Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Zcash's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 63 of 63 | −2.5% | −4.7% to +1.3% (92%) | −4.0% to +1.4% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 63 of 63 | −7.3% | −13.9% to +2.5% (92%) | −9.4% to +1.1% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 61 of 63 | −14.9% | −25.4% to −1.6% (93%) | −21.5% to −3.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 62 of 63 | −1.9% | −4.2% to +1.1% (90%) | −4.2% to +1.2% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 62 of 63 | −6.7% | −9.1% to −2.8% (90%) | −9.7% to +0.7% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 61 of 63 | −17.4% | −22.8% to −8.7% (93%) | −21.5% to −3.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 13 Dec 2017, for comparison | 7 | 3,210 days | −1.5% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 3,187 days | −5.3% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 3,127 days | −15.2% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest four flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are daily closes of the native ZEC/BTC market on Binance. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 63 | 4 of 63 |
| After bearish flips | 63 | 4 of 62 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Zcash's daily line has flipped 14.3 times a year since 13 Dec 2017.
Zcash, daily flips: 126 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026Lasted 2 days so far | Bear | 0.01575 BTC | not yet | not yet | not yet | −2.3% so far |
| 17 Aug 2026Lasted 45 days | Bull | 0.007967 BTC | +31.9% | +120.1% | not yet | +97.7% |
| 24 Jul 2026Lasted 24 days | Bear | 0.007616 BTC | −4.4% | +44.3% | not yet | +4.6% |
| 7 Jul 2026Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.007632 BTC | +13.7% | +2.3% | not yet | −0.2% |
| 4 Jun 2026Lasted 33 days | Bear | 0.007193 BTC | −6.4% | +2.0% | +46.8% | +6.1% |
| 2 Jun 2026Lasted 2 days | Bull | 0.009135 BTC | −23.8% | −22.8% | +18.1% | −21.3% |
| 27 May 2026Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.007281 BTC | +32.7% | −4.2% | +34.2% | +25.5% |
| 1 May 2026Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.004922 BTC | +55.7% | +56.8% | +47.5% | +47.9% |
| 17 Apr 2026Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.004267 BTC | +8.7% | +62.4% | +92.7% | +15.4% |
| 16 Mar 2026Lasted 32 days | Bull | 0.003696 BTC | −12.7% | +25.0% | +94.4% | +15.4% |
| 22 Feb 2026Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.003615 BTC | −10.3% | −4.9% | +127.2% | +2.2% |
| 14 Feb 2026Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.004634 BTC | −17.5% | −20.2% | +40.6% | −22.0% |
| 7 Jan 2026Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.005138 BTC | −10.2% | −33.7% | −13.3% | −9.8% |
| 27 Dec 2025Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.005874 BTC | −3.9% | −29.2% | −44.7% | −12.5% |
| 27 Nov 2025Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.005371 BTC | −25.7% | +9.4% | −33.1% | +9.4% |
| 15 Nov 2025Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.007024 BTC | −12.8% | −31.9% | −44.8% | −23.5% |
| 11 Nov 2025Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.004295 BTC | +56.5% | +13.5% | −20.2% | +63.5% |
| 20 Aug 2025Lasted 83 days | Bull | 0.0003419 BTC | +11.0% | +23.6% | +1,866.3% | +1,156.2% |
| 24 Jul 2025Lasted 27 days | Bear | 0.0003395 BTC | −5.9% | +14.4% | +552.8% | +0.7% |
| 8 Jul 2025Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.0003996 BTC | −6.5% | −18.7% | +214.3% | −15.0% |
| 13 Jun 2025Lasted 25 days | Bear | 0.0004266 BTC | −8.6% | −16.5% | −2.7% | −6.3% |
| 7 May 2025Lasted 37 days | Bull | 0.0004171 BTC | −2.7% | +10.5% | −25.4% | +2.3% |
| 12 Apr 2025Lasted 25 days | Bear | 0.0004088 BTC | −9.1% | +6.0% | −12.5% | +2.0% |
| 17 Mar 2025Lasted 26 days | Bull | 0.0004080 BTC | −9.2% | −9.5% | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| 6 Mar 2025Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.0003776 BTC | +1.2% | +19.0% | +27.5% | +8.1% |
| 17 Feb 2025Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.0003810 BTC | −4.8% | +3.6% | +2.0% | −0.9% |
| 6 Jan 2025Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.0005909 BTC | −13.3% | −43.7% | −22.8% | −35.5% |
| 23 Dec 2024Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.0006940 BTC | −9.3% | −32.7% | −48.0% | −14.9% |
| 9 Dec 2024Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.0006047 BTC | −12.0% | −12.5% | −38.7% | +14.8% |
| 24 Nov 2024Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.0005343 BTC | +15.5% | +31.3% | −30.4% | +13.2% |
| 11 Nov 2024Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.0005114 BTC | −3.1% | +23.3% | −33.9% | +4.5% |
| 9 Oct 2024Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.0004813 BTC | +13.7% | +25.3% | +12.1% | +6.3% |
| 26 Aug 2024Lasted 44 days | Bear | 0.0005854 BTC | −14.4% | −23.3% | −8.7% | −17.8% |
| 3 Jul 2024Lasted 54 days | Bull | 0.0003444 BTC | +17.6% | +54.2% | +27.1% | +70.0% |
| 7 Jun 2024Lasted 26 days | Bear | 0.0003597 BTC | −4.2% | −7.3% | +42.8% | −4.3% |
| 1 May 2024Lasted 37 days | Bull | 0.0003813 BTC | +0.6% | +4.4% | +27.4% | −5.7% |
| 16 Mar 2024Lasted 46 days | Bear | 0.0004459 BTC | +0.4% | −25.0% | −22.7% | −14.5% |
| 17 Feb 2024Lasted 28 days | Bull | 0.0004812 BTC | +12.7% | −15.3% | −26.7% | −7.3% |
| 4 Feb 2024Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.0005018 BTC | −16.0% | −5.4% | −28.0% | −4.1% |
| 11 Jan 2024Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.0005270 BTC | +3.0% | −17.2% | −27.3% | −4.8% |
| 31 Dec 2023Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.0006370 BTC | −21.7% | −17.4% | −32.3% | −17.3% |
| 28 Dec 2023Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0007480 BTC | −26.7% | −27.9% | −40.4% | −14.8% |
| 21 Nov 2023Lasted 37 days | Bear | 0.0007500 BTC | +2.1% | −8.9% | −30.7% | −0.3% |
| 6 Nov 2023Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.0008510 BTC | −4.7% | −16.5% | −41.0% | −11.9% |
| 8 Oct 2023Lasted 29 days | Bear | 0.0009390 BTC | −1.5% | −12.1% | −44.2% | −9.4% |
| 22 Sep 2023Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.001004 BTC | −1.2% | −13.9% | −32.0% | −6.5% |
| 15 Aug 2023Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.0009640 BTC | −0.6% | −0.9% | −15.9% | +4.1% |
| 17 Jul 2023Lasted 29 days | Bull | 0.001074 BTC | −4.7% | −13.5% | −13.9% | −10.2% |
| 7 Jul 2023Lasted 10 days | Bear | 0.0009740 BTC | +7.9% | +3.6% | +1.7% | +10.3% |
| 25 Jun 2023Lasted 12 days | Bull | 0.001001 BTC | +6.8% | +2.0% | 0.0% | −2.7% |
| 15 Feb 2023Lasted 130 days | Bear | 0.001898 BTC | +4.3% | −28.7% | −35.5% | −47.3% |
| 12 Feb 2023Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.002122 BTC | −6.9% | −30.9% | −42.6% | −10.6% |
| 13 Jan 2023Lasted 30 days | Bear | 0.002278 BTC | −6.9% | −6.8% | −40.4% | −6.8% |
| 6 Jan 2023Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.002441 BTC | −6.7% | −21.0% | −44.9% | −6.7% |
| 16 Dec 2022Lasted 21 days | Bear | 0.002462 BTC | −4.5% | −12.8% | −44.9% | −0.9% |
| 13 Nov 2022Lasted 33 days | Bull | 0.002485 BTC | −5.9% | +4.9% | −16.0% | −0.9% |
| 12 Sep 2022Lasted 62 days | Bear | 0.002814 BTC | +0.6% | −3.9% | −6.6% | −11.7% |
| 4 Sep 2022Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.003195 BTC | −7.9% | −12.6% | −15.7% | −11.9% |
| 1 Sep 2022Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.002930 BTC | +7.9% | −2.3% | −13.9% | +9.0% |
| 4 Aug 2022Lasted 28 days | Bull | 0.002846 BTC | +16.4% | +11.0% | −12.3% | +3.0% |
| 24 Jul 2022Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.002614 BTC | +5.8% | +18.0% | +4.4% | +8.9% |
| 16 Jul 2022Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.002984 BTC | −11.7% | +2.6% | −12.7% | −12.4% |
| 30 Jun 2022Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.002736 BTC | +1.2% | +0.7% | +4.4% | +9.1% |
| 19 Jun 2022Lasted 11 days | Bull | 0.003282 BTC | −7.6% | −15.8% | −11.0% | −16.6% |
| 31 May 2022Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.002934 BTC | +1.5% | −6.7% | +7.2% | +11.9% |
| 14 May 2022Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.003512 BTC | +1.1% | −17.0% | −9.9% | −16.5% |
| 29 Apr 2022Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.003326 BTC | +3.3% | −5.8% | −19.7% | +5.6% |
| 24 Apr 2022Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.004076 BTC | −20.8% | −17.2% | −35.4% | −18.4% |
| 2 Apr 2022Lasted 22 days | Bear | 0.003878 BTC | +2.0% | −16.5% | −28.5% | +5.1% |
| 5 Feb 2022Lasted 56 days | Bull | 0.002804 BTC | −0.5% | +2.9% | +22.5% | +38.3% |
| 4 Dec 2021Lasted 63 days | Bear | 0.003813 BTC | −10.7% | −15.0% | −21.7% | −26.5% |
| 21 Nov 2021Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.003917 BTC | +7.6% | −15.3% | −28.5% | −2.7% |
| 17 Nov 2021Lasted 4 days | Bear | 0.002640 BTC | +73.1% | +23.2% | +7.0% | +48.4% |
| 9 Nov 2021Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.002988 BTC | −7.7% | +15.5% | −1.6% | −11.6% |
| 27 Oct 2021Lasted 13 days | Bear | 0.002518 BTC | +6.3% | +82.5% | −2.9% | +18.7% |
| 21 Oct 2021Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.002492 BTC | +5.4% | +20.4% | +21.3% | +1.0% |
| 7 Sep 2021Lasted 44 days | Bear | 0.002909 BTC | −2.4% | −20.0% | +22.7% | −14.3% |
| 3 Aug 2021Lasted 35 days | Bull | 0.002984 BTC | −3.0% | +2.5% | −6.6% | −2.5% |
| 16 Jul 2021Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.002966 BTC | −1.9% | +11.2% | −28.4% | +0.6% |
| 30 Jun 2021Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.003737 BTC | −6.3% | −30.3% | −34.3% | −20.6% |
| 19 May 2021Lasted 42 days | Bear | 0.003998 BTC | +1.1% | −7.3% | −20.8% | −6.5% |
| 5 May 2021Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.005088 BTC | +11.8% | −17.2% | −41.4% | −21.4% |
| 24 Apr 2021Lasted 11 days | Bear | 0.003965 BTC | +12.4% | −2.8% | −26.6% | +28.3% |
| 31 Mar 2021Lasted 24 days | Bull | 0.002694 BTC | +13.7% | +57.8% | +30.8% | +47.2% |
| 21 Feb 2021Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.002821 BTC | −12.6% | −11.2% | +35.0% | −4.5% |
| 11 Feb 2021Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.002965 BTC | +10.8% | −13.9% | +91.8% | −4.9% |
| 8 Feb 2021Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.002115 BTC | +56.6% | +18.3% | +147.8% | +40.2% |
| 10 Jan 2021Lasted 29 days | Bull | 0.002525 BTC | +13.0% | −7.3% | +36.6% | −16.2% |
| 10 Dec 2020Lasted 31 days | Bear | 0.003615 BTC | −9.9% | −45.8% | −30.8% | −30.2% |
| 23 Nov 2020Lasted 17 days | Bull | 0.004324 BTC | −7.3% | −44.8% | −34.8% | −16.4% |
| 16 Oct 2020Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.005529 BTC | −11.5% | −30.6% | −48.4% | −21.8% |
| 30 Sep 2020Lasted 16 days | Bull | 0.005954 BTC | −3.1% | −27.9% | −60.0% | −7.1% |
| 11 Aug 2020Lasted 50 days | Bear | 0.007103 BTC | −2.0% | −15.5% | −46.3% | −16.2% |
| 19 May 2020Lasted 84 days | Bull | 0.005005 BTC | +1.3% | +10.6% | +41.1% | +41.9% |
| 29 Apr 2020Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.005368 BTC | −13.8% | −7.9% | +20.5% | −6.8% |
| 9 Apr 2020Lasted 20 days | Bull | 0.005592 BTC | −2.4% | −15.6% | +9.8% | −4.0% |
| 16 Feb 2020Lasted 53 days | Bear | 0.006052 BTC | +5.2% | −22.2% | −25.1% | −7.6% |
| 11 Jan 2020Lasted 36 days | Bull | 0.004347 BTC | +32.0% | +62.9% | +23.2% | +39.2% |
| 8 Jan 2020Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.003837 BTC | +62.4% | +81.5% | +32.0% | +13.3% |
| 5 Jan 2020Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.004185 BTC | +3.8% | +67.1% | +15.1% | −8.3% |
| 18 Dec 2019Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.004025 BTC | −5.6% | +71.6% | +17.0% | +4.0% |
| 5 Dec 2019Lasted 13 days | Bull | 0.004085 BTC | +8.2% | −0.5% | +40.5% | −1.5% |
| 26 Oct 2019Lasted 40 days | Bear | 0.003900 BTC | +3.9% | −1.9% | +48.4% | +4.7% |
| 28 Sep 2019Lasted 28 days | Bull | 0.004907 BTC | −7.6% | −16.4% | −22.4% | −20.5% |
| 22 Sep 2019Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.004596 BTC | +2.1% | −2.9% | −13.6% | +6.8% |
| 8 Sep 2019Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.004648 BTC | −2.5% | −3.9% | −15.3% | −1.1% |
| 22 Jun 2019Lasted 78 days | Bear | 0.01055 BTC | −9.2% | −33.0% | −54.5% | −56.0% |
| 15 May 2019Lasted 38 days | Bull | 0.009421 BTC | −2.9% | +11.3% | −46.0% | +12.0% |
| 10 Apr 2019Lasted 35 days | Bear | 0.01354 BTC | −0.3% | −33.5% | −40.6% | −30.4% |
| 12 Mar 2019Lasted 29 days | Bull | 0.01368 BTC | +2.7% | +1.4% | −26.8% | −1.0% |
| 20 Feb 2019Lasted 20 days | Bear | 0.01373 BTC | −0.6% | +0.7% | −31.4% | −0.3% |
| 12 Feb 2019Lasted 8 days | Bull | 0.01474 BTC | −5.9% | −9.2% | −44.8% | −6.9% |
| 6 Dec 2018Lasted 68 days | Bear | 0.01657 BTC | −6.1% | −9.1% | −21.8% | −11.0% |
| 29 Nov 2018Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.02050 BTC | −19.2% | −23.5% | −33.4% | −19.2% |
| 14 Nov 2018Lasted 15 days | Bear | 0.01926 BTC | −4.1% | −21.2% | −23.4% | +6.5% |
| 20 Oct 2018Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.01936 BTC | −4.6% | +4.7% | −24.5% | −0.5% |
| 11 Oct 2018Lasted 9 days | Bear | 0.01751 BTC | +3.9% | +16.0% | −14.4% | +10.6% |
| 23 Sep 2018Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.01948 BTC | +0.8% | −4.5% | −18.9% | −10.1% |
| 20 Jul 2018Lasted 65 days | Bear | 0.02495 BTC | +8.5% | −12.4% | −27.1% | −21.9% |
| 13 Jul 2018Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.02825 BTC | −11.7% | −12.1% | −38.0% | −11.7% |
| 28 May 2018Lasted 46 days | Bear | 0.03207 BTC | −2.4% | −14.4% | −37.1% | −11.9% |
| 14 May 2018Lasted 14 days | Bull | 0.03591 BTC | +8.7% | −19.5% | −30.8% | −10.7% |
| 11 May 2018Lasted 3 days | Bear | 0.02820 BTC | +54.5% | +4.0% | −5.3% | +27.3% |
| 13 Apr 2018Lasted 28 days | Bull | 0.02905 BTC | +9.8% | +2.9% | −14.9% | −2.9% |
| 16 Feb 2018Lasted 56 days | Bear | 0.04710 BTC | −13.8% | −36.9% | −17.4% | −38.3% |
| 13 Dec 2017Lasted 65 days | Bull | 0.02566 BTC | +62.5% | +96.3% | +20.5% | +83.6% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 13 Dec 2017, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
126 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.