Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only
Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
Reserve Rights's 4-hour trend3 Sep 2020 to now
557flips
3 days 4 hourstypical run
18 days 4 hourslongest run
BullishBearish
What happened after Reserve Rights's 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
90 days after a bullish flip−15.0%Median of 265 flips; 13 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−16.5%Median of 265 flips; 14 are too recent
90 days after any day−11.9%2,132 days since 3 Sep 2020
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 277 of 278 | −1.4% | −3.3% to +0.6% (91%) | −3.3% to +0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 274 of 278 | −5.5% | −9.6% to +0.2% (92%) | −8.5% to −0.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 265 of 278 | −15.0% | −22.1% to −9.5% (91%) | −20.3% to −2.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 277 of 279 | −2.5% | −3.8% to −0.8% (91%) | −3.3% to +0.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 274 of 279 | −5.7% | −9.9% to 0.0% (92%) | −8.5% to −0.2% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 265 of 279 | −16.5% | −22.1% to −9.1% (91%) | −20.3% to −2.6% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 3 Sep 2020, for comparison | 7 | 2,215 days | −1.4% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,192 days | −3.7% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,132 days | −11.9% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 27 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 278 | 9 of 278 |
| After bearish flips | 279 | 10 of 279 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Reserve Rights's 4-hour line has flipped 91.6 times a year since 3 Sep 2020, 12:00 UTC.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Reserve Rights, 4-hour flips: 279 bearish flips of 557
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours so far | Bear | $0.001646 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +3.0% so far |
| 28 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001702 | not yet | not yet | not yet | +1.7% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.001634 | +2.3% | not yet | not yet | +9.4% |
| 14 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001463 | +13.3% | not yet | not yet | +0.7% |
| 10 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001395 | −1.7% | not yet | not yet | +8.5% |
| 2 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.001319 | +7.7% | +27.4% | not yet | +6.6% |
| 30 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.001387 | +3.0% | +19.0% | not yet | +0.7% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.001429 | +2.0% | +16.0% | not yet | +5.1% |
| 10 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001234 | −9.3% | +15.2% | not yet | −6.0% |
| 3 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001244 | −0.8% | +8.4% | not yet | +1.1% |
| 28 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.001217 | +3.7% | +24.3% | not yet | +3.9% |
| 22 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001248 | −0.6% | +8.4% | not yet | +1.6% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001215 | −0.3% | +1.2% | not yet | +2.1% |
| 8 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.001200 | +3.4% | +2.3% | not yet | +7.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 14 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001370 | −7.7% | −11.8% | +4.9% | −17.5% |
| 10 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001324 | +7.7% | −4.4% | +7.1% | +6.1% |
| 1 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001585 | −10.3% | −32.6% | −11.4% | −10.3% |
| 28 May 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.001566 | −4.4% | −24.2% | −8.6% | +9.3% |
| 12 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 15 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002000 | −11.6% | −34.1% | −38.3% | −16.0% |
| 10 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.002037 | −10.4% | −31.7% | −40.4% | +7.3% |
| 27 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days | Bear | $0.001814 | +0.7% | −11.1% | −32.8% | −1.9% |
| 25 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.001729 | −3.2% | −5.1% | −27.8% | +4.7% |
| 18 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.001651 | +8.2% | +6.7% | −26.8% | +10.3% |
| 12 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.001458 | +14.8% | +40.3% | −12.1% | +7.6% |
| 7 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.001439 | +9.0% | +39.7% | −15.4% | +8.1% |
| 2 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.001494 | −2.4% | +12.0% | −28.5% | −0.8% |
| 27 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001695 | −14.0% | +2.5% | −26.1% | −4.4% |
| 18 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001712 | −5.6% | −1.4% | −13.6% | −5.6% |
| 6 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.001510 | +12.3% | −3.6% | −0.9% | +10.8% |
| 27 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.001482 | +5.3% | +5.0% | +11.0% | −0.1% |
| 22 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001450 | +2.1% | +8.8% | +15.4% | −0.7% |
| 15 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001578 | −6.0% | +16.5% | +19.3% | −3.6% |
| 10 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.001576 | +0.8% | +2.2% | +33.5% | 0.0% |
| 5 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.001775 | −13.2% | −10.4% | +9.8% | −3.2% |
| 29 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002237 | −19.4% | −34.0% | −20.7% | −11.6% |
| 25 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.002150 | −13.1% | −36.2% | −16.9% | +7.7% |
| 19 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002528 | −12.7% | −38.6% | −33.8% | −3.9% |
| 15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002774 | −15.5% | −40.7% | −45.9% | −0.4% |
| 7 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.002876 | +3.8% | −46.6% | −48.8% | −3.9% |
| 28 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.002593 | +5.9% | −10.1% | −36.8% | +1.9% |
| 23 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.002455 | +2.1% | −4.6% | −37.7% | +11.4% |
| 14 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.003002 | −11.7% | −11.9% | −43.0% | −11.7% |
| 10 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.003206 | −16.0% | −13.3% | −50.0% | −2.1% |
| 5 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.003343 | −4.8% | −17.9% | −51.8% | +0.3% |
| 29 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.003317 | −2.7% | −21.3% | −54.8% | +2.8% |
| 11 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 13 days | Bear | $0.004408 | −17.4% | −29.4% | −62.7% | −19.3% |
| 3 Nov 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.005015 | −6.1% | −32.8% | −62.7% | −4.3% |
| 30 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.005126 | −13.3% | −33.8% | −53.8% | +6.8% |
| 28 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.005437 | −12.4% | −35.9% | −59.4% | +1.0% |
| 22 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.005742 | −9.2% | −39.8% | −57.3% | +1.3% |
| 17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.005765 | −4.6% | −32.6% | −50.3% | +7.8% |
| 5 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.006284 | −24.1% | −24.2% | −56.6% | −14.0% |
| 19 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days | Bear | $0.007432 | −25.7% | −17.4% | −65.8% | −20.2% |
| 14 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.007763 | −5.2% | −20.0% | −60.2% | +0.2% |
| 10 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.007591 | −1.6% | −22.6% | −57.1% | +5.5% |
| 4 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.007218 | +8.3% | −7.2% | −53.3% | +5.2% |
| 24 Aug 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.008322 | −10.0% | −25.2% | −60.2% | −10.4% |
| 14 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.009084 | −6.4% | −10.5% | −52.7% | −4.6% |
| 12 Aug 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hours | Bear | $0.009055 | −4.3% | −13.7% | −48.0% | +7.4% |
| 5 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.007268 | +24.6% | +5.4% | −24.4% | +6.7% |
| 28 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.008640 | −12.4% | −7.6% | −36.4% | −11.2% |
| 23 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.009084 | −6.2% | −12.6% | −35.0% | −0.3% |
| 15 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.007669 | +23.8% | +26.2% | −32.0% | +8.6% |
| 12 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.007513 | +21.6% | +23.6% | −21.8% | +10.6% |
| 4 Jul 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.006821 | +19.5% | +5.2% | +1.6% | +5.3% |
| 1 Jul 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.006639 | +5.8% | +23.1% | −14.1% | +5.1% |
| 26 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.006311 | +11.3% | +36.8% | −4.7% | +9.6% |
| 17 Jun 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.006479 | +0.2% | +34.4% | +18.7% | −10.4% |
| 12 Jun 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.007014 | −7.8% | +12.9% | +9.2% | −2.5% |
| 4 Jun 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.006956 | +7.8% | +4.5% | +2.5% | +0.6% |
| 23 May 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 11 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.009090 | −14.1% | −36.0% | −6.4% | −17.7% |
| 12 May 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.009775 | −9.9% | −23.3% | −9.1% | −3.2% |
| 4 May 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.008780 | +20.9% | −17.8% | −15.0% | +0.4% |
| 30 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $0.008687 | −4.1% | −10.1% | −3.5% | +8.7% |
| 24 Apr 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.008218 | +9.9% | +4.9% | +19.6% | +9.7% |
| 15 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.007069 | +18.4% | +36.5% | +12.0% | +5.7% |
| 6 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.006504 | +19.9% | +33.6% | +5.3% | +12.2% |
| 28 Mar 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.007089 | −5.9% | +31.5% | −9.1% | −2.7% |
| 21 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.005521 | +39.3% | +33.3% | +17.1% | +14.2% |
| 16 Mar 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.005515 | +14.7% | +31.9% | +16.6% | +6.0% |
| 3 Mar 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.007484 | −29.8% | −12.9% | −4.1% | −28.6% |
| 21 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.008345 | −9.7% | −24.2% | +8.1% | −9.8% |
| 15 Feb 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.008571 | −0.8% | −36.0% | +3.9% | −0.9% |
| 11 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.008570 | −2.5% | −35.5% | +17.2% | +7.1% |
| 1 Feb 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.01215 | −31.6% | −32.2% | −24.1% | −23.5% |
| 27 Jan 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.01208 | −19.9% | −36.5% | −22.9% | +9.5% |
| 18 Jan 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.01455 | −15.0% | −43.1% | −51.4% | −7.1% |
| 7 Jan 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.01523 | −18.6% | −42.2% | −58.4% | −13.3% |
| 30 Dec 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.01329 | +25.6% | −7.6% | −52.0% | +9.4% |
| 15 Dec 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.01339 | −18.9% | −7.4% | −58.7% | −10.1% |
| 5 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.01832 | −19.6% | −6.8% | −63.9% | −17.2% |
| 2 Dec 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.009332 | +91.2% | +41.4% | −21.0% | +32.1% |
| 24 Nov 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.008149 | +20.8% | +48.4% | +4.3% | +10.5% |
| 20 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.007546 | +7.7% | +40.0% | +10.7% | +5.2% |
| 12 Nov 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.007276 | +13.1% | +102.5% | +19.3% | +1.9% |
| 31 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.006126 | +9.2% | +57.5% | +100.5% | +2.7% |
| 23 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.006574 | +1.7% | +17.0% | +105.8% | −2.6% |
| 21 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.006893 | −10.9% | +13.4% | +113.2% | +2.0% |
| 16 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.006802 | +5.4% | −2.2% | +82.3% | +6.2% |
| 13 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.006345 | +9.3% | +31.2% | +108.2% | +6.5% |
| 8 Oct 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.006800 | +4.4% | −1.7% | +145.5% | −0.4% |
| 29 Sep 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.007017 | −8.9% | −11.3% | +98.5% | −4.9% |
| 16 Sep 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.005822 | +15.9% | +22.9% | +137.9% | +4.7% |
| 26 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 12 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.005959 | −16.0% | +17.3% | +46.0% | −17.2% |
| 11 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bear | $0.003747 | +24.6% | +50.3% | +100.3% | +5.3% |
| 28 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | $0.005018 | −19.2% | +16.8% | +22.1% | −24.4% |
| 23 Jul 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.005404 | −7.8% | +6.9% | +35.6% | −2.7% |
| 18 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.005478 | −4.6% | −24.5% | +30.6% | +8.2% |
| 11 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.004359 | +29.6% | −10.3% | +52.6% | +10.0% |
| 2 Jul 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.005476 | −19.3% | −12.9% | +34.1% | −17.5% |
| 27 Jun 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.005555 | −8.1% | −5.2% | +25.8% | −0.2% |
| 23 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.005474 | −2.4% | +1.4% | +28.7% | +3.6% |
| 14 Jun 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $0.006800 | −16.3% | −32.2% | −19.3% | −15.9% |
| 11 Jun 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.006646 | −13.5% | −31.1% | −22.1% | +15.4% |
| 6 Jun 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.008121 | −5.7% | −47.5% | −39.3% | −10.5% |
| 3 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.008067 | −13.9% | −32.1% | −35.3% | +7.1% |
| 27 May 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.008098 | −0.4% | −27.4% | −19.4% | +5.5% |
| 22 May 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.008544 | −4.5% | −33.4% | −42.6% | +2.2% |
| 8 May 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.006503 | −11.0% | +24.6% | −47.0% | −2.7% |
| 25 Apr 2024, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.006365 | −13.7% | +43.8% | −16.5% | −10.8% |
| 9 Apr 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.009545 | −39.3% | −33.1% | −55.0% | −33.0% |
| 2 Apr 2024, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.009966 | +2.0% | −44.9% | −42.9% | +3.2% |
| 29 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.01025 | −4.1% | −40.2% | −45.0% | +9.3% |
| 22 Mar 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.007752 | +38.9% | −14.1% | −26.9% | +10.4% |
| 14 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.006773 | −11.8% | −1.1% | −0.3% | −15.1% |
| 8 Mar 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.005584 | +24.7% | +75.9% | +54.5% | +7.3% |
| 5 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.004000 | +48.4% | +127.5% | +101.7% | +16.2% |
| 20 Feb 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.002735 | +35.1% | +118.3% | +201.9% | +8.8% |
| 12 Feb 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 8 hours | Bear | $0.002353 | +21.9% | +163.8% | +158.5% | +5.1% |
| 31 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002240 | −1.3% | +84.4% | +163.5% | −1.2% |
| 22 Jan 2024, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days | Bear | $0.002362 | −2.8% | +18.2% | +181.9% | −0.8% |
| 13 Jan 2024, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002577 | −7.0% | −7.6% | +236.1% | −4.0% |
| 9 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hours | Bear | $0.002443 | +5.9% | −4.5% | +293.3% | +9.7% |
| 3 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002883 | −14.7% | −24.4% | +302.8% | −7.5% |
| 27 Dec 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.003276 | +4.0% | −31.3% | +226.3% | +3.4% |
| 18 Dec 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002713 | +14.5% | −3.1% | +121.9% | +1.8% |
| 10 Dec 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002948 | +0.9% | −9.9% | +95.5% | −2.6% |
| 27 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.002456 | +14.9% | +38.8% | +29.3% | +6.4% |
| 17 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002468 | −2.6% | +20.6% | +4.4% | −2.0% |
| 13 Nov 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002641 | −6.7% | +4.9% | −7.4% | +2.4% |
| 7 Nov 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.002372 | +6.7% | +21.5% | −9.9% | +8.6% |
| 31 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.002005 | +27.9% | +33.7% | +14.5% | +7.6% |
| 17 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001774 | +7.6% | +47.5% | +42.9% | +0.6% |
| 9 Oct 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001734 | +6.1% | +39.7% | +52.5% | +1.3% |
| 2 Oct 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.001892 | −4.8% | +8.1% | +67.5% | −4.3% |
| 1 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hours | Bear | $0.001858 | −3.9% | +16.3% | +75.9% | +4.8% |
| 17 Sep 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.001897 | −0.8% | −2.6% | +48.0% | −2.7% |
| 10 Sep 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.001781 | +11.5% | −4.3% | +73.4% | −0.7% |
| 31 Aug 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001782 | −0.6% | +6.8% | +50.1% | +0.4% |
| 26 Aug 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001761 | −3.5% | +3.6% | +36.5% | +6.2% |
| 17 Aug 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.001986 | −5.7% | +1.7% | +25.2% | −7.4% |
| 15 Aug 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.002123 | −14.0% | −13.1% | +29.0% | +1.8% |
| 30 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.001947 | −0.3% | −5.9% | +4.5% | −0.1% |
| 18 Jul 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 10 days | Bear | $0.002158 | −9.1% | −6.0% | −14.7% | −7.0% |
| 14 Jul 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002173 | −2.8% | 0.0% | −21.2% | +9.4% |
| 5 Jul 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 5 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002325 | −11.9% | −18.1% | −20.4% | −9.4% |
| 27 Jun 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.002280 | +10.4% | −15.1% | −20.0% | +3.0% |
| 15 Jun 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.001907 | +20.7% | +18.5% | −8.4% | +7.9% |
| 3 Jun 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 11 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.002780 | −14.5% | −10.0% | −37.4% | −27.6% |
| 31 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.002918 | −16.2% | −22.8% | −37.2% | +0.6% |
| 24 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.002901 | +3.2% | −21.9% | −37.1% | +2.0% |
| 19 May 2023, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.002976 | −3.7% | −29.3% | −31.8% | +1.6% |
| 6 May 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $0.003471 | −17.6% | −20.8% | −45.1% | −15.8% |
| 26 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.003736 | −2.5% | −23.3% | −47.5% | −1.6% |
| 17 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.004511 | −14.9% | −32.7% | −49.3% | −13.0% |
| 12 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.004192 | +13.0% | −30.4% | −50.7% | +7.8% |
| 7 Apr 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.004352 | +5.9% | −19.9% | −47.4% | +1.2% |
| 2 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.004178 | +2.0% | −13.0% | −42.0% | +5.6% |
| 25 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.003773 | +6.7% | +1.7% | −39.9% | +4.1% |
| 20 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.003989 | −2.2% | +18.8% | −47.3% | +4.2% |
| 15 Mar 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.003869 | +5.0% | +19.1% | −49.4% | +7.3% |
| 3 Mar 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.004606 | −21.6% | −5.6% | −38.3% | −16.4% |
| 24 Feb 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.005242 | −3.8% | −27.2% | −45.0% | +0.1% |
| 22 Feb 2023, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.005289 | −5.7% | −21.4% | −44.5% | +3.9% |
| 9 Feb 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.004298 | +2.9% | −15.0% | −29.1% | −4.3% |
| 5 Feb 2023, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bear | $0.004135 | −2.4% | +4.4% | −9.2% | +10.3% |
| 30 Jan 2023, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.004275 | −2.8% | +16.7% | −9.7% | +0.3% |
| 25 Jan 2023, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $0.004215 | +0.5% | +32.0% | −8.9% | +8.1% |
| 18 Jan 2023, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $0.003664 | +19.2% | +18.1% | +27.4% | +5.1% |
| 15 Dec 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.003905 | −18.9% | −5.9% | +8.7% | −26.9% |
| 12 Dec 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hours | Bear | $0.003980 | −18.7% | −14.3% | −10.9% | +1.5% |
| 7 Dec 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.004000 | +2.2% | −22.7% | +8.0% | +4.0% |
| 3 Dec 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.004080 | +0.7% | −29.7% | +23.7% | +3.7% |
| 28 Nov 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.003950 | +4.1% | −25.1% | +25.8% | +9.4% |
| 20 Nov 2022, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.004020 | −1.5% | −22.2% | +24.9% | −2.5% |
| 7 Nov 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.006780 | −39.7% | −38.1% | −36.8% | −35.1% |
| 2 Nov 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hours | Bear | $0.006120 | −20.1% | −32.2% | −32.5% | +11.8% |
| 28 Oct 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day | Bear | $0.006020 | +13.6% | −34.2% | −28.1% | +7.6% |
| 18 Oct 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 days | Bear | $0.006530 | −12.7% | −36.4% | −39.6% | −4.7% |
| 5 Oct 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.008980 | −24.4% | −23.8% | −67.3% | −21.5% |
| 13 Sep 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.005890 | −7.5% | +9.8% | −32.4% | −4.8% |
| 6 Sep 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $0.005870 | +8.9% | +55.2% | −30.0% | +5.3% |
| 26 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.005870 | +8.9% | +37.3% | −32.0% | +3.6% |
| 14 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTCLasted 9 days | Bear | $0.007750 | −23.2% | −17.5% | −44.9% | −19.9% |
| 31 Jul 2022, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.006810 | +4.7% | −8.2% | −7.5% | +3.8% |
| 21 Jul 2022, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hours | Bear | $0.006550 | −5.2% | −6.1% | +0.3% | −7.6% |
| 10 Jul 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $0.006910 | −0.9% | +12.2% | +24.0% | −9.7% |
| 26 Jun 2022, 20:00 UTCLasted 11 days | Bear | $0.008070 | −8.7% | −29.5% | −4.5% | −5.8% |
| 12 Jun 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 12 hours | Bear | $0.007000 | −12.0% | −15.9% | −10.3% | +7.9% |
| 8 Jun 2022, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hours | Bear | $0.008990 | −30.7% | −16.9% | −28.4% | +4.3% |
Showing the newest 200 of 279 bearish flips.
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 3 Sep 2020, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
557 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.