Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Render's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin6 Aug 2024 to now
195flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
22 days 8 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Render's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−17.1%Median of 89 flips; 9 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−15.6%Median of 89 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after any day−13.9%699 days since 6 Aug 2024
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 97 of 98 | −3.3% | −6.1% to −1.6% (93%) | −4.1% to −0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 95 of 98 | −5.5% | −10.6% to −1.6% (94%) | −10.3% to −2.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 89 of 98 | −17.1% | −23.6% to −3.6% (91%) | −20.9% to −5.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 96 of 97 | −1.8% | −3.7% to −0.5% (92%) | −4.3% to −0.8% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 95 of 97 | −6.7% | −11.1% to +0.1% (94%) | −10.3% to −2.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 89 of 97 | −15.6% | −25.5% to −9.6% (91%) | −20.9% to −5.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 6 Aug 2024, for comparison | 7 | 782 days | −2.3% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 759 days | −5.9% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 699 days | −13.9% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 17 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes of the native RENDER/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 98 | 2 of 97 |
| After bearish flips | 97 | 2 of 97 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Render's 4-hour line has flipped 90.3 times a year since 6 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Render, 4-hour flips: 195 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours so far | Bull | 0.00002381 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −1.5% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002284 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | +4.2% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001794 BTC | +14.5% | not yet | not yet | +27.3% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001884 BTC | −7.4% | not yet | not yet | −4.8% |
| 5 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001857 BTC | −3.2% | not yet | not yet | +1.5% |
| 4 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001809 BTC | +0.7% | +29.6% | not yet | +2.7% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001851 BTC | +5.6% | +23.5% | not yet | −2.3% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00001877 BTC | −0.9% | +13.7% | not yet | −1.4% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002030 BTC | −8.4% | +5.1% | not yet | −7.5% |
| 17 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001971 BTC | −1.0% | −11.5% | not yet | +3.0% |
| 13 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002003 BTC | −1.3% | −10.2% | not yet | −1.6% |
| 2 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002149 BTC | −5.2% | −15.7% | not yet | −6.8% |
| 1 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002209 BTC | −8.3% | −18.3% | not yet | −2.7% |
| 27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002255 BTC | −3.4% | −15.1% | not yet | −2.0% |
| 26 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002303 BTC | −6.7% | −18.3% | not yet | −2.1% |
| 22 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002286 BTC | −2.7% | −15.8% | not yet | +0.7% |
| 21 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00002343 BTC | −5.5% | −15.7% | not yet | −2.4% |
| 28 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 22 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002562 BTC | −0.5% | −13.5% | −9.6% | −8.5% |
| 25 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002592 BTC | −3.5% | −12.4% | −17.2% | −1.2% |
| 21 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002630 BTC | −1.2% | −11.5% | −27.3% | −1.4% |
| 19 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002743 BTC | −7.2% | −16.5% | −34.6% | −4.1% |
| 15 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002675 BTC | −2.4% | −12.1% | −33.2% | +2.5% |
| 12 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002603 BTC | +2.4% | −6.9% | −28.0% | +2.8% |
| 4 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00003033 BTC | −18.7% | −15.0% | −39.4% | −14.2% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002883 BTC | −8.0% | −10.6% | −35.4% | +5.2% |
| 28 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002847 BTC | +17.9% | −8.2% | −32.8% | +1.3% |
| 23 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002542 BTC | +5.3% | +2.7% | −24.3% | +12.0% |
| 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00002486 BTC | +9.3% | +7.5% | −20.5% | +2.3% |
| 19 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002366 BTC | +19.2% | +10.9% | −15.6% | +5.1% |
| 9 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002469 BTC | −3.6% | +7.4% | −15.6% | −4.2% |
| 6 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002340 BTC | +1.2% | +26.5% | −8.4% | +5.5% |
| 5 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002266 BTC | +5.8% | +48.1% | −3.9% | +3.3% |
| 2 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002247 BTC | +13.9% | +25.7% | −2.6% | +0.8% |
| 10 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 22 days | Bear | 0.00002772 BTC | −9.9% | −10.6% | −11.0% | −18.9% |
| 8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002856 BTC | −13.4% | −14.9% | −11.6% | −2.9% |
| 5 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002757 BTC | +0.1% | −17.2% | −6.5% | +3.6% |
| 30 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002584 BTC | +6.7% | −11.6% | +0.5% | +6.7% |
| 28 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002465 BTC | +17.4% | −6.0% | +3.2% | +4.8% |
| 24 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00002474 BTC | +1.9% | −6.3% | +5.5% | −0.4% |
| 17 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002427 BTC | −1.8% | +3.9% | +12.9% | +1.9% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001997 BTC | +20.3% | +39.6% | +68.1% | +21.5% |
| 26 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002118 BTC | −8.2% | +18.6% | +42.4% | −5.7% |
| 25 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002167 BTC | −9.3% | +18.5% | +30.2% | −2.3% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00002103 BTC | 0.0% | +13.3% | +16.5% | +3.0% |
| 20 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00002224 BTC | −4.3% | +7.8% | +10.7% | −5.4% |
| 19 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00002062 BTC | +6.3% | +17.7% | +15.1% | +7.9% |
| 17 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00002175 BTC | −2.0% | +12.9% | +6.5% | −5.2% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00002072 BTC | +3.6% | +25.1% | +14.8% | +5.0% |
| 12 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00001951 BTC | +9.3% | +29.7% | +21.3% | +6.2% |
| 6 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00001949 BTC | +1.5% | +3.7% | +23.7% | +0.1% |
| 1 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00002016 BTC | −1.5% | −1.6% | +8.1% | −3.3% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002053 BTC | +0.3% | +4.6% | +11.3% | −1.8% |
| 28 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00002194 BTC | −6.9% | −3.0% | +5.4% | −6.4% |
| 25 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002129 BTC | −7.7% | +0.1% | +8.7% | +3.1% |
| 21 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002365 BTC | −11.7% | −11.6% | −0.3% | −10.0% |
| 13 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002597 BTC | −13.7% | −27.0% | +2.5% | −8.9% |
| 11 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002756 BTC | −16.0% | −29.9% | −0.2% | −5.8% |
| 8 Jan 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002365 BTC | −1.6% | −14.0% | +20.8% | +16.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001518 BTC | +61.9% | +31.4% | +67.9% | +55.8% |
| 30 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00001469 BTC | +60.2% | +49.8% | +70.0% | +3.3% |
| 27 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00001467 BTC | +14.9% | +47.5% | +75.1% | +0.1% |
| 24 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001420 BTC | +3.3% | +59.4% | +67.8% | +3.3% |
| 22 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001481 BTC | +1.5% | +45.3% | +61.9% | −4.1% |
| 21 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00001421 BTC | +6.8% | +57.7% | +70.9% | +4.2% |
| 19 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001529 BTC | −7.7% | +51.3% | +60.6% | −7.1% |
| 10 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001790 BTC | −10.8% | +32.8% | +13.7% | −14.6% |
| 9 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00001815 BTC | −10.4% | +35.4% | +12.5% | −1.4% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00001806 BTC | −3.9% | +12.3% | +7.6% | +0.5% |
| 2 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00001935 BTC | −6.6% | −24.2% | +5.1% | −6.7% |
| 27 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00001967 BTC | −4.4% | −26.1% | +7.7% | −1.6% |
| 25 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00002081 BTC | −12.9% | −30.9% | +0.6% | −5.5% |
| 21 Nov 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00002105 BTC | −6.8% | −30.7% | +1.3% | −1.1% |
| 18 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002273 BTC | −8.4% | −34.0% | −8.3% | −7.4% |
| 12 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002252 BTC | −1.4% | −22.9% | −14.3% | +0.9% |
| 10 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002449 BTC | −12.8% | −25.1% | −18.9% | −8.0% |
| 8 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002242 BTC | −1.1% | −22.1% | −11.2% | +9.2% |
| 6 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00001946 BTC | +17.5% | −7.7% | +5.0% | +15.2% |
| 2 Nov 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002045 BTC | +10.9% | −11.4% | −2.4% | −4.8% |
| 1 Nov 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002119 BTC | +11.2% | −10.6% | −2.2% | −3.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00002113 BTC | −7.9% | −6.6% | −1.1% | +0.3% |
| 29 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00002216 BTC | −17.1% | −11.5% | −3.0% | −4.6% |
| 27 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002183 BTC | −5.1% | −4.5% | +3.3% | +1.5% |
| 26 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00002256 BTC | −6.1% | −7.8% | −0.2% | −3.2% |
| 16 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00002375 BTC | −6.7% | −6.7% | +4.0% | −5.0% |
| 11 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002166 BTC | +6.4% | +6.1% | +9.7% | +9.6% |
| 4 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002953 BTC | −31.5% | −29.9% | −47.3% | −26.7% |
| 1 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00002990 BTC | −7.2% | −31.0% | −50.3% | −1.2% |
| 20 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 11 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00003383 BTC | −7.2% | −31.1% | −58.1% | −11.6% |
| 17 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003394 BTC | −5.5% | −31.2% | −52.1% | −0.3% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00003377 BTC | +1.8% | −21.7% | −49.2% | +0.5% |
| 6 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00003126 BTC | +11.1% | −9.7% | −40.5% | +8.0% |
| 29 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00003152 BTC | −3.7% | −2.3% | −36.0% | −0.8% |
| 26 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00003267 BTC | −6.7% | −1.8% | −39.5% | −3.5% |
| 25 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00003159 BTC | +0.1% | +1.5% | −35.2% | +3.4% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003374 BTC | −5.0% | −3.4% | −41.1% | −6.4% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | 0.00003201 BTC | +0.1% | +1.8% | −37.9% | +5.4% |
| 22 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003336 BTC | −2.3% | +3.1% | −33.3% | −4.0% |
| 18 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00003244 BTC | +2.0% | +2.2% | −31.1% | +2.8% |
| 17 Aug 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003386 BTC | −1.6% | −3.1% | −34.5% | −4.2% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00003300 BTC | −2.3% | +5.2% | −31.8% | +2.6% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003396 BTC | −5.1% | +1.5% | −32.3% | −2.8% |
| 10 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00003293 BTC | +1.7% | +0.6% | −28.4% | +3.1% |
| 7 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003198 BTC | +5.9% | −2.3% | −42.6% | +3.0% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00003058 BTC | +3.3% | +1.8% | −32.3% | +4.6% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003213 BTC | −1.7% | −3.1% | −35.5% | −4.8% |
| 1 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00003225 BTC | +0.2% | −0.6% | −32.7% | −0.4% |
| 31 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003375 BTC | −7.4% | −5.5% | −36.4% | −4.4% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00003534 BTC | −11.5% | −9.2% | −37.4% | −4.5% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bull | 0.00003666 BTC | −14.7% | −12.5% | −39.6% | −3.6% |
| 22 Jul 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00003671 BTC | −6.6% | −12.2% | −36.5% | −0.1% |
| 14 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003211 BTC | +15.6% | +5.1% | −33.5% | +14.3% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | 0.00002983 BTC | +15.1% | +11.1% | −10.7% | +7.6% |
| 9 Jul 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00002981 BTC | +11.6% | +8.4% | −3.3% | +0.1% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00002928 BTC | +8.0% | +3.8% | +2.4% | +1.8% |
| 3 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003032 BTC | −0.4% | +3.0% | −3.6% | −3.4% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00002950 BTC | −1.2% | +11.4% | +4.2% | +2.8% |
| 28 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bull | 0.00002985 BTC | −2.4% | +21.5% | +2.6% | −1.2% |
| 25 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00002890 BTC | +0.8% | +18.5% | +12.8% | +3.3% |
| 23 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00002850 BTC | +9.3% | +34.4% | +20.7% | +1.4% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00003193 BTC | −4.4% | +6.3% | +6.0% | −10.7% |
| 16 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003339 BTC | −16.9% | −0.4% | +4.9% | −4.4% |
| 11 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00003611 BTC | −14.8% | −12.5% | −8.3% | −7.5% |
| 7 Jun 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003672 BTC | −11.3% | −19.5% | −17.3% | −1.7% |
| 4 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00003672 BTC | +2.8% | −17.8% | −17.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 Jun 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00003813 BTC | −3.3% | −21.2% | −17.1% | −3.7% |
| 28 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004185 BTC | −12.3% | −33.5% | −26.3% | −8.9% |
| 26 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00004451 BTC | −16.5% | −32.3% | −25.2% | −6.0% |
| 24 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00004351 BTC | −15.9% | −36.2% | −27.6% | +2.3% |
| 22 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00004637 BTC | −11.0% | −36.2% | −32.4% | −6.2% |
| 13 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00004797 BTC | −9.6% | −26.0% | −30.9% | −3.3% |
| 8 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00004509 BTC | +9.2% | −20.2% | −31.4% | +6.4% |
| 6 May 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | 0.00004470 BTC | +12.5% | −19.8% | −30.0% | +0.9% |
| 5 May 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00004720 BTC | +6.0% | −22.2% | −35.6% | −5.3% |
| 4 May 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00004730 BTC | +10.3% | −21.0% | −34.0% | −0.2% |
| 29 Apr 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00004771 BTC | −3.2% | −13.5% | −24.0% | −0.9% |
| 22 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004865 BTC | −3.7% | −10.4% | −23.7% | −1.9% |
| 17 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00004620 BTC | +3.5% | −3.1% | −28.0% | +5.3% |
| 16 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004448 BTC | +8.5% | +3.3% | −29.2% | +3.9% |
| 8 Apr 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00003724 BTC | +25.0% | +16.4% | −20.6% | +19.4% |
| 2 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00004143 BTC | −11.0% | +15.7% | −27.6% | −10.1% |
| 1 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bull | 0.00004412 BTC | −15.6% | +7.5% | −29.4% | −6.1% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00004489 BTC | −11.6% | +6.0% | −35.8% | −1.7% |
| 22 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00003972 BTC | +11.3% | +28.5% | −23.6% | +13.0% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00003779 BTC | +18.8% | +31.4% | −17.9% | +5.1% |
| 11 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00003669 BTC | +4.8% | +11.5% | −0.7% | +3.0% |
| 7 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004212 BTC | −13.2% | −10.0% | −14.9% | −12.9% |
| 6 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bull | 0.00004556 BTC | −19.4% | −15.6% | −19.4% | −7.6% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00004415 BTC | −14.9% | −1.6% | −16.0% | +3.2% |
| 26 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00004190 BTC | −3.3% | +7.1% | +3.3% | +5.4% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00004293 BTC | +2.6% | −7.8% | +1.5% | −2.4% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | 0.00004522 BTC | −2.6% | −12.5% | −3.6% | −5.1% |
| 16 Feb 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00004624 BTC | −4.3% | −16.8% | −3.1% | −2.2% |
| 9 Feb 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00004508 BTC | +3.8% | −22.8% | +7.3% | +2.6% |
| 8 Feb 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | 0.00004283 BTC | +13.4% | −12.3% | +6.6% | +5.3% |
| 3 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00004917 BTC | −10.4% | −17.6% | −2.9% | −12.9% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | 0.00005440 BTC | −21.3% | −13.5% | −11.9% | −9.6% |
| 31 Jan 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00005826 BTC | −25.5% | −24.0% | −18.6% | −6.6% |
| 27 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00006399 BTC | −24.8% | −35.5% | −25.6% | −9.0% |
| 22 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00006911 BTC | −20.7% | −34.6% | −27.5% | −7.4% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00007290 BTC | −9.9% | −36.1% | −35.0% | −5.2% |
| 15 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00007536 BTC | −9.2% | −38.2% | −38.2% | −3.3% |
| 8 Jan 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | 0.00008354 BTC | −13.0% | −48.1% | −55.4% | −9.8% |
| 1 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00007483 BTC | +11.6% | −25.1% | −44.8% | +11.6% |
| 25 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00007640 BTC | −5.0% | −11.1% | −43.3% | −2.1% |
| 21 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00007644 BTC | −2.9% | −13.4% | −48.4% | −0.1% |
| 14 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00009032 BTC | −16.5% | −16.6% | −59.5% | −15.4% |
| 11 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00009790 BTC | −18.1% | −22.4% | −64.5% | −7.7% |
| 9 Dec 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | 0.00009597 BTC | −7.0% | −13.0% | −57.9% | +2.0% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.0001058 BTC | −10.2% | −22.4% | −61.7% | −9.3% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 hours | Bear | 0.00008805 BTC | +7.9% | −6.7% | −54.0% | +20.1% |
| 3 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | 0.00009587 BTC | −4.1% | −20.8% | −50.9% | −8.2% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00008679 BTC | +17.0% | −16.4% | −49.0% | +10.5% |
| 23 Nov 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00008052 BTC | +11.3% | −8.3% | −43.8% | +7.8% |
| 21 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00007798 BTC | +5.9% | −3.3% | −44.0% | +3.3% |
| 16 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bull | 0.00008170 BTC | −6.2% | +9.2% | −43.0% | −4.6% |
| 15 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | 0.00007472 BTC | +0.1% | +19.7% | −36.4% | +9.3% |
| 9 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bull | 0.00006803 BTC | +11.6% | +49.3% | −36.2% | +9.8% |
| 8 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | 0.00006458 BTC | +16.5% | +59.3% | −28.5% | +5.3% |
| 6 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00006559 BTC | +24.8% | +58.7% | −24.4% | −1.5% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | 0.00006753 BTC | −1.0% | +32.7% | −18.9% | −2.9% |
| 29 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00007139 BTC | −12.9% | +15.6% | −8.0% | −5.4% |
| 13 Oct 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 15 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00008468 BTC | −7.4% | −7.7% | −9.1% | −15.7% |
| 12 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bull | 0.00008693 BTC | −9.1% | −19.3% | −12.7% | −2.6% |
| 6 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00008563 BTC | +0.6% | −27.4% | −4.1% | +1.5% |
| 4 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | 0.00009362 BTC | −10.0% | −29.2% | −18.9% | −8.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00009785 BTC | −13.9% | −29.7% | −25.5% | −4.3% |
| 19 Sep 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 12 days 12 hours | Bull | 0.00008237 BTC | +13.9% | −4.0% | −2.6% | +18.8% |
| 11 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | 0.00008759 BTC | −9.8% | −3.8% | +4.9% | −6.0% |
| 6 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00008746 BTC | +3.2% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| 29 Aug 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | 0.00009359 BTC | −9.3% | +8.9% | −13.6% | −6.5% |
| 20 Aug 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00007758 BTC | +26.4% | +4.1% | +1.6% | +20.6% |
| 16 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | 0.00007523 BTC | +11.3% | +16.0% | +2.9% | +3.1% |
| 14 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00008127 BTC | −6.2% | +11.0% | −3.8% | −7.4% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00007731 BTC | −1.9% | +17.1% | −15.8% | +5.1% |
| 6 Aug 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bull | 0.00008563 BTC | −7.4% | −0.8% | −24.5% | −9.7% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 6 Aug 2024, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
195 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.