Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Polymesh's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin31 Oct 2022 to now
370flips
2 days 20 hourstypical run
18 days 16 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Polymesh's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−19.9%Median of 171 flips; 14 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−19.0%Median of 171 flips; 14 are too recent
90 days after any day−19.5%1,343 days since 31 Oct 2022
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 185 of 185 | −1.3% | −3.0% to 0.0% (92%) | −3.1% to −0.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 180 of 185 | −8.5% | −10.5% to −5.4% (91%) | −10.4% to −4.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 171 of 185 | −19.9% | −23.5% to −16.4% (91%) | −23.3% to −15.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 184 of 185 | −1.4% | −2.8% to −0.2% (91%) | −3.1% to −0.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 179 of 185 | −8.0% | −9.3% to −5.3% (90%) | −10.3% to −4.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 171 of 185 | −19.0% | −23.7% to −14.9% (91%) | −23.3% to −15.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 31 Oct 2022, for comparison | 7 | 1,426 days | −1.8% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,403 days | −7.5% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,343 days | −19.5% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 28 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 185 | 9 of 185 |
| After bearish flips | 185 | 8 of 185 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Polymesh's 4-hour line has flipped 94.3 times a year since 31 Oct 2022, 04:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Polymesh, 4-hour flips: 370 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours so far | Bear | 0.0000005220 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −4.3% so far |
| 24 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.0000005260 BTC | −1.6% | not yet | not yet | −0.8% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000004934 BTC | +3.2% | not yet | not yet | +6.6% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000005092 BTC | 0.0% | not yet | not yet | −3.1% |
| 21 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000004902 BTC | +9.9% | not yet | not yet | +3.9% |
| 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000005145 BTC | +6.4% | not yet | not yet | −4.7% |
| 13 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000005030 BTC | +2.3% | not yet | not yet | +2.3% |
| 12 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0000004730 BTC | +4.6% | not yet | not yet | +6.3% |
| 10 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.0000004583 BTC | +10.5% | not yet | not yet | +3.2% |
| 5 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0000004523 BTC | +0.2% | not yet | not yet | +1.3% |
| 3 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000004318 BTC | +10.3% | not yet | not yet | +4.8% |
| 2 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000004530 BTC | +4.4% | +12.1% | not yet | −4.7% |
| 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000004261 BTC | +9.5% | +19.5% | not yet | +6.3% |
| 27 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0000004416 BTC | +2.5% | +23.6% | not yet | −3.5% |
| 25 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000004386 BTC | −2.8% | +12.4% | not yet | +0.7% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.0000004692 BTC | −5.7% | +5.8% | not yet | −6.5% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000004420 BTC | +0.1% | +12.3% | not yet | +6.2% |
| 21 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000004510 BTC | −2.2% | +14.1% | not yet | −2.0% |
| 8 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000004921 BTC | −7.2% | −5.1% | not yet | −8.3% |
| 6 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000005092 BTC | −8.4% | −14.0% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 3 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000005042 BTC | −2.2% | −13.9% | not yet | +1.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.0000005222 BTC | −5.3% | −18.4% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 22 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000005634 BTC | −5.9% | −21.5% | not yet | −7.3% |
| 20 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000005808 BTC | −4.2% | −25.5% | not yet | −3.0% |
| 18 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000005578 BTC | −0.5% | −19.1% | not yet | +4.1% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000005703 BTC | −2.0% | −19.7% | not yet | −2.2% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000005719 BTC | −2.1% | −13.3% | not yet | −0.3% |
| 11 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0000005828 BTC | −2.3% | −15.4% | not yet | −1.9% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000005964 BTC | −0.2% | −15.9% | −9.7% | −2.3% |
| 27 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000006019 BTC | +0.3% | −7.5% | −12.8% | −0.9% |
| 25 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000005726 BTC | +2.7% | −3.1% | −11.1% | +5.1% |
| 24 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000005969 BTC | 0.0% | −6.3% | −16.8% | −4.1% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000006300 BTC | −8.0% | −9.6% | −19.0% | −5.3% |
| 15 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000006296 BTC | −4.7% | −11.6% | −23.7% | +0.1% |
| 14 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0000006104 BTC | −0.9% | −7.5% | −25.8% | +3.1% |
| 13 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000006202 BTC | −2.6% | −8.5% | −26.9% | −1.6% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | 0.0000006603 BTC | −9.4% | −8.5% | −34.3% | −6.1% |
| 31 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0000006890 BTC | −7.5% | −10.6% | −35.3% | −4.2% |
| 23 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000006993 BTC | −6.0% | −14.2% | −36.7% | −1.5% |
| 20 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000007101 BTC | +2.0% | −13.9% | −37.8% | −1.5% |
| 15 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000006945 BTC | +1.5% | −10.2% | −32.9% | +2.2% |
| 14 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000006839 BTC | +3.5% | −10.1% | −29.4% | +1.6% |
| 13 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0000006508 BTC | +6.4% | −8.0% | −23.9% | +5.1% |
| 5 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000006110 BTC | +7.7% | +14.1% | −17.1% | +6.5% |
| 26 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000006480 BTC | −5.9% | +13.6% | −14.3% | −5.7% |
| 25 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.0000006617 BTC | −7.8% | +9.2% | −15.5% | −2.1% |
| 17 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000006994 BTC | −8.1% | +3.2% | −19.6% | −5.4% |
| 14 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000007005 BTC | −4.2% | −6.8% | −19.0% | −0.2% |
| 13 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000006771 BTC | −1.1% | −1.5% | −15.3% | +3.5% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000006991 BTC | −3.8% | −5.9% | −17.7% | −3.1% |
| 5 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | 0.0000007423 BTC | −8.5% | −19.2% | −18.6% | −5.8% |
| 3 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.0000006818 BTC | +0.9% | −10.5% | −13.7% | +8.9% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000006675 BTC | +4.3% | −8.7% | −10.6% | +2.1% |
| 27 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000006682 BTC | −0.2% | −3.0% | −13.3% | −0.1% |
| 25 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000006618 BTC | +4.2% | −2.9% | −10.8% | +1.0% |
| 24 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000007181 BTC | −3.3% | −10.6% | −16.4% | −7.8% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000006582 BTC | +3.4% | +8.4% | −5.6% | +9.1% |
| 17 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0000005734 BTC | +11.4% | +23.3% | +7.4% | +14.8% |
| 9 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000005838 BTC | −5.0% | +17.7% | +9.2% | −1.8% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000005988 BTC | −5.1% | +30.3% | +16.4% | −2.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000006345 BTC | −5.8% | +5.5% | +5.1% | −5.6% |
| 27 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0000006485 BTC | −9.5% | +3.6% | +7.1% | −2.2% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000006304 BTC | −7.4% | +5.1% | +14.9% | +2.9% |
| 24 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000006510 BTC | −4.7% | −1.8% | +11.0% | −3.2% |
| 19 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000006473 BTC | −0.7% | +3.6% | +7.0% | +0.6% |
| 18 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000006772 BTC | −5.7% | −2.4% | −0.3% | −4.4% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0000006572 BTC | −2.2% | −14.5% | +5.8% | +3.0% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000006472 BTC | +0.9% | −12.6% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000006312 BTC | +4.2% | −5.8% | 0.0% | +2.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0000006162 BTC | +5.6% | +0.7% | −1.1% | +2.4% |
| 31 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000006195 BTC | +3.1% | +3.1% | −0.4% | −0.5% |
| 27 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.0000006273 BTC | −1.2% | +2.5% | +3.6% | −1.2% |
| 14 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000006857 BTC | −7.3% | −4.1% | −1.6% | −8.5% |
| 28 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 17 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000006052 BTC | +7.6% | +1.2% | +9.5% | +13.3% |
| 25 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0000005930 BTC | +12.4% | +6.9% | +14.7% | +2.1% |
| 22 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000006286 BTC | −8.7% | +1.1% | +5.7% | −5.7% |
| 21 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000005394 BTC | +8.9% | +19.5% | +24.4% | +16.5% |
| 20 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000005607 BTC | +2.1% | +16.7% | +17.8% | −3.8% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.0000006431 BTC | −9.5% | +5.7% | −10.0% | −12.8% |
| 9 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.0000006720 BTC | −9.4% | +1.0% | −11.4% | −4.3% |
| 30 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.0000007402 BTC | −6.4% | −21.8% | −12.4% | −9.2% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0000007637 BTC | −8.3% | −25.1% | −16.4% | −3.1% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.0000007388 BTC | −5.3% | −22.5% | −13.6% | +3.4% |
| 25 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.0000007656 BTC | −6.8% | −19.4% | −18.9% | −3.5% |
| 22 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.0000007354 BTC | +1.6% | −26.4% | −10.7% | +4.1% |
| 20 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.0000007566 BTC | −1.7% | −26.8% | −13.1% | −2.8% |
| 13 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.0000007963 BTC | −8.5% | −19.6% | −21.2% | −5.0% |
| 7 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000007114 BTC | +6.5% | −2.6% | −9.3% | +11.9% |
| 2 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000007347 BTC | +4.4% | −2.8% | −15.7% | −3.2% |
| 1 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.0000007509 BTC | +1.7% | −1.8% | −16.5% | −2.2% |
| 30 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.0000007446 BTC | −9.0% | +0.3% | −16.6% | +0.8% |
| 29 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000007746 BTC | −14.0% | −2.0% | −20.9% | −3.9% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000007715 BTC | +1.8% | −0.6% | −8.7% | +0.4% |
| 13 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.0000008311 BTC | −4.3% | −9.5% | −14.5% | −7.2% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.0000009923 BTC | −25.9% | −25.2% | −33.8% | −16.2% |
| 1 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001023 BTC | −6.8% | −29.4% | −43.4% | −3.0% |
| 17 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 14 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001153 BTC | −3.1% | −31.0% | −47.2% | −11.3% |
| 16 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001207 BTC | −8.5% | −32.5% | −47.8% | −4.4% |
| 15 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001163 BTC | −1.2% | −28.7% | −44.7% | +3.7% |
| 12 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001210 BTC | −1.3% | −37.8% | −46.4% | −3.9% |
| 11 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001168 BTC | +2.0% | −37.1% | −42.7% | +3.6% |
| 8 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001160 BTC | +2.1% | −17.9% | −40.3% | +0.7% |
| 1 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001187 BTC | −3.6% | −15.7% | −37.3% | −2.2% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001221 BTC | −6.8% | −11.7% | −39.1% | −2.8% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001148 BTC | +5.3% | −2.7% | −34.8% | +6.4% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000001211 BTC | −0.2% | −8.9% | −39.3% | −5.2% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001164 BTC | +3.9% | −5.2% | −36.8% | +4.1% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001183 BTC | +3.3% | −1.4% | −38.4% | −1.6% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001135 BTC | +7.6% | +2.8% | −35.8% | +4.2% |
| 20 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001173 BTC | +0.3% | +1.9% | −37.7% | −3.2% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001152 BTC | +3.2% | +2.4% | −33.4% | +1.8% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001197 BTC | −1.1% | −3.7% | −35.2% | −3.7% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000001180 BTC | −0.7% | +2.7% | −36.3% | +1.4% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001227 BTC | −5.7% | −3.4% | −38.6% | −3.8% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001229 BTC | −2.9% | −5.3% | −37.9% | −0.2% |
| 8 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001218 BTC | −4.8% | −5.6% | −44.4% | +0.9% |
| 6 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001169 BTC | +4.4% | −2.6% | −44.2% | +4.2% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001213 BTC | −3.0% | −3.6% | −38.9% | −3.6% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001298 BTC | −9.3% | −9.3% | −40.1% | −6.5% |
| 27 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001344 BTC | −14.4% | −15.1% | −41.4% | −3.4% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001326 BTC | −5.3% | −12.9% | −40.0% | +1.3% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001422 BTC | −11.7% | −18.8% | −44.0% | −6.8% |
| 22 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001372 BTC | −6.4% | −14.5% | −42.0% | +3.6% |
| 11 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001215 BTC | +9.5% | +4.6% | −22.6% | +12.9% |
| 10 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001161 BTC | +12.5% | +6.4% | −18.0% | +4.6% |
| 6 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001165 BTC | +8.6% | +4.2% | −13.6% | −0.3% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001144 BTC | +5.2% | +0.6% | −11.3% | +1.9% |
| 2 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001164 BTC | +5.3% | +1.7% | −11.0% | −1.8% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001119 BTC | +6.7% | +9.5% | −4.3% | +4.1% |
| 28 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001160 BTC | −1.3% | +16.8% | −7.4% | −3.5% |
| 25 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000001165 BTC | −4.6% | +8.0% | −5.3% | −0.5% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000001163 BTC | +1.1% | +22.2% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 21 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001208 BTC | −7.7% | +16.3% | −1.1% | −3.7% |
| 20 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001233 BTC | −9.6% | +9.8% | −3.4% | −2.0% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001229 BTC | −2.8% | +6.4% | −3.5% | +0.4% |
| 14 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001288 BTC | −6.2% | −2.0% | −9.2% | −4.6% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001310 BTC | −6.8% | −9.6% | −10.5% | −1.7% |
| 10 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001359 BTC | −9.6% | −10.6% | −15.8% | −3.6% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000001352 BTC | −3.1% | −15.3% | −13.9% | +0.6% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001376 BTC | −3.4% | −15.8% | −12.2% | −1.8% |
| 23 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | 0.000001561 BTC | −8.2% | −24.9% | −24.9% | −11.9% |
| 22 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001616 BTC | −8.6% | −25.2% | −29.6% | −3.4% |
| 19 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001556 BTC | −3.2% | −22.2% | −23.3% | +3.8% |
| 18 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001641 BTC | −7.7% | −25.2% | −29.2% | −5.2% |
| 14 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000001701 BTC | −7.7% | −24.5% | −30.8% | −3.5% |
| 8 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001490 BTC | +15.1% | −12.6% | −20.5% | +14.2% |
| 6 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001470 BTC | +17.6% | −8.1% | −19.9% | +1.4% |
| 6 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bull | 0.000001538 BTC | +12.4% | −12.1% | −23.5% | −4.4% |
| 28 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | 0.000001648 BTC | −8.9% | −9.7% | −21.3% | −6.7% |
| 25 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000001750 BTC | −8.9% | −13.5% | −25.2% | −5.8% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.000001727 BTC | −3.2% | −8.8% | −18.7% | +1.4% |
| 17 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000001645 BTC | +3.8% | −0.8% | −20.4% | +5.0% |
| 13 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001610 BTC | +10.5% | +7.4% | −26.5% | +2.2% |
| 8 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001523 BTC | +6.0% | −4.5% | −22.9% | +5.7% |
| 2 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001581 BTC | −6.0% | +0.8% | −27.0% | −3.7% |
| 31 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001636 BTC | −10.8% | +0.5% | −29.4% | −3.4% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001605 BTC | −3.4% | +8.5% | −28.7% | +1.9% |
| 24 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000001641 BTC | −2.5% | +5.2% | −28.5% | −2.2% |
| 20 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001586 BTC | +4.1% | +9.3% | −23.6% | +3.5% |
| 18 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001600 BTC | +1.7% | +2.8% | −20.8% | −0.9% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.000001525 BTC | +5.0% | +5.9% | −18.9% | +4.9% |
| 13 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000001574 BTC | +2.4% | +3.9% | −13.9% | −3.2% |
| 2 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000001865 BTC | −10.6% | −12.5% | −29.6% | −15.6% |
| 25 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000001839 BTC | −5.8% | −10.2% | −18.1% | +1.4% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001821 BTC | +2.8% | −5.9% | −16.8% | +1.0% |
| 23 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001921 BTC | −0.5% | −15.3% | −20.6% | −5.2% |
| 17 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001827 BTC | +2.9% | −10.8% | −14.9% | +5.1% |
| 16 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.000001939 BTC | −3.6% | −17.5% | −15.9% | −5.8% |
| 15 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000001866 BTC | −2.7% | −17.8% | −12.9% | +3.9% |
| 9 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000001840 BTC | +1.4% | −19.4% | −14.5% | +1.4% |
| 27 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002339 BTC | −18.8% | −22.2% | −25.5% | −21.3% |
| 26 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.000002479 BTC | −14.8% | −28.2% | −30.7% | −5.7% |
| 13 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 13 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000002909 BTC | −15.3% | −35.8% | −42.1% | −14.8% |
| 9 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000002894 BTC | −3.0% | −39.6% | −48.6% | +0.5% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.000002991 BTC | −8.1% | −39.1% | −51.2% | −3.2% |
| 3 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000002924 BTC | +6.6% | −27.8% | −46.3% | +2.3% |
| 29 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | 0.000002852 BTC | +4.4% | −19.5% | −42.6% | +2.6% |
| 27 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.000002784 BTC | +2.0% | −14.8% | −40.7% | +2.4% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.000002804 BTC | +2.8% | −17.2% | −38.9% | −0.7% |
| 20 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000002808 BTC | −5.0% | −6.0% | −42.6% | −0.1% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.000003338 BTC | −15.0% | −12.9% | −53.1% | −15.9% |
| 12 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.000003630 BTC | −20.1% | −17.3% | −58.5% | −8.0% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000003846 BTC | −9.6% | −24.0% | −56.6% | −5.6% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.000004132 BTC | −18.7% | −30.3% | −54.7% | −6.9% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003707 BTC | +6.2% | −23.6% | −48.4% | +11.5% |
| 25 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003625 BTC | +10.4% | −18.6% | −48.4% | +2.2% |
| 24 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003296 BTC | +21.7% | −8.8% | −44.9% | +10.0% |
| 23 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003530 BTC | +10.8% | −18.6% | −48.2% | −6.7% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003209 BTC | +30.6% | −16.0% | −42.1% | +10.0% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000003189 BTC | +7.0% | +7.3% | −40.0% | +0.6% |
| 12 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003067 BTC | +16.7% | +13.4% | −39.6% | +4.0% |
| 7 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.000003093 BTC | −8.0% | +32.2% | −41.6% | −0.8% |
| 22 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 15 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.000003762 BTC | −12.5% | −16.9% | −34.5% | −17.8% |
| 18 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003625 BTC | +0.5% | −5.4% | −22.6% | +3.8% |
| 13 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.000003714 BTC | +1.6% | −14.2% | −19.2% | −2.4% |
| 11 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.000003809 BTC | −7.4% | −15.7% | −24.0% | −2.5% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.000003734 BTC | +0.8% | −19.9% | −17.8% | +2.0% |
| 5 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.000003799 BTC | +0.1% | −22.4% | −25.3% | −1.7% |
| 28 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.000004111 BTC | −8.2% | −17.5% | −35.1% | −7.6% |
| 23 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.000004137 BTC | −1.3% | −9.0% | −35.3% | −0.6% |
Showing the newest 200 of 370 flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 31 Oct 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
370 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.