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MarketRenderUpdated 4 Oct 2026, 00:08 UTC00:08 UTC
Rule set flip-line-v1.0, append-only

Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.

A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.

World Liberty Financial's 4-hour trend9 Sep 2025 to now
89flips
3 days 12 hourstypical run
24 days 20 hourslongest run
BullishBearish

What happened after World Liberty Financial's 4-hour flips

After bullish flips the median price was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up.

90 days after a bullish flip−30.4%Median of 37 flips; 7 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip−28.5%Median of 37 flips; 8 are too recent
90 days after any daytoo little history300 days since 9 Sep 2025
What happened after World Liberty Financial's 4-hour flips
Which flipsDays laterFlips countedMedian changeRange of the medianOrdinary daysAgainst ordinary days
After bullish flips744 of 44−3.4%−7.6% to −0.5% (90%)−4.2% to +0.3%within the range of ordinary days
3042 of 44−6.4%−10.4% to −4.7% (91%)−14.5% to −2.0%within the range of ordinary days
9037 of 44−30.4%−37.2% to −6.1% (90%)too little history–
After bearish flips744 of 45−1.0%−2.8% to +0.5% (90%)−4.2% to +0.3%within the range of ordinary days
3042 of 45−4.1%−10.3% to −1.4% (91%)−14.5% to −2.0%within the range of ordinary days
9037 of 45−28.5%−33.4% to −22.9% (90%)too little history–
Any day since 9 Sep 2025, for comparison7383 days−1.8%–––
30360 days−5.2%–––
90300 daystoo little history–––

Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.

Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.

Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.

The latest 15 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.

Prices are 4-hour closes on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.

How soon flips were reversed

How soon flips were reversed
Which flipsFlipsReversed within 3 candles (12 hours)
After bullish flips442 of 44
After bearish flips454 of 45

A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.

World Liberty Financial's 4-hour line has flipped 83.5 times a year since 9 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTC.

On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.

World Liberty Financial, 4-hour flips: 89 flips

Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.

World Liberty Financial, 4-hour flips: 89 flips
Candle closedFlipped toPrice at the flip7 days later30 days later90 days laterUntil the next flip
28 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hours so farBear$0.05640not yetnot yetnot yet−2.3% so far
24 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBull$0.05670−2.6%not yetnot yet−0.5%
17 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 daysBear$0.05710−4.9%not yetnot yet−0.7%
12 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 5 days 16 hoursBull$0.05530+6.9%not yetnot yet+3.3%
5 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 daysBear$0.05620−1.6%not yetnot yet−1.6%
3 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull$0.05800−2.8%−4.7%not yet−3.1%
22 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 days 4 hoursBear$0.05900−2.0%−1.4%not yet−1.7%
22 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBull$0.06550−11.8%−11.1%not yet−9.9%
20 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.05860+0.7%+0.9%not yet+11.8%
9 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hoursBull$0.05280+8.0%+6.8%not yet+11.0%
5 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$0.05410+1.5%+6.1%not yet−2.4%
2 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBull$0.05580−8.1%+2.9%not yet−3.0%
24 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 4 hoursBear$0.05770−4.9%+2.1%not yet−3.3%
23 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.06160−9.6%+1.5%not yet−6.3%
8 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 15 daysBear$0.05800−1.0%−8.8%not yet+6.2%
5 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBull$0.058300.0%−5.1%−5.1%−0.5%
26 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBear$0.05830−0.2%−3.8%−6.9%0.0%
25 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.06140−6.5%−6.5%−4.9%−5.0%
24 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear$0.05690+1.6%+1.4%+0.9%+7.9%
24 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.05960−3.0%−3.2%−3.7%−4.5%
23 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.05770+2.9%−2.6%+0.9%+3.3%
21 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull$0.06060−5.0%−5.9%−2.5%−4.8%
18 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.05890−2.4%−3.1%−3.2%+2.9%
10 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 8 hoursBull$0.05780+4.0%+0.7%−2.4%+1.9%
5 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBear$0.05660+3.5%+2.1%−1.1%+2.1%
4 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.06300−6.5%−9.7%−9.5%−10.2%
4 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 4 hoursBear$0.05860+0.5%−2.9%−2.7%+7.5%
3 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.06110−10.5%−4.7%−6.1%−4.1%
26 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hoursBear$0.05950−0.7%−3.4%−0.7%+2.7%
23 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBull$0.06280−6.5%−5.1%−4.6%−5.3%
22 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$0.06050−3.5%−4.1%+1.7%+3.8%
20 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBull$0.06360−10.7%−6.4%−4.6%−4.9%
9 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 11 daysBear$0.07000−5.9%−18.1%−24.4%−9.1%
3 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBull$0.05800+20.9%+1.9%−5.5%+20.7%
8 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 24 days 20 hoursBear$0.09460−14.8%−21.8%−38.5%−38.7%
8 Apr 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$0.1005−19.8%−26.4%−42.1%−5.9%
7 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.09590−15.0%−30.0%−38.5%+4.8%
1 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hoursBull$0.1020−1.5%−40.4%−41.8%−6.0%
26 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBear$0.09800+1.8%−23.3%−39.2%+4.1%
21 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBull$0.09690+0.1%−20.2%−38.6%+1.1%
17 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$0.1024+1.6%−20.9%−41.5%−5.4%
8 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hoursBull$0.1007+3.7%−2.6%−43.7%+1.7%
1 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 7 daysBear$0.1074−10.5%−8.3%−45.3%−6.2%
1 Mar 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.1144−16.0%−13.9%−48.7%−6.1%
27 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear$0.1112−7.6%−12.2%−46.9%+2.9%
25 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBull$0.1147−8.9%−14.1%−46.7%−3.1%
22 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBear$0.1160−2.8%−10.3%−48.1%−1.1%
18 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBull$0.1082+3.0%−14.5%−42.8%+7.2%
15 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear$0.1005+19.9%+6.5%−34.4%+7.7%
14 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull$0.1102+9.9%−5.4%−37.3%−8.8%
11 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBear$0.1005+7.7%+0.4%−33.4%+9.7%
9 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBull$0.1128−10.1%−9.4%−37.9%−10.9%
5 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear$0.1246−17.7%−19.8%−47.8%−9.5%
3 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull$0.1387−21.2%−23.0%−57.9%−10.2%
25 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 daysBear$0.1612−17.7%−31.9%−53.3%−14.0%
21 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBull$0.1689−1.9%−31.3%−53.6%−4.6%
15 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear$0.1702−0.8%−38.7%−52.6%−0.8%
13 Jan 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 12 hoursBull$0.1791−7.6%−42.8%−56.2%−5.0%
9 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$0.1647+2.4%−38.2%−45.2%+8.7%
2 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 7 days 16 hoursBull$0.1481+15.7%−10.4%−32.6%+11.2%
30 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 4 hoursBear$0.1421+22.2%+15.7%−31.2%+4.2%
19 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 4 hoursBull$0.1345+2.1%+25.5%−27.4%+5.7%
11 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 8 days 16 hoursBear$0.1470−12.0%+13.9%−30.5%−8.5%
8 Dec 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$0.1531−11.0%+14.4%−37.2%−4.0%
4 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBear$0.1527+0.3%+1.2%−31.6%+0.3%
2 Dec 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$0.1561−3.4%−8.1%−30.8%−2.2%
1 Dec 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear$0.1535−3.3%−6.1%−26.6%+1.7%
21 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 days 8 hoursBull$0.1393+17.4%−3.6%−16.2%+10.2%
12 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 9 daysBear$0.1417−0.8%+3.7%−22.9%−1.7%
6 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 6 days 20 hoursBull$0.1236+17.1%+22.1%+9.4%+14.6%
30 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 6 days 12 hoursBear$0.1390−11.1%+15.1%+19.2%−11.1%
29 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull$0.1501−24.3%+8.9%+6.3%−7.4%
28 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear$0.1395−17.1%+18.4%+19.1%+7.6%
23 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 5 daysBull$0.1438+0.8%+1.0%+11.7%−3.0%
22 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear$0.1260+9.5%+4.4%+31.3%+14.1%
21 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBull$0.1350+9.4%+2.4%+22.8%−6.7%
17 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 8 hoursBear$0.1246+14.0%+16.6%+40.5%+8.3%
13 Oct 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 daysBull$0.1459−9.9%+2.9%+14.4%−14.6%
9 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear$0.1747−20.7%−28.3%+0.3%−16.5%
8 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull$0.1878−23.3%−38.8%−7.6%−7.0%
4 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$0.1978−36.9%−31.7%−25.8%−5.1%
2 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull$0.2072−10.2%−33.7%−30.4%−4.5%
29 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear$0.2024−1.4%−31.8%−28.5%+2.4%
26 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 daysBull$0.2092−0.5%−34.1%−36.6%−3.3%
22 Sep 2025, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear$0.2148+2.7%−41.3%−37.5%−2.6%
19 Sep 2025, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBull$0.2298−16.3%−43.2%−43.7%−6.5%
14 Sep 2025, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hoursBear$0.2119+5.9%−28.2%−32.5%+8.4%
14 Sep 2025, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull$0.2253−0.4%−32.5%−36.5%−5.9%
9 Sep 2025, 20:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear$0.1971+10.0%−5.6%−24.7%+14.3%

How to read this

Closed candles only

Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.

Compare with any day

The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 9 Sep 2025, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.

A small sample

Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.

89 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.