Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Numeraire's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin27 Aug 2020 to now
595flips
2 days 20 hourstypical run
25 dayslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Numeraire's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−11.3%Median of 285 flips; 12 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−10.0%Median of 285 flips; 13 are too recent
90 days after any day−12.0%2,139 days since 27 Aug 2020
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 296 of 297 | −1.9% | −3.1% to −1.2% (91%) | −2.7% to −0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 292 of 297 | −6.0% | −8.0% to −4.3% (91%) | −7.3% to −3.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 285 of 297 | −11.3% | −15.0% to −7.5% (90%) | −16.2% to −7.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 297 of 298 | −1.2% | −2.2% to −0.2% (92%) | −2.7% to −0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 293 of 298 | −5.5% | −6.9% to −3.5% (92%) | −7.2% to −3.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 285 of 298 | −10.0% | −14.0% to −5.6% (90%) | −16.2% to −7.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 27 Aug 2020, for comparison | 7 | 2,222 days | −1.8% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,199 days | −5.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,139 days | −12.0% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 25 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 297 | 27 of 297 |
| After bearish flips | 298 | 5 of 298 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Numeraire's 4-hour line has flipped 97.5 times a year since 27 Aug 2020, 20:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Numeraire, 4-hour flips: 595 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days so far | Bear | 0.0001452 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −7.3% so far |
| 27 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001190 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +22.1% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.0001100 BTC | +32.0% | not yet | not yet | +8.1% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001138 BTC | +27.6% | not yet | not yet | −3.3% |
| 18 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001142 BTC | −1.0% | not yet | not yet | −0.4% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001163 BTC | −5.5% | not yet | not yet | −1.8% |
| 14 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001185 BTC | −4.4% | not yet | not yet | −1.9% |
| 11 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001205 BTC | −3.1% | not yet | not yet | −1.6% |
| 6 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001162 BTC | +3.7% | not yet | not yet | +3.6% |
| 5 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001146 BTC | +4.8% | not yet | not yet | +1.5% |
| 2 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.0001136 BTC | +5.6% | +17.5% | not yet | +0.8% |
| 29 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001156 BTC | −3.2% | +6.1% | not yet | −1.7% |
| 25 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.0001139 BTC | +0.9% | −3.6% | not yet | +1.5% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0001192 BTC | −3.3% | −5.0% | not yet | −4.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001280 BTC | −8.8% | −5.8% | not yet | −6.9% |
| 11 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001330 BTC | −6.1% | −12.6% | not yet | −3.7% |
| 9 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001299 BTC | −0.9% | −8.9% | not yet | +2.4% |
| 9 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001329 BTC | −3.1% | −11.0% | not yet | −2.3% |
| 4 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.0001329 BTC | −1.7% | −15.9% | not yet | 0.0% |
| 30 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001337 BTC | −0.4% | −13.7% | not yet | −0.6% |
| 25 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001376 BTC | −1.5% | −13.6% | not yet | −2.9% |
| 24 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001428 BTC | −8.5% | −17.5% | not yet | −3.6% |
| 19 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.0001538 BTC | −9.5% | −18.8% | not yet | −7.1% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001554 BTC | −1.9% | −14.9% | not yet | −1.1% |
| 10 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001585 BTC | −0.2% | −16.7% | not yet | −2.0% |
| 3 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001615 BTC | +0.4% | −15.5% | −16.4% | −1.8% |
| 2 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0001509 BTC | +10.6% | −10.2% | −3.8% | +7.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001490 BTC | +4.6% | −13.6% | −17.7% | +1.3% |
| 28 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001418 BTC | +7.8% | −3.1% | −18.6% | +5.1% |
| 26 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001463 BTC | +5.1% | −4.9% | −24.9% | −3.1% |
| 24 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001406 BTC | +7.7% | −1.0% | −22.2% | +4.1% |
| 23 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001483 BTC | −5.8% | −3.8% | −23.6% | −5.2% |
| 20 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.0001386 BTC | +5.7% | +10.0% | −15.8% | +7.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0001319 BTC | +8.9% | +19.9% | −12.5% | +5.1% |
| 11 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001319 BTC | +3.5% | +18.4% | −9.0% | +0.1% |
| 7 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001301 BTC | +1.1% | +19.8% | −14.0% | +1.4% |
| 5 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001220 BTC | +9.6% | +25.3% | −8.3% | +6.6% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001305 BTC | +4.6% | +18.9% | −10.6% | −6.5% |
| 3 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001224 BTC | +12.6% | +25.7% | −6.1% | +6.6% |
| 31 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001183 BTC | +10.0% | +18.1% | −2.5% | +3.5% |
| 28 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001113 BTC | +13.3% | +31.7% | +4.3% | +6.3% |
| 27 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001124 BTC | +13.7% | +30.2% | +2.4% | −1.0% |
| 18 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001220 BTC | −11.6% | +6.2% | +5.5% | −7.9% |
| 16 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001197 BTC | −6.3% | +7.5% | +7.0% | +1.9% |
| 13 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001123 BTC | +6.9% | +19.2% | +16.4% | +6.6% |
| 11 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001180 BTC | +6.4% | +16.8% | +11.9% | −4.9% |
| 10 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001125 BTC | +16.4% | +18.0% | +16.1% | +4.8% |
| 7 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001115 BTC | +0.5% | +10.9% | +21.5% | +0.9% |
| 1 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001137 BTC | −1.0% | +1.3% | +13.2% | −1.9% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0001184 BTC | −4.0% | −7.9% | +17.5% | −4.0% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001166 BTC | −0.7% | −5.1% | +22.3% | +1.6% |
| 22 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001167 BTC | +0.1% | +1.0% | +25.2% | −0.1% |
| 19 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001120 BTC | +2.7% | +8.4% | +40.5% | +4.1% |
| 17 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001166 BTC | +1.4% | +12.4% | +34.9% | −3.9% |
| 13 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001155 BTC | −3.8% | −0.5% | +31.7% | +0.9% |
| 5 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001157 BTC | +3.7% | −4.4% | +34.1% | −0.1% |
| 3 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001104 BTC | +3.4% | +3.7% | +43.8% | +4.8% |
| 31 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00009965 BTC | +16.7% | +18.1% | +43.0% | +10.8% |
| 23 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001027 BTC | −7.1% | +7.3% | +35.4% | −3.0% |
| 20 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0001084 BTC | −9.1% | +3.3% | +25.8% | −5.3% |
| 19 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001043 BTC | −5.1% | +9.3% | +24.2% | +4.0% |
| 17 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001082 BTC | −4.8% | +4.2% | +18.9% | −3.6% |
| 9 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001127 BTC | −5.9% | +0.3% | +15.4% | −3.9% |
| 5 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001137 BTC | −4.0% | −5.4% | +12.4% | −0.8% |
| 4 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001073 BTC | +1.5% | +5.7% | +11.7% | +5.9% |
| 3 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001122 BTC | −1.2% | −6.5% | +4.0% | −4.4% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001155 BTC | −7.8% | −14.9% | −5.6% | −2.8% |
| 25 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001210 BTC | −7.9% | −18.6% | −10.9% | −4.6% |
| 24 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001184 BTC | −8.5% | −16.4% | −8.9% | +2.2% |
| 24 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001223 BTC | −11.4% | −19.1% | −11.9% | −3.2% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001223 BTC | −1.7% | −11.9% | −2.1% | 0.0% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001242 BTC | −1.2% | −12.8% | −7.5% | −1.5% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001284 BTC | 0.0% | −6.2% | −14.1% | −3.3% |
| 2 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0001238 BTC | −4.8% | −9.9% | −7.5% | +3.7% |
| 31 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001139 BTC | +12.3% | −0.9% | +1.6% | +8.7% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.0001059 BTC | +28.5% | +12.8% | +10.3% | +7.6% |
| 26 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.0001040 BTC | +7.8% | +14.0% | +10.6% | +1.9% |
| 26 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001069 BTC | +4.9% | +10.8% | +7.6% | −2.7% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001064 BTC | −1.0% | +17.5% | +5.3% | +0.4% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001106 BTC | −4.1% | +12.6% | +3.3% | −3.7% |
| 12 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001089 BTC | −2.3% | +8.5% | +10.1% | +1.6% |
| 11 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0001118 BTC | −2.2% | +4.3% | +2.5% | −2.6% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001084 BTC | 0.0% | +18.0% | +4.3% | +3.2% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001094 BTC | +0.5% | +7.1% | −10.9% | −0.9% |
| 30 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001065 BTC | +5.4% | −1.6% | −10.4% | +2.7% |
| 25 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001063 BTC | +2.9% | −2.2% | −7.1% | +0.2% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001033 BTC | +3.6% | +3.1% | −0.2% | +2.9% |
| 23 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001061 BTC | +2.1% | 0.0% | −2.2% | −2.6% |
| 15 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | 0.0001208 BTC | −13.5% | −10.2% | −11.6% | −12.2% |
| 12 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001283 BTC | −18.3% | −12.9% | −15.0% | −5.9% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001205 BTC | −6.6% | −8.8% | −9.6% | +6.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001306 BTC | −4.7% | −14.0% | −12.9% | −7.7% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001213 BTC | −1.3% | −10.8% | −12.2% | +7.7% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001316 BTC | −9.0% | −17.8% | −19.0% | −7.8% |
| 21 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 13 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001336 BTC | −5.9% | −21.6% | −8.2% | −1.5% |
| 20 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001173 BTC | +9.0% | −10.0% | +6.6% | +13.9% |
| 18 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001109 BTC | +15.6% | +1.5% | +10.2% | +5.7% |
| 14 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001061 BTC | +43.9% | +17.4% | +17.0% | +4.5% |
| 9 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001056 BTC | +2.9% | +16.9% | +21.1% | +0.5% |
| 7 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001120 BTC | −5.2% | +9.0% | +21.5% | −5.7% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001143 BTC | −6.1% | +4.5% | +3.9% | −2.0% |
| 1 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001130 BTC | +1.4% | +8.6% | −2.7% | +1.1% |
| 27 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001139 BTC | +6.9% | +16.7% | −8.1% | −0.7% |
| 26 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0001172 BTC | −4.8% | +9.3% | −11.3% | −2.9% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001188 BTC | −2.9% | −8.5% | −8.8% | −1.3% |
| 15 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.0001356 BTC | −12.4% | −21.8% | −21.1% | −12.4% |
| 14 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0001126 BTC | +6.9% | −5.5% | −3.3% | +20.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001203 BTC | +2.4% | −13.7% | −7.1% | −6.4% |
| 30 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001429 BTC | −7.6% | −22.4% | −23.9% | −15.8% |
| 26 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001545 BTC | −8.5% | −25.9% | −32.2% | −7.5% |
| 25 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001370 BTC | +3.9% | −15.5% | −22.9% | +12.8% |
| 23 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001406 BTC | +4.3% | −18.0% | −25.7% | −2.6% |
| 21 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001452 BTC | +1.0% | −17.1% | −27.3% | −3.2% |
| 18 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001542 BTC | −7.6% | −21.1% | −23.7% | −5.8% |
| 16 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.0001489 BTC | −12.8% | −17.5% | −17.4% | +3.5% |
| 11 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001772 BTC | −15.4% | −42.7% | −30.4% | −15.9% |
| 9 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001526 BTC | +0.7% | −13.6% | −20.1% | +16.1% |
| 6 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001328 BTC | +14.9% | −0.5% | −7.7% | +14.9% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001470 BTC | −19.5% | −0.1% | −13.0% | −9.6% |
| 26 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00008088 BTC | +53.8% | +76.1% | +59.8% | +81.7% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00007418 BTC | +84.4% | +101.4% | +76.7% | +9.0% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00007476 BTC | +112.5% | +98.2% | +49.6% | −0.8% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00007691 BTC | −1.0% | +91.8% | +41.3% | −2.8% |
| 16 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00007436 BTC | +3.2% | +102.2% | +42.7% | +3.4% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00007247 BTC | +1.0% | +110.6% | +43.3% | +2.6% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00007621 BTC | −4.2% | +81.9% | +40.8% | −4.9% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00007555 BTC | +0.3% | +102.0% | +51.7% | +0.9% |
| 8 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00007542 BTC | −6.1% | +112.5% | +46.0% | +0.2% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00007199 BTC | −0.2% | +68.1% | +69.0% | +4.8% |
| 4 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00007301 BTC | +3.6% | +66.8% | +52.9% | −1.4% |
| 1 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00007233 BTC | +4.3% | +97.1% | +53.4% | +0.9% |
| 31 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00007677 BTC | −6.1% | +95.3% | +41.7% | −5.8% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00007657 BTC | −7.6% | +88.5% | +49.5% | +0.3% |
| 26 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00007609 BTC | −4.8% | 0.0% | +51.6% | +0.6% |
| 22 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00007537 BTC | +0.4% | −2.9% | +63.4% | +1.0% |
| 16 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00006989 BTC | +10.8% | +1.4% | +73.3% | +7.8% |
| 14 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00006662 BTC | +16.9% | +14.1% | +69.5% | +4.9% |
| 13 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00006949 BTC | +9.4% | +3.4% | +46.0% | −4.1% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.00006584 BTC | +12.3% | +14.8% | +98.1% | +5.5% |
| 7 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00006932 BTC | −1.8% | +3.1% | +97.0% | −5.0% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00006813 BTC | −1.5% | +9.3% | +115.3% | +1.7% |
| 29 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00006834 BTC | −1.8% | +10.7% | +132.2% | −0.3% |
| 25 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00006699 BTC | +1.7% | +8.1% | +93.9% | +2.0% |
| 24 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00006883 BTC | +4.8% | +6.6% | +109.3% | −2.7% |
| 21 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00007115 BTC | −6.5% | +9.4% | +114.4% | −3.3% |
| 20 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00007256 BTC | −8.6% | +4.8% | +106.5% | −1.9% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00007572 BTC | −6.1% | −10.9% | +92.3% | −4.2% |
| 10 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00007915 BTC | −9.3% | −14.2% | +133.1% | −4.3% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00007874 BTC | −2.6% | −15.9% | +54.7% | +0.5% |
| 4 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00008302 BTC | −5.4% | −16.5% | +49.9% | −5.2% |
| 31 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00009020 BTC | −15.8% | −23.9% | +76.1% | −8.0% |
| 30 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001064 BTC | −28.6% | −36.5% | +79.8% | −15.3% |
| 23 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00008509 BTC | −6.4% | −20.9% | −14.0% | +25.1% |
| 22 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00008787 BTC | −8.0% | −19.0% | −19.2% | −3.2% |
| 15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00008911 BTC | −6.0% | −18.9% | −14.7% | −1.4% |
| 13 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00009533 BTC | −9.8% | −19.6% | −20.7% | −6.5% |
| 11 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00009093 BTC | −4.2% | −15.3% | −15.9% | +4.8% |
| 8 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00008993 BTC | +3.0% | −15.6% | −20.5% | +1.1% |
| 29 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00009612 BTC | −5.9% | −15.9% | −20.4% | −6.4% |
| 24 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00009104 BTC | +7.0% | −10.3% | −14.9% | +5.6% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00008655 BTC | +13.6% | −3.3% | −10.0% | +5.2% |
| 18 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00008287 BTC | +23.5% | +5.1% | −15.0% | +4.4% |
| 14 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00008347 BTC | +6.6% | +14.7% | −19.5% | −0.7% |
| 8 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00008446 BTC | −1.2% | +1.5% | −19.7% | −1.2% |
| 18 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 21 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001200 BTC | −11.6% | −34.6% | −39.6% | −29.6% |
| 17 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0001052 BTC | +1.2% | −22.0% | −31.4% | +14.1% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001019 BTC | +7.8% | −18.1% | −29.0% | +3.2% |
| 14 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001022 BTC | +17.7% | −15.3% | −25.0% | −0.3% |
| 9 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00009950 BTC | +5.5% | −16.0% | −23.7% | +2.7% |
| 7 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001064 BTC | −3.9% | −18.7% | −19.4% | −6.4% |
| 2 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001158 BTC | −10.8% | −15.6% | −22.1% | −8.1% |
| 26 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001220 BTC | −15.6% | −15.9% | −35.2% | −5.2% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001132 BTC | +3.2% | −7.1% | −29.5% | +7.8% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.0001264 BTC | −7.5% | −16.8% | −36.9% | −10.4% |
| 22 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001146 BTC | +6.0% | −7.2% | −23.6% | +10.3% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0001201 BTC | +1.2% | −8.5% | −30.3% | −4.5% |
| 18 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001187 BTC | −6.0% | −3.3% | −26.0% | +1.2% |
| 4 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 14 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001119 BTC | +1.0% | −10.1% | −19.2% | +6.1% |
| 2 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.0001132 BTC | −4.7% | −10.3% | −16.4% | −1.1% |
| 2 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001258 BTC | −14.3% | −19.3% | −24.8% | −10.1% |
| 2 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001214 BTC | −11.2% | −16.4% | −22.1% | +3.6% |
| 31 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001227 BTC | −18.4% | −4.2% | −20.6% | −1.0% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days | Bear | 0.0001359 BTC | −10.3% | −10.9% | −39.5% | −9.7% |
| 16 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.0001475 BTC | −14.6% | −19.6% | −44.4% | −7.9% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0001678 BTC | −14.0% | −36.9% | −51.2% | −12.1% |
| 2 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0001742 BTC | −10.0% | −27.2% | −45.5% | −3.7% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0001657 BTC | +5.3% | −29.7% | −39.9% | +5.1% |
| 28 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.0001703 BTC | +1.9% | −27.5% | −39.7% | −2.6% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0001610 BTC | +8.2% | −24.3% | −34.7% | +5.7% |
| 24 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0001675 BTC | −0.2% | −24.8% | −36.5% | −3.9% |
| 15 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0002131 BTC | −29.0% | −32.3% | −51.4% | −21.4% |
| 12 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0002295 BTC | −23.2% | −31.1% | −57.5% | −7.2% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0002412 BTC | −11.9% | −35.3% | −57.2% | −4.8% |
| 6 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0002598 BTC | −12.1% | −33.5% | −61.3% | −7.1% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0002277 BTC | −2.7% | −23.8% | −54.8% | +14.1% |
| 27 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0002032 BTC | +22.4% | −21.7% | −45.1% | +12.0% |
| 26 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0001837 BTC | +27.7% | −10.2% | −31.2% | +10.6% |
| 23 Nov 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001730 BTC | +21.3% | −9.8% | −32.7% | +6.2% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0001727 BTC | +12.1% | −2.1% | −30.4% | +0.2% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0001759 BTC | −5.1% | +20.7% | −33.0% | −1.8% |
Showing the newest 200 of 595 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 27 Aug 2020, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
595 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.