Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
NEXO's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin11 May 2022 to now
279flips
4 days 4 hourstypical run
38 days 8 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after NEXO's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−8.0%Median of 133 flips; 6 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−6.6%Median of 134 flips; 6 are too recent
90 days after any day−7.2%1,517 days since 11 May 2022
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 139 of 139 | −1.8% | −2.4% to −1.1% (91%) | −1.4% to −0.1% | outside the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 138 of 139 | −4.1% | −5.3% to −2.3% (93%) | −4.7% to −1.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 133 of 139 | −8.0% | −9.3% to −6.8% (92%) | −9.3% to −5.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 140 of 140 | 0.0% | −0.6% to +0.9% (92%) | −1.5% to −0.1% | outside the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 139 of 140 | −1.9% | −2.9% to −0.5% (91%) | −4.6% to −1.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 134 of 140 | −6.6% | −8.5% to −4.9% (93%) | −9.5% to −5.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 11 May 2022, for comparison | 7 | 1,600 days | −0.7% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,577 days | −3.0% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,517 days | −7.2% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest twelve flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes of the native NEXO/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 139 | 3 of 139 |
| After bearish flips | 140 | 2 of 140 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
NEXO's 4-hour line has flipped 63.4 times a year since 11 May 2022, 08:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
NEXO, 4-hour flips: 279 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 19 days 8 hours so far | Bear | 0.00001051 BTC | −2.8% | not yet | not yet | −4.3% so far |
| 8 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001070 BTC | −1.8% | not yet | not yet | −1.8% |
| 3 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001049 BTC | +1.9% | −4.8% | not yet | +2.0% |
| 25 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001084 BTC | −1.5% | −5.3% | not yet | −3.2% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001043 BTC | +2.0% | −2.0% | not yet | +3.9% |
| 21 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00001151 BTC | −7.2% | −10.0% | not yet | −9.4% |
| 16 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00001114 BTC | −4.1% | −5.7% | not yet | +3.3% |
| 8 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001141 BTC | −0.8% | −8.8% | not yet | −2.4% |
| 3 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00001119 BTC | +1.3% | −2.9% | not yet | +2.0% |
| 29 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001158 BTC | −2.8% | −7.8% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 17 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001162 BTC | +0.9% | −2.6% | not yet | −0.3% |
| 9 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001203 BTC | −2.4% | −6.1% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 5 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001209 BTC | −3.2% | −5.9% | −17.4% | −0.5% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001234 BTC | −3.6% | −6.6% | −15.9% | −2.0% |
| 25 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00001212 BTC | +3.1% | −4.5% | −14.9% | +1.8% |
| 23 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001242 BTC | −2.6% | −8.2% | −17.7% | −2.4% |
| 21 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001240 BTC | −2.9% | −5.4% | −15.8% | +0.2% |
| 17 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001274 BTC | −2.4% | −8.1% | −17.5% | −2.7% |
| 13 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001243 BTC | +0.9% | −6.4% | −12.7% | +2.5% |
| 8 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001239 BTC | +0.2% | −4.8% | −15.0% | +0.3% |
| 5 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001180 BTC | +7.5% | +5.2% | −8.5% | +5.0% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001175 BTC | +5.0% | +3.9% | −8.3% | +0.4% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001145 BTC | +7.8% | +6.6% | −5.9% | +2.6% |
| 27 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001130 BTC | +5.7% | +7.8% | −6.2% | +1.3% |
| 22 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001115 BTC | +1.3% | +11.2% | −1.9% | +1.3% |
| 18 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001136 BTC | −1.9% | +9.9% | −0.9% | −1.8% |
| 16 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001112 BTC | +3.4% | +11.6% | +3.3% | +2.2% |
| 8 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001133 BTC | +0.1% | +8.4% | −0.8% | −1.9% |
| 31 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 38 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001305 BTC | −5.7% | −10.6% | −7.1% | −13.2% |
| 25 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001279 BTC | +0.1% | −9.8% | −4.7% | +2.0% |
| 23 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001275 BTC | +4.2% | −7.1% | −2.7% | +0.3% |
| 19 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001275 BTC | +0.9% | −5.6% | −2.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001268 BTC | +1.4% | −3.2% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001275 BTC | +0.6% | −1.0% | −3.2% | −0.5% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001256 BTC | +2.7% | +1.9% | −8.4% | +1.5% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001064 BTC | +15.4% | +21.8% | +4.4% | +18.0% |
| 5 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001005 BTC | +19.6% | +27.6% | +11.6% | +5.9% |
| 2 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001043 BTC | +10.3% | +20.9% | +11.2% | −3.6% |
| 1 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001049 BTC | +8.3% | +20.0% | +10.6% | −0.6% |
| 26 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001067 BTC | −3.2% | +20.1% | +9.3% | −1.7% |
| 26 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001033 BTC | 0.0% | +24.0% | +12.9% | +3.3% |
| 16 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001060 BTC | −1.5% | +17.2% | +13.8% | −2.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001042 BTC | −1.1% | +15.4% | +17.5% | +1.7% |
| 3 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001036 BTC | +2.7% | −0.3% | +24.5% | +0.6% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001036 BTC | −2.8% | +0.8% | +23.6% | 0.0% |
| 23 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001065 BTC | −2.6% | −2.3% | +22.1% | −2.7% |
| 22 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001030 BTC | +0.4% | −0.8% | +25.8% | +3.4% |
| 21 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001064 BTC | −2.0% | −3.1% | +21.1% | −3.2% |
| 15 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001063 BTC | −1.4% | −3.2% | +19.7% | +0.1% |
| 13 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001096 BTC | −4.3% | −3.7% | +17.1% | −3.0% |
| 8 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001070 BTC | −0.3% | −2.5% | +21.1% | +2.4% |
| 7 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001104 BTC | −2.3% | −4.4% | +16.1% | −3.1% |
| 4 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001054 BTC | +1.4% | −3.2% | +19.6% | +4.7% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00001084 BTC | +0.3% | −7.1% | +19.0% | −2.8% |
| 29 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001067 BTC | +0.7% | −3.1% | +20.6% | +1.6% |
| 13 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001077 BTC | −3.2% | +0.3% | +11.7% | −0.9% |
| 11 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001030 BTC | +0.8% | +3.8% | +11.7% | +4.6% |
| 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001041 BTC | +0.9% | +1.7% | +0.4% | −1.1% |
| 31 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001005 BTC | +6.5% | +4.7% | +6.2% | +3.6% |
| 29 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001014 BTC | +2.7% | +8.6% | +4.7% | −0.9% |
| 20 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001046 BTC | −4.5% | +0.9% | −0.2% | −3.1% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001109 BTC | −6.5% | −5.7% | −9.0% | −5.7% |
| 16 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00001060 BTC | +0.6% | −0.1% | −2.9% | +4.6% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001045 BTC | +2.1% | +0.2% | −0.8% | +1.4% |
| 30 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001094 BTC | −6.6% | −6.3% | −5.5% | −4.5% |
| 26 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001126 BTC | −7.5% | −9.1% | −8.0% | −2.8% |
| 22 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001099 BTC | +0.6% | −3.4% | −4.5% | +2.5% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001127 BTC | −0.8% | −5.3% | −4.2% | −2.5% |
| 7 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001134 BTC | −2.2% | −9.9% | −5.3% | −0.6% |
| 5 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001160 BTC | −3.2% | −10.8% | −8.1% | −2.2% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001119 BTC | +1.8% | −1.0% | −4.6% | +3.7% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001147 BTC | −0.4% | −2.5% | −9.2% | −2.4% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001134 BTC | +1.0% | −1.9% | −6.6% | +1.1% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001143 BTC | −2.6% | −2.4% | −8.1% | −0.8% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001131 BTC | +0.4% | −0.2% | −6.5% | +1.1% |
| 9 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00001161 BTC | −0.3% | −1.7% | −7.8% | −2.6% |
| 6 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001119 BTC | +0.8% | +1.3% | −8.0% | +3.8% |
| 30 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001129 BTC | +1.1% | +1.2% | −11.8% | −0.9% |
| 26 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001109 BTC | +2.5% | +1.5% | −6.5% | +1.8% |
| 25 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001145 BTC | −1.8% | 0.0% | −6.9% | −3.1% |
| 22 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001112 BTC | 0.0% | +0.1% | −3.1% | +3.0% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001105 BTC | +1.8% | +1.3% | −5.0% | +0.6% |
| 7 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001116 BTC | −3.3% | +2.2% | −7.3% | −1.0% |
| 6 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001148 BTC | −5.6% | +0.1% | −10.2% | −2.8% |
| 3 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001109 BTC | 0.0% | +2.5% | −1.4% | +3.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001145 BTC | −1.8% | −2.7% | −3.4% | −3.1% |
| 26 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001100 BTC | +1.3% | +1.4% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001150 BTC | −3.3% | −2.3% | −2.8% | −4.3% |
| 20 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001144 BTC | −3.3% | −1.2% | −3.5% | +0.5% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001174 BTC | −0.4% | −7.7% | −3.8% | −2.6% |
| 9 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001146 BTC | +1.1% | −2.2% | +0.3% | +2.4% |
| 7 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001193 BTC | −2.9% | −5.4% | −5.0% | −3.9% |
| 6 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001162 BTC | −0.5% | −1.2% | −2.8% | +2.7% |
| 2 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001182 BTC | −1.8% | −3.7% | −3.6% | −1.7% |
| 2 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001154 BTC | +0.6% | −1.4% | −1.3% | +2.4% |
| 31 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001181 BTC | −1.1% | −5.8% | −3.3% | −2.3% |
| 7 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 24 days | Bear | 0.00001281 BTC | −4.0% | −6.6% | −10.3% | −7.8% |
| 24 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 13 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001183 BTC | +8.3% | −1.5% | −5.0% | +8.3% |
| 15 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001198 BTC | −0.5% | +3.1% | −9.9% | −1.3% |
| 11 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001272 BTC | −4.8% | −2.3% | −12.8% | −5.8% |
| 6 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001245 BTC | −0.9% | +6.7% | −9.7% | +2.2% |
| 4 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001312 BTC | −3.0% | −1.0% | −15.1% | −5.1% |
| 2 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001238 BTC | +1.1% | +3.8% | −7.5% | +6.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001315 BTC | −4.8% | −2.6% | −15.4% | −5.9% |
| 24 Mar 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001322 BTC | −1.7% | −11.4% | −15.2% | −0.5% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001351 BTC | −0.9% | −10.1% | −13.5% | −2.1% |
| 20 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001300 BTC | +3.2% | −7.2% | −10.2% | +3.9% |
| 13 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001312 BTC | −0.9% | −4.5% | −13.3% | −0.9% |
| 11 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001261 BTC | +2.4% | −0.2% | −7.9% | +4.0% |
| 8 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001338 BTC | −4.0% | −6.8% | −10.5% | −5.8% |
| 28 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001377 BTC | −7.3% | −4.9% | −16.2% | −2.8% |
| 26 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001412 BTC | −7.4% | −5.2% | −18.6% | −2.5% |
| 20 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001369 BTC | +4.5% | −2.3% | −12.8% | +3.1% |
| 4 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001405 BTC | −2.8% | −8.4% | −8.0% | −2.6% |
| 30 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001374 BTC | +2.6% | −3.9% | −6.6% | +2.3% |
| 19 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001339 BTC | +2.4% | +4.6% | −9.9% | +2.6% |
| 17 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001340 BTC | +2.5% | +4.6% | −9.6% | −0.1% |
| 15 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001359 BTC | −4.6% | +1.2% | −9.3% | −1.4% |
| 5 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001408 BTC | −3.7% | −0.2% | −7.7% | −3.5% |
| 3 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001414 BTC | −3.4% | −2.3% | −10.5% | −0.4% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001388 BTC | +0.7% | −0.5% | −5.7% | +1.9% |
| 29 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001436 BTC | −1.5% | +0.1% | −7.5% | −3.3% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001383 BTC | −0.6% | −2.4% | −3.2% | +3.8% |
| 20 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001440 BTC | −3.7% | −9.5% | −9.7% | −4.0% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 15 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001459 BTC | +0.4% | −0.2% | −10.3% | −1.3% |
| 23 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bull | 0.00001357 BTC | +9.6% | +2.3% | +0.7% | +7.5% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001328 BTC | +10.2% | +4.2% | +5.4% | +2.2% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001385 BTC | −3.3% | +3.5% | −0.7% | −4.1% |
| 11 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001429 BTC | −4.5% | +4.1% | −4.2% | −3.1% |
| 7 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00001411 BTC | −7.7% | +9.1% | +1.6% | +1.3% |
| 24 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bear | 0.00001475 BTC | −4.1% | −9.2% | −12.1% | −4.3% |
| 21 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001508 BTC | −4.2% | −10.7% | −13.6% | −2.2% |
| 12 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001573 BTC | −6.4% | −8.1% | −13.2% | −4.1% |
| 9 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001608 BTC | −5.6% | −12.7% | −15.0% | −2.2% |
| 2 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001591 BTC | −0.6% | −12.4% | −14.0% | +1.1% |
| 1 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001632 BTC | −3.2% | −13.3% | −12.6% | −2.5% |
| 25 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001636 BTC | −0.9% | −10.6% | −12.2% | −0.2% |
| 20 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00001648 BTC | −2.6% | −9.9% | −16.9% | −0.7% |
| 11 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001691 BTC | −4.1% | −4.8% | −15.8% | −2.5% |
| 28 Aug 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00001694 BTC | +0.1% | −5.3% | −14.3% | −0.2% |
| 14 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 14 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001773 BTC | −2.8% | −4.7% | −21.9% | −4.5% |
| 5 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001824 BTC | −2.8% | −7.0% | −21.7% | −2.8% |
| 2 Aug 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001738 BTC | +3.3% | −2.5% | −18.6% | +4.9% |
| 30 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001799 BTC | −0.6% | −6.3% | −19.7% | −3.4% |
| 18 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001955 BTC | −6.8% | −9.7% | −22.4% | −8.0% |
| 9 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001871 BTC | +5.2% | −5.3% | −15.4% | +4.5% |
| 3 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001901 BTC | −2.7% | −7.1% | −14.7% | −1.6% |
| 28 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00001969 BTC | −6.0% | −11.3% | −16.7% | −3.5% |
| 25 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001877 BTC | +2.8% | −2.9% | −12.0% | +4.9% |
| 25 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001963 BTC | −1.7% | −7.2% | −15.9% | −4.4% |
| 22 Jun 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001882 BTC | +3.0% | −0.9% | −14.6% | +4.3% |
| 21 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001974 BTC | −1.5% | −5.3% | −18.2% | −4.7% |
| 20 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001900 BTC | +1.4% | −0.6% | −14.7% | +3.9% |
| 19 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001972 BTC | −4.7% | −0.2% | −16.8% | −3.7% |
| 13 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002021 BTC | −1.5% | −4.8% | −14.2% | −2.4% |
| 10 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002103 BTC | −3.6% | −12.1% | −18.6% | −3.9% |
| 2 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002093 BTC | −1.7% | −7.8% | −19.1% | +0.5% |
| 31 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002173 BTC | −3.5% | −11.1% | −22.5% | −3.7% |
| 27 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002083 BTC | −0.8% | −9.7% | −19.7% | +4.3% |
| 27 May 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002112 BTC | −2.1% | −11.0% | −20.8% | −1.4% |
| 25 May 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00002025 BTC | +5.7% | −6.1% | −16.5% | +4.3% |
| 17 May 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001976 BTC | +5.5% | +3.1% | −7.9% | +2.5% |
| 4 May 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002037 BTC | −0.5% | +1.5% | −13.3% | −3.0% |
| 1 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002021 BTC | +0.6% | +5.5% | −11.0% | +0.8% |
| 30 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00001941 BTC | +4.8% | +10.3% | −9.1% | +4.1% |
| 27 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001978 BTC | +4.4% | +6.3% | −9.6% | −1.9% |
| 26 Apr 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001891 BTC | +11.1% | +7.9% | −3.6% | +4.6% |
| 24 Apr 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001960 BTC | +0.6% | +6.4% | −7.8% | −3.5% |
| 22 Apr 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00001915 BTC | +3.6% | +7.4% | −2.4% | +2.3% |
| 20 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001947 BTC | −0.6% | +1.2% | +1.1% | −1.6% |
| 18 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001930 BTC | −0.3% | +1.5% | +2.0% | +0.9% |
| 16 Apr 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002052 BTC | −7.6% | −5.2% | −5.2% | −5.9% |
| 12 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001957 BTC | −2.5% | +4.1% | −4.9% | +4.9% |
| 8 Apr 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001989 BTC | +0.2% | +2.3% | −6.8% | −1.6% |
| 7 Apr 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00001934 BTC | +1.9% | +5.2% | −4.6% | +2.8% |
| 2 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001937 BTC | +2.0% | +6.9% | −0.6% | −0.2% |
| 25 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001990 BTC | −4.4% | −4.0% | −3.2% | −2.7% |
| 21 Mar 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002029 BTC | −6.5% | −6.2% | −5.5% | −1.9% |
| 18 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002012 BTC | +2.9% | −1.3% | +1.2% | +0.8% |
| 13 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002102 BTC | −7.4% | −3.1% | 0.0% | −4.3% |
| 4 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002129 BTC | −3.6% | −8.7% | −1.7% | −1.3% |
| 29 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002300 BTC | −6.0% | −18.3% | −7.1% | −7.4% |
| 21 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | 0.00002157 BTC | −0.9% | −5.1% | −6.3% | +6.6% |
| 12 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002029 BTC | +10.7% | +3.6% | +0.4% | +6.3% |
| 9 Feb 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002002 BTC | +1.2% | +4.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| 24 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 15 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002004 BTC | +3.6% | +12.1% | −5.4% | −0.1% |
| 9 Jan 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 15 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002006 BTC | +3.9% | +3.1% | −0.8% | −0.1% |
| 3 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002060 BTC | −0.8% | −0.2% | −8.9% | −2.6% |
| 30 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002031 BTC | +3.4% | +1.0% | −6.3% | +1.4% |
| 22 Dec 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001986 BTC | +4.0% | +4.3% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| 18 Dec 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001964 BTC | +6.4% | +6.2% | +5.4% | +1.1% |
| 7 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001979 BTC | +1.5% | +6.2% | +7.2% | −0.8% |
| 4 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001947 BTC | +1.8% | +2.5% | +15.4% | +1.6% |
| 30 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002016 BTC | −5.1% | +1.2% | +6.0% | −3.4% |
| 28 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00001984 BTC | −0.8% | +4.3% | +12.2% | +1.6% |
| 26 Nov 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002042 BTC | −2.8% | +1.7% | +9.5% | −2.8% |
| 17 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001980 BTC | +1.5% | +0.7% | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| 10 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002032 BTC | −1.2% | −2.6% | +1.8% | −2.6% |
| 9 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00001931 BTC | +3.7% | +3.1% | +6.2% | +5.2% |
| 31 Oct 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001849 BTC | +8.5% | +5.8% | +11.0% | +4.4% |
Showing the newest 200 of 279 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 11 May 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
279 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.