Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Sui's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 28 of 28 | −2.8% | −6.3% to +9.5% (91%) | −5.6% to +1.7% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 26 of 28 | −1.9% | −19.9% to +11.1% (92%) | −13.1% to +3.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 25 of 28 | −12.4% | −28.0% to +20.5% (96%) | −25.0% to +5.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 27 of 27 | −2.2% | −4.5% to +3.1% (95%) | −5.3% to +2.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 26 of 27 | −5.9% | −11.5% to +19.2% (92%) | −13.1% to +3.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 24 of 27 | −13.9% | −26.8% to +2.2% (94%) | −26.6% to +3.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 18 Jul 2023, for comparison | 7 | 1,167 days | −1.9% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 1,144 days | −5.6% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 1,084 days | −11.9% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest six flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are daily closes of the native SUI/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 28 | 2 of 28 |
| After bearish flips | 27 | 1 of 27 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Sui's daily line has flipped 17.1 times a year since 18 Jul 2023.
Sui, daily flips: 55 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026Lasted 15 days so far | Bull | 0.00001006 BTC | +41.3% | not yet | not yet | +38.9% so far |
| 11 Sep 2026Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.000009400 BTC | +7.0% | not yet | not yet | +7.0% |
| 7 Sep 2026Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00001035 BTC | −10.9% | not yet | not yet | −9.2% |
| 25 Aug 2026Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.000009640 BTC | −3.3% | +24.4% | not yet | +7.4% |
| 23 Aug 2026Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00001096 BTC | −16.4% | +8.1% | not yet | −12.0% |
| 9 Jul 2026Lasted 45 days | Bear | 0.00001134 BTC | +2.1% | −5.9% | not yet | −3.4% |
| 3 Jul 2026Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00001231 BTC | −6.4% | −11.9% | +12.7% | −7.9% |
| 15 May 2026Lasted 49 days | Bear | 0.00001391 BTC | −0.2% | −12.2% | −21.9% | −11.5% |
| 8 May 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.00001275 BTC | +9.1% | −6.1% | −18.0% | +9.1% |
| 27 Mar 2026Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.00001326 BTC | −1.5% | −9.2% | −13.8% | −3.8% |
| 16 Mar 2026Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.00001435 BTC | −6.3% | −10.7% | −14.9% | −7.6% |
| 15 Jan 2026Lasted 60 days | Bear | 0.00001864 BTC | −10.4% | −20.9% | −31.2% | −23.0% |
| 2 Jan 2026Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.00001787 BTC | +11.8% | −19.9% | −28.0% | +4.3% |
| 18 Dec 2025Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.00001575 BTC | −0.8% | +19.2% | −12.0% | +13.5% |
| 3 Dec 2025Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.00001809 BTC | −2.8% | −1.2% | −26.4% | −12.9% |
| 3 Nov 2025Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.00001941 BTC | +5.2% | −6.8% | −26.3% | −6.8% |
| 12 Oct 2025Lasted 22 days | Bull | 0.00002444 BTC | −2.8% | −20.3% | −18.8% | −20.6% |
| 15 Sep 2025Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.00003052 BTC | −2.2% | −20.7% | −42.3% | −19.9% |
| 13 Sep 2025Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.00003290 BTC | −3.9% | −21.1% | −47.5% | −7.2% |
| 31 Jul 2025Lasted 44 days | Bear | 0.00003122 BTC | +3.3% | −2.7% | −26.8% | +5.4% |
| 10 Jul 2025Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.00003011 BTC | +11.7% | +11.1% | −4.8% | +3.7% |
| 23 May 2025Lasted 48 days | Bear | 0.00003338 BTC | −8.1% | −27.3% | −9.1% | −9.8% |
| 22 Apr 2025Lasted 31 days | Bull | 0.00002850 BTC | +31.5% | +22.1% | +18.4% | +17.1% |
| 31 Mar 2025Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.00002747 BTC | −7.2% | +35.6% | −2.5% | +3.7% |
| 26 Mar 2025Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00003013 BTC | −7.2% | +23.4% | −12.4% | −8.8% |
| 19 Jan 2025Lasted 66 days | Bear | 0.00004448 BTC | −15.2% | −27.9% | −43.1% | −32.3% |
| 5 Dec 2024Lasted 45 days | Bull | 0.00004362 BTC | +5.9% | +23.5% | −33.4% | +2.0% |
| 25 Nov 2024Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.00003433 BTC | +3.1% | +31.7% | +2.2% | +27.1% |
| 6 Nov 2024Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.00003050 BTC | +19.9% | +38.6% | +20.5% | +12.6% |
| 17 Oct 2024Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.00003003 BTC | −5.4% | +38.2% | +60.4% | +1.6% |
| 6 Sep 2024Lasted 41 days | Bull | 0.00001552 BTC | +9.5% | +88.9% | +181.1% | +93.5% |
| 16 Aug 2024Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.00001379 BTC | +14.9% | +32.3% | +178.4% | +12.5% |
| 7 Aug 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00001118 BTC | +42.4% | +38.8% | +159.0% | +23.3% |
| 24 Jul 2024Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.00001179 BTC | −7.1% | +34.4% | +143.7% | −5.2% |
| 11 Jul 2024Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.00001319 BTC | −3.9% | +14.4% | +134.4% | −10.6% |
| 4 Jul 2024Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.00001180 BTC | +11.8% | −14.7% | +159.3% | +11.8% |
| 24 Jun 2024Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00001484 BTC | −13.3% | −20.6% | +68.0% | −20.5% |
| 4 May 2024Lasted 51 days | Bear | 0.00001708 BTC | −4.5% | −11.5% | −39.2% | −13.1% |
| 20 Apr 2024Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.00002198 BTC | −13.2% | −26.8% | −41.7% | −22.3% |
| 5 Apr 2024Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.00002370 BTC | −22.1% | −27.8% | −50.2% | −7.3% |
| 19 Mar 2024Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.00002658 BTC | +1.5% | −25.6% | −49.6% | −10.8% |
| 26 Feb 2024Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.00003066 BTC | −29.0% | −2.5% | −50.5% | −13.3% |
| 24 Jan 2024Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.00003224 BTC | +10.6% | −1.9% | −38.1% | −4.9% |
| 21 Jan 2024Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.00002552 BTC | +24.3% | +28.7% | −13.9% | +26.3% |
| 23 Dec 2023Lasted 29 days | Bull | 0.00001724 BTC | +11.2% | +57.3% | +57.5% | +48.0% |
| 6 Dec 2023Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.00001418 BTC | +7.5% | +43.6% | +54.6% | +21.6% |
| 25 Nov 2023Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.00001735 BTC | −8.6% | +8.1% | +82.2% | −18.3% |
| 21 Nov 2023Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00001406 BTC | +16.3% | +11.5% | +143.7% | +23.4% |
| 4 Nov 2023Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.00001444 BTC | +10.4% | +3.7% | +134.3% | −2.6% |
| 4 Oct 2023Lasted 31 days | Bear | 0.00001591 BTC | −4.0% | −17.6% | +26.5% | −9.2% |
| 29 Sep 2023Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00001780 BTC | −10.9% | −26.3% | +5.1% | −10.6% |
| 30 Aug 2023Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.00001925 BTC | −2.9% | −7.5% | −15.1% | −7.5% |
| 19 Aug 2023Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.00002143 BTC | +5.4% | −21.9% | −29.4% | −10.2% |
| 26 Jul 2023Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.00002165 BTC | −2.9% | −1.3% | −40.9% | −1.0% |
| 18 Jul 2023Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00002466 BTC | −11.6% | −27.7% | −41.6% | −12.2% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 18 Jul 2023, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
55 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.