Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Gram (prev. Toncoin)'s 4-hour flips
After bullish flips the median price was lower 30 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 11 of 11 | −3.5% | −7.7% to +1.0% (93%) | −5.2% to +4.8% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 8 of 11 | −7.8% | −12.6% to −0.1% (93%) | too little history | – | |
| 90 | 0 of 11 | not yet | – | too little history | – | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 11 of 12 | −3.5% | −4.5% to +5.0% (93%) | −5.2% to +4.8% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 9 of 12 | −3.5% | −15.7% to +2.6% (96%) | too little history | – | |
| 90 | 0 of 12 | not yet | – | too little history | – | |
| Any day since 7 Jul 2026, for comparison | 7 | 82 days | −1.4% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 59 days | too little history | – | – | – | |
| 90 | – | too little history | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest 23 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (12 hours) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 11 | 0 of 11 |
| After bearish flips | 12 | 0 of 12 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.
On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.
Gram (prev. Toncoin), 4-hour flips: 23 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hours so far | Bear | $1.55 | not yet | not yet | not yet | −2.4% so far |
| 26 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.48 | +1.0% | not yet | not yet | +4.6% |
| 23 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days | Bear | $1.40 | +5.5% | not yet | not yet | +5.7% |
| 17 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | $1.35 | +5.0% | not yet | not yet | +4.3% |
| 9 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 days | Bear | $1.38 | −4.1% | not yet | not yet | −2.5% |
| 4 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 5 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.38 | −2.3% | not yet | not yet | +0.4% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.32 | +5.0% | +13.2% | not yet | +3.8% |
| 1 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hours | Bull | $1.39 | +0.3% | +8.1% | not yet | −4.5% |
| 22 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 9 days 12 hours | Bear | $1.43 | −4.5% | −3.4% | not yet | −3.3% |
| 19 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hours | Bull | $1.34 | +7.1% | −0.1% | not yet | +6.7% |
| 18 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bear | $1.31 | +11.7% | +0.5% | not yet | +2.6% |
| 12 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bull | $1.37 | −3.5% | −1.8% | not yet | −4.2% |
| 4 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.39 | −4.3% | −3.8% | not yet | −1.2% |
| 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hours | Bull | $1.43 | −7.7% | −7.8% | not yet | −3.0% |
| 28 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days | Bear | $1.46 | −3.1% | −3.5% | not yet | −2.1% |
| 26 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hours | Bull | $1.52 | −8.4% | −3.7% | not yet | −4.0% |
| 23 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hours | Bear | $1.46 | −3.5% | +2.6% | not yet | +4.3% |
| 21 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $1.53 | −5.0% | −10.9% | not yet | −5.1% |
| 19 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days | Bear | $1.44 | +4.7% | −7.6% | not yet | +6.7% |
| 17 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hours | Bull | $1.54 | −5.1% | −12.6% | not yet | −6.6% |
| 13 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.59 | −9.1% | −15.7% | not yet | −3.1% |
| 10 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hours | Bull | $1.68 | −9.8% | −18.9% | not yet | −5.5% |
| 7 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hours | Bear | $1.68 | −5.0% | −16.6% | not yet | −0.1% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 7 Jul 2026, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
23 flips are a small sample. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.