Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Pepe's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 31 of 31 | −0.2% | −7.7% to +4.9% (93%) | −6.1% to +2.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 30 of 31 | −7.1% | −13.7% to +1.2% (90%) | −14.2% to +2.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 29 of 31 | −13.3% | −27.5% to +11.8% (94%) | −20.7% to +11.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 30 of 30 | +0.1% | −2.9% to +3.8% (90%) | −6.5% to +1.8% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 30 of 30 | −9.2% | −12.7% to +3.6% (90%) | −14.2% to +2.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 28 of 30 | −16.5% | −21.9% to +3.2% (91%) | −21.9% to +9.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 21 Jun 2023, for comparison | 7 | 1,194 days | −1.9% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,171 days | −5.6% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,111 days | −7.6% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest four flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 31 | 1 of 31 |
| After bearish flips | 30 | 2 of 30 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Pepe's daily line has flipped 18.6 times a year since 21 Jun 2023.
Pepe, daily flips: 61 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026Lasted 14 days so far | Bull | 0.00000000005058 BTC | +2.3% | not yet | not yet | +0.5% so far |
| 30 Aug 2026Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.00000000004377 BTC | +3.8% | +16.3% | not yet | +15.6% |
| 20 Aug 2026Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00000000004396 BTC | +10.6% | +15.1% | not yet | −0.4% |
| 15 Aug 2026Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00000000004153 BTC | +26.8% | +6.6% | not yet | +5.8% |
| 3 Jul 2026Lasted 43 days | Bull | 0.00000000004442 BTC | −2.1% | +3.1% | +17.5% | −6.5% |
| 5 Jun 2026Lasted 28 days | Bear | 0.00000000004422 BTC | −0.1% | −2.3% | +3.2% | +0.5% |
| 3 Jun 2026Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00000000004864 BTC | −9.8% | −8.7% | −7.9% | −9.1% |
| 14 May 2026Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.00000000005056 BTC | −2.9% | −12.2% | −16.5% | −3.8% |
| 7 Apr 2026Lasted 37 days | Bull | 0.00000000005158 BTC | −6.9% | +0.6% | −17.4% | −2.0% |
| 6 Apr 2026Lasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00000000004822 BTC | +4.5% | +5.9% | −10.4% | +7.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.00000000005355 BTC | −8.9% | −7.1% | −17.1% | −10.0% |
| 26 Feb 2026Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.00000000005675 BTC | −13.8% | −12.7% | −17.6% | −5.6% |
| 14 Feb 2026Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.00000000006917 BTC | −11.5% | −22.6% | −28.6% | −18.0% |
| 12 Jan 2026Lasted 33 days | Bear | 0.00000000006287 BTC | −9.3% | −15.4% | −22.0% | +10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.00000000005538 BTC | +20.5% | −4.8% | −9.9% | +13.5% |
| 17 Dec 2025Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.00000000004534 BTC | +0.1% | +36.9% | +9.2% | +22.2% |
| 8 Dec 2025Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00000000005241 BTC | −10.1% | +37.0% | −7.7% | −13.5% |
| 20 Sep 2025Lasted 79 days | Bear | 0.00000000009266 BTC | −9.1% | −30.2% | −49.7% | −43.4% |
| 12 Sep 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00000000009937 BTC | −6.4% | −34.4% | −50.0% | −6.7% |
| 19 Aug 2025Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.00000000009046 BTC | −0.2% | +8.1% | −43.5% | +9.9% |
| 9 Aug 2025Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.0000000001065 BTC | −11.3% | −13.7% | −43.7% | −15.0% |
| 24 Jul 2025Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.0000000001047 BTC | −11.1% | −6.9% | −40.4% | +1.7% |
| 10 Jul 2025Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.0000000001070 BTC | +4.9% | −0.5% | −27.5% | −2.1% |
| 17 May 2025Lasted 54 days | Bear | 0.0000000001179 BTC | +8.4% | −15.9% | −21.9% | −9.3% |
| 8 May 2025Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0000000001077 BTC | +16.5% | +1.2% | −14.7% | +9.5% |
| 3 May 2025Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00000000008523 BTC | +53.4% | +36.9% | +7.6% | +26.3% |
| 22 Apr 2025Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.00000000009428 BTC | −0.2% | +47.2% | +27.3% | −9.6% |
| 3 Apr 2025Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.00000000008064 BTC | +4.5% | +5.7% | +14.6% | +16.9% |
| 20 Mar 2025Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00000000009083 BTC | +6.5% | −2.9% | +8.6% | −11.2% |
| 13 Jan 2025Lasted 66 days | Bear | 0.0000000001783 BTC | −13.4% | −42.2% | −51.3% | −49.1% |
| 3 Jan 2025Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.0000000002199 BTC | −15.3% | −49.8% | −63.3% | −18.9% |
| 16 Dec 2024Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.0000000002211 BTC | −11.9% | −14.2% | −64.0% | −0.5% |
| 7 Dec 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0000000002493 BTC | −7.7% | −18.5% | −67.7% | −11.3% |
| 20 Nov 2024Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.0000000001990 BTC | +3.5% | −9.2% | −51.4% | +25.3% |
| 7 Nov 2024Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.0000000001449 BTC | +63.2% | +72.1% | −28.5% | +37.3% |
| 3 Oct 2024Lasted 35 days | Bear | 0.0000000001422 BTC | +8.4% | −11.6% | +44.1% | +1.9% |
| 21 Sep 2024Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.0000000001329 BTC | +30.0% | +13.7% | +35.9% | +7.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.0000000001246 BTC | +3.4% | +28.0% | +68.2% | +6.7% |
| 24 Aug 2024Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.0000000001481 BTC | −13.1% | −13.3% | +41.0% | −15.9% |
| 2 Aug 2024Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.0000000001515 BTC | −7.6% | −17.8% | −14.5% | −2.3% |
| 16 Jul 2024Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.0000000001902 BTC | −0.2% | −32.0% | −13.3% | −20.3% |
| 4 Jul 2024Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.0000000001565 BTC | −1.0% | −9.3% | −2.7% | +21.5% |
| 25 Jun 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0000000002079 BTC | −12.3% | −16.1% | −38.3% | −24.7% |
| 7 Jun 2024Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.0000000001843 BTC | −6.5% | −18.4% | −31.4% | +12.8% |
| 21 May 2024Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.0000000001973 BTC | +18.6% | −14.1% | −34.5% | −6.6% |
| 18 May 2024Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.0000000001426 BTC | +51.5% | +17.8% | −14.5% | +38.4% |
| 22 Apr 2024Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.0000000001030 BTC | +11.8% | +87.9% | +78.1% | +38.5% |
| 18 Mar 2024Lasted 35 days | Bear | 0.0000000001009 BTC | +14.8% | −20.4% | +83.0% | +2.1% |
| 14 Feb 2024Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.00000000002413 BTC | −8.1% | +431.8% | +611.3% | +318.0% |
| 3 Jan 2024Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.00000000002754 BTC | +3.5% | −21.8% | +302.1% | −12.4% |
| 22 Dec 2023Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.00000000003593 BTC | −11.4% | −24.4% | +235.6% | −23.4% |
| 18 Dec 2023Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00000000003071 BTC | +5.4% | −7.9% | +273.3% | +17.0% |
| 4 Dec 2023Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00000000003310 BTC | +4.0% | −16.8% | +183.8% | −7.2% |
| 21 Nov 2023Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.00000000002882 BTC | +0.9% | +3.6% | −17.6% | +14.9% |
| 22 Oct 2023Lasted 30 days | Bull | 0.00000000002467 BTC | +33.8% | +16.8% | +13.7% | +16.8% |
| 5 Oct 2023Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.00000000002554 BTC | −9.3% | +24.0% | +7.8% | −3.4% |
| 22 Sep 2023Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.00000000002671 BTC | +11.3% | −7.6% | +11.8% | −4.4% |
| 16 Aug 2023Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.00000000004038 BTC | +4.0% | −35.8% | −19.9% | −33.8% |
| 12 Aug 2023Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00000000004621 BTC | −6.3% | −42.4% | −21.7% | −12.6% |
| 24 Jul 2023Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.00000000004627 BTC | −8.3% | −9.2% | −46.7% | −0.1% |
| 21 Jun 2023Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.00000000004601 BTC | +2.6% | +11.2% | −48.1% | +0.6% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 21 Jun 2023, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
61 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.