Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Polymesh's 4-hour trend1 Nov 2022 to now
358flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
16 days 16 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Polymesh's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−9.2%Median of 167 flips; 12 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−11.9%Median of 166 flips; 13 are too recent
90 days after any day−11.1%1,342 days since 1 Nov 2022
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 179 of 179 | −1.2% | −2.7% to +0.6% (90%) | −3.0% to +0.6% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 176 of 179 | −7.2% | −10.9% to −0.5% (92%) | −9.9% to +0.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 167 of 179 | −9.2% | −17.9% to −6.1% (91%) | −17.8% to −5.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 178 of 179 | −0.7% | −2.3% to +0.9% (92%) | −3.0% to +0.6% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 175 of 179 | −7.1% | −11.0% to −3.8% (90%) | −9.7% to +0.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 166 of 179 | −11.9% | −18.3% to −6.9% (93%) | −18.0% to −5.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 1 Nov 2022, for comparison | 7 | 1,425 days | −1.2% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,402 days | −5.2% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,342 days | −11.1% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 25 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 179 | 7 of 179 |
| After bearish flips | 179 | 13 of 179 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Polymesh's 4-hour line has flipped 91.3 times a year since 1 Nov 2022, 12:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Polymesh, 4-hour flips: 179 bearish flips of 358
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours so far | Bear | $0.04350 | not yet | not yet | not yet | −2.8% so far |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.04200 | +1.4% | not yet | not yet | +5.7% |
| 16 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.03860 | +13.7% | not yet | not yet | +4.9% |
| 10 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.03540 | +9.0% | not yet | not yet | +4.8% |
| 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.03310 | +13.3% | +28.7% | not yet | +5.1% |
| 26 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.03380 | −0.6% | +31.1% | not yet | +4.1% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.03400 | +1.8% | +26.5% | not yet | +6.5% |
| 11 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.03170 | −10.1% | +17.7% | not yet | −6.6% |
| 21 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 15 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.03770 | −9.5% | −19.6% | not yet | −12.5% |
| 20 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.03560 | +2.2% | −21.3% | not yet | +7.0% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.03530 | +3.1% | −18.1% | not yet | +3.4% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.03620 | +0.6% | −15.2% | not yet | +0.6% |
| 8 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.03630 | −0.3% | −11.0% | not yet | +3.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.03510 | +8.5% | −8.5% | +29.6% | +5.4% |
| 24 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.03500 | 0.0% | +4.0% | +22.9% | +3.7% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.04050 | −12.6% | −10.1% | −4.7% | −7.7% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.04820 | −17.8% | −27.4% | −28.2% | −17.8% |
| 23 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.05410 | −10.7% | −29.8% | −40.3% | −5.9% |
| 15 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.05600 | −2.3% | −28.2% | −47.1% | −1.8% |
| 13 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.05130 | +3.7% | −25.7% | −38.2% | +8.4% |
| 26 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.05000 | −4.0% | +13.8% | −28.8% | −2.4% |
| 23 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.04940 | −3.6% | +9.5% | −24.1% | +4.7% |
| 18 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.05180 | −2.5% | +2.5% | −30.7% | +1.0% |
| 13 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.04790 | +3.1% | +12.1% | −23.6% | +4.8% |
| 5 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.05090 | −2.6% | −5.9% | −25.7% | −1.4% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.04470 | +10.7% | +6.7% | −21.7% | +28.0% |
| 25 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.04570 | +3.1% | +10.1% | −17.3% | +0.9% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.04900 | −2.0% | +9.4% | −15.9% | +4.3% |
| 3 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | $0.04110 | −2.9% | +11.4% | +21.9% | −1.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.04050 | +0.5% | +9.1% | +21.2% | +4.4% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $0.04470 | −2.2% | −5.8% | +23.0% | −2.2% |
| 11 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.04190 | +6.0% | −4.3% | +28.4% | +5.5% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.05350 | −11.8% | −20.2% | −7.5% | −16.1% |
| 18 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.06510 | −14.0% | −30.7% | −16.9% | −14.4% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.06050 | +12.9% | −25.5% | −18.3% | +7.9% |
| 23 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.05390 | −6.3% | +8.7% | −18.2% | −1.5% |
| 21 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.04750 | +8.6% | +25.7% | −0.4% | +17.5% |
| 11 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.05970 | −15.9% | +3.2% | −32.2% | −17.6% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.06170 | −4.9% | −4.4% | −31.3% | +1.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.06660 | −9.8% | −16.8% | −35.3% | −1.2% |
| 13 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | $0.07990 | −16.5% | −27.7% | −45.9% | −16.6% |
| 2 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.08010 | −2.0% | −23.1% | −34.8% | −9.5% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.08720 | −20.3% | −22.8% | −39.7% | −6.0% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.08490 | −0.6% | −23.0% | −29.7% | +2.6% |
| 21 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.08500 | +2.6% | −21.5% | −27.9% | +6.2% |
| 15 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.09000 | −5.7% | −16.1% | −29.2% | −1.0% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.1154 | −14.5% | −39.0% | −47.8% | −22.1% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.1175 | −29.4% | −30.2% | −50.3% | +4.1% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1351 | −13.4% | −36.8% | −62.8% | −12.1% |
| 17 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.1351 | −7.4% | −36.3% | −61.1% | +2.7% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.1377 | −2.0% | −28.3% | −58.0% | +1.0% |
| 9 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.1297 | +2.5% | −10.6% | −53.7% | +4.2% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $0.1308 | −3.6% | −9.6% | −48.5% | −0.1% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1304 | +0.3% | −4.1% | −51.4% | +2.3% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1339 | +0.7% | +2.9% | −45.3% | +1.1% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1396 | −4.0% | +0.7% | −44.5% | +1.1% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.1418 | −2.8% | −7.8% | −44.6% | +3.5% |
| 6 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.1327 | +10.5% | −5.0% | −47.6% | +5.7% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1565 | −14.1% | −16.0% | −44.5% | −12.8% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1570 | −5.6% | −17.3% | −43.9% | +1.1% |
| 10 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.1294 | +19.8% | +11.4% | −10.7% | +7.8% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.1237 | +12.8% | +4.7% | −2.7% | +3.7% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.1199 | +7.8% | +20.4% | +0.2% | +3.7% |
| 26 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.1210 | +4.3% | +25.9% | +3.4% | +3.0% |
| 20 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1252 | −4.7% | +27.5% | +10.9% | −5.8% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1423 | −10.0% | −2.2% | −8.1% | −7.8% |
| 5 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.1395 | +2.0% | −11.4% | −7.2% | +0.6% |
| 23 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1703 | −11.1% | −29.7% | −21.3% | −15.6% |
| 19 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1590 | +3.3% | −20.4% | −11.9% | +8.6% |
| 15 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1674 | +3.2% | −21.7% | −12.4% | +3.5% |
| 28 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $0.1547 | −8.5% | +4.8% | −1.2% | −5.4% |
| 24 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.1542 | −1.4% | +6.1% | +10.6% | +4.9% |
| 14 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1333 | +13.7% | +41.0% | +11.5% | +7.9% |
| 2 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1329 | −14.6% | +15.7% | −6.9% | −9.2% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1368 | −5.7% | +20.5% | −10.2% | −1.1% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.1309 | +11.6% | +15.7% | −2.2% | +4.2% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.1276 | +5.2% | +7.1% | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| 8 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1426 | −8.1% | −19.7% | −6.4% | −10.9% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1661 | −22.8% | −15.8% | −16.2% | −7.3% |
| 28 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1530 | −3.1% | −15.8% | +4.0% | +7.5% |
| 24 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1738 | +1.6% | −13.8% | −6.1% | −3.0% |
| 17 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1745 | +3.7% | −22.8% | −8.1% | +3.0% |
| 11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.1760 | +1.2% | −26.7% | −5.5% | +8.6% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2195 | −23.2% | −19.6% | −29.9% | −14.1% |
| 27 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2471 | −24.8% | −34.7% | −33.3% | −3.7% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2706 | −10.0% | −30.1% | −44.7% | −3.7% |
| 13 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2662 | −6.3% | −32.8% | −46.1% | +4.1% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.2862 | −9.2% | −38.5% | −60.0% | −0.5% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2631 | +14.7% | −15.7% | −51.0% | +5.9% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2642 | +3.2% | −7.8% | −43.3% | +4.9% |
| 15 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.3320 | −21.5% | −21.7% | −60.5% | −12.6% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.3790 | −5.7% | −28.6% | −62.1% | −5.2% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.3526 | +12.9% | −24.8% | −53.3% | +12.3% |
| 24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.3129 | +23.6% | −8.8% | −44.2% | +13.4% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.2954 | +30.5% | −11.0% | −39.7% | +10.8% |
| 13 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.2576 | +22.3% | +38.8% | −29.6% | +13.0% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2264 | −0.1% | +68.5% | −2.1% | −4.5% |
| 21 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2549 | −9.5% | +23.6% | +8.2% | −5.8% |
| 17 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.2363 | +2.8% | +8.2% | +14.0% | +5.2% |
| 13 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.2273 | +13.6% | +24.3% | +25.1% | +5.4% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2352 | +5.8% | −3.9% | +28.4% | +1.4% |
| 29 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2614 | −10.4% | −11.9% | −0.3% | −9.6% |
| 22 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.2495 | +8.3% | +5.6% | +11.2% | +5.5% |
| 18 Sep 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.2157 | +26.2% | +10.2% | +58.0% | +7.2% |
| 15 Sep 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.2216 | +20.8% | +12.3% | +65.7% | +1.5% |
| 4 Sep 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2010 | +10.4% | +10.4% | +97.0% | +3.0% |
| 25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.2404 | −12.3% | +7.9% | +40.3% | −11.1% |
| 20 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.2053 | +11.9% | +12.6% | +38.2% | +9.4% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2093 | −1.1% | +5.8% | +15.4% | +2.3% |
| 2 Aug 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2284 | −7.7% | −7.7% | +2.5% | −15.4% |
| 29 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2637 | −26.6% | −18.4% | −14.3% | −6.7% |
| 23 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.2751 | −5.5% | −21.3% | −4.5% | −1.3% |
| 18 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.2667 | −0.7% | −23.7% | −7.5% | +4.3% |
| 8 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.2106 | +20.9% | −9.0% | +11.3% | +10.2% |
| 3 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2637 | −11.8% | −6.7% | −6.3% | −12.2% |
| 24 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.3243 | −11.9% | −19.0% | −17.5% | −11.2% |
| 13 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.4587 | −27.3% | −45.5% | −51.6% | −21.9% |
| 7 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.4314 | +6.7% | −46.6% | −52.0% | +13.4% |
| 2 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.4127 | +4.4% | −32.7% | −47.6% | +4.2% |
| 28 May 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.4378 | −4.9% | −33.0% | −43.9% | −2.0% |
| 22 May 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.4232 | +3.6% | −19.0% | −50.4% | +1.6% |
| 19 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.4238 | +6.3% | −19.2% | −52.0% | +7.9% |
| 14 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.3634 | +24.4% | +38.9% | −43.4% | +8.6% |
| 9 May 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.3675 | +7.1% | +21.7% | −47.9% | +4.9% |
| 24 Apr 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.4492 | −24.1% | −4.3% | −38.6% | −17.8% |
| 10 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.5117 | −12.4% | −25.2% | −55.5% | −12.9% |
| 1 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.5694 | −5.0% | −40.1% | −51.1% | +2.8% |
| 29 Mar 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.5288 | +5.0% | −23.1% | −44.6% | +7.6% |
| 24 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.3806 | +57.6% | +27.4% | −8.9% | +42.6% |
| 14 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.2603 | +31.0% | +67.9% | +91.6% | +0.8% |
| 5 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.2022 | +41.9% | +171.3% | +104.6% | +18.3% |
| 28 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.1885 | +13.1% | +202.2% | +138.8% | +7.4% |
| 20 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1815 | +6.2% | +87.9% | +133.1% | +4.3% |
| 31 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1546 | +1.3% | +30.0% | +141.7% | −1.0% |
| 28 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.1577 | −3.2% | +22.3% | +153.5% | +3.9% |
| 8 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1886 | −11.7% | −17.0% | +183.8% | −17.1% |
| 3 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1803 | −5.4% | −15.2% | +224.6% | +7.2% |
| 26 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.1923 | +1.4% | −18.6% | +105.1% | +1.9% |
| 17 Dec 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1889 | +5.2% | −11.2% | +32.5% | +0.8% |
| 6 Dec 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.2065 | −6.0% | −11.4% | +16.4% | −3.7% |
| 27 Nov 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.1935 | +14.0% | +2.2% | −2.1% | +1.4% |
| 14 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1993 | +3.8% | −2.1% | −14.5% | +1.2% |
| 31 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.2618 | −17.2% | −23.2% | −39.7% | −16.0% |
| 21 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1649 | +44.7% | +26.9% | −1.3% | +5.9% |
| 10 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1200 | +4.5% | +84.0% | +57.2% | +1.2% |
| 2 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1168 | +8.6% | +112.2% | +61.2% | +1.9% |
| 25 Sep 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1139 | +6.1% | +125.5% | +74.5% | +4.7% |
| 10 Sep 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1049 | +7.0% | +18.9% | +103.9% | +0.1% |
| 31 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1074 | −2.3% | +9.1% | +86.7% | −0.7% |
| 22 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.1074 | −0.4% | +9.2% | +94.9% | +1.8% |
| 15 Aug 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1269 | −11.4% | −17.3% | +68.0% | −10.8% |
| 30 Jul 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1352 | −2.3% | −20.9% | +76.5% | −3.8% |
| 24 Jul 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1338 | +0.9% | −17.9% | +20.2% | +2.9% |
| 18 Jul 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1362 | −1.8% | −16.6% | −11.7% | +5.4% |
| 5 Jul 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1263 | +8.2% | +4.4% | −7.6% | +2.2% |
| 25 Jun 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1299 | −1.7% | +3.0% | −10.4% | −3.3% |
| 5 Jun 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1408 | −26.5% | −6.7% | −25.2% | −24.1% |
| 31 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1422 | −8.6% | −15.0% | −24.8% | +1.8% |
| 21 May 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.1541 | −5.5% | −30.0% | −31.0% | −2.7% |
| 8 May 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1638 | −7.1% | −20.6% | −19.4% | −4.8% |
| 21 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 13 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.2338 | −18.3% | −32.1% | −40.8% | −24.4% |
| 7 Apr 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 13 days | Bear | $0.1745 | +1.1% | −3.8% | −26.6% | +11.5% |
| 31 Mar 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1616 | +15.6% | +15.4% | −26.5% | +7.2% |
| 21 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.1642 | −7.6% | −1.9% | −35.3% | −3.9% |
| 16 Mar 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.1578 | +2.0% | +13.5% | −34.2% | +7.5% |
| 26 Feb 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 14 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.2008 | −12.2% | −24.4% | −27.8% | −26.1% |
| 22 Feb 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.1988 | +0.9% | −15.8% | −23.0% | +7.0% |
| 9 Feb 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1945 | −1.9% | −27.2% | −17.6% | −7.5% |
| 29 Jan 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1939 | +7.4% | +4.4% | −3.9% | −3.9% |
| 25 Jan 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1847 | −0.9% | +15.3% | +10.7% | +8.8% |
| 18 Jan 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.1647 | +12.1% | +30.5% | +5.8% | +7.2% |
| 11 Jan 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.1313 | +31.7% | +42.7% | +37.2% | +9.0% |
| 6 Jan 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1198 | +19.4% | +73.8% | +49.9% | +4.8% |
| 26 Dec 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1368 | −12.3% | +35.0% | +17.2% | −11.3% |
| 17 Dec 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.1569 | −10.4% | +9.5% | +4.3% | −7.1% |
| 7 Dec 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.1642 | −6.5% | −24.4% | +6.0% | −4.7% |
| 21 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.1306 | +26.0% | +8.5% | +60.9% | +17.3% |
| 8 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.1747 | −31.5% | −7.1% | +18.7% | −19.6% |
| 2 Nov 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.1694 | −14.3% | +0.6% | +7.1% | +8.6% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 1 Nov 2022, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
358 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.