Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Prom's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 29 of 29 | +0.7% | −4.9% to +3.1% (94%) | −4.5% to +3.0% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 28 of 29 | −3.8% | −15.9% to +3.9% (91%) | −11.6% to +6.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 27 of 29 | −5.7% | −17.9% to +7.1% (95%) | −22.4% to +14.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 29 of 29 | +7.7% | −4.1% to +10.1% (94%) | −4.5% to +3.0% | outside the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 29 of 29 | −2.6% | −11.3% to +12.8% (94%) | −10.7% to +7.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 27 of 29 | −7.7% | −23.5% to +4.5% (95%) | −22.4% to +14.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 10 Apr 2023, for comparison | 7 | 1,266 days | −0.8% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,243 days | −3.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,183 days | −5.7% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest four flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 29 | 2 of 29 |
| After bearish flips | 29 | 2 of 29 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Prom's daily line has flipped 16.7 times a year since 10 Apr 2023.
Prom, daily flips: 58 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026Lasted 8 days so far | Bull | 0.00007132 BTC | +6.1% | not yet | not yet | +3.8% so far |
| 1 Sep 2026Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.00006162 BTC | +23.0% | +24.2% | not yet | +15.7% |
| 26 Jul 2026Lasted 37 days | Bull | 0.00003041 BTC | −3.9% | +72.9% | not yet | +102.6% |
| 21 Jul 2026Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00002281 BTC | +42.5% | +33.0% | not yet | +33.3% |
| 10 Jun 2026Lasted 41 days | Bull | 0.00001701 BTC | +5.4% | +16.9% | +345.8% | +34.1% |
| 3 May 2026Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.00002544 BTC | +1.5% | −40.3% | +23.1% | −33.2% |
| 11 Apr 2026Lasted 22 days | Bull | 0.00001624 BTC | +96.5% | +56.5% | +22.5% | +56.7% |
| 2 Mar 2026Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.00001597 BTC | −9.2% | −6.9% | −12.7% | +1.7% |
| 16 Feb 2026Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00002137 BTC | −8.3% | −28.7% | +5.9% | −25.3% |
| 2 Jan 2026Lasted 45 days | Bear | 0.00008566 BTC | −7.0% | −77.4% | −82.5% | −75.1% |
| 26 Dec 2025Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.0001034 BTC | −17.1% | −76.6% | −85.6% | −17.1% |
| 19 Dec 2025Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00008677 BTC | +19.1% | −58.4% | −82.6% | +19.1% |
| 17 Nov 2025Lasted 32 days | Bull | 0.0001004 BTC | +2.3% | +2.3% | −81.3% | −13.5% |
| 7 Nov 2025Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.00008874 BTC | +10.9% | +14.7% | −80.2% | +13.1% |
| 29 Oct 2025Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00009235 BTC | +6.8% | +9.4% | −75.5% | −3.9% |
| 25 Oct 2025Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00008433 BTC | +13.8% | +21.7% | −69.0% | +9.5% |
| 11 Oct 2025Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00009071 BTC | +2.8% | −6.5% | −12.1% | −7.0% |
| 20 Sep 2025Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.00008291 BTC | +10.7% | +6.1% | +4.7% | +9.4% |
| 16 Sep 2025Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00009684 BTC | −11.6% | −3.8% | +7.4% | −14.4% |
| 13 Sep 2025Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00007697 BTC | +7.7% | +18.1% | +28.7% | +25.8% |
| 25 Aug 2025Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.00008470 BTC | +0.7% | +0.2% | +25.0% | −9.1% |
| 7 Aug 2025Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.00006831 BTC | +9.8% | +21.2% | +44.4% | +24.0% |
| 16 Jul 2025Lasted 22 days | Bull | 0.00007442 BTC | +6.6% | +2.5% | +23.8% | −8.2% |
| 10 Jul 2025Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.00006136 BTC | +32.4% | +20.7% | +33.4% | +21.3% |
| 28 Jun 2025Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.00004881 BTC | +40.8% | +55.6% | +83.1% | +25.7% |
| 11 Apr 2025Lasted 78 days | Bear | 0.00005871 BTC | +10.1% | −9.8% | +4.5% | −16.9% |
| 6 Apr 2025Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00007641 BTC | −12.2% | −26.1% | −10.1% | −23.2% |
| 7 Mar 2025Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.00006818 BTC | +8.3% | +12.1% | −22.6% | +12.1% |
| 8 Feb 2025Lasted 27 days | Bull | 0.00005521 BTC | +6.5% | +35.9% | −0.9% | +23.5% |
| 18 Jan 2025Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.00006452 BTC | −20.0% | −4.6% | +0.2% | −14.4% |
| 12 Jan 2025Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00007393 BTC | −23.8% | −26.0% | −12.4% | −12.7% |
| 7 Jan 2025Lasted 5 days | Bear | 0.00005841 BTC | +38.8% | −19.5% | +30.0% | +26.6% |
| 28 Dec 2024Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00006919 BTC | −4.5% | −27.7% | +2.9% | −15.6% |
| 9 Dec 2024Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.00006595 BTC | −5.4% | −12.9% | +11.2% | +4.9% |
| 30 Nov 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00006998 BTC | +3.8% | −5.0% | +7.1% | −5.8% |
| 26 Oct 2024Lasted 35 days | Bear | 0.00009903 BTC | −19.2% | −31.9% | −49.3% | −29.3% |
| 25 Oct 2024Lasted 1 day | Bull | 0.0001289 BTC | −36.5% | −53.1% | −60.1% | −23.2% |
| 13 Sep 2024Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.00008729 BTC | +1.4% | −1.4% | −19.8% | +47.7% |
| 19 Aug 2024Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.00009408 BTC | −4.9% | −10.8% | −35.8% | −7.2% |
| 8 Jun 2024Lasted 72 days | Bear | 0.0001481 BTC | −4.1% | −31.0% | −38.6% | −36.5% |
| 27 May 2024Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.0001600 BTC | −2.2% | −22.6% | −40.1% | −7.4% |
| 12 Apr 2024Lasted 45 days | Bear | 0.0001822 BTC | −16.0% | −11.2% | −41.4% | −12.2% |
| 8 Mar 2024Lasted 35 days | Bull | 0.0002112 BTC | −9.9% | −2.9% | −21.7% | −13.7% |
| 28 Feb 2024Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.0001726 BTC | +6.2% | +17.2% | −7.7% | +22.3% |
| 14 Feb 2024Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.0002451 BTC | +2.0% | −22.4% | −37.3% | −29.6% |
| 31 Jan 2024Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.0001565 BTC | −0.8% | +12.8% | −6.6% | +56.6% |
| 12 Jan 2024Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.0001315 BTC | −0.1% | +13.7% | +68.1% | +19.0% |
| 5 Jan 2024Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.0001198 BTC | +9.7% | +29.1% | +67.2% | +9.7% |
| 12 Dec 2023Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.0001150 BTC | +3.1% | +5.8% | +70.9% | +4.2% |
| 19 Oct 2023Lasted 54 days | Bear | 0.0001397 BTC | −9.6% | −15.3% | −0.7% | −17.7% |
| 14 Oct 2023Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0001513 BTC | −8.3% | −21.1% | −13.1% | −7.7% |
| 4 Sep 2023Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.0001663 BTC | −9.4% | −13.2% | −31.2% | −9.0% |
| 18 Aug 2023Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.0001461 BTC | +4.4% | +3.9% | −17.9% | +13.8% |
| 15 Aug 2023Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.0001377 BTC | +13.5% | +5.8% | −13.2% | +6.1% |
| 25 Jul 2023Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.0001372 BTC | +2.8% | +11.3% | −5.7% | +0.3% |
| 21 Jun 2023Lasted 34 days | Bear | 0.0001470 BTC | −12.7% | −11.3% | +0.6% | −6.7% |
| 18 Jun 2023Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0001560 BTC | −8.9% | −15.9% | −3.6% | −5.8% |
| 10 Apr 2023Lasted 69 days | Bear | 0.0001674 BTC | +9.0% | −2.6% | −23.5% | −6.8% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 10 Apr 2023, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
58 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.