Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Meteora's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bearish flips the median price in Bitcoin was still higher 90 days later. A bearish flip did not by itself mean the price went down.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 41 of 42 | −1.9% | −5.6% to +2.6% (94%) | −5.0% to +3.6% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 38 of 42 | +0.7% | −6.5% to +3.6% (93%) | −9.6% to +4.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 28 of 42 | +22.1% | −18.3% to +28.8% (91%) | too little history | – | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 42 of 43 | −2.0% | −5.3% to +3.0% (91%) | −5.1% to +3.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 39 of 43 | +2.2% | −5.4% to +9.0% (95%) | −8.9% to +5.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 29 of 43 | +12.3% | −29.1% to +32.1% (94%) | too little history | – | |
| Any day since 19 Nov 2025, for comparison | 7 | 312 days | −0.5% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 289 days | −1.2% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 229 days | too little history | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 28 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 42 | 3 of 42 |
| After bearish flips | 43 | 4 of 43 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Meteora, 4-hour flips: 85 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours so far | Bear | 0.000003986 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −9.7% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.000004509 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −11.6% |
| 24 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000004034 BTC | −6.1% | not yet | not yet | +11.8% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002812 BTC | +44.8% | not yet | not yet | +43.5% |
| 12 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000002991 BTC | +7.7% | not yet | not yet | −6.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002639 BTC | −1.5% | not yet | not yet | +13.4% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002453 BTC | +6.0% | not yet | not yet | +7.6% |
| 6 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000002584 BTC | +13.3% | not yet | not yet | −5.1% |
| 25 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002760 BTC | −9.4% | +47.5% | not yet | −6.4% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000003100 BTC | −13.4% | +1.7% | not yet | −11.0% |
| 20 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002889 BTC | −5.3% | +11.5% | not yet | +7.3% |
| 18 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002627 BTC | +9.1% | −0.2% | not yet | +10.0% |
| 17 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002544 BTC | +23.9% | +2.2% | not yet | +3.3% |
| 12 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002491 BTC | +8.4% | +11.3% | not yet | +2.1% |
| 10 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000002465 BTC | +4.3% | +0.5% | not yet | +1.1% |
| 7 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000002646 BTC | +1.1% | −9.8% | not yet | −6.9% |
| 2 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002644 BTC | −2.0% | −5.4% | not yet | +0.1% |
| 31 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002782 BTC | −9.0% | −6.7% | not yet | −5.0% |
| 30 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000002608 BTC | +0.3% | +3.0% | not yet | +6.7% |
| 28 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002685 BTC | −5.7% | +1.9% | not yet | −2.9% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002542 BTC | +1.0% | +5.6% | not yet | +5.6% |
| 20 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002237 BTC | +21.7% | +20.6% | not yet | +13.6% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000002242 BTC | +11.1% | +16.1% | not yet | −0.2% |
| 15 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002584 BTC | −5.6% | +3.5% | not yet | −13.2% |
| 14 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002292 BTC | +13.2% | +8.2% | not yet | +12.7% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000002472 BTC | −9.5% | +0.7% | not yet | −7.3% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000002383 BTC | −11.0% | +3.3% | not yet | +3.7% |
| 9 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.000002583 BTC | −5.1% | −3.5% | not yet | −7.7% |
| 3 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000002848 BTC | −10.5% | −6.0% | +33.0% | −9.3% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002947 BTC | −9.7% | −8.3% | +53.0% | −3.4% |
| 28 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000002721 BTC | +3.0% | −6.8% | +56.9% | +8.3% |
| 26 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002698 BTC | +5.6% | −6.5% | +50.9% | +0.9% |
| 23 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002454 BTC | +13.5% | −0.7% | +28.5% | +9.9% |
| 19 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002068 BTC | +21.1% | +2.6% | +26.9% | +18.7% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001688 BTC | +47.5% | +19.9% | +53.9% | +22.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001679 BTC | +52.6% | +36.6% | +74.3% | +0.5% |
| 10 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001593 BTC | +9.1% | +59.9% | +58.0% | +5.4% |
| 10 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001695 BTC | +2.6% | +50.4% | +48.6% | −6.0% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000001914 BTC | −17.4% | +59.9% | +29.4% | −11.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001837 BTC | −14.5% | +50.3% | +41.3% | +4.2% |
| 28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001730 BTC | +19.7% | +59.7% | +55.3% | +6.2% |
| 26 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001785 BTC | +3.9% | +39.5% | +76.6% | −3.1% |
| 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001827 BTC | −5.3% | +36.5% | +57.9% | −2.3% |
| 21 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001900 BTC | −6.3% | +12.5% | +42.1% | −3.8% |
| 10 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000002220 BTC | −15.1% | −27.3% | +12.3% | −14.4% |
| 2 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002078 BTC | +9.0% | −15.6% | +28.8% | +6.8% |
| 29 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000001982 BTC | +4.0% | −12.7% | +27.9% | +4.8% |
| 29 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002076 BTC | −0.7% | −16.7% | +22.1% | −4.5% |
| 23 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000002228 BTC | −9.9% | −18.8% | +9.5% | −6.8% |
| 21 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002135 BTC | −6.4% | −12.1% | +4.8% | +4.3% |
| 19 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001934 BTC | +4.2% | −3.3% | +4.6% | +10.4% |
| 15 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001884 BTC | +25.2% | +5.1% | +25.6% | +2.7% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001926 BTC | +0.4% | +13.7% | +26.1% | −2.2% |
| 11 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002073 BTC | −5.3% | +5.0% | +22.9% | −7.1% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000001897 BTC | −4.4% | +14.2% | +40.2% | +9.2% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001965 BTC | −5.6% | +4.9% | +42.6% | −3.4% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001863 BTC | −0.4% | +10.7% | +50.5% | +5.5% |
| 3 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002019 BTC | −8.1% | +3.4% | +47.1% | −7.7% |
| 29 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000002091 BTC | −9.8% | −4.4% | +32.1% | −3.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002151 BTC | −10.7% | −6.3% | +15.8% | −2.8% |
| 26 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000001930 BTC | +2.5% | +9.1% | +33.1% | +11.5% |
| 26 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002017 BTC | −1.9% | +4.3% | +27.3% | −4.3% |
| 14 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002311 BTC | −6.3% | −19.7% | −29.1% | −12.7% |
| 13 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002355 BTC | −6.3% | −16.9% | −32.8% | −1.9% |
| 18 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 23 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003189 BTC | −11.6% | −30.8% | −41.4% | −26.2% |
| 17 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003363 BTC | −15.6% | −34.9% | −44.9% | −5.2% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003163 BTC | −2.4% | −27.6% | −38.7% | +6.3% |
| 11 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000003091 BTC | +7.7% | −26.4% | −29.2% | +2.3% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003024 BTC | +5.5% | −21.1% | −31.9% | +2.2% |
| 2 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003085 BTC | −2.4% | −18.0% | −32.3% | −2.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002910 BTC | +5.9% | −6.5% | −30.2% | +6.0% |
| 28 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003033 BTC | +2.4% | −9.5% | −34.1% | −4.1% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003054 BTC | −7.9% | +9.0% | −36.7% | −0.7% |
| 16 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000002930 BTC | +2.3% | +12.2% | −35.7% | +4.2% |
| 14 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000002758 BTC | +4.8% | +15.6% | −31.9% | +6.2% |
| 11 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002928 BTC | +2.6% | +3.6% | −36.1% | −5.8% |
| 7 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000002989 BTC | −5.3% | +5.1% | −34.6% | −2.0% |
| 5 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003172 BTC | −9.1% | −2.1% | −40.5% | −5.8% |
| 4 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003020 BTC | −8.5% | +1.0% | −36.5% | +5.0% |
| 20 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 15 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002631 BTC | +9.1% | +20.2% | −16.1% | +14.7% |
| 9 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003565 BTC | −21.7% | −16.8% | −34.0% | −26.2% |
| 4 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003698 BTC | −14.6% | −15.2% | −31.6% | −3.6% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003771 BTC | −7.5% | −23.8% | −25.3% | −1.9% |
| 25 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003616 BTC | −4.2% | −23.3% | −18.3% | +4.3% |
| 19 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000004328 BTC | −8.9% | −43.8% | −25.5% | −16.4% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 19 Nov 2025, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
85 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.