Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Uniswap's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 50 of 50 | −1.9% | −6.7% to +0.5% (94%) | −4.6% to +1.2% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 50 of 50 | −5.2% | −8.2% to +6.3% (94%) | −10.4% to +2.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 49 of 50 | −11.4% | −17.9% to −1.4% (91%) | −18.8% to −0.8% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 49 of 49 | +0.3% | −1.6% to +1.3% (91%) | −4.5% to +1.5% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 49 of 49 | −0.9% | −7.8% to +4.2% (91%) | −10.0% to +3.0% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 48 of 49 | −6.5% | −16.2% to +6.4% (94%) | −19.8% to −1.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 10 Nov 2020, for comparison | 7 | 2,147 days | −1.8% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 2,124 days | −4.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 2,064 days | −9.3% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest two flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are daily closes of the native UNI/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 50 | 1 of 50 |
| After bearish flips | 49 | 3 of 49 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Uniswap's daily line has flipped 16.8 times a year since 10 Nov 2020.
Uniswap, daily flips: 99 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026Lasted 41 days so far | Bull | 0.00005820 BTC | +13.7% | +103.6% | not yet | +83.8% so far |
| 3 Aug 2026Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.00006150 BTC | +0.3% | +22.9% | not yet | −5.4% |
| 2 Jul 2026Lasted 32 days | Bull | 0.00005160 BTC | +4.1% | +25.8% | +105.6% | +19.2% |
| 20 Jun 2026Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.00004680 BTC | +4.1% | +19.0% | +134.2% | +10.3% |
| 15 Jun 2026Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.00004290 BTC | +8.6% | +29.8% | +86.0% | +9.1% |
| 16 May 2026Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.00004470 BTC | +0.9% | −4.0% | +13.4% | −4.0% |
| 8 May 2026Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00004620 BTC | −1.3% | −12.1% | +35.3% | −3.2% |
| 23 Apr 2026Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.00004210 BTC | −0.7% | +7.1% | +36.1% | +9.7% |
| 16 Apr 2026Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.00004570 BTC | −7.9% | −2.2% | +21.9% | −7.9% |
| 18 Mar 2026Lasted 29 days | Bear | 0.00005170 BTC | +0.6% | −13.3% | −3.1% | −11.6% |
| 25 Feb 2026Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.00005960 BTC | −8.2% | −14.3% | −28.2% | −13.3% |
| 7 Jan 2026Lasted 49 days | Bear | 0.00006270 BTC | −6.5% | −19.6% | −27.1% | −4.9% |
| 20 Dec 2025Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.00007100 BTC | −4.4% | −23.7% | −28.0% | −11.7% |
| 23 Nov 2025Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.00007070 BTC | −5.4% | −6.1% | −24.9% | +0.4% |
| 7 Nov 2025Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.00005680 BTC | +30.1% | +6.3% | −11.4% | +24.5% |
| 3 Nov 2025Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.00004880 BTC | +80.9% | +33.8% | +2.3% | +16.4% |
| 13 Oct 2025Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.00006140 BTC | −6.7% | +21.3% | −2.4% | −20.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.00008550 BTC | −0.2% | −20.5% | −21.8% | −28.2% |
| 8 Aug 2025Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.00009320 BTC | −1.9% | −9.3% | −44.4% | −8.3% |
| 2 Aug 2025Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.00007780 BTC | +21.2% | +9.9% | −32.6% | +19.8% |
| 9 Jul 2025Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.00007460 BTC | +0.5% | +24.9% | −14.3% | +4.3% |
| 21 Jun 2025Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.00006330 BTC | +4.9% | +45.7% | +25.1% | +17.9% |
| 10 Jun 2025Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.00007860 BTC | −9.7% | −7.1% | +8.5% | −19.5% |
| 16 May 2025Lasted 25 days | Bear | 0.00005870 BTC | −5.1% | +15.7% | +56.6% | +33.9% |
| 8 May 2025Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.00005950 BTC | +0.8% | +1.2% | +41.8% | −1.3% |
| 29 Mar 2025Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.00007210 BTC | −2.5% | −20.7% | −10.5% | −17.5% |
| 20 Mar 2025Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.00008210 BTC | −5.7% | −23.8% | −12.1% | −12.2% |
| 16 Dec 2024Lasted 94 days | Bear | 0.0001531 BTC | −1.7% | −5.6% | −51.5% | −46.4% |
| 24 Nov 2024Lasted 22 days | Bull | 0.0001111 BTC | +20.9% | +33.1% | −15.8% | +37.8% |
| 12 Nov 2024Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.0001018 BTC | +0.1% | +73.8% | −4.6% | +9.1% |
| 6 Nov 2024Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.0001230 BTC | −22.5% | +43.2% | −24.6% | −17.2% |
| 16 Oct 2024Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.0001119 BTC | +5.3% | −15.9% | +23.2% | +9.9% |
| 27 Sep 2024Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.0001159 BTC | −6.7% | −4.5% | +19.3% | −3.5% |
| 19 Sep 2024Lasted 8 days | Bear | 0.0001080 BTC | +4.5% | −0.8% | +36.9% | +7.3% |
| 4 Sep 2024Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.0001108 BTC | +6.3% | −2.4% | +42.2% | −2.5% |
| 25 Aug 2024Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.0001032 BTC | −5.0% | +4.5% | +6.4% | +7.4% |
| 21 Aug 2024Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.0001160 BTC | −15.7% | −6.9% | −12.2% | −11.0% |
| 28 Jun 2024Lasted 54 days | Bear | 0.0001489 BTC | −7.9% | −25.9% | −24.2% | −22.1% |
| 15 Jun 2024Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.0001741 BTC | −12.0% | −23.7% | −34.2% | −14.5% |
| 11 Jun 2024Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.0001336 BTC | +12.1% | +2.2% | −11.6% | +30.3% |
| 4 Jun 2024Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.0001626 BTC | −17.8% | −17.8% | −36.5% | −17.8% |
| 2 Jun 2024Lasted 2 days | Bear | 0.0001389 BTC | +1.5% | +4.2% | −27.4% | +17.1% |
| 20 May 2024Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.0001306 BTC | +22.1% | +17.3% | −19.2% | +6.4% |
| 19 Mar 2024Lasted 62 days | Bear | 0.0001713 BTC | +6.0% | −33.0% | −6.9% | −23.8% |
| 6 Mar 2024Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.0002331 BTC | −16.6% | −30.9% | −30.2% | −26.5% |
| 26 Feb 2024Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.0001947 BTC | −7.0% | −9.5% | −16.2% | +19.7% |
| 15 Feb 2024Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.0001445 BTC | −0.8% | +27.4% | −23.1% | +34.7% |
| 31 Jan 2024Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.0001407 BTC | +2.6% | +31.7% | −17.6% | +2.7% |
| 12 Jan 2024Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.0001538 BTC | −0.9% | −9.9% | −15.1% | −8.5% |
| 3 Jan 2024Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.0001500 BTC | −6.1% | −5.3% | +15.3% | +2.5% |
| 24 Dec 2023Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.0001590 BTC | +7.5% | −7.9% | +14.0% | −5.7% |
| 4 Dec 2023Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.0001454 BTC | +1.7% | +3.2% | +37.6% | +9.4% |
| 1 Nov 2023Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.0001353 BTC | +7.5% | +14.9% | +7.8% | +7.5% |
| 4 Aug 2023Lasted 89 days | Bear | 0.0002084 BTC | +1.1% | −18.5% | −35.6% | −35.1% |
| 25 Jun 2023Lasted 40 days | Bull | 0.0001783 BTC | +2.0% | +11.2% | −9.8% | +16.9% |
| 24 Jun 2023Lasted 1 day | Bear | 0.0001551 BTC | +17.7% | +27.7% | +3.5% | +15.0% |
| 14 Jun 2023Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.0001751 BTC | −9.1% | +10.6% | −7.3% | −11.4% |
| 23 May 2023Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.0001864 BTC | −0.6% | −15.1% | −2.1% | −6.1% |
| 12 May 2023Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.0001939 BTC | +2.1% | −19.2% | +8.5% | −3.9% |
| 16 Jan 2023Lasted 116 days | Bear | 0.0003089 BTC | −5.1% | −7.8% | −32.5% | −37.2% |
| 4 Jan 2023Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.0003283 BTC | +0.4% | −8.2% | −33.5% | −5.9% |
| 16 Dec 2022Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.0003187 BTC | −1.6% | −0.9% | −25.9% | +3.0% |
| 15 Nov 2022Lasted 31 days | Bull | 0.0003718 BTC | −12.0% | −10.1% | −22.8% | −14.3% |
| 9 Nov 2022Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.0003077 BTC | +16.2% | +16.9% | −2.5% | +20.8% |
| 1 Nov 2022Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.0003476 BTC | −5.9% | +0.2% | −17.9% | −11.5% |
| 11 Oct 2022Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.0003146 BTC | +7.3% | +4.1% | +7.2% | +10.5% |
| 27 Sep 2022Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.0003337 BTC | −2.1% | +0.4% | −7.9% | −5.7% |
| 18 Aug 2022Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.0003266 BTC | −0.2% | −8.5% | +9.4% | +2.2% |
| 14 Jun 2022Lasted 65 days | Bull | 0.0001746 BTC | +32.0% | +95.3% | +70.2% | +87.1% |
| 11 Jun 2022Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.0001544 BTC | +24.3% | +80.5% | +97.3% | +13.1% |
| 23 May 2022Lasted 19 days | Bull | 0.0001931 BTC | −7.7% | +29.2% | +73.5% | −20.0% |
| 11 May 2022Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.0001687 BTC | +1.1% | −1.9% | +115.9% | +14.5% |
| 6 May 2022Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0002106 BTC | −16.8% | −19.2% | +85.1% | −19.9% |
| 11 Apr 2022Lasted 25 days | Bear | 0.0002271 BTC | +1.3% | −25.7% | +31.7% | −7.3% |
| 24 Mar 2022Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.0002451 BTC | +1.2% | −7.8% | +1.8% | −7.3% |
| 14 Mar 2022Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.0002138 BTC | +6.5% | +9.8% | −28.6% | +14.6% |
| 27 Feb 2022Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.0002592 BTC | −14.9% | −8.5% | −33.7% | −17.5% |
| 21 Jan 2022Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.0003470 BTC | −18.5% | −29.8% | −36.9% | −25.3% |
| 23 Dec 2021Lasted 29 days | Bull | 0.0003574 BTC | +5.7% | −11.1% | −34.8% | −2.9% |
| 5 Dec 2021Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.0003346 BTC | −4.5% | +18.8% | −31.6% | +6.8% |
| 2 Dec 2021Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0003973 BTC | −14.4% | −7.8% | −42.4% | −15.8% |
| 6 Oct 2021Lasted 57 days | Bear | 0.0004565 BTC | −5.7% | −8.1% | −12.9% | −13.0% |
| 26 Sep 2021Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.0005573 BTC | −3.2% | −21.0% | −37.8% | −18.1% |
| 6 Sep 2021Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.0005473 BTC | −7.9% | −16.6% | −38.9% | +1.8% |
| 31 Aug 2021Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.0006245 BTC | −16.9% | −14.0% | −43.9% | −12.4% |
| 22 Aug 2021Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.0005768 BTC | −4.8% | −18.8% | −36.0% | +8.3% |
| 1 Aug 2021Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.0005511 BTC | +10.6% | +13.3% | −26.9% | +4.7% |
| 13 Jul 2021Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.0005639 BTC | −13.4% | +12.1% | −25.4% | −2.3% |
| 4 Jul 2021Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0005887 BTC | +2.6% | −5.2% | −6.8% | −4.2% |
| 11 Jun 2021Lasted 23 days | Bear | 0.0005845 BTC | −2.5% | +3.3% | −14.1% | +0.7% |
| 26 May 2021Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.0007495 BTC | −1.9% | −33.1% | −25.5% | −22.0% |
| 19 May 2021Lasted 7 days | Bear | 0.0006320 BTC | +18.6% | −9.8% | −6.5% | +18.6% |
| 12 Apr 2021Lasted 37 days | Bull | 0.0006130 BTC | −8.0% | +21.5% | −1.4% | +3.1% |
| 13 Mar 2021Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.0005302 BTC | +3.9% | +15.6% | +10.2% | +15.6% |
| 20 Feb 2021Lasted 21 days | Bull | 0.0005152 BTC | −0.9% | +17.8% | +14.2% | +2.9% |
| 8 Feb 2021Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.0004167 BTC | +0.5% | +32.6% | +62.5% | +23.6% |
| 31 Dec 2020Lasted 39 days | Bull | 0.0001784 BTC | −11.1% | +220.6% | +167.4% | +133.5% |
| 8 Dec 2020Lasted 23 days | Bear | 0.0001799 BTC | −4.9% | −11.8% | +252.6% | −0.8% |
| 10 Nov 2020Lasted 28 days | Bull | 0.0002011 BTC | +7.2% | −11.7% | +107.2% | −10.5% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 10 Nov 2020, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
99 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.