Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Sei's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 25 of 25 | −0.6% | −4.8% to +8.0% (96%) | −6.5% to +1.3% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 24 of 25 | −10.8% | −17.4% to +5.7% (94%) | −17.3% to −0.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 23 of 25 | −25.5% | −40.3% to −3.5% (91%) | −38.6% to −1.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 25 of 25 | −2.1% | −5.3% to +2.4% (96%) | −6.5% to +1.3% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 24 of 25 | −14.0% | −21.6% to −2.8% (94%) | −17.3% to −0.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 24 of 25 | −30.1% | −42.1% to −11.2% (94%) | −39.2% to −4.7% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 28 Sep 2023, for comparison | 7 | 1,095 days | −3.0% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,072 days | −10.0% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,012 days | −29.5% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest three flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 25 | 0 of 25 |
| After bearish flips | 25 | 3 of 25 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Sei's daily line has flipped 16.6 times a year since 28 Sep 2023.
Sei, daily flips: 50 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026Lasted 13 days so far | Bull | 0.0000006576 BTC | +42.3% | not yet | not yet | +28.6% so far |
| 14 Sep 2026Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.0000005707 BTC | +20.0% | not yet | not yet | +15.2% |
| 1 Sep 2026Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.0000006056 BTC | +4.2% | +37.1% | not yet | −5.8% |
| 27 Jun 2026Lasted 66 days | Bear | 0.0000008393 BTC | −5.3% | −21.4% | +6.0% | −27.8% |
| 18 Jun 2026Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0000008800 BTC | +8.9% | −17.9% | −35.7% | −4.6% |
| 4 Jun 2026Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.0000008171 BTC | −4.7% | −2.8% | −22.3% | +7.7% |
| 26 May 2026Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0000008679 BTC | +8.0% | +10.4% | −31.4% | −5.9% |
| 14 May 2026Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.0000008281 BTC | −1.3% | +2.1% | −23.8% | +4.8% |
| 8 May 2026Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.0000008159 BTC | −1.5% | −4.0% | −21.3% | +1.5% |
| 4 May 2026Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.0000007328 BTC | +26.9% | +26.5% | −11.2% | +11.3% |
| 3 Apr 2026Lasted 31 days | Bull | 0.0000008124 BTC | −4.8% | −8.1% | −3.5% | −9.8% |
| 22 Feb 2026Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.000001019 BTC | +2.4% | −15.4% | −21.1% | −20.2% |
| 12 Feb 2026Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000001130 BTC | −7.0% | −17.4% | −25.5% | −9.9% |
| 14 Jan 2026Lasted 29 days | Bear | 0.000001280 BTC | −6.3% | −14.0% | −42.6% | −11.7% |
| 2 Jan 2026Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.000001355 BTC | −1.2% | −19.1% | −43.4% | −5.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.000001368 BTC | −6.7% | −6.4% | −31.9% | −1.0% |
| 10 Dec 2025Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.000001579 BTC | −17.0% | −15.3% | −42.3% | −13.4% |
| 22 Sep 2025Lasted 79 days | Bear | 0.000002575 BTC | −4.5% | −33.8% | −51.5% | −38.7% |
| 9 Aug 2025Lasted 44 days | Bull | 0.000002822 BTC | −2.1% | −1.7% | −38.1% | −8.8% |
| 31 Jul 2025Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.000002534 BTC | +3.8% | +4.2% | −28.7% | +11.4% |
| 19 Jun 2025Lasted 42 days | Bull | 0.000001850 BTC | +29.5% | +61.4% | +53.9% | +37.0% |
| 16 May 2025Lasted 34 days | Bear | 0.000002218 BTC | −4.7% | −24.6% | +24.3% | −16.6% |
| 9 May 2025Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000002373 BTC | −6.5% | −24.7% | +10.8% | −6.5% |
| 6 May 2025Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000002041 BTC | +23.6% | −13.3% | +30.1% | +16.3% |
| 12 Apr 2025Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.000002149 BTC | −4.9% | +18.0% | +31.0% | −5.1% |
| 3 Mar 2025Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.000002648 BTC | −12.7% | −24.8% | −30.1% | −18.8% |
| 20 Feb 2025Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.000002703 BTC | +12.5% | −15.0% | −22.3% | −2.0% |
| 9 Dec 2024Lasted 73 days | Bear | 0.000005816 BTC | −8.5% | −28.5% | −57.1% | −53.5% |
| 24 Nov 2024Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.000006765 BTC | −0.6% | −29.6% | −57.3% | −14.0% |
| 20 Nov 2024Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.000004886 BTC | +43.9% | −7.7% | −52.6% | +38.5% |
| 16 Nov 2024Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000005991 BTC | −8.5% | −11.2% | −58.5% | −18.4% |
| 13 Nov 2024Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000004993 BTC | −2.1% | +18.8% | −52.4% | +20.0% |
| 9 Nov 2024Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000005874 BTC | +2.0% | −1.0% | −61.7% | −15.0% |
| 16 Oct 2024Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.000006576 BTC | −0.6% | −23.1% | −40.6% | −10.7% |
| 19 Sep 2024Lasted 27 days | Bull | 0.000005330 BTC | +34.7% | +19.4% | −11.3% | +23.4% |
| 1 Sep 2024Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.000004649 BTC | +10.2% | +54.5% | +48.4% | +14.6% |
| 10 Aug 2024Lasted 22 days | Bull | 0.000004903 BTC | −7.3% | +5.7% | +11.7% | −5.2% |
| 28 Jul 2024Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.000005156 BTC | −16.6% | +2.7% | +9.2% | −4.9% |
| 9 Jul 2024Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.000005748 BTC | −3.5% | −17.8% | +19.2% | −10.3% |
| 11 May 2024Lasted 59 days | Bear | 0.000008214 BTC | −0.1% | −15.6% | −42.1% | −30.0% |
| 22 Apr 2024Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.000009687 BTC | +2.7% | −18.7% | −40.3% | −15.2% |
| 31 Mar 2024Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.00001155 BTC | −8.5% | −22.6% | −52.7% | −16.1% |
| 15 Mar 2024Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.00001516 BTC | −17.8% | −45.2% | −56.3% | −23.8% |
| 23 Feb 2024Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.00001551 BTC | −11.2% | −21.6% | −50.3% | −2.2% |
| 14 Feb 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00001700 BTC | −0.6% | −10.8% | −56.5% | −8.8% |
| 2 Feb 2024Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.00001468 BTC | +1.5% | −11.6% | −37.7% | +15.8% |
| 18 Dec 2023Lasted 46 days | Bull | 0.000006904 BTC | +30.6% | +181.4% | +91.6% | +112.7% |
| 15 Dec 2023Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.000005544 BTC | +45.8% | +199.5% | +118.5% | +24.5% |
| 6 Nov 2023Lasted 39 days | Bull | 0.000003592 BTC | +11.9% | +74.9% | +289.1% | +54.3% |
| 28 Sep 2023Lasted 39 days | Bear | 0.000004400 BTC | −3.7% | −26.6% | +129.9% | −18.4% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 28 Sep 2023, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
50 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.