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Market score +85. Market value $2.93tn, +6.0% in 30 days. 24h volume $72.4bn, −59.1% in 30 days. Dominance BTC 58.2%, ETH 11.2%. Stablecoins $311.9bn, +1.4% in 30 days. Fear and greed 65, greed

MarketRenderUpdated 4 Oct 2026, 00:08 UTC00:08 UTC
Rule set flip-line-v1.1, append-only

Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.

A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.

Zama's 4-hour trend in Bitcoin9 Feb 2026 to now
76flips
2 days 8 hourstypical run
10 days 16 hourslongest run
BullishBearish

What happened after Zama's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin

After bearish flips the median price in Bitcoin was still higher 90 days later. A bearish flip did not by itself mean the price went down.

90 days after a bullish flip+64.2%Median of 23 flips; 15 are too recent
90 days after a bearish flip+59.0%Median of 24 flips; 14 are too recent
90 days after any daytoo little history147 days since 9 Feb 2026
What happened after Zama's 4-hour flips, measured in Bitcoin
Which flipsDays laterFlips countedMedian changeRange of the medianOrdinary daysAgainst ordinary days
After bullish flips737 of 38+1.7%−2.3% to +6.3% (90%)−3.1% to +5.4%within the range of ordinary days
3034 of 38+11.2%+8.7% to +28.5% (94%)+4.6% to +24.7%within the range of ordinary days
9023 of 38+64.2%+30.7% to +79.1% (91%)too little history–
After bearish flips737 of 38+1.6%−1.9% to +6.8% (90%)−3.1% to +5.4%within the range of ordinary days
3034 of 38+11.4%+5.9% to +24.0% (94%)+4.6% to +24.7%within the range of ordinary days
9024 of 38+59.0%+41.3% to +68.6% (94%)too little history–
Any day since 9 Feb 2026, for comparison7230 days+0.6%–––
30207 days+13.3%–––
90147 daystoo little history–––

Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.

Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.

Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.

The latest 29 flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.

Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.

How soon flips were reversed

How soon flips were reversed
Which flipsFlipsReversed within 3 candles (12 hours)
After bullish flips382 of 37
After bearish flips382 of 38

A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 12 hours. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.

There is less than a year of flips here, too little to count flips a year.

On 4-hour candles the line flips often, and nearly every flip is reversed within 30 days, so the 7-, 30- and 90-day columns mostly show where the market drifted, not what the flip did.

Zama, 4-hour flips: 76 flips

Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.

Zama, 4-hour flips: 76 flips
Candle closedFlipped toPrice at the flip7 days later30 days later90 days laterUntil the next flip
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hours so farBull0.000001013 BTCnot yetnot yetnot yet+3.2% so far
27 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear0.0000009567 BTCnot yetnot yetnot yet+5.9%
17 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 10 days 16 hoursBull0.0000006296 BTC+73.3%not yetnot yet+52.0%
14 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBear0.0000006089 BTC+69.1%not yetnot yet+3.4%
13 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull0.0000006377 BTC+58.9%not yetnot yet−4.5%
7 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 6 daysBear0.0000006450 BTC−3.0%not yetnot yet−1.1%
6 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull0.0000006825 BTC−8.3%not yetnot yet−5.5%
4 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear0.0000006476 BTC−5.6%not yetnot yet+5.4%
3 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull0.0000006941 BTC−8.2%+27.5%not yet−6.7%
26 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 8 daysBear0.0000006781 BTC−5.1%+54.9%not yet+2.4%
24 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBull0.0000007810 BTC−16.2%+51.0%not yet−13.2%
22 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear0.0000006887 BTC−5.9%+49.5%not yet+13.4%
22 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull0.0000006634 BTC−2.3%+55.2%not yet+3.8%
20 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear0.0000006207 BTC+11.3%+19.5%not yet+6.9%
18 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull0.0000006595 BTC+14.9%−4.5%not yet−5.9%
12 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 6 days 4 hoursBear0.0000007138 BTC−10.4%−14.3%not yet−7.6%
11 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBull0.0000007606 BTC−17.6%−16.3%not yet−6.1%
8 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBear0.0000007607 BTC−4.9%−6.0%not yet0.0%
6 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull0.0000008449 BTC−12.5%−23.4%not yet−10.0%
30 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hoursBear0.0000008647 BTC−9.4%−25.0%not yet−2.3%
27 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull0.0000009905 BTC−21.6%−31.5%not yet−12.7%
25 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBear0.0000007814 BTC+6.8%−5.7%not yet+26.8%
19 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 20 hoursBull0.0000005531 BTC+55.7%+13.3%not yet+41.3%
19 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear0.0000005374 BTC+60.3%+16.6%not yet+2.9%
15 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 20 hoursBull0.0000005336 BTC+12.7%+42.0%not yet+0.7%
13 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBear0.0000005281 BTC+3.9%+36.7%not yet+1.0%
11 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBull0.0000005374 BTC+1.6%+28.5%not yet−1.7%
10 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear0.0000005221 BTC+5.4%+38.8%not yet+2.9%
6 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBull0.0000005259 BTC+2.9%+45.9%not yet−0.7%
2 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear0.0000005437 BTC−0.9%+53.5%+64.8%−3.3%
30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 4 hoursBull0.0000005339 BTC+1.7%+62.0%+83.4%+1.9%
28 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear0.0000005118 BTC+0.8%+85.3%+109.6%+4.3%
26 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 days 12 hoursBull0.0000005440 BTC−5.5%+58.3%+100.6%−5.9%
25 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear0.0000005080 BTC+10.4%+64.2%+132.2%+7.1%
23 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 16 hoursBull0.0000005415 BTC−1.4%+33.1%+90.2%−6.2%
21 Jun 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear0.0000005268 BTC−1.9%+16.1%+40.8%+2.8%
16 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBull0.0000004898 BTC+6.3%+10.6%+27.7%+7.6%
13 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear0.0000004902 BTC+14.1%+10.4%+24.8%−0.1%
10 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 days 8 hoursBull0.0000004962 BTC−1.6%+5.2%+30.2%−1.2%
9 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear0.0000004611 BTC+1.6%+16.9%+55.1%+7.6%
7 Jun 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBull0.0000004953 BTC+0.6%+9.6%+30.7%−6.9%
30 May 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 20 hoursBear0.0000004853 BTC−1.4%+5.9%+41.3%+2.1%
26 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBull0.0000004472 BTC+13.1%+13.6%+64.7%+8.5%
26 May 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 16 hoursBear0.0000004096 BTC+23.5%+24.0%+79.8%+9.2%
15 May 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 10 days 8 hoursBull0.0000003406 BTC+20.3%+46.3%+117.0%+20.2%
11 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 4 hoursBear0.0000003582 BTC−6.1%+30.9%+102.4%−4.9%
9 May 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 2 days 16 hoursBull0.0000003656 BTC−5.8%+29.4%+123.7%−2.0%
5 May 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear0.0000003562 BTC−0.6%+43.8%+118.1%+2.6%
28 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 7 days 4 hoursBull0.0000003558 BTC+2.2%+31.7%+151.3%+0.1%
25 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBear0.0000003966 BTC−12.4%+3.6%+105.9%−10.3%
24 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull0.0000003773 BTC−8.7%+9.8%+91.0%+5.1%
15 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 8 days 20 hoursBear0.0000004081 BTC−9.2%−18.7%+28.8%−7.6%
14 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 1 dayBull0.0000004319 BTC−16.1%−23.8%+25.3%−5.5%
13 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBear0.0000003411 BTC+8.7%+3.5%+56.6%+26.6%
8 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 5 days 4 hoursBull0.0000003230 BTC+34.5%+9.3%+68.1%+5.6%
7 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBear0.0000003040 BTC+14.8%+17.0%+65.7%+6.2%
7 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 12 hoursBull0.0000003273 BTC+6.6%+8.7%+53.9%−7.1%
5 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear0.0000003290 BTC+9.3%+10.6%+61.1%−0.5%
2 Apr 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBull0.0000003470 BTC−6.9%+0.1%+64.2%−5.2%
28 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 12 hoursBear0.0000003451 BTC+1.8%−0.5%+50.8%+0.5%
19 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTCLasted 9 days 16 hoursBull0.0000003168 BTC+9.6%+20.0%+54.2%+9.0%
18 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 8 hoursBear0.0000002840 BTC+17.3%+48.8%+64.9%+11.5%
17 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 20 hoursBull0.0000003093 BTC+4.6%+33.0%+56.5%−8.2%
16 Mar 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear0.0000002957 BTC+9.9%+46.9%+68.6%+4.6%
11 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hoursBull0.0000002901 BTC+7.5%+11.2%+69.3%+1.9%
9 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 2 daysBear0.0000002775 BTC+7.3%+8.8%+69.6%+4.5%
6 Mar 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 3 days 8 hoursBull0.0000002860 BTC+7.0%+19.5%+79.1%−3.0%
1 Mar 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 4 days 16 hoursBear0.0000003212 BTC−8.0%+5.0%+59.0%−11.0%
26 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 2 days 20 hoursBull0.0000003700 BTC−27.9%−2.5%+19.1%−13.2%
25 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBear0.0000003247 BTC−6.9%+6.3%+31.4%+14.0%
24 Feb 2026, 12:00 UTCLasted 1 day 4 hoursBull0.0000003601 BTC−21.8%−3.6%+14.1%−9.8%
22 Feb 2026, 16:00 UTCLasted 1 day 20 hoursBear0.0000003209 BTC+3.5%+0.8%+27.8%+12.2%
19 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 12 hoursBull0.0000003202 BTC+3.0%+1.7%+10.5%+0.2%
17 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCLasted 1 day 8 hoursBear0.0000002844 BTC+16.2%+11.4%+18.3%+12.6%
14 Feb 2026, 04:00 UTCLasted 3 days 16 hoursBull0.0000002978 BTC+12.9%0.0%+11.5%−4.5%
9 Feb 2026, 08:00 UTCLasted 4 days 20 hoursBear0.0000003804 BTC−23.2%−26.9%−2.7%−21.7%

How to read this

Closed candles only

Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.

Compare with any day

The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 9 Feb 2026, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.

A small sample

Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.

76 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.