Every flip we have recorded, and what the price did next.
A flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after ZetaChain's daily flips, measured in Bitcoin
After bullish flips the median price in Bitcoin was lower 90 days later. A bullish flip did not by itself mean the price went up. Both medians are within the range of ordinary days.
| Which flips | Days later | Flips counted | Median change | Range of the median | Ordinary days | Against ordinary days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 7 | 18 of 18 | −10.7% | −16.4% to −1.6% (90%) | −8.2% to +1.1% | outside the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 17 of 18 | −17.1% | −31.3% to −13.6% (95%) | −21.1% to −2.3% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 17 of 18 | −42.8% | −54.3% to −23.6% (95%) | −43.3% to −19.7% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| After bearish flips | 7 | 18 of 18 | −6.7% | −9.1% to −1.6% (90%) | −8.2% to +1.1% | within the range of ordinary days |
| 30 | 18 of 18 | −7.9% | −13.3% to −1.2% (90%) | −22.6% to −3.4% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| 90 | 18 of 18 | −37.6% | −47.3% to −17.2% (90%) | −44.3% to −20.5% | within the range of ordinary days | |
| Any day since 28 Feb 2024, for comparison | 7 | 942 days | −3.0% | – | – | – |
| 30 | 919 days | −10.6% | – | – | – | |
| 90 | 859 days | −31.3% | – | – | – |
Flips counted: 4 of 5 means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those; with an even number of flips it is the lower of the two middle results.
Range of the median: worked out from the flips' own results, with no assumptions about them. The share in brackets is how often a range built this way holds the true median; with fewer than 6 flips it runs from the lowest result to the highest.
Ordinary days: the median of the same number of ordinary days from the same period lands in this range 95 times in 100. A median is called within the range of ordinary days unless it falls outside it. About 1 cell in 20 falls outside by chance alone.
The latest flip is too recent to count in the 30 and 90 day columns.
Prices are the coin's close divided by Bitcoin's on Coinbase. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
How soon flips were reversed
| Which flips | Flips | Reversed within 3 candles (3 days) |
|---|---|---|
| After bullish flips | 18 | 1 of 18 |
| After bearish flips | 18 | 0 of 18 |
A flip counts as reversed when the next flip came within 3 candles, 3 days. A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
ZetaChain's daily line has flipped 13.9 times a year since 28 Feb 2024.
ZetaChain, daily flips: 36 flips
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip. Green means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026Lasted 27 days so far | Bull | 0.0000004518 BTC | +3.4% | not yet | not yet | +28.6% so far |
| 4 Jun 2026Lasted 94 days | Bear | 0.0000006504 BTC | −9.1% | −7.9% | −33.8% | −30.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026Lasted 3 days | Bull | 0.0000006997 BTC | −18.9% | −16.1% | −40.6% | −7.0% |
| 14 May 2026Lasted 18 days | Bear | 0.0000006894 BTC | −3.7% | −13.3% | −37.6% | +1.5% |
| 17 Apr 2026Lasted 27 days | Bull | 0.0000007743 BTC | −6.3% | −17.1% | −32.0% | −11.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.0000007156 BTC | +3.3% | +1.3% | −17.2% | +8.2% |
| 20 Mar 2026Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.0000008270 BTC | −8.0% | −13.0% | −29.4% | −13.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026Lasted 16 days | Bear | 0.0000007278 BTC | −1.6% | −3.1% | −3.9% | +13.6% |
| 14 Feb 2026Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.0000008239 BTC | −4.3% | −14.4% | −19.1% | −11.7% |
| 31 Jan 2026Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.0000007756 BTC | +1.7% | +8.3% | −5.9% | +6.2% |
| 26 Jan 2026Lasted 5 days | Bull | 0.0000009280 BTC | −16.4% | −13.6% | −21.2% | −16.4% |
| 20 Jan 2026Lasted 6 days | Bear | 0.0000007689 BTC | +6.2% | −1.2% | −6.6% | +20.7% |
| 5 Jan 2026Lasted 15 days | Bull | 0.0000008501 BTC | −1.6% | −6.1% | −13.1% | −9.6% |
| 10 Oct 2025Lasted 87 days | Bear | 0.000001002 BTC | +5.9% | +6.0% | −15.4% | −15.2% |
| 6 Oct 2025Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.000001509 BTC | −24.7% | −35.2% | −43.9% | −33.6% |
| 22 Sep 2025Lasted 14 days | Bear | 0.000001541 BTC | −6.7% | −32.0% | −47.3% | −2.1% |
| 28 Aug 2025Lasted 25 days | Bull | 0.000001828 BTC | −12.9% | −17.1% | −44.6% | −15.7% |
| 23 Jul 2025Lasted 36 days | Bear | 0.000001848 BTC | −7.8% | −5.9% | −42.3% | −1.1% |
| 13 Jul 2025Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000001851 BTC | +9.0% | −7.1% | −45.2% | −0.1% |
| 16 May 2025Lasted 58 days | Bear | 0.000002501 BTC | −5.7% | −25.2% | −34.7% | −26.0% |
| 9 May 2025Lasted 7 days | Bull | 0.000002895 BTC | −13.6% | −31.4% | −42.8% | −13.6% |
| 1 Apr 2025Lasted 38 days | Bear | 0.000003163 BTC | −17.2% | −10.0% | −48.1% | −8.5% |
| 22 Mar 2025Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.000004496 BTC | −23.4% | −38.3% | −62.6% | −29.6% |
| 9 Dec 2024Lasted 103 days | Bear | 0.000007330 BTC | −7.6% | −22.6% | −64.8% | −38.7% |
| 30 Nov 2024Lasted 9 days | Bull | 0.000008862 BTC | +4.8% | −31.3% | −60.2% | −17.3% |
| 13 Nov 2024Lasted 17 days | Bear | 0.000007824 BTC | −14.4% | −5.0% | −59.2% | +13.3% |
| 9 Nov 2024Lasted 4 days | Bull | 0.00001005 BTC | −16.8% | −27.0% | −70.1% | −22.1% |
| 28 Oct 2024Lasted 12 days | Bear | 0.000009053 BTC | −10.0% | −8.3% | −51.2% | +11.0% |
| 22 Oct 2024Lasted 6 days | Bull | 0.00001021 BTC | −10.7% | −33.1% | −54.3% | −11.4% |
| 3 Oct 2024Lasted 19 days | Bear | 0.000008931 BTC | +0.6% | +1.4% | −33.6% | +14.4% |
| 15 Sep 2024Lasted 18 days | Bull | 0.000009144 BTC | +8.3% | +6.4% | −23.6% | −2.3% |
| 20 Aug 2024Lasted 26 days | Bear | 0.000008762 BTC | −4.7% | +23.8% | −7.5% | +4.4% |
| 10 Aug 2024Lasted 10 days | Bull | 0.00001165 BTC | −19.6% | −28.9% | −19.4% | −24.8% |
| 21 May 2024Lasted 81 days | Bear | 0.00002322 BTC | −9.4% | −43.2% | −61.3% | −49.8% |
| 1 May 2024Lasted 20 days | Bull | 0.00002331 BTC | +6.8% | −15.5% | −63.4% | −0.4% |
| 28 Feb 2024Lasted 63 days | Bear | 0.00003803 BTC | −11.0% | −20.8% | −44.7% | −38.7% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The ledger is append-only. When the rules change, the rule set gets a new version number and the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Compare with any day
The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 28 Feb 2024, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
A small sample
Only coins in today's list have a record here; coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were for the coins of that time. Each coin's ordinary-day row shares this, so compare the two.
36 flips, but they are not independent: many fall in the same market moves, so there is less evidence here than the count suggests. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.