99.6% | +10.7% |
| 7 Dec 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001971 | +10.8% | +9.0% | +79.1% | +13.6% |
| 27 Nov 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001562 | +11.8% | +52.2% | +52.1% | +1.1% |
| 17 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001518 | +1.3% | +43.1% | +37.5% | +1.3% |
| 14 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.001572 | +0.1% | +38.9% | +23.3% | +4.1% |
| 9 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.001583 | +2.8% | +33.5% | +15.8% | +8.3% |
| 18 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001274 | +3.4% | +22.8% | +56.0% | +0.8% |
| 14 Oct 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.001105 | +13.1% | +53.7% | +97.8% | +10.8% |
| 2 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.001038 | −1.7% | +33.8% | +140.5% | −2.4% |
| 25 Sep 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001017 | +5.0% | +29.5% | +113.4% | +2.7% |
| 17 Sep 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001057 | −0.9% | +34.3% | +98.0% | −0.1% |
| 10 Sep 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001055 | +2.3% | −6.0% | +100.4% | +2.8% |
| 31 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001073 | −2.1% | −3.4% | +46.9% | −0.8% |
| 27 Aug 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.001074 | −2.8% | −4.6% | +45.2% | −0.7% |
| 13 Aug 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001275 | −12.7% | −19.5% | +31.8% | −12.5% |
| 30 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001274 | −1.3% | −16.0% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| 24 Jul 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001283 | +0.2% | −15.2% | −2.3% | −0.2% |
| 14 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001333 | −1.2% | −4.4% | −24.1% | +0.2% |
| 5 Jul 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.001367 | −4.0% | −9.4% | −25.0% | −2.0% |
| 26 Jun 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001393 | 0.0% | −10.8% | −24.8% | −0.9% |
| 23 Jun 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.001355 | −1.7% | −4.2% | −22.1% | +5.5% |
| 20 Jun 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | $0.001278 | +8.4% | +3.5% | −20.0% | +4.5% |
| 7 Jun 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001440 | −11.3% | −7.9% | −28.1% | −10.2% |
| 5 Jun 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.001491 | −16.3% | −5.2% | −30.0% | +3.5% |
| 31 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001582 | −3.3% | −15.8% | −32.4% | +2.4% |
| 24 May 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001605 | −0.1% | −15.6% | −31.7% | +1.6% |
| 20 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001661 | −3.6% | −22.6% | −35.8% | +0.2% |
| 1 May 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001839 | −4.6% | −12.8% | −29.5% | −8.5% |
| 26 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.001827 | +0.5% | −12.5% | −32.4% | +6.1% |
| 20 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001950 | −3.8% | −13.9% | −32.8% | −2.2% |
| 19 Apr 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.002054 | −7.1% | −18.5% | −34.5% | +4.7% |
| 12 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.001949 | +12.4% | −17.1% | −32.5% | +4.2% |
| 2 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001992 | −3.7% | −8.7% | −31.2% | +0.7% |
| 25 Mar 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.001778 | +20.9% | +2.9% | −23.8% | +3.3% |
| 20 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001785 | +2.7% | +22.7% | −26.3% | +4.9% |
| 15 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.001702 | +8.7% | +20.7% | −26.3% | +10.5% |
| 22 Feb 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 18 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002194 | −8.2% | −13.7% | −25.2% | −22.9% |
| 17 Feb 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002131 | +2.7% | −13.0% | −19.9% | +9.1% |
| 9 Feb 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002076 | +8.3% | −23.9% | −20.7% | +0.9% |
| 5 Feb 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002131 | −1.0% | −14.8% | −13.8% | +5.9% |
| 30 Jan 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002070 | +3.2% | −2.7% | −8.5% | +6.5% |
| 25 Jan 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.001970 | +7.4% | +11.1% | −6.4% | +5.4% |
| 18 Jan 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001908 | +3.2% | +11.7% | +12.6% | +4.6% |
| 29 Dec 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001434 | +2.6% | +54.7% | +23.4% | +2.2% |
| 28 Dec 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.001450 | 0.0% | +47.2% | +18.6% | +6.4% |
| 16 Dec 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.001631 | −9.0% | +15.1% | +3.9% | −8.0% |
| 8 Dec 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.001671 | +1.0% | −11.3% | +5.1% | +0.8% |
| 5 Dec 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.001682 | −0.8% | −13.8% | +9.1% | +4.5% |
| 28 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001598 | +7.8% | −8.2% | +28.5% | +3.2% |
| 7 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 15 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002039 | −25.5% | −15.7% | +11.1% | −25.6% |
| 30 Oct 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002091 | +2.2% | −24.0% | +6.1% | +1.6% |
| 28 Oct 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.001920 | +6.3% | −14.6% | +6.4% | +7.1% |
| 20 Oct 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001915 | +2.0% | −18.2% | +3.1% | +1.0% |
| 11 Oct 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002001 | +0.4% | −25.2% | −23.9% | −1.1% |
| 26 Sep 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $0.002010 | −2.4% | −4.4% | −26.8% | +1.5% |
| 19 Sep 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.001987 | +1.9% | −0.4% | −22.3% | +5.3% |
| 13 Sep 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002099 | −3.2% | −5.1% | −20.5% | +1.9% |
| 5 Sep 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002093 | +2.8% | −3.1% | −21.0% | −1.4% |
| 1 Sep 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002062 | −2.0% | −1.2% | −21.9% | +10.1% |
| 26 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002139 | −3.6% | −4.2% | −23.3% | −0.2% |
| 17 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.002528 | −12.3% | −19.8% | −38.8% | −10.7% |
| 9 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.002453 | +11.2% | −17.6% | −16.9% | +6.4% |
| 21 Jul 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002120 | −0.8% | +3.0% | −6.7% | −1.7% |
| 10 Jul 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002060 | −0.8% | +28.9% | −2.7% | −2.7% |
| 27 Jun 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.002257 | −8.6% | −10.9% | −9.2% | −4.3% |
| 22 Jun 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002108 | +4.6% | +2.7% | −3.7% | +10.6% |
| 7 Jun 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002575 | −21.5% | −18.5% | −16.2% | −18.4% |
| 1 Jun 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002611 | −2.3% | −19.3% | −18.2% | +5.2% |
| 24 May 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002541 | +3.3% | −17.8% | −12.9% | −1.8% |
| 5 May 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.003959 | −33.1% | −34.7% | −43.1% | −24.1% |
| 26 Apr 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.004413 | −9.1% | −42.9% | −52.3% | −5.1% |
| 22 Apr 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.004830 | −9.7% | −47.3% | −56.1% | −3.5% |
| 18 Apr 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.004789 | −3.1% | −43.6% | −57.3% | +4.2% |
| 6 Apr 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.006323 | −20.8% | −36.6% | −65.8% | −20.1% |
Showing the newest 200 of 312 bearish flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 2 Mar 2019, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
624 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.