Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Polkadot's 4-hour trend2 Sep 2020 to now
539flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
19 dayslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Polkadot's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−17.1%Median of 258 flips; 11 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−17.9%Median of 258 flips; 12 are too recent
90 days after any day−16.4%2,133 days since 2 Sep 2020
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 268 of 269 | −0.8% | −2.0% to +0.2% (90%) | −2.4% to +0.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 266 of 269 | −6.1% | −8.7% to −3.0% (90%) | −8.5% to −2.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 258 of 269 | −17.1% | −21.1% to −12.9% (91%) | −20.5% to −10.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 268 of 270 | −1.0% | −1.9% to −0.3% (90%) | −2.4% to +0.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 266 of 270 | −5.0% | −6.7% to −1.9% (90%) | −8.5% to −2.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 258 of 270 | −17.9% | −19.9% to −14.3% (91%) | −20.5% to −10.9% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 2 Sep 2020, for comparison | 7 | 2,216 days | −0.8% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,193 days | −5.2% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,133 days | −16.4% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 23 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 269 | 9 of 269 |
| After bearish flips | 270 | 8 of 270 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Polkadot's 4-hour line has flipped 88.6 times a year since 2 Sep 2020, 16:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Polkadot, 4-hour flips: 539 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours so far | Bear | $1.15 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +3.1% so far |
| 1 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $1.25 | not yet | not yet | not yet | −8.2% |
| 28 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.17 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +7.2% |
| 25 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $1.20 | −1.6% | not yet | not yet | −2.3% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $1.10 | +8.6% | not yet | not yet | +8.7% |
| 16 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bull | $1.00 | +21.5% | not yet | not yet | +9.6% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.14 | −16.8% | not yet | not yet | −11.7% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.8590 | +23.7% | +42.4% | not yet | +32.2% |
| 29 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.8390 | +7.3% | +51.1% | not yet | +2.4% |
| 27 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $0.8850 | −1.9% | +37.1% | not yet | −5.2% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.8900 | −4.9% | +35.6% | not yet | −0.6% |
| 19 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | $0.7620 | +11.8% | +41.6% | not yet | +16.8% |
| 18 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.7320 | +22.8% | +39.2% | not yet | +4.1% |
| 15 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $0.7780 | +20.8% | +28.4% | not yet | −5.9% |
| 6 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.8250 | −6.2% | +9.1% | not yet | −5.7% |
| 2 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.7820 | +4.3% | +7.4% | not yet | +5.5% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.7930 | +0.8% | +7.4% | not yet | −1.4% |
| 25 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $0.8220 | −7.7% | +12.9% | not yet | −3.5% |
| 23 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.8220 | −7.1% | +14.4% | not yet | 0.0% |
| 21 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $0.8380 | −9.4% | −5.8% | not yet | −1.9% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.8470 | −0.9% | −5.0% | not yet | −1.1% |
| 10 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $0.8840 | −2.8% | −7.7% | not yet | −4.2% |
| 7 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.8600 | −2.8% | −2.1% | not yet | +2.8% |
| 1 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | $0.8460 | +0.5% | −9.2% | +39.7% | +1.7% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.9820 | −9.6% | −13.5% | −3.8% | −13.8% |
| 12 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | $0.9670 | +0.7% | −11.7% | +16.1% | +1.6% |
| 28 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 15 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.20 | −7.8% | −28.9% | −28.9% | −19.3% |
| 24 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | $1.29 | −8.1% | −27.6% | −27.4% | −7.5% |
| 23 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $1.26 | −5.1% | −25.2% | −32.6% | +2.9% |
| 21 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $1.27 | −3.5% | −24.6% | −41.0% | −1.3% |
| 15 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.31 | −1.2% | −25.1% | −40.8% | −2.6% |
| 14 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $1.41 | −11.1% | −31.9% | −43.7% | −6.9% |
| 13 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $1.32 | −7.1% | −27.8% | −38.9% | +6.6% |
| 13 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | $1.40 | −12.2% | −31.8% | −42.3% | −5.5% |
| 11 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $1.35 | −7.1% | −28.9% | −39.4% | +3.6% |
| 4 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bull | $1.25 | +10.7% | −13.6% | −37.4% | +7.8% |
| 19 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 14 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.26 | −1.1% | −0.6% | −32.6% | −0.9% |
| 16 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $1.27 | +0.1% | +3.5% | −33.0% | −0.9% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.24 | +2.4% | +9.8% | −29.4% | +2.3% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.31 | −9.6% | +5.1% | −35.0% | −5.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $1.25 | −5.8% | +9.5% | −32.3% | +4.1% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $1.31 | −11.2% | −0.2% | −32.6% | −4.5% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $1.24 | −1.0% | +6.3% | −29.0% | +5.9% |
| 6 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $1.27 | −3.6% | +0.6% | −30.4% | −2.4% |
| 24 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.40 | −11.1% | −9.0% | −32.7% | −9.1% |
| 23 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $1.47 | −13.9% | −12.7% | −33.9% | −4.6% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.55 | −9.7% | −14.4% | −34.9% | −5.6% |
| 16 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $1.48 | −4.3% | −21.0% | −33.6% | +5.1% |
| 13 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.47 | +3.5% | −12.5% | −37.7% | +0.5% |
| 10 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | $1.51 | +8.7% | −15.9% | −35.5% | −2.6% |
| 3 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.48 | +0.7% | −15.4% | −19.9% | +1.7% |
| 1 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.66 | −12.9% | −25.2% | −28.2% | −10.7% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $1.50 | −1.0% | −16.1% | −19.3% | +10.6% |
| 25 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $1.38 | +10.9% | −4.4% | −8.8% | +8.8% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.32 | +25.9% | +7.7% | −4.7% | +4.7% |
| 20 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $1.35 | +19.2% | +8.7% | −7.5% | −2.2% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.34 | +1.4% | +22.3% | −1.9% | +0.7% |
| 13 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $1.31 | −1.5% | +8.2% | +1.7% | +2.6% |
| 10 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $1.27 | +8.1% | +19.6% | +8.6% | +2.7% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | $1.35 | −4.8% | +7.4% | −2.2% | −5.6% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.81 | −19.2% | −11.6% | −32.1% | −25.5% |
| 28 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $1.90 | −20.8% | −15.1% | −34.9% | −4.5% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | $2.06 | −11.7% | −34.8% | −38.4% | −8.2% |
| 17 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $2.21 | −12.8% | −38.6% | −39.8% | −6.5% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $2.12 | −7.8% | −37.3% | −45.0% | +4.2% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $2.24 | −9.5% | −44.0% | −45.4% | −5.4% |
| 9 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $2.11 | +0.3% | −35.0% | −39.9% | +6.2% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | $1.89 | +13.3% | −10.8% | −33.8% | +11.5% |
| 30 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.81 | +22.0% | +3.3% | −30.3% | +4.6% |
| 27 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.80 | +20.2% | +1.2% | −26.7% | +0.4% |
| 22 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $1.77 | +4.7% | +7.3% | −17.0% | +1.9% |
| 19 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | $1.87 | −9.8% | +16.6% | −15.6% | −5.4% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $2.06 | −11.9% | +1.1% | −27.9% | −9.3% |
| 9 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $2.22 | −14.2% | −3.3% | −34.5% | −7.1% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $2.24 | −7.6% | −5.0% | −31.1% | −0.8% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $2.24 | −5.1% | −20.3% | −31.6% | −0.4% |
| 29 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $2.24 | −5.2% | −17.4% | −28.2% | +0.1% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $2.38 | −0.6% | −27.6% | −48.0% | −5.8% |
| 12 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 15 days 4 hours | Bear | $2.96 | −7.1% | −30.3% | −55.5% | −19.7% |
| 7 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | $2.80 | +2.0% | −23.9% | −47.8% | +6.0% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $3.09 | −16.3% | −24.1% | −40.9% | −9.4% |
| 24 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | $3.07 | −6.5% | −24.7% | −36.3% | +0.6% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $2.99 | +2.1% | −14.9% | −32.1% | +2.8% |
| 20 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $3.09 | +3.3% | −10.9% | −29.6% | −3.4% |
| 16 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $3.06 | −4.6% | −8.0% | −25.4% | +1.1% |
| 11 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | $3.19 | −9.5% | +1.2% | −33.9% | −4.2% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $4.16 | −18.8% | −35.7% | −48.4% | −23.1% |
| 6 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $4.38 | −26.0% | −42.7% | −51.5% | −5.1% |
| 5 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $4.10 | −26.9% | −36.9% | −47.2% | +6.8% |
| 1 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | $4.08 | +1.4% | −29.6% | −55.3% | +0.5% |
| 30 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $3.84 | +14.6% | −19.8% | −51.8% | +6.3% |
| 29 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $4.00 | +3.4% | −23.7% | −52.2% | −4.0% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $4.44 | −14.4% | −34.0% | −59.1% | −10.0% |
| 18 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $4.40 | −9.3% | −34.3% | −56.9% | +0.9% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $4.33 | +0.7% | −22.0% | −53.5% | +1.8% |
| 6 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | $3.88 | +11.3% | +6.5% | −41.5% | +11.5% |
| 4 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $3.74 | +12.8% | +15.5% | −39.9% | +3.8% |
| 3 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $3.89 | +6.4% | +10.6% | −47.5% | −3.9% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $3.82 | −1.4% | +1.9% | −38.6% | +2.0% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | $3.98 | −5.5% | −2.3% | −41.1% | −4.1% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $3.91 | −4.4% | +1.3% | −41.0% | +1.7% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | $3.96 | +0.5% | +10.0% | −32.0% | −1.2% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $3.90 | +5.4% | +9.1% | −27.3% | +1.6% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | $4.17 | +1.4% | −0.5% | −32.5% | −6.5% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $4.03 | −3.5% | +7.3% | −24.1% | +3.6% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $4.09 | −4.4% | +3.0% | −21.1% | −1.7% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $3.93 | +3.0% | +5.3% | −17.3% | +4.1% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | $3.72 | +3.6% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +5.7% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $4.07 | −11.5% | −4.5% | −24.1% | −8.6% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $4.24 | −15.0% | −8.3% | −27.1% | −4.0% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $4.24 | −8.0% | −10.5% | −27.3% | −0.1% |
| 20 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $4.49 | −8.2% | −12.8% | −35.6% | −5.5% |
| 19 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $4.22 | −3.2% | −4.0% | −28.5% | +6.4% |
| 16 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | $4.13 | +10.3% | −3.4% | −18.2% | +2.3% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $3.83 | +17.4% | +11.6% | −15.4% | +7.6% |
| 9 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | $3.45 | +18.4% | +12.2% | +27.6% | +11.2% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $3.45 | +12.6% | +1.8% | +19.7% | +0.1% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | $3.43 | +0.5% | +7.3% | +16.0% | +0.4% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $3.38 | −0.5% | +12.4% | +18.1% | +1.4% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | $3.28 | +7.8% | +38.5% | +32.6% | +3.1% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $3.83 | −10.9% | +8.4% | +12.6% | −14.3% |
| 16 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $3.90 | −19.3% | +4.6% | +15.0% | −1.8% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $4.06 | −10.8% | −3.7% | +2.0% | −3.8% |
| 7 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | $4.03 | −4.7% | −15.7% | −6.5% | +0.8% |
| 4 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $4.04 | +6.3% | −12.4% | −8.6% | −0.3% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $4.16 | −0.3% | −14.9% | −10.1% | −3.0% |
| 23 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $4.75 | −8.7% | −30.0% | −18.2% | −12.3% |
| 22 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | $4.84 | −5.3% | −29.0% | −23.2% | −2.0% |
| 19 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $4.55 | −0.6% | −18.3% | −12.9% | +6.4% |
| 18 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | $4.91 | −7.4% | −21.6% | −20.7% | −7.3% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $4.84 | −5.1% | −13.5% | −16.4% | +1.4% |
| 8 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | $4.17 | +19.5% | −6.8% | −13.1% | +16.1% |
| 30 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $4.08 | −2.6% | +6.3% | −2.7% | +2.3% |
| 29 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $4.28 | −8.4% | +7.2% | −0.9% | −4.7% |
| 27 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $4.09 | −1.6% | +9.1% | −0.1% | +4.5% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | $3.90 | +8.7% | +21.4% | +14.8% | +4.9% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $3.78 | +12.2% | +25.4% | +18.5% | +3.3% |
| 18 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $3.72 | +14.9% | +24.1% | +11.8% | +1.7% |
| 16 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $3.52 | +13.9% | +35.8% | +12.2% | +5.6% |
| 9 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | $3.69 | −4.7% | +20.7% | −8.8% | −4.7% |
| 9 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $3.35 | +4.9% | +32.8% | +0.4% | +10.1% |
| 8 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $3.67 | +0.2% | +8.1% | −7.5% | −8.6% |
| 3 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $3.96 | −8.1% | +4.9% | −17.3% | −7.4% |
| 1 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $4.19 | −14.3% | −3.1% | −15.5% | −5.4% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $4.31 | −5.8% | −1.1% | −22.2% | −2.7% |
| 14 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 13 days 20 hours | Bull | $4.16 | +5.6% | −10.8% | +0.6% | +3.5% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hours | Bear | $4.50 | −10.6% | −7.3% | −9.4% | −7.4% |
| 2 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $5.11 | −16.0% | −21.3% | −20.7% | −11.9% |
| 28 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $4.60 | −3.7% | −12.0% | −0.3% | +11.0% |
| 25 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | $4.64 | −3.5% | +1.3% | −2.4% | −0.7% |
| 23 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $4.95 | −5.8% | −6.7% | −7.9% | −6.4% |
| 20 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $4.98 | −4.5% | −9.6% | −6.0% | −0.5% |
| 16 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $4.98 | +1.3% | −12.2% | −4.4% | 0.0% |
| 12 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | $5.29 | −9.8% | −24.7% | −4.1% | −5.9% |
| 11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $4.77 | +2.6% | −16.7% | +6.9% | +10.9% |
| 11 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | $4.99 | −1.9% | −20.4% | +2.2% | −4.4% |
| 2 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $5.91 | −19.6% | −24.3% | −29.5% | −15.6% |
| 30 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $6.01 | −21.9% | −21.6% | −31.0% | −1.7% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hours | Bear | $7.04 | −10.2% | −30.7% | −48.4% | −14.7% |
| 14 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $6.63 | −3.7% | −21.1% | −44.7% | +6.2% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $7.31 | −12.5% | −35.8% | −49.6% | −9.3% |
| 1 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bull | $7.00 | +0.3% | −12.4% | −42.5% | +4.4% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $6.96 | +1.3% | −9.2% | −33.4% | +0.5% |
| 21 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | $7.70 | −10.3% | −18.9% | −42.9% | −9.6% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $8.50 | −14.2% | −21.9% | −53.1% | −9.4% |
| 11 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $9.20 | −7.7% | −28.7% | −57.9% | −7.6% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $10.05 | −10.2% | −30.2% | −57.3% | −8.5% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | $10.01 | −15.4% | −29.6% | −48.0% | +0.4% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $8.54 | +21.7% | −22.2% | −45.4% | +17.2% |
| 30 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $9.03 | +18.2% | −23.9% | −45.3% | −5.4% |
| 24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $8.23 | +8.6% | −10.3% | −38.5% | +9.6% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | $5.27 | +25.9% | +71.4% | −2.6% | +56.3% |
| 13 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $5.08 | +14.2% | +78.3% | −4.7% | +3.7% |
| 6 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bull | $4.08 | +30.1% | +154.2% | +26.9% | +24.6% |
| 28 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $4.02 | −5.8% | +100.8% | +57.4% | +1.6% |
| 28 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | $4.15 | −8.9% | +94.2% | +52.2% | −3.3% |
| 21 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $4.38 | −5.7% | +32.6% | +60.8% | −5.1% |
| 19 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $4.40 | −9.1% | +23.3% | +62.6% | −0.4% |
| 17 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $4.25 | −0.8% | +21.6% | +57.0% | +3.6% |
| 14 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | $4.26 | +7.6% | +24.7% | +58.4% | −0.3% |
| 13 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $4.11 | +7.9% | +39.1% | +64.0% | +3.7% |
| 11 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | $4.17 | +0.6% | +11.0% | +62.1% | −1.5% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $4.12 | +6.3% | −0.2% | +86.3% | +1.3% |
| 7 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | $4.25 | −2.2% | −9.4% | +80.5% | −3.2% |
| 29 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $4.71 | −12.1% | −12.3% | +46.7% | −9.7% |
| 19 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bull | $4.22 | +9.8% | +2.1% | +101.0% | +11.6% |
| 16 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $4.28 | +0.7% | +2.9% | +99.7% | −1.4% |
| 12 Sep 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | $4.29 | −2.6% | −2.7% | +95.8% | −0.2% |
| 11 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $4.15 | +0.1% | −1.9% | +104.0% | +3.3% |
| 7 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | $4.12 | +7.2% | +1.7% | +151.6% | +0.7% |
| 25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hours | Bear | $4.77 | −10.8% | −6.6% | +38.9% | −13.6% |
| 18 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bull | $4.50 | +10.6% | −6.8% | +14.6% | +6.0% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $4.56 | −4.3% | −6.1% | −5.2% | −1.3% |
| 6 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | $4.34 | +5.6% | −5.3% | −12.9% | +5.1% |
| 23 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 14 days 4 hours | Bear | $6.10 | −7.3% | −23.5% | −24.9% | −28.8% |
| 22 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | $6.43 | −11.1% | −29.6% | −31.1% | −5.2% |
| 16 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $6.21 | −1.9% | −29.5% | −33.0% | +3.5% |
| 13 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | $6.10 | +3.9% | −26.3% | −33.3% | +1.8% |
| 12 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $5.87 | +3.9% | −19.0% | −31.4% | +4.0% |
| 5 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | $5.87 | +0.6% | −14.0% | −30.1% | 0.0% |
Showing the newest 200 of 539 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 2 Sep 2020, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
539 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.