Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Quant's 4-hour trend2 Aug 2021 to now
449flips
3 days 8 hourstypical run
18 days 20 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Quant's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−9.9%Median of 216 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−8.0%Median of 217 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after any day−7.2%1,799 days since 2 Aug 2021
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 224 of 224 | −2.4% | −3.6% to −1.0% (91%) | −2.4% to −0.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 222 of 224 | −6.5% | −8.0% to −4.5% (91%) | −7.2% to −2.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 216 of 224 | −9.9% | −12.2% to −6.9% (91%) | −10.4% to −3.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 224 of 225 | −1.5% | −2.2% to +0.3% (91%) | −2.4% to −0.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 222 of 225 | −5.4% | −7.4% to −3.4% (91%) | −7.2% to −2.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 217 of 225 | −8.0% | −10.6% to −5.6% (92%) | −10.4% to −3.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 2 Aug 2021, for comparison | 7 | 1,882 days | −1.2% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,859 days | −4.8% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,799 days | −7.2% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 16 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 224 | 12 of 224 |
| After bearish flips | 225 | 5 of 225 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Quant's 4-hour line has flipped 86.9 times a year since 2 Aug 2021, 20:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Quant, 4-hour flips: 225 bearish flips of 449
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours so far | Bear | $229.30 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +12.1% so far |
| 10 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $65.52 | −6.7% | not yet | not yet | −4.4% |
| 4 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $63.76 | +1.2% | not yet | not yet | +3.8% |
| 23 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $62.50 | −1.6% | +7.0% | not yet | +1.7% |
| 16 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $57.06 | +10.9% | +13.0% | not yet | +1.9% |
| 2 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hours | Bear | $60.26 | −1.7% | +1.4% | not yet | −1.9% |
| 18 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 14 days | Bear | $64.27 | −1.3% | −11.5% | not yet | −2.1% |
| 12 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $65.88 | −3.1% | −11.8% | not yet | +0.3% |
| 5 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $66.90 | −1.5% | −10.8% | +269.5% | +1.4% |
| 24 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $67.00 | −3.2% | −4.8% | −0.2% | +0.6% |
| 23 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $69.04 | −4.8% | −7.7% | −7.1% | +3.5% |
| 18 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $68.31 | +0.5% | −4.7% | −10.5% | +5.2% |
| 10 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $64.61 | +9.6% | +5.4% | +3.2% | +6.4% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $69.72 | −5.8% | −1.8% | −8.7% | +0.3% |
| 26 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $75.98 | −5.7% | −9.7% | −14.5% | +0.2% |
| 23 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $74.64 | −4.2% | −5.8% | −16.6% | +7.6% |
| 17 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $77.74 | +2.5% | −9.1% | −25.1% | −2.9% |
| 12 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $71.43 | +6.7% | −8.0% | −18.4% | +5.2% |
| 10 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $72.70 | +11.3% | −8.1% | −17.6% | +4.9% |
| 4 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $68.02 | +10.5% | +9.4% | −10.0% | +3.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 15 days 8 hours | Bear | $74.28 | −3.5% | +1.1% | −14.2% | −6.1% |
| 13 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $74.21 | −1.7% | −0.8% | −11.2% | +2.8% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $72.10 | +5.7% | −2.1% | −6.1% | +4.7% |
| 27 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $71.77 | +2.5% | −2.0% | −4.4% | 0.0% |
| 22 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $73.25 | −3.6% | +1.2% | −1.8% | +2.9% |
| 9 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $62.46 | +7.3% | +20.3% | +12.0% | +4.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $61.53 | +5.7% | +11.8% | +16.3% | +4.6% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $71.28 | −7.1% | −3.5% | +10.4% | −8.4% |
| 4 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $65.49 | +5.4% | +0.6% | +2.8% | −0.5% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $75.20 | −11.9% | −14.4% | −8.0% | −6.4% |
| 25 Jan 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $76.25 | −9.5% | −17.6% | −6.0% | +2.6% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $79.29 | −7.4% | −10.9% | −6.6% | +6.3% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $72.77 | +10.6% | −3.5% | +1.6% | +7.8% |
| 6 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $76.92 | −5.7% | −13.9% | −2.0% | −1.8% |
| 29 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $71.97 | +8.3% | +14.3% | −1.9% | −0.5% |
| 22 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $75.08 | −2.5% | +1.9% | +2.8% | −1.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $74.65 | −1.1% | +5.1% | −5.7% | +1.6% |
| 1 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 15 days 20 hours | Bear | $93.61 | −6.6% | −24.9% | −31.9% | −16.4% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $83.03 | +14.2% | −13.0% | −25.2% | +18.9% |
| 15 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $81.23 | −11.9% | −5.4% | −15.6% | −4.6% |
| 9 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $81.33 | +3.2% | +8.9% | −19.1% | +8.5% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $77.18 | +8.3% | +25.8% | −10.6% | +10.7% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $81.35 | −9.1% | +4.0% | −9.8% | +0.6% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $81.80 | −1.3% | −8.5% | +0.6% | +2.7% |
| 16 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $83.61 | −3.3% | −2.8% | −7.8% | +3.6% |
| 7 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $101.03 | −9.1% | −14.8% | −22.9% | −12.0% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $104.56 | −19.0% | −23.6% | −27.6% | +1.8% |
| 25 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $91.89 | +13.6% | −10.7% | −18.0% | +1.2% |
| 15 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $100.86 | −3.6% | −10.9% | −20.1% | −2.3% |
| 8 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $99.56 | +3.0% | +1.1% | −9.9% | +3.1% |
| 1 Sep 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $101.74 | +0.4% | −0.8% | −6.2% | +1.7% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $102.12 | −1.1% | −2.1% | −17.2% | +4.0% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $105.74 | −1.2% | −14.2% | −32.3% | +1.4% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $109.96 | −2.7% | −6.5% | −25.0% | −2.7% |
| 11 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $111.48 | −2.1% | −12.6% | −24.2% | +2.7% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hours | Bear | $124.14 | −10.8% | −14.7% | −34.0% | −8.0% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $121.33 | −0.9% | −12.5% | −30.1% | +5.2% |
| 19 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $110.80 | +9.0% | −1.5% | −24.5% | +5.4% |
| 14 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $111.74 | +5.3% | +2.4% | −21.4% | +4.1% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $111.77 | +0.5% | +2.0% | −9.7% | +7.6% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $105.85 | +7.8% | +0.8% | −1.4% | +4.2% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $106.02 | +0.7% | +13.2% | −5.4% | +1.1% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $105.52 | −7.0% | +8.7% | −2.8% | −7.0% |
| 11 Jun 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $117.45 | −14.3% | −2.9% | −15.7% | −6.9% |
| 6 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $111.05 | +1.7% | −3.6% | −8.5% | +4.5% |
| 30 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $107.79 | +3.0% | +2.1% | −3.6% | +3.3% |
| 24 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $94.01 | +12.4% | −3.9% | +13.0% | +6.3% |
| 19 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $90.81 | +4.5% | +10.9% | +19.7% | +8.0% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $93.20 | +0.2% | +23.4% | +22.3% | +5.8% |
| 6 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $84.30 | +16.5% | +38.1% | +31.4% | +4.9% |
| 16 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $64.70 | +6.8% | +49.1% | +72.5% | +3.6% |
| 3 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $66.20 | +0.8% | +28.7% | +56.7% | 0.0% |
| 26 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $76.40 | −8.0% | −1.7% | +28.5% | −6.9% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $75.60 | +0.4% | −13.0% | +33.8% | +4.9% |
| 18 Mar 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $75.40 | +5.3% | −14.6% | +41.7% | +4.4% |
| 9 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $77.80 | +1.3% | −18.3% | +46.5% | −1.7% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $92.90 | −17.3% | −24.3% | +16.1% | −9.0% |
| 27 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $97.40 | −9.2% | −26.6% | +14.5% | +1.6% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $92.20 | +5.6% | −16.3% | +6.4% | +1.5% |
| 12 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $86.00 | +11.2% | −12.7% | +14.2% | +7.9% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $106.20 | −17.7% | −7.4% | −22.3% | −10.8% |
| 23 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $106.30 | −4.4% | −10.8% | −35.0% | +0.5% |
| 19 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $110.20 | −2.8% | −11.8% | −42.5% | +5.4% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $111.20 | −8.5% | −20.1% | −42.0% | −3.1% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $107.50 | +10.4% | −9.8% | −35.6% | +8.5% |
| 26 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $113.40 | +2.2% | −6.1% | −30.1% | +4.9% |
| 22 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $104.20 | +12.6% | +1.0% | −27.1% | +12.2% |
| 17 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $131.50 | −11.1% | −8.4% | −41.5% | −9.7% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $148.60 | −5.5% | −27.5% | −42.7% | +2.8% |
| 24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $92.90 | +6.8% | +25.8% | +2.0% | +7.1% |
| 17 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $78.80 | +26.1% | +68.9% | +20.7% | +14.5% |
| 12 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $64.30 | +35.9% | +122.1% | +35.3% | +2.6% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $59.80 | +3.5% | +63.9% | +62.2% | +1.5% |
| 21 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $65.50 | −6.1% | +40.3% | +76.0% | −5.2% |
| 17 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $64.70 | −2.5% | +2.0% | +62.3% | +3.6% |
| 7 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $68.20 | −5.0% | −16.6% | +73.3% | −1.0% |
| 29 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $76.80 | −10.5% | −20.3% | +50.7% | −6.9% |
| 16 Sep 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $72.90 | +1.2% | −7.8% | +90.5% | −0.7% |
| 3 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $60.70 | +20.9% | +10.5% | +82.2% | −1.3% |
| 25 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $68.20 | −8.4% | +14.5% | +35.0% | −7.0% |
| 12 Aug 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $64.90 | −3.7% | +12.0% | −1.8% | −2.5% |
| 2 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $65.10 | −1.2% | −4.0% | −5.8% | −7.5% |
| 30 Jul 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $70.50 | −17.2% | −9.6% | −12.8% | −1.8% |
| 18 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $76.60 | −7.0% | −17.9% | −12.3% | −4.3% |
| 12 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $68.60 | +10.5% | −1.9% | −4.1% | +4.7% |
| 8 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $69.10 | +7.2% | −11.0% | −0.6% | +4.9% |
| 3 Jul 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $76.00 | −5.4% | −8.9% | −3.9% | −5.1% |
| 28 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $73.00 | −1.5% | +0.1% | +6.8% | +4.9% |
| 22 Jun 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $75.60 | +1.3% | +0.7% | −2.2% | +1.1% |
| 14 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $83.10 | −5.9% | −14.0% | −14.9% | −3.9% |
| 11 Jun 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $85.30 | −6.4% | −17.9% | −19.0% | +2.9% |
| 6 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $89.50 | −2.2% | −17.3% | −32.7% | −2.9% |
| 22 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hours | Bear | $96.60 | −4.9% | −19.0% | −36.0% | −4.5% |
| 19 May 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $95.50 | −1.6% | −16.4% | −34.1% | +4.6% |
| 5 May 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $100.80 | −5.3% | −10.1% | −34.3% | −4.3% |
| 24 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $107.80 | −7.6% | −12.4% | −31.8% | −5.8% |
| 16 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $98.00 | +10.5% | −1.5% | −24.4% | +13.9% |
| 30 Mar 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 days | Bear | $134.10 | −11.6% | −24.2% | −45.6% | −20.6% |
| 19 Mar 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $119.80 | +17.0% | −15.0% | −30.8% | +2.6% |
| 14 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $131.00 | −6.2% | −19.8% | −35.4% | +2.9% |
| 5 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $110.80 | +13.8% | +7.1% | −17.4% | +10.6% |
| 20 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $107.20 | +1.3% | +14.6% | −11.8% | +0.2% |
| 17 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $106.40 | −3.4% | +20.3% | −11.0% | +6.1% |
| 11 Feb 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $102.80 | +4.5% | +22.7% | −6.3% | +3.4% |
| 28 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hours | Bear | $105.10 | −2.5% | +3.3% | +1.3% | −0.7% |
| 13 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 12 hours | Bear | $116.40 | −1.6% | −11.3% | −0.9% | −7.1% |
| 2 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $134.70 | −11.5% | −23.8% | −1.8% | −9.7% |
| 29 Dec 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $134.40 | −4.3% | −19.0% | +1.6% | +9.9% |
| 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $109.80 | +6.7% | +5.1% | +24.0% | +0.5% |
| 11 Dec 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $111.50 | −2.5% | +4.4% | +8.1% | +2.0% |
| 4 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $99.20 | +15.8% | +37.0% | +28.6% | +5.5% |
| 27 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $100.60 | +0.2% | +43.5% | +3.9% | +1.0% |
| 13 Nov 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days 16 hours | Bear | $102.90 | −1.7% | +7.5% | +0.6% | −0.5% |
| 31 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $101.60 | +2.8% | −3.4% | +4.2% | −0.5% |
| 18 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $85.30 | +14.9% | +18.4% | +36.6% | +2.1% |
| 16 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $85.20 | +11.0% | +19.5% | +41.2% | +3.1% |
| 9 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $86.80 | −1.8% | +15.9% | +37.0% | +1.3% |
| 2 Oct 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $89.10 | −1.0% | +15.8% | +65.8% | −0.2% |
| 9 Sep 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 17 days 16 hours | Bear | $98.80 | −5.7% | −10.7% | +10.9% | −10.3% |
| 28 Aug 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $101.60 | −2.7% | −14.3% | +3.0% | −2.0% |
| 31 Jul 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 18 days 20 hours | Bear | $109.00 | −6.4% | −7.1% | −4.8% | −8.3% |
| 27 Jul 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $101.70 | +2.9% | −0.3% | −3.6% | +2.8% |
| 14 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $101.50 | +1.6% | +0.4% | −15.1% | +1.5% |
| 5 Jul 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $107.40 | −4.7% | −4.7% | −17.3% | −0.8% |
| 28 Jun 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $102.60 | +4.7% | −0.9% | −14.7% | +4.7% |
| 23 Jun 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $101.40 | +4.7% | +0.6% | −11.1% | +5.2% |
| 17 Jun 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $105.10 | +0.7% | −4.7% | −12.3% | −1.8% |
| 8 Jun 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $111.20 | −11.2% | −6.7% | −10.4% | −8.2% |
| 5 Jun 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $114.50 | −10.5% | −6.2% | −12.9% | +2.2% |
| 16 May 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | $105.40 | −3.7% | −6.4% | −3.7% | −3.8% |
| 1 May 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 13 days 12 hours | Bear | $114.20 | −4.5% | +2.4% | −2.1% | −4.1% |
| 26 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $108.60 | +4.4% | −8.8% | −4.9% | +5.3% |
| 24 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $110.00 | +4.7% | −6.7% | −7.3% | +4.2% |
| 19 Apr 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $113.20 | −1.9% | −8.5% | −10.2% | +0.2% |
| 14 Apr 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $119.60 | −8.0% | −11.3% | −15.8% | +0.6% |
| 12 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $121.80 | −3.0% | −14.2% | −16.3% | +2.8% |
| 4 Apr 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $123.40 | +1.1% | −8.9% | −10.7% | −0.5% |
| 21 Mar 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $126.00 | −5.8% | −11.8% | −20.1% | −2.5% |
| 15 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $121.20 | +7.0% | +3.3% | −17.5% | +7.3% |
| 6 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $124.50 | +0.6% | −1.0% | −6.9% | −6.7% |
| 17 Feb 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 days 4 hours | Bear | $137.60 | −2.2% | −7.1% | −23.2% | −5.9% |
| 5 Feb 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hours | Bear | $139.20 | −3.7% | −9.7% | −18.0% | −1.7% |
| 30 Jan 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $143.90 | −3.5% | −12.1% | −18.2% | +2.9% |
| 19 Jan 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $131.80 | +17.8% | +6.1% | −10.3% | +6.5% |
| 6 Jan 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $110.70 | +10.7% | +28.0% | +10.2% | +3.1% |
| 28 Dec 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $112.10 | −4.1% | +33.0% | +5.9% | −1.7% |
| 16 Dec 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $117.60 | −10.8% | +11.0% | +3.3% | −9.3% |
| 12 Dec 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $117.30 | −6.6% | +4.4% | +0.2% | +2.9% |
| 4 Dec 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $125.40 | −4.2% | −13.5% | −0.5% | −2.4% |
| 28 Nov 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $115.20 | +12.2% | −0.4% | +14.4% | +2.9% |
| 20 Nov 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $111.40 | +8.7% | −5.9% | +25.6% | +0.3% |
| 7 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $156.50 | −35.0% | −21.9% | −9.5% | −23.1% |
| 2 Nov 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $158.70 | −6.0% | −23.4% | −11.2% | +4.8% |
| 27 Oct 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $168.70 | −6.2% | −29.5% | −10.5% | +0.8% |
| 18 Oct 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $193.50 | −8.6% | −40.8% | −32.1% | −0.3% |
| 13 Oct 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $147.00 | +17.3% | −22.4% | −16.7% | +6.0% |
| 3 Oct 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $129.70 | +20.4% | +25.4% | −18.7% | +10.7% |
| 19 Sep 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $101.40 | +14.6% | +81.6% | +8.1% | +6.4% |
| 13 Sep 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $100.60 | +7.3% | +52.6% | +16.6% | +5.7% |
| 1 Sep 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | $93.70 | +2.0% | +51.3% | +21.2% | +2.0% |
| 26 Aug 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $102.30 | −7.0% | +12.3% | +10.8% | −1.4% |
| 17 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $110.40 | −0.5% | −6.0% | −1.0% | +4.7% |
| 10 Aug 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $120.30 | −3.6% | −15.3% | +27.8% | +1.4% |
| 21 Jul 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $96.50 | +0.3% | +2.9% | +90.8% | −3.8% |
| 11 Jul 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $75.50 | +30.7% | +66.5% | +97.1% | +15.9% |
| 28 Jun 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $58.10 | +4.5% | +66.6% | +100.0% | −0.3% |
| 7 Jun 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $64.40 | −22.8% | −3.7% | +48.0% | −21.3% |
| 1 Jun 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $67.80 | −5.2% | −21.1% | +48.8% | +1.5% |
| 19 May 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | $64.70 | +3.9% | −28.1% | +79.3% | +5.9% |
| 5 May 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $92.40 | −30.3% | −29.7% | +11.7% | −20.7% |
| 1 May 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $92.90 | −6.2% | −20.9% | +14.6% | +6.6% |
| 20 Apr 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | $109.90 | −8.5% | −37.8% | −5.6% | −8.8% |
| 18 Apr 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $110.00 | +0.5% | −32.4% | −6.7% | +4.5% |
| 11 Apr 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $118.10 | −6.1% | −38.7% | −27.9% | −2.2% |
| 6 Apr 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $127.90 | −9.2% | −28.1% | −52.5% | −0.4% |
| 29 Mar 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $142.20 | −2.2% | −28.8% | −56.7% | +0.8% |
| 14 Mar 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $112.00 | +5.8% | +3.7% | −50.9% | +4.6% |
| 6 Mar 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $114.30 | +1.4% | +21.7% | −43.1% | +6.3% |
| 27 Feb 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $102.50 | +18.0% | +38.7% | −39.3% | +12.9% |
| 22 Feb 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $106.80 | +8.3% | +18.8% | −34.9% | +5.3% |
Showing the newest 200 of 225 bearish flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 2 Aug 2021, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
449 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.