Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Optimism's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin20 Jun 2022 to now
401flips
3 daystypical run
17 days 8 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Optimism's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−21.7%Median of 188 flips; 13 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−23.2%Median of 187 flips; 13 are too recent
90 days after any day−20.7%1,477 days since 20 Jun 2022
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 200 of 201 | −2.8% | −3.9% to −1.0% (92%) | −3.7% to −0.6% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 196 of 201 | −8.1% | −10.8% to −3.6% (93%) | −11.4% to −5.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 188 of 201 | −21.7% | −27.2% to −15.3% (91%) | −29.1% to −13.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 199 of 200 | −2.4% | −3.7% to −1.2% (91%) | −3.6% to −0.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 195 of 200 | −8.8% | −10.4% to −5.5% (91%) | −11.2% to −4.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 187 of 200 | −23.2% | −28.8% to −16.5% (92%) | −28.7% to −13.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 20 Jun 2022, for comparison | 7 | 1,560 days | −2.0% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,537 days | −8.4% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,477 days | −20.7% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 26 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 201 | 7 of 200 |
| After bearish flips | 200 | 6 of 200 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Optimism's 4-hour line has flipped 93.5 times a year since 20 Jun 2022, 12:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Optimism, 4-hour flips: 401 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours so far | Bull | 0.000001605 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +0.3% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000001618 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −0.8% |
| 25 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001593 BTC | −5.3% | not yet | not yet | +1.6% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001463 BTC | +5.3% | not yet | not yet | +8.9% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001569 BTC | −1.8% | not yet | not yet | −6.8% |
| 21 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001438 BTC | +23.0% | not yet | not yet | +9.1% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001300 BTC | +12.1% | not yet | not yet | +10.7% |
| 16 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001239 BTC | +26.7% | not yet | not yet | +4.9% |
| 14 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001310 BTC | +17.6% | not yet | not yet | −5.5% |
| 8 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000001339 BTC | −2.2% | not yet | not yet | −2.1% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001191 BTC | +17.2% | +30.1% | not yet | +12.4% |
| 25 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001311 BTC | −9.1% | +11.2% | not yet | −9.1% |
| 20 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001298 BTC | −3.5% | +14.9% | not yet | +1.0% |
| 13 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000001356 BTC | −4.3% | −8.8% | not yet | −4.3% |
| 10 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001400 BTC | −5.2% | −4.1% | not yet | −3.1% |
| 7 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001337 BTC | +4.5% | +0.8% | not yet | +4.7% |
| 7 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001388 BTC | +0.6% | −2.9% | not yet | −3.7% |
| 6 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001353 BTC | +0.3% | −9.0% | not yet | +2.6% |
| 3 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001378 BTC | −1.5% | −10.8% | not yet | −1.8% |
| 31 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000001335 BTC | +0.5% | −15.1% | not yet | +3.2% |
| 30 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001410 BTC | −3.5% | −17.9% | not yet | −5.3% |
| 23 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001447 BTC | −3.6% | −5.4% | not yet | −2.5% |
| 21 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001464 BTC | −6.6% | −11.3% | not yet | −1.2% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001597 BTC | −7.8% | −10.4% | not yet | −8.3% |
| 9 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001641 BTC | −3.8% | −19.2% | not yet | −2.7% |
| 7 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000001660 BTC | −4.8% | −18.0% | not yet | −1.1% |
| 3 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001678 BTC | −3.8% | −21.2% | −7.7% | −1.1% |
| 27 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001663 BTC | +2.9% | −12.5% | −6.4% | +0.9% |
| 24 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001621 BTC | +1.5% | −12.3% | −9.2% | +2.6% |
| 19 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001638 BTC | +7.8% | −10.1% | −23.2% | −1.0% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001687 BTC | +1.4% | −11.0% | −26.6% | −2.9% |
| 16 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001612 BTC | −2.4% | −2.1% | −23.5% | +4.6% |
| 12 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001567 BTC | +10.8% | +1.9% | −18.9% | +2.9% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001698 BTC | −12.9% | +0.8% | −27.6% | −7.7% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001639 BTC | −6.1% | +0.4% | −30.8% | +3.6% |
| 28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001635 BTC | +17.1% | +7.6% | −21.0% | +0.2% |
| 25 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001692 BTC | −4.8% | −4.4% | −16.4% | −3.3% |
| 23 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001679 BTC | −3.8% | −6.1% | −20.1% | +0.8% |
| 21 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001708 BTC | −2.7% | −4.2% | −25.7% | −1.7% |
| 11 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001955 BTC | −15.3% | −19.9% | −30.1% | −12.6% |
| 5 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | 0.000001603 BTC | +19.8% | +19.4% | −15.0% | +21.9% |
| 4 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.000001541 BTC | +28.9% | +12.4% | −14.1% | +4.1% |
| 2 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001604 BTC | +33.6% | +0.4% | −15.3% | −4.0% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001573 BTC | −0.6% | +7.1% | −8.9% | +2.0% |
| 24 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001590 BTC | −0.8% | +6.8% | −7.8% | −1.1% |
| 19 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001663 BTC | −3.2% | +1.1% | −9.7% | −4.4% |
| 15 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001580 BTC | +2.1% | +13.1% | 0.0% | +5.2% |
| 14 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001498 BTC | +9.1% | +23.0% | +4.8% | +5.5% |
| 14 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001563 BTC | +4.6% | +17.9% | +0.4% | −4.1% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001510 BTC | +10.2% | +27.2% | +6.8% | +3.5% |
| 11 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001577 BTC | +10.6% | +26.0% | +2.4% | −4.3% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001599 BTC | +0.2% | +34.0% | +0.8% | −1.4% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001650 BTC | −9.0% | +12.1% | +1.5% | −3.1% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001594 BTC | −1.9% | +9.7% | +7.0% | +3.6% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001648 BTC | −8.3% | −3.6% | +3.4% | −3.3% |
| 5 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001603 BTC | −2.2% | −3.0% | +6.8% | +2.8% |
| 30 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001574 BTC | +1.5% | +0.8% | +6.7% | +1.9% |
| 29 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001544 BTC | +6.4% | +2.5% | +13.9% | +1.9% |
| 27 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001605 BTC | −0.9% | +0.3% | +6.6% | −3.8% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001773 BTC | −9.1% | −0.6% | −7.6% | −9.5% |
| 13 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001739 BTC | −0.1% | −9.9% | −14.9% | +1.9% |
| 4 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001774 BTC | −4.4% | −10.4% | −1.8% | −2.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001838 BTC | −5.9% | −13.8% | −12.2% | −3.5% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000002733 BTC | −30.8% | −32.8% | −36.8% | −32.7% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000002743 BTC | −9.2% | −36.4% | −31.1% | −0.4% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002723 BTC | +1.3% | −36.4% | −35.8% | +0.8% |
| 4 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000002994 BTC | −11.3% | −41.0% | −48.1% | −9.1% |
| 24 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003375 BTC | −7.6% | −46.4% | −54.0% | −11.3% |
| 21 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003495 BTC | −3.2% | −40.4% | −53.2% | −3.4% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003455 BTC | −4.3% | −19.9% | −51.9% | +1.2% |
| 17 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000003653 BTC | −7.0% | −24.7% | −51.8% | −5.4% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003560 BTC | −3.0% | −22.8% | −57.8% | +2.6% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000003531 BTC | −2.3% | −24.9% | −57.2% | +0.8% |
| 12 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003440 BTC | +0.4% | −22.8% | −54.4% | +2.7% |
| 6 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000003511 BTC | −3.7% | −14.7% | −54.5% | −2.0% |
| 5 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003382 BTC | +2.6% | −16.9% | −51.4% | +3.8% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000003114 BTC | +11.4% | +0.2% | −47.9% | +8.6% |
| 31 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.000003048 BTC | +16.0% | +4.5% | −48.0% | +2.2% |
| 26 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000003019 BTC | +10.7% | +12.8% | −47.3% | +1.0% |
| 21 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003031 BTC | +4.5% | +13.8% | −42.1% | −0.4% |
| 19 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003212 BTC | −10.0% | +13.4% | −44.8% | −5.7% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003403 BTC | −6.9% | +2.1% | −50.1% | −5.6% |
| 8 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003568 BTC | −4.4% | −0.9% | −51.5% | −4.6% |
| 8 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003372 BTC | +1.1% | +4.9% | −48.7% | +5.8% |
| 7 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000003524 BTC | −0.9% | −0.4% | −49.8% | −4.3% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003334 BTC | +1.9% | +2.8% | −46.9% | +5.7% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000003518 BTC | −0.2% | −13.1% | −47.5% | −5.2% |
| 30 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003552 BTC | −0.8% | −13.1% | −48.8% | −1.0% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003764 BTC | −6.9% | −18.5% | −51.1% | −5.6% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003567 BTC | −1.8% | −14.0% | −48.4% | +5.5% |
| 25 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003672 BTC | −9.3% | −18.1% | −50.8% | −2.9% |
| 21 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003969 BTC | −7.9% | −20.6% | −37.3% | −7.5% |
| 18 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000004178 BTC | −13.6% | −24.1% | −34.2% | −5.0% |
| 11 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000004014 BTC | −1.3% | −12.5% | −32.5% | +4.1% |
| 5 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | 0.000003599 BTC | +9.6% | −3.8% | −18.8% | +11.5% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003591 BTC | +14.0% | −3.3% | −17.1% | +0.2% |
| 2 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003845 BTC | +7.6% | −13.4% | −18.9% | −6.6% |
| 30 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003867 BTC | −7.2% | −5.8% | −12.5% | −0.6% |
| 29 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004055 BTC | −16.1% | −9.9% | −16.9% | −4.6% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003959 BTC | −16.4% | −9.2% | −16.5% | +2.4% |
| 24 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000004019 BTC | −8.1% | −11.2% | −14.1% | −1.5% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000003923 BTC | −1.7% | +6.1% | −12.1% | +2.4% |
| 20 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004077 BTC | −0.5% | +0.4% | −10.6% | −3.8% |
| 11 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000004412 BTC | −10.7% | −7.2% | −21.8% | −7.6% |
| 10 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000005947 BTC | −33.5% | −30.5% | −41.7% | −25.8% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000005822 BTC | −25.1% | −38.4% | −40.0% | +2.2% |
| 6 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000006073 BTC | −30.2% | −44.0% | −43.6% | −4.1% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000005903 BTC | −25.3% | −35.6% | −43.4% | +2.9% |
| 1 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000006004 BTC | −2.3% | −38.4% | −48.6% | −1.7% |
| 29 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000005915 BTC | −1.6% | −34.8% | −46.4% | +1.5% |
| 27 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000006106 BTC | −0.3% | −33.6% | −52.7% | −3.1% |
| 20 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000006848 BTC | −10.8% | −41.1% | −55.6% | −10.8% |
| 17 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000006860 BTC | −11.2% | −42.4% | −50.6% | −0.2% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000006819 BTC | +2.5% | −36.1% | −50.0% | +0.6% |
| 6 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000006504 BTC | +6.2% | −10.5% | −46.7% | +4.8% |
| 1 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000006280 BTC | +3.3% | −6.3% | −42.7% | +3.6% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000006553 BTC | −4.9% | −6.4% | −45.2% | −4.2% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000006641 BTC | −3.8% | −8.3% | −46.2% | −1.3% |
| 20 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000006388 BTC | −1.1% | +11.2% | −38.0% | +4.0% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000006259 BTC | +9.2% | +6.5% | −34.9% | +2.1% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000006449 BTC | +8.9% | −0.1% | −37.9% | −2.9% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000006435 BTC | −1.3% | +7.3% | −38.7% | +0.2% |
| 13 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000006751 BTC | −9.8% | +1.3% | −37.9% | −4.7% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000006460 BTC | −2.4% | +3.8% | −36.6% | +4.5% |
| 8 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000006095 BTC | +4.4% | +6.0% | −41.1% | +6.0% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000005809 BTC | +8.6% | +10.8% | −34.5% | +4.9% |
| 4 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000006027 BTC | +9.7% | +6.0% | −37.2% | −3.6% |
| 29 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000006429 BTC | −4.8% | −2.5% | −36.9% | −6.3% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000006913 BTC | −16.9% | −8.6% | −42.1% | −7.0% |
| 22 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000006416 BTC | +0.2% | −1.0% | −37.1% | +7.7% |
| 16 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000005995 BTC | +11.4% | +6.2% | −27.3% | +7.0% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000005371 BTC | +18.2% | +23.1% | +8.2% | +11.6% |
| 7 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000005052 BTC | +8.7% | +14.6% | +17.2% | +6.3% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000005033 BTC | +12.7% | +11.6% | +18.1% | +0.4% |
| 3 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000005353 BTC | −1.3% | +6.8% | +9.9% | −6.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000005196 BTC | −2.9% | +15.3% | +17.1% | +3.0% |
| 28 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000005120 BTC | −4.0% | +21.5% | +14.9% | +1.5% |
| 25 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000005055 BTC | −1.2% | +15.7% | +23.6% | +1.3% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000005089 BTC | +10.1% | +31.2% | +37.4% | −0.7% |
| 21 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000005247 BTC | −4.7% | +27.4% | +35.4% | −3.0% |
| 20 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000005450 BTC | −9.2% | +18.8% | +27.9% | −3.7% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000006281 BTC | −14.4% | −10.7% | +9.0% | −13.2% |
| 7 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000006010 BTC | −7.3% | −17.3% | +3.7% | +4.5% |
| 30 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000006932 BTC | −16.2% | −25.8% | −9.6% | −13.3% |
| 28 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000007201 BTC | −12.4% | −31.3% | −13.3% | −3.7% |
| 24 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000006933 BTC | −13.9% | −30.6% | −8.5% | +3.9% |
| 22 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.000007215 BTC | 0.0% | −27.3% | −15.6% | −3.9% |
| 15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000007526 BTC | −10.0% | −26.0% | −13.1% | −4.1% |
| 13 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000008464 BTC | −20.2% | −24.5% | −21.9% | −11.1% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000007599 BTC | −11.1% | −15.9% | −13.0% | +11.4% |
| 8 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000006511 BTC | +21.4% | −12.8% | −11.0% | +16.7% |
| 27 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | 0.000008349 BTC | −15.3% | −16.8% | −26.7% | −22.0% |
| 23 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000008168 BTC | −1.5% | −11.0% | −15.8% | +2.2% |
| 21 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.000008111 BTC | +1.8% | −16.9% | −20.2% | +0.7% |
| 18 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000007783 BTC | +8.3% | −13.0% | −23.5% | +4.2% |
| 14 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000007753 BTC | +8.4% | +11.9% | −28.8% | +0.4% |
| 9 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000008126 BTC | −6.3% | −17.5% | −37.9% | −4.6% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000009963 BTC | −15.6% | −10.7% | −49.5% | −18.4% |
| 25 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001034 BTC | −14.0% | −20.3% | −53.5% | −3.7% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001031 BTC | +0.7% | −19.8% | −47.8% | +0.4% |
| 17 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001046 BTC | −4.6% | −27.2% | −45.6% | −1.5% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001047 BTC | −3.9% | −26.1% | −43.3% | −0.1% |
| 10 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001102 BTC | −8.7% | −29.7% | −46.1% | −5.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001266 BTC | −13.0% | −28.7% | −45.2% | −12.9% |
| 25 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001176 BTC | −3.0% | −13.3% | −41.8% | +7.6% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001178 BTC | +5.3% | −12.2% | −41.4% | −0.1% |
| 22 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001186 BTC | +8.0% | −15.9% | −38.7% | −0.7% |
| 18 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001169 BTC | −6.2% | −9.3% | −41.3% | +1.4% |
| 17 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001212 BTC | +1.2% | −12.8% | −44.1% | −3.5% |
| 16 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001151 BTC | +2.8% | −8.3% | −40.6% | +5.3% |
| 10 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001127 BTC | +3.1% | −9.0% | −23.0% | +2.1% |
| 8 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00001043 BTC | +13.7% | +0.7% | −35.8% | +8.0% |
| 3 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001174 BTC | −4.7% | −8.1% | −39.7% | −11.1% |
| 2 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001328 BTC | −17.1% | −14.0% | −44.6% | −11.6% |
| 29 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001444 BTC | −21.3% | −9.4% | −42.9% | −8.1% |
| 25 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001596 BTC | −12.6% | −23.2% | −47.2% | −9.5% |
| 24 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001689 BTC | −17.8% | −29.9% | −51.2% | −5.5% |
| 17 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001822 BTC | −8.9% | −36.5% | −58.6% | −7.3% |
| 15 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001852 BTC | −11.0% | −37.2% | −57.9% | −1.6% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | 0.00002064 BTC | −11.4% | −45.4% | −62.9% | −10.3% |
| 3 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002052 BTC | −7.8% | −35.3% | −58.6% | +0.6% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001923 BTC | +10.7% | −29.7% | −51.8% | +6.7% |
| 27 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001947 BTC | −0.5% | −19.9% | −47.6% | −1.2% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001856 BTC | +3.5% | −11.7% | −44.3% | +4.9% |
| 21 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001999 BTC | −1.5% | −15.7% | −47.7% | −7.1% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002384 BTC | −19.0% | −20.9% | −56.7% | −16.1% |
| 12 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002442 BTC | −11.9% | −22.6% | −58.0% | −2.4% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002494 BTC | −2.5% | −21.8% | −56.5% | −2.1% |
| 7 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002778 BTC | −8.9% | −23.4% | −61.8% | −10.3% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002582 BTC | −10.6% | −20.4% | −58.2% | +7.6% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00002671 BTC | −13.8% | −28.0% | −53.6% | −3.3% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002434 BTC | +8.5% | −23.0% | −50.2% | +9.8% |
| 21 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002187 BTC | +19.6% | −11.7% | −48.0% | +11.3% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001745 BTC | +37.3% | +12.2% | −27.8% | +25.3% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001850 BTC | +20.7% | +31.4% | −37.1% | −5.7% |
| 11 Nov 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002021 BTC | −7.6% | +12.9% | −45.6% | −8.4% |
| 9 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002159 BTC | −19.3% | +22.3% | −50.2% | −6.4% |
| 7 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002099 BTC | −14.5% | +27.3% | −45.8% | +2.9% |
| 6 Nov 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00002084 BTC | −9.2% | +23.6% | −43.8% | +0.7% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002320 BTC | −8.7% | +5.4% | −41.7% | −10.2% |
Showing the newest 200 of 401 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 20 Jun 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
401 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.