Every flip we have recorded for Irys, and what the price did next.
A candle is one bar of price over a fixed time: 4 hours, a day, a week or a month. Only closed candles count. The flip level is a price line that follows the trend. When a candle closes on the other side of it, the trend flips from bullish to bearish, or back. Each flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What is a flip?
A candle is one bar of price over a fixed time: 4 hours, a day, a week or a month. Only closed candles count. The flip level is a price line that follows the trend. When a candle closes on the other side of it, the trend flips from bullish to bearish, or back. Each flip is written when its candle closes and is never edited afterwards.
What happened after Irys' weekly flipsCounted: "4 of 5 flips" means four of the five flips are old enough for that many days to have passed. Each median uses only those. With an even number of flips we take the lower of the two middle results.Range of the median: the flips we have are only a sample, so their median could have come out a little different. This range shows how far it could plausibly have moved. The percentage in brackets is how often a range built this way would hold the median of many more flips like these. With fewer than 6 flips the range simply runs from the lowest result to the highest.Ordinary days: we took every ordinary day in the same period and measured the price change over the same number of days. This is the range where the median of that many ordinary days would land 95 times out of 100. "Against ordinary days" says whether the median after the flips is inside that range (it looks like an ordinary day) or outside it. About 1 in 20 falls outside by chance alone.Same dates: for each flip, the median result of all tracked coins over the same days, and the share of them that went up. These are medians and shares; by averages the picture can differ. Coins tend to rise and fall together, so flips that fall on the same days are not independent evidence: they count as fewer separate periods than flips.The range for these rows is a 95% interval: if whole calendar months of flips were drawn again at random, many times over, the median would land inside it 95 times out of 100. A row with fewer than 30 separate periods or 30 months behind it says "too few independent periods to compare" instead.The comparison rows show what the price did after any day since 17 May 2026, from the first flip on these candles on, so they cover the same period as the flips. A row that rests on fewer starting days than four times its number of days says too little history.
There are too few flips here to say anything about what follows them.
Green = the price rose, red = it fell, whatever the flip said. Each change is measured from the close of the flip candle.
Median change against ordinary days
About 1 in 20 medians falls outside the ordinary range by chance alone.
The latest two flips are too recent for some of the columns: each median uses only the flips whose window has passed.
Prices are weekly closes on Coinbase. Returns are measured from the close of the flip candle.
All tracked coins on the same datesShare of coins that rose after Irys's flip dates. Too few independent periods to compare medians.
Coins tend to rise and fall together, so flips on the same days count as fewer separate periods than flips.
Flips undone within 3 candles (3 weeks)
A flip is undone when the next flip, back the other way, comes within 3 candles (3 weeks). A flip is only counted once 3 candles have closed after it.
Irys' 4 weekly flipsGreen means the price rose and red that it fell, whatever the flip said.Closed past the line: how far the flip candle closed beyond the flip level it crossed. Score followed: when the trend score, a blend of six slower trend measures, first reached a bull score after a bullish flip, or a bear score after a bearish one, before the next flip. That can happen on the flip candle, some candles later, or not at all. The column says which.Trend state (Bull or Bear): one candle close beyond the coin's flip level flips it.Trend score (−100 to +100): how far six trend measures agree, not a second trend, since a coin's Bull or Bear always comes from its flip level.
Each figure is the price change from the flip price: 7, 30 and 90 days later, and at the next flip.
| The flip | Price after the flip | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candle closed | Flipped to | Closed past the line | Score followed | Price at the flip | 7 days later | 30 days later | 90 days later | Until the next flip |
| 1 Nov 2026NowLasted less than a week so far | Bear | −78.6% | at the flip | $0.02079 | not yet | not yet | not yet | 0.0% so far |
| 25 Oct 2026Lasted 1 week | Bull | +70.8% | not before the next flip | $0.03823 | −45.6% | not yet | not yet | −45.6% |
| 24 May 2026Lasted 22 weeks | Bear | −14.4% | at the flip | $0.03280 | −28.4% | −53.5% | −56.5% | +16.6% |
| 17 May 2026Lasted 1 week | Bull | +0.6% | not scored | $0.04269 | −23.2% | −57.7% | −61.1% | −23.2% |
How to read this
Closed candles only
Flips are computed on closed candles only, so a flip never appears and then vanishes while a candle is still open. The record only grows: no entry is ever edited or deleted. If the rules ever change, the old entries stay exactly as they were.
Survivorship
Only coins in today's list have a record here. Coins that left the list before 1 Oct 2026 are missing, which tends to make past results look better than they were. Each coin's any-day row has the same gap, so compare the two.
A small sample
Four flips are a small sample. The numbers describe the past and are not a forecast, and nothing here is advice.